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  • Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Match Play championship this week:

    6-1— Rory McIlroy

    7-1— Dustin Johnson

    10-1— Jordan Spieth

    13-1— Jason Day

    20-1— Hideki Matsuyama

    22-1– Jon Rahm

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings………

    13) Cam Newton is having rotator cuff surgery next Thursday; not sure of the recovery timeframe, or why the operation is happening now and not two months ago, but question is: Will he be ready for the regular season? Big question for the Panthers.

    12) If I owned a major league baseball team, all my coaches would know both English and Spanish; have to be able to communicate with players. Would also want our players to know English; how the hell can you live in a country and not know at least some of the language?

    Sometimes, players know more of the language than they let on, so they can avoid talking to the media. Being bilingual is a big advantage in today’s baseball.

    11) Oklahoma State’s star guard Juwan Evans is leaving school for the NBA; at 6-1, he is a marginal prospect who could wind up in the D-League. He helped us some this year when we picked the Cowboys; we wish him well, but wish he was coming back for another season in Stillwater.

    10) Will Wade leaves VCU for LSU and everyone on Twitter asks why; is it a better basketball job? Money is (surprisingly) similar, they care more about basketball at VCU, since there is no football and he had a top 20 recruiting class coming to VCU in September.

    I’ve said this before here; sometimes big fish/smaller pond works better.

    9) UMass hires Winthrop coach Pat Kelsey to take over its hoop program; Kelsey went 102-59 at Winthrop, 56-30 in Big South games- he replaced Gregg Marshall there.

    8) New Jersey Jets have drafted six QB’s since 2009, yet still paid 37-year old Josh McCown $6M to come in and play for one year. This is called mismanagement; not the McCown part, but draft one guy who can play, will ya?

    7) Went into a LIDS store in the **** the other day; had good talk with young person who works there, who happens to be a fellow A’s fan. Major league fitted caps are now $35; caps for the World Baseball Classic are $37. Glad my hat collection is already too big- no thanks.

    6) They were talking on the Padres’ spring training game the other night how sometimes guys go down to the minor league camp and play in B games to get extra at-bats. A major leaguer would play in one of those games and lead off every inning, just to get more AB’s. Minor leaguers are not necessarily fond of that, since it costs them some AB’s, but thats how it works.

    5) Cincinnati Reds’ announcers are different than most local baseball announcers- they’ll rip the home team if they deserve it. “Boy, this is like a circus.” moaned Thom Brennaman during a bad inning by the Reds in their game with the Angels Tuesday.

    Two oddities from this Reds-Angels game:
    a) Both teams wore red jerseys; it is 2017, we can’t get different color jerseys?
    b) Angels used a DH, Reds did not. People bet on these games. Wonder how many people bet on this game not knowing that little nugget?

    4) RIP Jerry Krause, 77— he was GM of the Jordan-era Bulls who later became a baseball scout after leaving the NBA. Krause brought Toni Kukoc over from Europe to join Jordan/Pippen, which didn’t go over well with his two stars. Krause probably didn’t get enough credit for the Bulls’ success.

    3) Fans sitting behind the announcers at the Bakersfield-Colorado State NIT game Monday nite weren’t very happy with the officiating and were letting the refs know it— the mikes picked up some of their R-rated criticisms. I’m thinking someone with ESPN must’ve asked them to cool it, since they weren’t as vocal near the end of the game

    2) Nicole Auerbach reports that of the 351 Division I basketball teams, only five haven’t had a kid transfer out in the last two years. North Carolina hasn’t lost a transfer since 2011.

    1— The night the Knicks beat the Lakers to win the 1970 NBA title, when Willis Reed limped out and inspired the Knicks to win by scoring the first two hoops of the game on basically one leg, one of the ballboys that night was Steve Albert, now the Phoenix Suns’ play-by-play guy on TV.

    1a) One of my heroes passed away late Tuesday night; Chuck Barris, the wacky host of The Gong Show, died at age 87. Creator of game shows like The Dating Game and Newlywed Game, Barris was a creative genius with a bizarre sense of humor. He made me laugh more than just about anyone other than Steve Martin. RIP, sir, you will be missed.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • NBA
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, March 22


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CHARLOTTE (31 - 39) at ORLANDO (26 - 45) - 3/22/2017, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CHARLOTTE is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
      CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
      CHARLOTTE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
      ORLANDO is 29-41 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all games this season.
      ORLANDO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CHARLOTTE is 7-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      CHARLOTTE is 8-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      INDIANA (36 - 34) at BOSTON (45 - 26) - 3/22/2017, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      INDIANA is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
      BOSTON is 6-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      DETROIT (34 - 36) at CHICAGO (33 - 37) - 3/22/2017, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DETROIT is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
      DETROIT is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games this season.
      CHICAGO is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      DETROIT is 8-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      DETROIT is 7-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ATLANTA (37 - 33) at WASHINGTON (42 - 28) - 3/22/2017, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ATLANTA is 31-39 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
      ATLANTA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
      ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
      ATLANTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 9-7 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      ATLANTA is 10-7 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHILADELPHIA (26 - 44) at OKLAHOMA CITY (40 - 30) - 3/22/2017, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 45-22 ATS (+20.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 13-0 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CLEVELAND (46 - 23) at DENVER (33 - 37) - 3/22/2017, 9:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      CLEVELAND is 4-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MILWAUKEE (34 - 35) at SACRAMENTO (27 - 43) - 3/22/2017, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MILWAUKEE is 30-39 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games this season.
      MILWAUKEE is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games this season.
      MILWAUKEE is 354-426 ATS (-114.6 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
      MILWAUKEE is 250-308 ATS (-88.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
      MILWAUKEE is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
      SACRAMENTO is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
      MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEW YORK (27 - 43) at UTAH (43 - 28) - 3/22/2017, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW YORK is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW YORK is 211-168 ATS (+26.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
      UTAH is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
      UTAH is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Wednesday, March 22


      Hornets won last two games, both at home; they lost three of last four on road, are 6-4 vs spread in last 10 road games- their last three games stayed under. Magic won last two games, are 4-10 vs spread in last 14 home games. Four of their last five home games went over total. Charlotte won its last six games with Orlando (5-1 vs spread); Hornets won/covered four of their last five visits here- four of those five games went over total.

