Announcement

**Udog** · 10-31-2016, 08:54 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Here are the six most popular picks in Week 8 of the Westgate Super Contest in Las Vegas:

1– Patriots (742) -6.5- W
2– Chargers (631) +5.5- L
3– Raiders (627) +1.5- W
4– Falcons (463) -3- L
5– Saints (460) +2.5- W
6– Eagles (434) +4.5- L– Really bad beat

Season record: 17-30-1

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Raiders 30, Buccaneers 24 OT— Oakland is 5-0 on road for first time since 1977; all five of their wins are east of Mississippi- they outgained Tampa Bay 626-270 in a game that went OT, but Raiders set an NFL record with 23 penalties for 200 yards. Jameis Winston has regressed; he was not an accurate passer in this game.

Redskins 27, Bengals 27 OT— Second tie in two weeks; Washington was awful in red zone (4 trips, 10 points), missed a 34-yard walk-off FG in OT. Cousins threw for 458 yards, but Redskins had 106 penalty yards in game where teams combined to convert 16 of 32 on third down. Cincy had 35 first downs, Washington 30.

Titans 36, Jaguars 22— I’m not sure how Jax coach Bradley still has a job after this debacle on Thursday, but he does. Jaguars fired the OC instead. When the sideline reporter asks you at halftime, “Do you think your team has quit on you?” it is a pretty good indication you should lose your job, but Bradley is still employed. What a country.

Texans 20, Lions 13— Sometimes life is simple; Houston is 5-0 at home, 0-3 on the road. Texans had a 17-yard edge in field position in this game- teams like that very seldom lose. In a domed stadium, neither team gained 300 yards, which is odd. All eight tDetroit games have been decided by 7 or less points.

Saints 25, Seahawks 20— Seattle’s offense is banged-up; when you score only one offensive TD against the Saints, thats a huge red flag. New Orleans won three of last four games, is 5-1 vs spread in last six. Russell Wilson ran ball three times for 11 yards; until those numbers get better, Seattle is off-limits for me. Wilson’s mobility makes him great.

Patriots 41, Bills 25— Brady’s four games this year: W33-13, W35-17, W27-16, W41-25. Yards per pass in those games: 9.6, 9.4, 8.5, 7.5.

There were 129 offensive plays in this game and 22 accepted penalties for 200 yards, In the TCU-Texas Tech game Saturday, there were 175 offensive plays, with 5 accepted penalties for 35 yards. NFL is terribly over-officiated; no one pays to watch men in striped shirts throw flags.

Jets 31, Browns 28— Cleveland led 20-7 at the half, but they’ve now been outscored 131-51 in second half of games. Browns hired a “genius” from Harvard to run their front office, same guy who was Billy Beane’s right-hand guy for a while with the Oakland A’s (Jonah Hill’s character in Moneyball). Browns are 0-8; wonder what Hue Jackson thinks of his boss, the genius, the guy who gets him players?

Chiefs 30, Colts 14— Nick Foles came on in relief of a banged-up Alex Smith, was 16-22/223 in his first significant action as a Chief. As a Ram fan, I’m happy for Foles, who got a raw deal from the Rams- when protected, he is pretty good. KC was +2 in turnovers in this game; since Week 2, NFL teams that are +2 or better in turnovers are 36-3.

Panthers 30, Cardinals 20— Eight sacks for Carolina in this game; have to be worried for the Arizona offense- they outgained Seattle 443-257 last week, but tied 6-6. Cardinals ran ball only 10 times for 24 yards- no balance. This game was 24-7 at the half. NFC West teams are 5-11 vs spread in non-divisional games this season.

Falcons 33, Packers 32— Dan Quinn has coached 24 games for Atlanta; underdogs are 20-3 vs spread in those games (one game at Tampa LY was pick ‘em). Over is 7-1 in Falcon games this year, because a) their defense sucks and b) they’ve got a good passing game and they play home games in a dome. For three of four Packers who caught a TD pass in this game, it was their first career TD catch.

Broncos 27, Chargers 19— This has been a weird week; in first 10 games of the week other than this one, there were a total of 15 turnovers in 10 games- not many. In this game, both teams turned ball over three times, with each team scoring on a pick-6. Denver DC Wade Phillips (age 69) was taken to hospital after a sideline collision in second quarter- looked like his head hit the ground after the collision. Obviously, we hope he is feeling better.

