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  • Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    — Lefty reliever Jerry Blevins got $6M from the Mets; if you have a son and don’t make him a lefty, you’re a damn fool.

    — Celtics 113, Lakers 107- Both teams started the night with 3,252 wins.

    — Central Michigan 86, Western Michigan 82— Chippewas play up/down, wild games. They finished this game on a 21-5 run- they trailed by 18 at one point.

    — Rhode Island 70, Davidson 59— Big road win for Danny Hurley’s squad.

    — Jeff Bagwell is in the HOF but was 0-24 against a reliever named Scott Sullivan, who now sells real estate in Alabama. Sullivan was 40-28 with nine saves in 528 big league games in his 10-year major league career.

    — Dodgers signed former Giants reliever Sergio Romo, which will seem weird.

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

    13) As I write this, Treasure Island is only sports book in Las Vegas that has the Falcons +3.5 for the Super Bowl; apparently they feel strongly about New England covering.

    12) Atlanta scored a TD on the first drive of its last eight games; hard to do.

    Odd stat: In Brady’s six Super Bowls, New England scored zero first quarter points.

    11) JJ Watt, Jordy Nelson and Antonio Brown are all NFL stars; they were also all walk-ons to their college football teams.

    10) Colts’ punter Pat McAfee retired at age 29; he’s had three knee operations in last four years, and could need more later on. McAfee is going to try and become a professional comedian. Seriously.

    9) College of Charleston’s women basketball team lost two wins after it was discovered they used men’s basketballs during two recent games.

    Men’s basketballs are larger than ones used in women’s games; players on other teams complained, but the refs said the balls were legit. Refs should be disciplined, too.

    8) Ten kids from Bishop Gorman HS in Las Vegas got D-I football scholarships this week. Must’ve been a damn good high school team.

    7) Ever hear of Hitch Moore or Doyeob Mun? Nah, me either.

    Moore is the #665-ranked golfer in the world; Mun is #667.

    Eldrick Woods is ranked #666.

    6) So I turn the Golf Channel on at 2:30am Thursday night to watch Eldrick Woods hack around the course at Dubai; at 2:32 they announce he withdrew. Did he get an appearance fee to go over there and if so, does he have to give part/all of it back?

    5) Interesting conversation Friday afternoon on The Golf Channel with David Duval from the Phoenix Open, talking about what it is like when a great golfer loses his swing. Tough to imagine a champion golfer losing his confidence, but that is what Duval says happened to him. He stood on the tee and didn’t know if the ball was going to go 60 yards right or 70 yards left. Eye-opening stuff.

    4) They were also telling a story about Jon Rahm, who got a golf scholarship to Arizona State, but when he got to Tempe, he didn’t know any English.

    How the bleep do you get accepted into Arizona State (or any college in this country) if you don’t understand English? Had to be so difficult for him early on; can’t imagine living in an environment where I didn’t know the language.

    Rahm made $1,004,035 on the PGA Tour last year, has already made more than that this season, so things are going well for him.

    3) Notre Dame’s basketball team didn’t travel to North Carolina Friday, due to a water main break in the Chapel Hill area. Game was postponed, will now be played Sunday at 1:00 in Greensboro, instead of Saturday night at the Smith Center in Chapel Hill.

    2) They had the ribbon cutting for the new VSIN radio studio in Las Vegas Friday, at the South Point Casino. Brent Musburger arrived on a stagecoach pulled by the Budweiser Clydesdales.

    Looking forward to my next adventure in Las Vegas; as luck would have it, I’ll be at South Point.

    1— I had forgotten about Dan Quayle, former Vice-President. He was honored at the Phoenix Open this weekend, becoming an honorary Thunderbird, a group that does a lot of charity stuff in the Phoenix area. Somehow his dad and son were already Thunderbirds but the former Vice-President wasn’t.