      Pacers lost its last four road games (0-4 vs spread); they’re 6-6 SU since All-Star break. Under is 12-3 in their last 15 games. Boston won four of last five games; they’re 4-0 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 12-1-2 in their last fifteen games. Celtics won three of last four games with Indiana; under is 7-1 in last eight series games. Pacers lost three of last four visits to Boston.

      Detroit lost four of last five games; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Bulls lost eight of last ten games; they blew a 15-point lead in 4th quarter in Toronto last nite. Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games. Pistons won seven of last ten games with Chicago; teams split last four series games played here. Six of last eight series games stayed under.

      Hawks lost their last four games; they’re 5-8 against the spread in last 13 road games. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Washington lost four of last five games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 9-2 in their last eleven games. Wizards won three of their last four games with Atlanta (under 3-1). Hawks lost by 11-3 points in last two visits to Washington.

      76ers are 4-9 in their last 13 games, but 16-3 vs spread in their last 19 games, covering last five games on foreign soil. Three of their last four games stayed under. OKC won five of last six games; they’re 10-3 vs spread in last 13 home games. Over is 8-4 in their last twelve games. Thunder won their last ten games with Philly but 76ers covered four of last five; Sixers lost three of last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). Seven of last eight series games stayed under.

      Cleveland won three of its last four games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road tilts. Under is 11-4 in their last fifteen games. Nuggets won three of last four home games; they’re 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games overall. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Cavaliers won six of last seven games with Denver; Cavaliers won last three games here (2-0-1 vs spread). Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.

      Milwaukee won nine of its last 11 games; they’re 6-4 vs spread in last ten road games. Under is 12-1-1 in their last 14 games. Sacramento lost 10 of last 12 games; they’re 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 11-5 in their last sixteen games. Bucks-Kings split their last ten games; Milwaukee lost three of last five visits to Sacramento. Last eight series games went over total.

      New York lost five of last six games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of their last four games went over. Jazz lost their last three games, all on road; they’re 4-8 vs spread in last 12 home games. Three of last four Utah games stayed under. Knicks lost four of last five games with Utah; they lost by 5-21 points in last two visits here. Last four series games played here stayed under.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • NBA

        Wednesday, March 22


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        7:00 PM
        CHARLOTTE vs. ORLANDO
        Charlotte is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Charlotte's last 19 games
        Orlando is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Charlotte
        Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

        7:30 PM
        INDIANA vs. BOSTON
        The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 15 games
        Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing at home against Indiana
        The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games

        8:00 PM
        ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
        Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games

        8:00 PM
        PHILADELPHIA vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
        Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
        Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

        8:00 PM
        DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
        Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games

        9:00 PM
        CLEVELAND vs. DENVER
        Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games on the road
        Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
        Denver is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland

        10:30 PM
        NEW YORK vs. UTAH
        New York is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
        Utah is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
        Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

        10:30 PM
        MILWAUKEE vs. SACRAMENTO
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
        Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 9 games at home


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Wednesday, March 22



        New York @ Utah

        Game 765-766
        March 22, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        New York
        114.318
        Utah
        128.701
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Utah
        by 14 1/2
        197
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Utah
        by 10 1/2
        203 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Utah
        (-10 1/2); Under

        Milwaukee @ Sacramento


        Game 763-764
        March 22, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Milwaukee
        116.434
        Sacramento
        117.211
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Sacramento
        by 1
        196
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Milwaukee
        by 4
        204 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Sacramento
        (+4); Under

        Cleveland @ Denver


        Game 761-762
        March 22, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Cleveland
        118.509
        Denver
        127.141
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Denver
        by 8 1/2
        236
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Cleveland
        by 3 1/2
        228 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Denver
        (+3 1/2); Over

        Philadelphia @ Oklahoma City


        Game 759-760
        March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Philadelphia
        114.591
        Oklahoma City
        125.077
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Oklahoma City
        by 8 1/2
        225
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Oklahoma City
        by 11
        218
        Dunkel Pick:
        Philadelphia
        (+11); Over

        Atlanta @ Washington


        Game 757-758
        March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Atlanta
        114.138
        Washington
        123.920
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Washington
        by 10
        218
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Washington
        by 7
        213 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Washington
        (-7); Over

        Detroit @ Chicago


        Game 755-756
        March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Detroit
        119.271
        Chicago
        113.196
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Detroit
        by 6
        204
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Chicago
        by 1
        198 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Detroit
        (+1); Over

        Indiana @ Boston


        Game 753-754
        March 22, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Indiana
        117.852
        Boston
        123.460
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Boston
        by 5 1/2
        204
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Boston
        by 7 1/2
        208 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Indiana
        (+7 1/2); Under

        Charlotte @ Orlando


        Game 751-752
        March 22, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Charlotte
        117.935
        Orlando
        119.473
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Orlando
        by 1 1/2
        202
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Charlotte
        by 5
        208
        Dunkel Pick:
        Orlando
        (+5); Under
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • Wednesday's NBA Essentials
          March 22, 2017


          Game of the Night - Cleveland at Denver, (FS Ohio, 9:05 ET)

          After beating the Jazz in Kevin Love's return, the Cavs punted on being competitive against the Clippers and instead played all their regulars against the tanking Lakers, pulling out a comeback win. Up just 1.5 games on Boston for the top spot in the Eastern Conference, Cleveland faces a challenging final few weeks of the regular season. Tonight's visit to Denver will be one of its final seven road games, with stops still left in Charlotte, San Antonio, Chicago, Boston, Atlanta and Miami after this one.

