Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/27

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, October 27

Good Luck on day #301 of 2016!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— 30 of Carlos Santana’s 34 homers this year were hit lefthanded.

— Last grand slam in World Series? Paul Konerko for the White Sox in Game 2 of ’05 Series.

— Opening Day rosters of the 30 NBA teams: 113 foreign players, 43 white Americans.

— Kevin Harlan is a busy broadcaster; he did the NFL game in London Sunday, then flew to Oakland for the Spurs-Warriors game Tuesday night.

— In their last three road games, Jets scored only one TD on 30 drives.

— Former Wyoming hoop coach Larry Shyatt is now an assistant coach for the Dallas Mavericks in the NBA.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: NFL knowledge and our top 7

Some notes about how NFL teams have done on the first drive of each half this season: in my mind, the first drive of each game goes to how coaches prepare for their opponent each week.

First drive of the second half goes to halftime adjustments, as much as can be done in 10-12 minutes. Through seven weeks, here is some information:

13) Dallas Cowboys, in six games, have three TDs, two FGs and a missed FG on their first drive of the game, averaging 66.7 yards/drive, by far the best in the NFL thru seven weeks.

12) Three teams have yet to score on their first drive of a game: Arizona, Jacksonville and the Giants, who have only 79 yards on 27 plays on the first drive of their seven games.

11) Saints/Chargers both have four TDs on their first drive, though Saints did that in six games and Chargers seven; New Orleans averages 54.2 yards/first drive, San Diego 47.1.

10) Most surprising that I’ve found so far: Denver has allowed four TDs and a FG on opponents’ first drive of a game- their 31 points allowed on the first drive is 2nd-worst in the NFL.

9) Less surprising is Cleveland’s defense allowing five TDs on its seven game opening drives, with foes gaining an average of 55.9 yards/drive.

8) Giants have been outscored 30-3 on each team’s first drive of each half; Jets have been outscored 35-16. For the Giants, 66 plays, 210 yards (3.2 yards/play) on the first drive of their 14 halves is very poor.

On to the NFL’s top 7 for this week:

7) Chiefs— Andy Reid is this generation’s Chuck Knox— very good coach, wins a lot of games, just not any Super Bowls. Nothing wrong with winning a lot of games.

6) Raiders— 4-0 on the road and all four games were east of Mississippi; this week is #5.

5) Seahawks— Lost 9-3 in LA, tied 6-6 at Arizona, their two games on grass. Won the other four games. Not sure how bad Wilson’s leg injuries are, but if he doesn’t start running around soon, I’ll lose faith in Seattle.

Related point; NBC’s Cris Collinsworth actually grouped Wilson with Brady and Roethlisberger as a pocket passer during Sunday night’s game. Um, no. Not even close.

4) Cowboys— Is it easier for a rookie QB to be without Dez Bryant and not have him calling for the ball all the time? What Jason Garrett has done in the first six games is tremendous- their offensive line is just super.

3) Broncos— Little queasy about having them at #3, but they’re the defending champs and they’re 5-2. I wouldn’t bet your money on them on win the Super Bowl this year.

2) Vikings— Sam Bradford began his NFL career with the Rams, so pardon me if I’m skeptical he can lead the Vikings to the Super Bowl. He just doesn’t stay healthy.

1) Patriots— They head into heir bye week with an actual revenge game this week; Bills beat them in Foxboro in Week 4, the last week of Brady’s suspension and also in all probability, the last NFL action Jacoby Brissett will ever see.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 27

Not much to go on for 7-10 days, but we’ll share the info we have.

Thursday’s games
Hawks won five of last seven games with Washington; three of last four series games went over total. Wizards lost three of last four visits to Atlanta, losing by 15-1-16 points. This is the season opener for both teams.

Chicago is 7-3 in last ten games with the Celtics; six of last seven series games went over total. Boston lost four of last five visits to Windy City (2-3 vs spread). Celtics beat Nets 122-117 last night, in their home opener.

Portland KO’d Clippers from LY’s playoffs in six games, after losing first two; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Clippers lost last three visits to Portland by 8-14-3 points (under is 3-2 in last five). This is Clippers’ season opener. Blazers beat Utah by 9 Tuesday in their home opener.

Sacramento christens its new arena against Spurs team that whacked Golden State by 29 in its opener Tuesday. Spurs won last six series games, covering four of last five; last four series tilts stayed under total. Kings beat Suns in Phoenix in their opener last night.




NBA

Thursday, October 27

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Washington's last 22 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. CHICAGO
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
Chicago is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Boston

10:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. PORTLAND
LA Clippers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
LA Clippers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

10:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, October 27

San Antonio @ Sacramento

Game 507-508
October 27, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
133,526
Sacramento
117.806
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 15 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 8 1/2
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-8 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Portland

Game 505-506
October 27, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
129.947
Portland
125.905
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 4
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-2); Over

Boston @ Chicago

Game 503-504
October 27, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
115.396
Chicago
119.206
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 4
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+2); Over

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 501-502
October 27, 2016 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
121.580
Atlanta
122.535
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 3 1/2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+3 1/2); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 27

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WASHINGTON (0 - 0) at ATLANTA (0 - 0) - 10/27/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 168-209 ATS (-61.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 8-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 9-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (1 - 0) at CHICAGO (0 - 0) - 10/27/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 242-294 ATS (-81.4 Units) first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (0 - 0) at PORTLAND (1 - 0) - 10/27/2016, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 7-7 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-6 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (1 - 0) at SACRAMENTO (1 - 0) - 10/27/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 955-833 ATS (+38.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 763-645 ATS (+53.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 285-231 ATS (+30.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, October 27

Washington at Atlanta, 7:35 PM ET
Washington: 17-20 ATS vs. division opponents
Atlanta: 66-44 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 200

Boston at Chicago, 8:00 PM ET
Boston: 25-11 ATS when playing on back-to-back days
Chicago: 32-42 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 200

LA Clippers at Portland, 10:30 PM ET
Los Angeles: 39-22 UNDER as a favorite
Portland: 93-62 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less

San Antonio at Sacramento, 10:35 PM ET
San Antonio: 12-6 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points
Sacramento: 32-48 ATS in home games

[Udog]

NBA

Thursday, October 27


The hot bet through the first two days of the NBA season? The Over is 10-3 (76.9%).