    Random fact: While he was VP, Quayle visited 47 different countries.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Saturday, February 4

      Orlando lost five of its last seven games; they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven road games, all of which went over the total. Hawks won 7 of last 10 home games but are 0-3 vs spread in last three; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Magic won three of last four games with Atlanta; road team won five of last seven series games. Orlando won by 7-11 points in last two visits here. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

      Detroit lost five of its last six road games; they’re 4-3 in last seven games overall, 2-6 if they played night before. Last seven Piston games went over total. Pacers won their last five games, are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight home tilts. Last three Indiana games stayed under. Indiana won four in row, 7 of last 8 games with Detroit; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Pistons lost last three visits to Indiana by 5-12-12 points.

      New Orleans lost its last four road games, four of last five overall; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Wizards won last six games (5-1 vs spread); they’ve won 16 in a row at home (13-2-1 vs spread). Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Washington won nine of last ten games with New Orleans (8-2 vs spread); Pelicans lost last four visits here (2-2 vs spread). Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

      Philly lost its last three road games, is 2-5 vs spread in its last seven; they lost four of last five games overall. 7 of their last 8 games went over total. Miami won won its last nine games; they ar e6-1 vs spread in last seven home tilts. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. 76ers lost five of last six games with Miami but covered three of last four; they lost last three visits to South Beach by 5-5-11 points. Three of last four series games stayed under.

      Cleveland won three of last four games but lost five of last six on road; they’re 6-12 vs spread in last 18 road games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. New York is 4-7 in its last 11 games, 2-7 in last nine at home. Three of their last four games went over. Knicks lost their last eight games with Cleveland (0-3 vs spread in last three); Cavaliers won won last six visits to Manhattan, covering three of last four. 8 of last 9 series games stayed under total.

      Grizzlies won three of last four games, all on road; they’re 5-3 in last eight games overall. Last five Memphis games went over total. Minnesota won six of its last seven home games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games overall. Last six Wolves games went over. Memphis is 5-3 in its last eight games with Minnesota; home side won five of last six series games. Grizzlies lost by 5-36 points in last two visits here. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

      Denver won four of last six games, covered 9 of last 12; they lost three of last four road games. Last five Nugget games went over total. San Antonio won 7 of last 9 games, is 12-3 vs spread in last 15 home games. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games (0-2 in last two). Spurs won nine of last ten games with Denver, covering four of last five; Nuggets lost last five visits to the Alamo (2-3 vs spread). Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

      Milwaukee lost five in row, 10 of last 11 games; they’re 0-7 vs spread in last seven road games. Four of their last six games went over total. Suns snapped 5-game skid last night; they’re 5-2 vs spread if they played night before. Over is 5-1 in their last six games. Bucks won three of last four games with Phoenix; road team won four of last five series games. Milwaukee won last two visits here, by 2-6 points. Last four series games stayed under the total.

      Charlotte lost its last six games, is 0-7 vs spread in last seven; they’ve lost nine road games in a row (2-7 vs spread). Three of their last four games went over. Utah won 8 of last 11 games, 8 of last 10 at home. Four of last five Jazz games stayed under the total. Home side won last six Hornet-Jazz games; Charlotte lost last four visits to Utah (0-3-1 vs spread). Six of last eight series games stayed under the total.

      Warriors won their last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Three of their last four games went over. Sacramento lost 8 of last 9 home games, is 1-10 vs spread in last 11 at home. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Golden State won its last ten games with he Kings (8-2 vs spread); Warriors won last five trips to Sacramento (3-2 vs spread). Three of last four series games went over total.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • NBA

        Saturday, February 4

        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        7:00 PM
        DETROIT vs. INDIANA
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 14 games when playing Indiana
        Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

        7:00 PM
        ORLANDO vs. ATLANTA
        The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Orlando's last 25 games when playing Atlanta
        Orlando is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing Atlanta
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games
        Atlanta is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games

        7:00 PM
        NEW ORLEANS vs. WASHINGTON
        New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
        The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington's last 13 games when playing New Orleans
        Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans

        7:30 PM
        PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
        Philadelphia is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Miami
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
        Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

        8:30 PM
        CLEVELAND vs. NEW YORK
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing New York
        Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
        The total has gone OVER in 12 of New York's last 18 games when playing at home against Cleveland
        New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