          None of those games will be easy, and there are even four back-to-backs remaining, so not letting this one slip away is important. The Cavs are 6-7 since Feb. 25, which includes losing five of eight on the road. This current stretch they're in has them playing six of seven in opposing arenas, so how they fare over the next week will dictate how much room for error they have between now and January.

          A lack of practice time was considered a culprit when the Cavs lost six of eight in January as they struggled to successfully blend Kyle Korver into the mix upon his acquisition from Atlanta, so the past few days have been a blessing in trying to get Love back up to speed. For just the second time since the All-Star break, the Cavs have had two days between games. They spent them out in L.A., working out at UCLA, Love's alma mater, before flying into Denver yesterday.

          Cleveland is 12-2 with multiple days of rest between games, so it will be interesting to see how they respond here. Love scored 21 points and grabbed 15 boards in just 26 minutes against the Lakers on Sunday night, coming up with his first double-double since Feb. 9. The Cavs went 7-6 as he recovered from a knee injury and although he'll likely not play in this week's back-to-back and is probably still on a minutes restriction that won't let him play more than 25-30 minutes, he's already proven he'll give this group a significant boost they badly needed.

          Korver has been out since March 9 with a foot injury, but was a participant in practice on Tuesday and is likely to return. He shot 59 percent from 3-point range in February after settling in some and should be the x-factor the team envisioned he'd become going forward so long as there are no setbacks.

          Having a few days off also allowed Deron Williams (thumb), Iman Shumpert (knee) and Tristan Thompson (mouth) opportunities to heal up, so it will be interesting to see how Cleveland responds now that it is working its way back to full strength. James will likely take another game or two off, but has worked his way into the MVP conversation. Despite the tremendous runs Russell Westbrook and James Harden have enjoyed, James has put together career-highs in rebounds (8.4) and assists (8.8) and authored one of his most efficient seasons. A strong finish would definitely make him a factor in the final vote.

          Denver is coming off perhaps its most frustrating loss of the season, falling 125-124 after a botched late offensive possession that helped Harden secure a game-winning layup in the final seconds. They're still up on Portland for the final Western Conference playoff spot, but have been working short-handed without key forwards Danilo Gallinari (knee) and Wilson Chandler (groin), who could return for this game.

          The Nuggets are viewing this one as a game they need to have, not only because they don't want the Rockets loss to linger, but because they're down to just four home games among their remaining 12. Cleveland beat Denver 125-109 on Feb. 11, getting 27 points a piece from James and Irving. Gallinari was absent, and the team had yet to acquire Mason Plumlee, who has become a key member of the rotation. Nikola Jokic led the way with 27.

          Cleveland hasn't lost in Denver since James returned to the franchise and has won four of five there. The Cavs are 6-1 in their last seven meetings against the Nuggets and registered their highest scoring output in the series since 1990 last month. They scored 124 in the final meeting of the 2015-16 season.

          Injury Concerns

          Charlotte has won consecutive games and is making one last push to try and salvage a season that has gotten a way from them, so it's a relief to see Michael Kidd-Gilchrist set to play after he left Monday's over Atlanta with an ankle injury. The Hornets are in Orlando to play their only road game in a six-game stretch, so it's now or never for them.

          Andre Drummond left Detroit's loss to Brooklyn with 13 points and 17 rebounds, so he wasn't on the floor for Brook Lopez's game-winner, limping off with a knee injury. He's expected to play in Chicago, where it's unlikely he'll see the other Lopez, Robin, who is expected to be suspended after fighting with Serge Ibaka in Tuesday's OT loss against Toronto.

          The Kings have been without all three of their veteran wings of late, but should get a couple of them back for tonight's home date with Milwaukee. Buddy Hield has gotten major minutes, while Malachi Richardson has unfortunately been banged up. Ben McLemore hadn't been part of the rotation before paternity leave, but will be available tonight. Arron Afflalo (personal) and Tyreke Evans (knee) have also been out, so McLemore could be in for some minutes if they remain sidelined.

          Head-head Trends

          The Celtics and Pacers may wind up meeting in a playoff series, although the Pacers are hoping to end the season successfully enough to grab the No. 6 seed and avoid Cleveland and Boston. The Celtics have won five of the last eight in the series, with the under 7-1 in those games. Boston is up 2-0 this season, winning in November and December as a 1.5-point road favorite.

          The Wizards have a five-game lead on Atlanta in the Southeast Division with just a dozen left to play, so they'll look to improve on a 27-10 home record against a potential playoff opponent. Paul Millsap will remain out with a knee injury which has contributed to the Hawks' four-game losing streak. Washington lost the season opener in Atlanta but has won the last two meetings.

          Oklahoma City had its five-game winning streak snapped by Golden State on Monday, but have an opportunity to get back on track against a team they've beaten 15 consecutive times. The 76ers last beat OKC on Nov. 15, 2008 in one of the franchise's first games at the Thunder. Philadelphia has never won in Oklahoma City, last winning a road game in this series back on New Year's Eve of 2007, when the Supersonics played their final season in Seattle.

          Utah will look to sweep the Knicks for the second time in three years, improving to 5-1 in the last six meetings against New York. The Jazz are just 15-18 against the number at home, while the Knicks are 17-19 ATS in road games.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • Identifying NBA Cinderellas
            March 21, 2017


            Even with the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament producing such few upsets, we've got Cinderella stories. South Carolina hadn't won an NCAA Tournament game since 1973 and have reached the Sweet 16 for the first time ever. They've got Alex English riding shotgun, just eliminated a Duke team that most love to hate and have a likeable head coach in Miami's Frank Martin, the tough guy with the heart of gold.