Cowboys 29, Eagles 23 OT– Second year in row these divisional rivals played OT in Dallas; this time Cowboys won in battle of rookie QB’s. One thing that stands out from stats; Dallas had six plays of 20+ yards, Eagles had none. Philly has now lost three of last four games after a 3-0 start, with five offensive TDs in last four games.

Cubs 3, Indians 2– FOX and ticket scalpers in Cleveland are happy with this score- Game 6 is Tuesday in Cleveland. One thing puzzles me; why do so many famous people root for the Cubs? Eddie Vedder, Bill Murray, Jim Belushi, Joe Mantegna, Vince Vaughn, Bob Newhart. There don’t seem to be many famous Indian fans.

**Udog** · 10-31-2016, 09:03 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, October 31

Phoenix @ LA Clippers

Game 507-508
October 31, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
121.135
LA Clippers
121.931
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 10 1/2
206
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+10 1/2); Over

Sacramento @ Atlanta

Game 505-506
October 31, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
118.942
Atlanta
128.112
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 9
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 7
202
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-7); Under

Chicago @ Brooklyn

Game 503-504
October 31, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
123.719
Brooklyn
109.669
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 14
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 6
212
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-6); Under

Denver @ Toronto

Game 501-502
October 31, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
113.922
Toronto
126.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 13
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 6 1/2
204
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-6 1/2); Over

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 31

Not much to go on for 7-10 days, but we’ll share the info we have.

Road team won four of last six Denver-Toronto games; Nuggets won two of last three visits here. Over is 6-1-1 in last eight series games. Denver split its first two games, which were decided by total of 7 points (over 2-0). Raptors split their first two games, both of which were at home (over 1-1).

Chicago won its last five games with the Nets; last four series games went over the total. Bulls won their last three visits to Brooklyn by 15-27-18 points. Chicago won its first two home games by 6-17 points (over 1-1); this is their road opener. Nets lost two of first three games (over 2-1) but beat Indiana by 9 in their only home game.

Hawks won nine of last ten games with Sacramento (8-2 vs spread); Kings lost their last four visits to Atlanta (0-4 vs spread). Over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Sacramento won two of first three games (under 2-1)- they won road opener in Phoenix. Hawks won their first couple games by 15-32 points.

Clippers won eight of last ten games with Phoenix, but Suns are 4-2-1 vs spread in last seven. Phoenix lost last five visits here, by 40-6-1-13-7 points (3-2 vs spread). Suns are 0-3, losing last two games to Thunder by 3, Warriors by 6 (under 2-1). Clippers won their first two games, by 8-13 points; they beat Utah at home yesterday.

NBA

Monday, October 31

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. BROOKLYN
Chicago is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Chicago is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Brooklyn's last 19 games at home

7:30 PM
DENVER vs. TORONTO
Denver is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Toronto
Denver is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Toronto is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Denver

7:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 14 games when playing Atlanta
Sacramento is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 14 games
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

10:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 7 games at home
LA Clippers are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home

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**Udog** · 10-31-2016, 10:36 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, October 31

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DENVER (1 - 1) at TORONTO (1 - 1) - 10/31/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (2 - 0) at BROOKLYN (1 - 2) - 10/31/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 244-294 ATS (-79.4 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (2 - 1) at ATLANTA (2 - 0) - 10/31/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 45-68 ATS (-29.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
ATLANTA is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 58-40 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (0 - 3) at LA CLIPPERS (2 - 0) - 10/31/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-31-2016, 12:52 PM

NBA

Monday, October 31

Top ATS bets through the 1st week of the NBA season:
Nets 3-0
Spurs 3-0-1
Clippers, Bulls, Hawks 2-0

Top Over teams though 1st week of NBA action:
Grizzlies, Blazers 3-0 O/U
Nuggets, T-wolves, Wizards 2-0 O/U

Top Under teams though 1st week of NBA action:
Cavaliers 0-3 O/U
76ers 0-2 O/U
Nine teams tied at 1-2 O/U

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/31

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/31

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