        9:00 PM
        MEMPHIS vs. MINNESOTA
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 12 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
        Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
        Minnesota is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Memphis
        Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

        9:00 PM
        CHARLOTTE vs. UTAH
        Charlotte is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
        Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
        Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing Charlotte

        9:00 PM
        DENVER vs. SAN ANTONIO
        Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games when playing San Antonio
        San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Denver

        9:00 PM
        MILWAUKEE vs. PHOENIX
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
        Phoenix is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

        10:30 PM
        GOLDEN STATE vs. SACRAMENTO
        Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Golden State is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games
        Sacramento is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • NBA
          Long Sheet

          Saturday, February 4

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ORLANDO (20 - 32) at ATLANTA (29 - 21) - 2/4/2017, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ORLANDO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ORLANDO is 6-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
          ATLANTA is 6-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
          6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DETROIT (23 - 27) at INDIANA (27 - 22) - 2/4/2017, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DETROIT is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          DETROIT is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          DETROIT is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          INDIANA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          DETROIT is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
          INDIANA is 7-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
          6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NEW ORLEANS (19 - 31) at WASHINGTON (29 - 20) - 2/4/2017, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NEW ORLEANS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
          WASHINGTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
          WASHINGTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in home games this season.
          WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
          WASHINGTON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
          WASHINGTON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
          WASHINGTON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
          WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
          WASHINGTON is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
          WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
          WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PHILADELPHIA (18 - 31) at MIAMI (20 - 30) - 2/4/2017, 7:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MIAMI is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          MIAMI is 60-44 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          MIAMI is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
          MIAMI is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
          MIAMI is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
          PHILADELPHIA is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
          PHILADELPHIA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
          PHILADELPHIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
          PHILADELPHIA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
          PHILADELPHIA is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
          MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CLEVELAND (33 - 15) at NEW YORK (22 - 29) - 2/4/2017, 8:35 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
          CLEVELAND is 8-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
          8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MEMPHIS (30 - 22) at MINNESOTA (19 - 31) - 2/4/2017, 9:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MEMPHIS is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
          MEMPHIS is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          MEMPHIS is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 94-117 ATS (-34.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 344-404 ATS (-100.4 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
          MINNESOTA is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 200-248 ATS (-72.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MINNESOTA is 6-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          MEMPHIS is 6-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DENVER (22 - 27) at SAN ANTONIO (38 - 11) - 2/4/2017, 9:05 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
          SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
          7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MILWAUKEE (21 - 28) at PHOENIX (16 - 34) - 2/4/2017, 9:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MILWAUKEE is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 343-417 ATS (-115.7 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
          MILWAUKEE is 141-185 ATS (-62.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
          MILWAUKEE is 246-301 ATS (-85.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
          MILWAUKEE is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 147-111 ATS (+24.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
          PHOENIX is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
          MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CHARLOTTE (23 - 27) at UTAH (31 - 19) - 2/4/2017, 9:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHARLOTTE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) on Saturday games this season.
          CHARLOTTE is 19-41 ATS (-26.1 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
          CHARLOTTE is 158-199 ATS (-60.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
          CHARLOTTE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
          UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
          UTAH is 69-39 ATS (+26.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
          CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          GOLDEN STATE (43 - 7) at SACRAMENTO (19 - 31) - 2/4/2017, 10:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          GOLDEN STATE is 139-111 ATS (+16.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 129-102 ATS (+16.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 205-161 ATS (+27.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
          SACRAMENTO is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
          SACRAMENTO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
          SACRAMENTO is 58-77 ATS (-26.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
          GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • Inside the Paint - Saturday
            February 4, 2017


            After watching the favorites go 10-1 straight up and 9-2-1 against the spread in the NBA on Wednesday, we’ve seen the underdogs rebound the last couple nights. Despite going 5-8 SU the last two days, the pups have owned the betting counter with an 8-5 ATS mark. The ‘over’ has gone 15-10 (67%) the last three days.