            Michigan, survivors of a plane accident that could have been a lot worse, could end up wearing a slipper. The Wolverines were 14-9, 4-6 in the Big Ten, after opening February with a home loss to the worst Ohio State team in years. They're 12-2 since.

            Xavier lost standout point guard Edmund Sumner in February. Butler and Gonzaga are still often thought of as little guys due to their past. Wisconsin is a big boy, but took out a No. 1. There isn't a UNC-Wilmington or Florida Gulf Coast in the group, but that falls in line with what this column is about.

            There won't be a Cinderella to come out of nowhere in the NBA posteseason. If we get one, we should be able to see them coming. They won't be a No. 8 seed. The three top contenders for the NBA's realistic Cinderella have to be able to reach a Final Four, er conference finals, which knocks out this regular season's prime example, Miami (20/1 East, 60/1 title).

            Reigning Eastern Conference Player of the Week Hassan Whiteside has led the Heat to six wins in the last eight games this month entering Tuesday's game with the depleted Suns. With a push that needs to continue this week, Miami may sneak into the playoffs, but unless they really thrive down the stretch against a tough schedule filled with East heavyweights, they're unlikely to get up to No. 6 to truly become a threat this postseason. It will be fun to see whether LeBron James and the Cavs rest in South Florida in an April 10 game that could be vital to the Heat's playoff hopes.

            Cleveland is resting players now so that it can steamroll whoever ends up becoming the sub-.500 team that takes up the No. 8 seed against them since they're likely to outlast Boston for the top spot now that Kevin Love is back. The Celtics and Wizards don't qualify to be Cinderellas because both are now at 6-to-1 odds to get out of the Eastern Conference in the latest WestgateLV Superbook odds release.

            That's more preferred uppity stepsister than Cinderella, if we're taking the comparison literally.

            Damian Lillard earned the West's Player of the Week nod after scoring a season-high 49 points in Miami to snap the Heat's home winning streak at seven games on Sunday, leading the Blazers to a 3-1 week. Denver and Portland have gained a little separation in the race for the Western Conference's final playoff berth, but neither is beating out the Warriors or Spurs in a first-round series.

            The Rockets are 10-to-1 to get out of the West, so they're not a true outsider. Instead, we'll go with the Clippers (15/1 West, 30/1 title), Raptors (12/1 East, 40/1 title), Grizzlies (50/1, 100/1) and Pacers (80/1, 200/1) as the best bets.

            L.A. has been through the grinder. We've seen the Clippers' act fail for five straight years before they've even gotten to the conference finals. Outside of Dallas and Golden State, every franchise that has been really good in the West within that span has eliminated them in a series. Their brand is at an all-time low. Of course, they're also the only team that can say they've beaten both the Spurs and Warriors in a Game 7, which has to count for something.

            With Chris Paul back from his injury and Blake Griffin also settled back in, it's time to make a move. Prior to the Cavs lying down on Saturday night, the Clips had dropped three straight, including a frustrating home loss to Milwaukee. This week's games against the Knicks, Lakers and Mavericks are games they'll be favored in and must take care of business in before a huge Saturday afternoon home date against Utah that could ultimately help decide homecourt advantage in a potential 4-5 series between the two. If you believe that this is the season everyone stays healthy and L.A. finally breaks through out West, now is the time to buy. Maybe they'll be this year's Wisconsin Badgers, taking out a No. 1 of their own.

            The Raptors have seen their odds take a hit due to an inability to persevere without point guard Kyle Lowry, who won't be back any time soon. It's unlikely that they wind up faring better than the No. 4 seed in the East, which will put them in Cleveland's path early. Still, Lowry will return, and GM Masai Ujiri did upgrade their defense at the trade deadline, so they're still a team that could surprise before all is said and done. Their odds may continue to slip, although they showed signs of life in trouncing Indiana 116-91 on Sunday to post consecutive wins for the first time all month. Their schedule between now and the beginning of April looks pretty favorable too.

            The final two candidates on the list are longshots, teams to retire on if everyone gets lucky enough. Memphis carries that South Carolina vibe, a defense-oriented team that struggled before the lights came on but is now fully engaged. They've won four straight, including upsets of the Hawks and Spurs and hit the road for a four-game stretch beginning Tuesday in New Orleans. Indiana has been absolutely dreadful, but in Paul George, they have the Eastern Conference's best player not on the Cavaliers. If they can avoid the No. 8 seed, the Pacers will be dangerous.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • WEDNESDAY, MARCH 22

              GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

              CHA at ORL 07:00 PM

              CHA -4.5

              O 206.5

              IND at BOS 07:30 PM

              BOS -6.5

              U 207.5


              ATL at WAS 08:00 PM

              ATL +7.5

              O 215.0

              PHI at OKC 08:00 PM

              PHI +12.0

              U 218.5 ***********


              DET at CHI 08:00 PM

              CHI +1.0

              U 199.0

              CLE at DEN 09:00 PM

              DEN +3.0 **********

              O 227.0 **********


              NY at UTA 10:30 PM

              UTA -11.5

              U 202.5

              MIL at SAC 10:30 PM

              MIL -5.0

              U 202.0 ***********
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

                Prop bets for tonight’s NCAA tournament games:

                — Over/under, total 3-pointers made in Purdue-Kansas game: 16.5

                — Over/under, total 3-pointers made in West Va-Gonzaga game: 14.5

                — Over/under, total 3-pointers made in Michigan-Oregon game: 17.5

                — Over/under, total 3-pointers made in Xavier-Arizona game: 13.5

                — Largest lead by either team in Purdue-Kansas game: 15.5 points

                — Largest lead by either team in West Va-Gonzaga game: 14 points

                — Largest lead by either team in Michigan-Oregon game: 12.5 points

                — Largest lead by either team in Xavier-Arizona game: 16.5 points

                **********

                Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

                13) Worlds colliding: Madcap comedian Carrot Top was at Phillies’ spring training Wednesday, and was seen talking to former Phils’ manager Charlie Manuel.

                Carrot Top’s dad worked for NASA; he was a rocket scientist. Seriously.

                12) You know it might be a bad day when you’re a marginal major league player, you get a start in a road spring training game, and you forget your jersey. Oy.

                Happened to Allen Webster of the Rangers, a guy who has pitched in 28 big league games (23 starts), so he should know better. Webster wound up giving up three runs in three IP, putting eight guys on base in a game Texas won 7-4.

                11) In the 1987-88 NBA season, home teams won 67.9% of games; this season, that number is down to an all-time low of 57.4%. Teams traveling on private planes plays into that some, but an article on ESPN.com says one of the main reasons why road teams win more now is that players on the road party a lot less than they used to.

                10) Basketball TV guy Doug Gottlieb, who recently jumped from CBS to FOX, will interview for the head coaching job at Oklahoma State (his alma mater) today. Gottlieb’s dad was a high school coach; his brother is an assistant coach at Oregon State.

                9) Didn’t take VCU long to replace Will Wade with former Rice coach Mike Rhoades, who went 23-12 with the Owls this season— he was 47-52 in three years at Rice, after inheriting a 7-23 team three years ago.

                By the way, as part of Wade’s contract at VCU, LSU will have to play a home/home series with the Rams- that was part of Wade’s buyout in his contract.

                8) At the WBC, Team USA was DH’ing Giancarlo Stanton and sitting Paul Goldschmidt; why? I’ve had Stanton on my fantasy team since he was an 18-year old in the Florida State League. He is one of my favorite players, but no way in hell is he as good a hitter as Goldschmidt.

                7) Padres’ TV guys were saying the ballclub wasn’t real happy about how little Yangervis Solarte played for Venezuela; they used him mostly as a pinch-runner. Bottom line is this: these teams are getting ready for the season- they want their guys getting AB’s in late March, not being subs.

                6) Rory McIlroy lost 2 & 1 to Soren Kjeldsen at the World Golf Match Play tournament, but he did hit a drive 410 yards. Don’t see that a lot.

                Jason Day withdrew from the tournament to be with his ailing mother. We wish her well.

                5) In 13 years as a major league manager, Terry Collins is 925-925.

                4) It is amazing to me that in most states, high school basketball doesn’t have a shot clock. There is a shot clock here in New York; protects the sport from overbearing coaches who strangle the game. Basketball is a much better spectator sport with a shot clock.

                3) I don’t mind the WBC, I fully understand why it exists (to grow the game), but I’d much rather watch a spring training game. Just means more to me; I’m not a big nationalistic guy.

                2) United States 8, Puerto Rico 0— Guy doing play-by-play on MLB Network oversold this tournament like he was Al Michaels in Lake Placid in 1980, but Americans win this event for first time ever. Puerto Rico didn’t get a hit until the 7th inning. Now everyone can go back to their major league teams and we can get ready for the season to start in ten days.

                1— Mentioned yesterday that Chuck Barris passed away; the host of The Gong Show wrote an article for a magazine back in the 80’s, talking about how he was a vendor at Shibe Park during the 1950 World Series. He cut his hand at the same time one of the pitchers got hit with a line drive. In the First Aid room, everyone tended to the pitcher and ignored his bleeding hand. He got promoted as a vendor because they felt guilty about ignoring him.

                Later in the same article, Barris tells a story about how he proposed to his second wife- they’re making out on the couch while he’s trying to watch the Raiders’ game on TV over her shoulder— he had bet on Oakland. She is bugging him to get married, so he tells her if the Raiders win this game, they’ll get married. Raymond Chester scores a touchdown, the Raiders win, and he was on the hook.

                A great character; he was also a hell of a lot smarter than he let on.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • NBA
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Thursday, March 23


                  Toronto won four of last five games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Miami won seven of last nine games; they’re 10-2 vs spread in last 12 home games. Three of their last four games went over. Home side won last six Toronto-Miami games; Raptors lost last three visits to South Beach (0-3 vs spread) by 7-12-15 points. Under is 3-1 in last four series games played here.

                  Phoenix lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread); they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games. Their last six games stayed under total. Brooklyn is 4-7 in last 11 games, 7-12 vs spread in last 19 home games. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Nets won last three games with Phoenix; they covered five of last seven series games, Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Suns lost three of last four visits to Brooklyn (1-3 vs spread).

                  Clippers won their last three games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six true road games. Four of their last six games went over total. Mavericks lost four of last six games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Clippers won three of last four games with Dallas; teams split last four series games played here. Three of last four series games stayed under.

                  Grizzlies won four of last five games, are 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. San Antonio won four of last six games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last five games went over. Spurs lost their last two games with Memphis but both games were on road; Grizzlies lost their last four visits to Alamo (1-3 vs spread). Five of last seven series games stayed under.

                  New York lost six of last seven games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Four of their last five games went over. Trailblazers won three of last four games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three home games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Knicks lost seven of last nine games with Portland; they lost three of last four games in Oregon (1-3 vs spread). Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.