            Game of the Night – Cavaliers at Knicks (ABC, 8:30 p.m. ET)

            Madison Square Garden will headline Saturday’s nationally televised showdown as Cleveland (33-15 SU, 20-26 ATS) meets New York (22-29 SU, 29-22 ATS). This will be the third meeting between the pair this season and if the trends hold steady in this series, we’ll be looking at another lopsided win for the Cavaliers.

            Cleveland dropped New York at home by 29 points (117-88) on Oct. 25 and followed it up with a 126-94 thrashing of the Knicks in its first visit to MSG on Dec. 7.

            Including those wins, the Cavaliers have won eight straight against the Knicks and have managed to cover four of those games. Total bettors should note that the ‘under’ has gone 7-1 during the Cavs’ win streak and New York hasn’t been able to crack 100 points in any of the eight losses.

            Backing the Cavs seems like the obvious choice but you should be aware that they’ve gone 1-4 both SU and ATS in their last five games on the road and the defense has allowed 100-plus in every contest. Overall, the Cavs have gone 11-10 SU and 7-14 ATS on the road.

            New York enters this game off a 95-90 road win over Brooklyn on Wednesday and is 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in its last four games. At home, the Knicks have been a solid investment (13-11 SU, 15-9 ATS) this season for bettors.

            Saturday’s does have an additional storyline that surrounds Kevin Love and Carmelo Anthony. The Knicks supposedly offered ‘Melo for Love but the Cavaliers didn’t bite. The trade rumors surrounding Anthony continue to heat up, specifically with the Cavs and Los Angeles Clippers.

            No opening line was posted due to the uncertain status of Knicks point guard Derrick Rose (ankle). New York has gone 5-7 SU and 6-6 ATS when installed as a home underdog this season.

            These teams will meet for the fourth and final time of the season right after the All-Star break from Cleveland on Feb. 23.

            Streaking Teams

            We’ve got four teams in action on Saturday that enter the day with win streaks of five-plus games.

            The Pacers have won five straight and are 4-1 ATS during this run, with the lone non-cover missing by a half-point. Indiana hosts Detroit tonight and both are playing on no rest (see below).

            The Wizards own a six-game winning streak (5-1 ATS) but their home run is even more impressive. Washington has won 16 straight at the Verizon Center and covered 14 of those games, one of the ATS losers coming on Thursday versus the Lakers. The Pelicans visit tonight and they’re mired in a 1-4 skid.

            Miami is the hottest team in the league, winners in nine straight games. They’ve only been favored three times during this run and have covered all of them to go 9-0 ATS. The Heat (-8) are laying a healthy price tonight to Philadelphia, who was on an incredible run in January. Unfortunately, the 76ers are 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in their last five.

            It’s rare to see Golden State struggle due to its talent but its ability to cover numbers lately has been impressive. The Warriors are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games and they’ve produced a stellar 8-2-1 ATS mark during this span while laying some heavy digits. Golden State is listed as a healthy road favorite (-12) over Sacramento, who lost on a buzzer beater to Phoenix last night.

            Back-to-Back

            Saturday’s card will feature nine teams playing on no rest. Listed below are SU and ATS records for each clubs plus any notable trends to watch.

            Denver: 2-8 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 7-3 O/U (Both wins occurred on the road)

            Detroit: 2-6 SU, 2-6 ATS (Pistons have dropped three straight B2B games, all by double digits)

            Indiana: 2-7 SU, 1-8 ATS, 6-3 O/U (All nine opponents scored over 100)

            Memphis: 9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS (Just 1-3 last four on no rest after 8-0 start)

            Milwaukee: 2-8 SU, 2-8 ATS, 6-4 O/U (The ‘over’ has cashed in five straight)

            Minnesota: 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 O/U (Two of three losses came at home)

            Phoenix: 4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS (3-0 last three games and ‘under’ on a 4-0 run)

            Orlando: 3-7 SU, 7-3 ATS (2-3 last five but 5-0 ATS, ‘over’ 6-1 run)

            Sacramento: 3-8 SU, 5-5-1 ATS (Nine of 11 played on the road, 0-2 at home)

            Super Bowl 51 Props – Best Bet

            The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has released hundreds of proposition wagers for Super Bowl LI between the New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons for Sunday, Feb. 5, 2017.