                  NBA

                  Thursday, March 23


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Trend Report
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  7:30 PM
                  TORONTO vs. MIAMI
                  Toronto is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
                  Miami is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
                  Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

                  7:30 PM
                  PHOENIX vs. BROOKLYN
                  Phoenix is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Brooklyn
                  Phoenix is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
                  Brooklyn is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix
                  Brooklyn is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Phoenix

                  8:30 PM
                  MEMPHIS vs. SAN ANTONIO
                  Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
                  San Antonio is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

                  8:30 PM
                  LA CLIPPERS vs. DALLAS
                  LA Clippers are 7-16 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                  The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                  Dallas is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
                  Dallas is 5-12 SU in their last 17 games when playing LA Clippers

                  10:00 PM
                  NEW YORK vs. PORTLAND
                  New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
                  New York is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Portland
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing New York


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • NBA
                    Dunkel

                    Thursday, March 23


                    New York @ Portland

                    Game 809-810
                    March 23, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    New York
                    112.220
                    Portland
                    125.731
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Portland
                    by 13 1/2
                    224
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Portland
                    by 9 1/2
                    218
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Portland
                    (-9 1/2); Over

                    Memphis @ San Antonio


                    Game 807-808
                    March 23, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Memphis
                    119.908
                    San Antonio
                    125.465
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    San Antonio
                    by 5 1/2
                    193
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    San Antonio
                    by 8
                    199
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Memphis
                    (+8); Under

                    LA Clippers @ Dallas


                    Game 805-806
                    March 23, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    LA Clippers
                    119.179
                    Dallas
                    127.523
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Dallas
                    by 8 1/2
                    200
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    LA Clippers
                    by 4 1/2
                    205
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Dallas
                    (+4 1/2); Under

                    Phoenix @ Brooklyn


                    Game 803-804
                    March 23, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Phoenix
                    109.443
                    Brooklyn
                    118.245
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Brooklyn
                    by 9
                    228
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Brooklyn
                    by 4
                    223
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Brooklyn
                    (-4); Over

                    Toronto @ Miami


                    Game 801-802
                    March 23, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Toronto
                    116.473
                    Miami
                    125.466
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Miami
                    by 9
                    209
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Miami
                    by 4
                    203 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Miami
                    (-4); Over





                    NBA
                    Long Sheet

                    Thursday, March 23


                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    TORONTO (42 - 29) at MIAMI (35 - 36) - 3/23/2017, 7:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    TORONTO is 74-102 ATS (-38.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
                    MIAMI is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games this season.
                    MIAMI is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
                    MIAMI is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games this season.
                    MIAMI is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
                    MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
                    MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
                    MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    TORONTO is 9-7 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                    TORONTO is 10-6 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                    8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    PHOENIX (22 - 49) at BROOKLYN (14 - 56) - 3/23/2017, 7:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    PHOENIX is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                    BROOKLYN is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
                    PHOENIX is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                    BROOKLYN is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                    BROOKLYN is 3-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    LA CLIPPERS (43 - 29) at DALLAS (30 - 40) - 3/23/2017, 8:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    DALLAS is 374-308 ATS (+35.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
                    DALLAS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                    LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MEMPHIS (40 - 31) at SAN ANTONIO (54 - 16) - 3/23/2017, 8:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    MEMPHIS is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN ANTONIO is 992-864 ATS (+41.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
                    SAN ANTONIO is 82-66 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN ANTONIO is 504-420 ATS (+42.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
                    SAN ANTONIO is 184-140 ATS (+30.0 Units) in March games since 1996.
                    SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
                    SAN ANTONIO is 277-229 ATS (+25.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
                    SAN ANTONIO is 175-128 ATS (+34.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    SAN ANTONIO is 8-6 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                    SAN ANTONIO is 10-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                    8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    NEW YORK (27 - 44) at PORTLAND (32 - 38) - 3/23/2017, 10:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    NEW YORK is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                    PORTLAND is 30-40 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                    PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • Hoop Trends - Thursday
                      March 23, 2017


                      ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

                      -- The Mavericks are 12-0 ATS (12.62 ppg) at home off a game as a dog since Jan 03, 2017.

                      OU TREND OF THE DAY:

                      -- The Grizzlies are 10-0 OU (14.10 ppg) with rest off a road game after a loss in which they led by double digits since Dec 28, 2013.

                      PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

                      -- The Raptors are 0-10 ATS (-12.15 ppg) on the road after Demar Derozan took more than 20 shots since Dec 26, 2016.

                      CHOICE TREND:

                      -- The Trail Blazers are 0-12 OU (-15.17 ppg) as a 8+ favorite off a loss as a home favorite since Dec 16, 2008.

                      ACTIVE TRENDS:

                      -- The Knicks are 10-0 OU (10.80 ppg) as a dog with no rest since Nov 12, 2016
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • THURSDAY, MARCH 23

                        GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


                        PHO at BK 07:30 PM

                        BK -5.0

                        U 227.0

                        TOR at MIA 07:30 PM

                        MIA -4.0

                        U 200.0

                        LAC at DAL 08:30 PM

                        LAC -5.5

                        U 204.5

                        MEM at SA 08:30 PM

                        SA -8.0

                        U 197.0


                        NY at POR 10:00 PM

                        POR -11.5

                        O 213.0
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

                          Prop bets for tonight’s NCAA tournament games:

                          — Total 3-point field goals made by Wisconsin/Florida: 14½

                          — Total 3-point field goals made by UCLA-Kentucky: 16½

                          — Total 3-point field goals made by South Carolina-Baylor: 13½

                          — Total 3-point field goals made by Butler/North Carolina: 14½

                          — Largest lead of the game by Wisconsin/Florida: 12½

                          — Largest lead of the game by UCLA/Kentucky: 14½

                          — Largest lead of the game by South Carolina/Baylor: 13½

                          — Largest lead of the game by Butler/North Carolina: 16½

                          **********

                          Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a terrific Thursday……

                          13) Xavier 73, Arizona 71— Wildcats led by 8 with 3:45 left; going to be a long summer for Sean Miller, who is 220-66 at Arizona, 107-37 in conference games, but 13-6 in NCAA games, 0-3 in regional finals. Lot of winning, but no Final Fours. This year, he lost in the regional semis.

                          From Feb 11-March 1, Xavier lost six games in a row; they looked like a dead team without their injured PG Edmond Somner- their upset of Butler in the Big East tournament got them in this tournament- they at least would’ve had to play a play-in game otherwise. Great coaching job by Chris Mack; they switched to a more passive 2-3 zone and it has worked.

                          Musketeers are first 11-seed in a regional final since Dayton three years ago, a team coached by Archie Miller, Sean’s brother.

                          12) Oregon 69, Michigan 68— Wolverines were 11-31 on arc, 14-27 inside arc, forced only five Oregon turnovers in an exciting, tense game. Ducks get to Elite 8 despite not having their best shot blocker Boucher, who is out for the year.

                          When Oregon hired Dana Altman as coach seven years ago, he was like their 5th choice for the job. Guys they wanted to hire didn’t want to coach in Oregon. Sometimes not getting what you want is the best thing that can happen.

                          11) Gonzaga 61, West Virginia 58— WVU games are hard to ref; they’re physical as hell, and they miss a lot of shots, so there is a ton more bodily contact in their games than a normal game, and lot more calls to make/not make. Mountaineers were 5-23 on arc, 11-37 inside arc in this game; you don’t deserve to win shooting like that, but thought Gonzaga got the better of the whistle in this game.

                          How happy were the Zags when Arizona got beat? Xavier is on a roll, but reality is, they’re an 11-seed whose starting point guard is in street clothes. They’ll still be tough, but would you rather play a healthy Arizona team? I think not.

                          10) Kansas 98, Purdue 66— Purdue’s best player is a really good 6-9 kid, muscular, so of course they ran up and down with Kansas, going 10-27 on arc, 14-29 inside arc. Game was 47-40 at the half, too fast for the Boilers, who went in tank in last 10:00.

                          9) Then there was the day at UMass; Pat Kelsey signed a contract Tuesday to be the new coach of the Minutemen, but 30 minutes before a 4:00 press conference Thursday, with band/cheerleaders/fans waiting, Kelsey backed out of the deal and went back to Winthrop (we think).

                          Conspiracy theories abound: Kelsey went to college at Xavier; if Chris Mack leaves his alma mater for a new job, Xavier would probably want to hire Kelsey. Time will tell, but looks like Kelsey could be staying at Winthrop for a long time, unless Mack changes jobs.

                          8) Georgetown fired John Thompson III Thursday, after 13 years with the Hoyas; last two years, Georgetown was 12-24 in Big East games. Two years ago, Hoyas were 22-11, 12-6 in Big East- they lost to Utah in the second round of NCAA’s. Not good enough.

                          Former NFL commish Paul Tagliabue, a Georgetown alum, is heading the search committee. No idea where they turn for a coach, unless Hornets’ assistant Patrick Ewing is interested.

                          7) In the history of major league baseball, 866 players have worn #22, making it the most popular number. #80 is the lowest number that has never been worn in a big league game.

                          6) Detroit Tigers’ 2B Ian Kinsler’s dad has been a prison warden in Arizona for 25 years; doesn’t sound like a fun job.

                          5) Virginia Cavaliers lost 65-39 to Florida Saturday, ending a 23-11 season; in five days since then, three Cavaliers have transferred out of the program. Must be a good story there.

                          4) In his great playing career, John Stockton dished out 15,806 assists; 2nd-best on that list is Jason Kidd, with 12,091. Thats amazing- 3,715 more assists than anyone else who ever played the game. Stockton, by the way, played 19 seasons; he played every game in 17 of them.

                          3) Jeff Van Gundy said this on TV Wednesday night, working the Knicks-Jazz game: “Lot of (NBA) teams have shut it down for the season already.” It was March 22, four weeks before the regular season ends. Not a great commentary on the league.

                          2) If I had to choose my all-time starting five in NBA history, it would be: Kareem at center, Bill Russell at power forward, then Lebron James, Michael Jordan and Magic Johnson on perimeter.

                          1— Quite a set of games Thursday; three great ones and Purdue’s tank job. Good entertainment. Hopefully tonight’s four games will be just as much fun. I’m definitely looking forward to the Kentucky-UCLA game.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                          • NBA
                            Dunkel

                            Friday, March 24



                            Sacramento @ Golden State

                            Game 869-870
                            March 24, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            Sacramento
                            113.184
                            Golden State
                            128.687
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            Golden State
                            by 15 1/2
                            208
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            Golden State
                            by 18
                            214
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            Sacramento
                            (+18); Under

                            Minnesota @ LA Lakers


                            Game 867-868
                            March 24, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            Minnesota
                            122.940
                            LA Lakers
                            107.408
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            Minnesota
                            by 15 1/2
                            224
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            Minnesota
                            by 6
                            218 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            Minnesota
                            (-6); Over

                            Philadelphia @ Chicago


                            Game 865-866
                            March 24, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            Philadelphia
                            108.176
                            Chicago
                            121.993
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            Chicago
                            by 14
                            205
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            Chicago
                            by 6
                            210
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            Chicago
                            (-6); Under

                            New Orleans @ Houston


                            Game 863-864
                            March 24, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            New Orleans
                            124.491
                            Houston
                            127.927
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            Houston
                            by 3 1/2
                            232
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            Houston
                            by 7 1/2
                            228 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            New Orleans
                            (+7 1/2); Over

                            Atlanta @ Milwaukee


                            Game 861-862
                            March 24, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            Atlanta
                            113.388
                            Milwaukee
                            121.817
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            Milwaukee
                            by 8 1/2
                            201
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            Milwaukee
                            by 4 1/2
                            204
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            Milwaukee
                            (-4 1/2); Under

                            Phoenix @ Boston


                            Game 859-860
                            March 24, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            Phoenix
                            107.123
                            Boston
                            124.100
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            Boston
                            by 17
                            207
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            Boston
                            by 13 1/2
                            219 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            Boston
                            (-13 1/2); Under