            Included in that mix are “Cross-Sport” prop wagers, which allow bettors to focus on pro football and other sports, one of them pro basketball.

            For Saturday, there are four games in play and there is one particular prop that caught my attention.

            Stephen Curry -2 ½ Points & Assists over Patriots-Falcons 1st half combined points

            I like the Golden State All-Star in this matchup and it’s apparent the oddsmakers just looked at his season numbers (22.7 PPG, 6.8 APG) rather than his current form. He’s on a roll right now and if you average his points and assists over his last three games, the total comes out to an eye-opening 45.3. In his first meeting versus the Kings, Curry dropped 30 points and six assists at Sacramento. Barring a ridiculous effort by the Patriots and Falcons on Sunday, I believe he’ll get close to 40 combined points and assists on Saturday.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 4

              GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

              ORL at ATL 07:00 PM

              ORL +7.5

              O 209.5

              DET at IND 07:00 PM

              IND -3.5

              O 210.0

              NO at WAS 07:00 PM

              WAS -7.0

              O 216.5


              PHI at MIA 07:30 PM

              PHI +8.5


              U 208.0

              CLE at NY 08:30 PM

              NY +6.5

              O 218.0

              CHA at UTA 09:00 PM

              UTA -8.0

              O 196.5


              DEN at SA 09:00 PM

              DEN +12.5

              U 223.5

              MEM at MIN 09:00 PM

              MEM +4.5

              U 203.5

              MIL at PHO 09:00 PM

              PHO +1.0

              O 221.0

              GS at SAC 10:30 PM

              GS -15.0

              U 225.0
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

                — Happy to report that Kurt Warner was elected to the Hall of Fame last night, along with six other football greats. Looking forward to going to Ohio this summer.

                — Someone bet $1.1M on the Falcons this weekend; on Thursday, someone wagered $200,000 on New England, someone else bet $485,000 on the Patriots. Imagine carrying that much money around?

                — An average of $100,000 is wagered in Las Vegas every year on the Super Bowl coin flip. Just on the coin flip. Heads or freakin’ tails.

                — Cal-Irvine guard Max Hazzard is the grandson of former UCLA coach Walt Hazzard. Spencer Rivers is also an Anteater, another one of Doc Rivers’ sons.

                — Timberwolves lost Zach LaVine for the season with a torn ACL.

                — A drone flew over Falcons’ practice Friday; you don’t think the Patr—- nah…..

                **********

                Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a Saturday of basketball…..

                13) Oregon 85, Arizona 58— It isn’t that the Ducks won, its that they led 36-11, and then it got a lot worse for the Wildcats, who had won 15 games in a row coming in. Ugly game. Oregon made 16-25 3’s- they made 10 of their first 13 behind the arc.

                12) Florida 88, Kentucky 66— Rick Barry’s son Canyon is Florida’s 6th man; he’s made 30 free throws in a row, and he shoots underhanded, like his Hall of Fame father did.

                Dwight Howard has missed 3,492 foul shots in his career (56.8%) yet he’s never tried shooting them underhanded— he makes $23M a year. Oy.

                11) Bad Beat of the Year/Decade/Century?— VCU led by a hoop at St Bonaventure but Bonnies hit a 3-pointer with 0:00.5 left, giving them a 1-point lead. VCU was favored by a point, so if you bet on St Bonaventure, you just won your bet right? Um, not so fast.

                Nitwit students stormed the court, thinking the game was over and the Bonnies had won. It wasn’t over and they hadn’t won yet. Refs called a technical foul, VCU made the foul shot and the game went to overtime.

                VCU won by 6 in overtime. Very tough loss for the home side.

                10) Very upsetting day in the Big X:
                Iowa State (+11) won 92-89 in OT at Kansas.
                Kansas State (+8.5) won 56-54 at Baylor.
                Oklahoma State (+11) won 82-75 at West Virginia.