                            Detroit @ Orlando


                            Game 857-858
                            March 24, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            Detroit
                            112.569
                            Orlando
                            115.100
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            Orlando
                            by 2 1/2
                            215
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            Detroit
                            by 4
                            206 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            Orlando
                            (+4); Over

                            Cleveland @ Charlotte


                            Game 855-856
                            March 24, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            Cleveland
                            117.237
                            Charlotte
                            121.253
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            Charlotte
                            by 4
                            207
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            Cleveland
                            by 3
                            214 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            Charlotte
                            (+3); Under

                            Denver @ Indiana


                            Game 853-854
                            March 24, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            Denver
                            120.240
                            Indiana
                            115.625
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            Denver
                            by 4 1/2
                            195
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            Indiana
                            by 2
                            220 1/2
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            Denver
                            (+2); Under

                            Brooklyn @ Washington


                            Game 851-852
                            March 24, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

                            Dunkel Rating:
                            Brooklyn
                            116.565
                            Washington
                            120.391
                            Dunkel Team:
                            Dunkel Line:
                            Dunkel Total:
                            Washington
                            by 4
                            234
                            Vegas Team:
                            Vegas Line:
                            Vegas Total:
                            Washington
                            by 12 1/2
                            224
                            Dunkel Pick:
                            Brooklyn
                            (+12 1/2); Over
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • NBA
                              Armadillo's Write-Up

                              Friday, March 24


                              Nets won two games in row for first time this season; they covered last four road games. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Washington lost four of last six games (0-6 vs spread); they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five home games. Last three Wizard games stayed under. Wizards won their last six games with Brooklyn (4-2 vs spread); five of the six games went over total. Nets lost their last three games in this building (0-3 vs spread).

                              Nuggets won five of last seven games, are 4-0 vs spread in last four road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Pacers won their last five home games (4-0-1 vs spread); they are 6-0-1 vs spread in game following their last seven losses. Last three Indiana games went over. Denver won eight of last ten games with Indiana, going 4-0-1 vs spread in last five; teams split last four series games played here. Six of last eight series games went over.

                              Cleveland lost five of last seven road games; they’re 0-3-1 vs spread in last four games. Under is 11-5 in their last 16 games. Hornets won last three games, are 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Cavaliers won nine of last ten games with Charlotte, are 4-0-1 vs spread in last five series games. Five of last six series games went over. Cleveland won/covered three of last four visits here.

                              Detroit lost five of its last six games; they’re 0-6 vs spread in last six road games. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Magic lost five of last seven games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Pistons won/covered seven of last eight games with Orlando; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Detroit won/covered its last three visits to central Florida.

                              Phoenix lost last six games (0-6 vs spread); their starting lineup last nite averaged 21+ years old. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Boston won five of last six games; they’re 5-0 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 12-2-2 in their last 16 games. Celtics won three of last four games with Phoenix; road teams won four of last six series games. Suns won three of last five visits to Beantown. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

                              Atlanta lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread); they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Last four Hawk games stayed under total. Brewers won 10 of last 12 games; they won/covered last five home games. Under is 12-2-1 in their last fifteen games. Hawks won seven of last nine games with Milwaukee; they won/covered three of last four visits to Wisconsin. Four of last six series games went over.

                              New Orleans won five of its last six games; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Rockets won five of last six games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight home games. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Houston won seven of last nine games with New Orleans (6-3 vs spread); three of last four series games stayed under. Pelicans lost their last four visits to Houston (1-3 vs spread). New Orleans

                              76ers lost eight of last nine road games but are 9-2 vs spread in last 11 road games; over is 7-2 in last nine road games. Bulls lost 8 of last 11 games; they’re 3-4 vs spread in last seven home games. Three of their last four games went over. Chicago won its last ten games with Philly, covering five of last six; eight of last nine series tilts went over total. 76ers lost last five visits to Windy City (0-3 vs spread in last three).

                              Minnesota lost last four games (0-4 vs spread); they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four road games. Four of their last five games went over. Lakers lost their last six games (2-4 vs spread); they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Six of their last eight games went over. Lakers lost three of last four games with Minnesota; last five series games went over the total. Teams split last four series games played here.

                              Sacramento lost 11 of last 13 games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Golden State won last five games, covered last four; they’re 9-4 vs spread in last 13 home games. Under is 13-1 in their last 14 games. Warriors won nine of last ten games with Sacramento (7-3 vs spread); last three series games stayed under total. Kings lost lost their last five visits to Oakland (0-5 vs spread).
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • NBA

                                Friday, March 24


                                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                Trend Report
                                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                7:00 PM
                                BROOKLYN vs. WASHINGTON
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games on the road
                                The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 12 games
                                Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

                                7:00 PM
                                DETROIT vs. ORLANDO
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
                                Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                                Orlando is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
                                Orlando is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Detroit

                                7:00 PM
                                CLEVELAND vs. CHARLOTTE
                                Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
                                The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cleveland's last 14 games on the road
                                Charlotte is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

                                7:00 PM
                                DENVER vs. INDIANA
                                The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 13 games when playing Indiana
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
                                Indiana is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Denver
                                The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 16 games

                                7:30 PM
                                PHOENIX vs. BOSTON
                                Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
                                Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 15 games when playing at home against Phoenix
                                Boston is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix

                                8:00 PM
                                ATLANTA vs. MILWAUKEE
                                Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                                The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
                                Milwaukee is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
                                Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

                                8:00 PM
                                PHILADELPHIA vs. CHICAGO
                                Philadelphia is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                                Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
                                The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home

                                8:00 PM
                                NEW ORLEANS vs. HOUSTON
                                The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New Orleans's last 17 games
                                New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
                                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
                                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

                                10:30 PM
                                MINNESOTA vs. LA LAKERS
                                Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
                                LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games at home
                                The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing Minnesota

                                10:30 PM
                                SACRAMENTO vs. GOLDEN STATE
                                Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
                                Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                                Golden State is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Sacramento
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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