                9) Game of the Day: Eastern Washington 130, Portland State 124, in triple OT. Eagles led by 16 early in second half, before things got crazy.

                EWU had two players score 45 points each, first time in eight years that any D-I college team had two kids score 40+ points in same game.

                8) Syracuse 66, Virginia 62— Cavaliers were up 12 at the half, but scored only 28 points in second half as Orangemen improved to 6-0 at home in the ACC.

                7) Ohio 85, Akron 70— Zips lost their first MAC game of season (9-1); they also had two kids wear one white sneaker, one dark blue sneaker in this game. Interesting fashion statement.

                6) Rutgers 70, Penn State 68— Scarlet Knights are now 1-23 in Big 14 road games since joining the league.

                5) St Mary’s 71, San Diego 27— Yikes. Toreros were down 32-9 at the half- they were 3-2o for the game, INSIDE the arc. Just a horrible performance.

                4) Texas El-Paso 57, Middle Tennessee 54— Miners were an 11-point underdog but pulled the upset; UTEP has now won six of last seven games after starting the season 2-13. Tim Floyd can really coach- in their last four games, UTEP won as underdogs of 8/14/5.5/11 points.

                3) Green Bay 86, Valparaiso 69— Upset win puts the Phoenix only a half-game out of first place in the Horizon League.

                2) Yale-Cornell game was suspended until Sunday with the score 2-0 due to a power outage in Ithaca.

                1— Virginia, Kansas, Middle Tennessee, Wm & Mary, Tennessee, Oral Roberts; they all had double digit halftime leads Saturday- they all lost. Its been an odd season- I can’t get a handle on it yet. Teams are incredibly erratic.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • NBA
                  Dunkel

                  Sunday, February 5


                  Portland @ Oklahoma City

                  Game 855-856
                  February 5, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Portland
                  114.497
                  Oklahoma City
                  125.096
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Oklahoma City
                  by 10 1/2
                  225
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Oklahoma City
                  by 4 1/2
                  216 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Oklahoma City
                  (-4 1/2); Over

                  LA Clippers @ Boston

                  Game 853-854
                  February 5, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  LA Clippers
                  121.470
                  Boston
                  119.348
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  LA Clippers
                  by 2
                  218
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Boston
                  by 5 1/2
                  222
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  LA Clippers
                  (+5 1/2); Under

                  Toronto @ Brooklyn

                  Game 851-852
                  February 5, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Toronto
                  113.320
                  Brooklyn
                  114.761
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Brooklyn
                  by 1 1/2
                  214
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Brooklyn
                  No Line
                  N/A
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Brooklyn
                  N/A




                  NBA
                  Long Sheet

                  Sunday, February 5

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  TORONTO (30 - 21) at BROOKLYN (9 - 41) - 2/5/2017, 12:05 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  TORONTO is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
                  TORONTO is 9-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
                  6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  LA CLIPPERS (31 - 19) at BOSTON (32 - 18) - 2/5/2017, 2:05 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  LA CLIPPERS are 103-140 ATS (-51.0 Units) in February games since 1996.
                  LA CLIPPERS are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
                  LA CLIPPERS are 256-308 ATS (-82.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
                  LA CLIPPERS are 216-267 ATS (-77.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
                  LA CLIPPERS are 195-255 ATS (-85.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
                  BOSTON is 125-161 ATS (-52.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
                  BOSTON is 104-142 ATS (-52.2 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
                  BOSTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                  LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
                  2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  PORTLAND (22 - 29) at OKLAHOMA CITY (29 - 22) - 2/5/2017, 3:05 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  PORTLAND is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
                  PORTLAND is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
                  OKLAHOMA CITY is 168-123 ATS (+32.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                  PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
                  5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




                  NBA
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Sunday, February 5

                  Toronto won its last seven games with Brooklyn (5-2 vs spread); they won last three games in Barclays Center, by 17-7-10 points. Last two series games went over. Raptors lost 8 of last 10 games, are 3-9 vs spread in their last twelve road games. Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. Brooklyn lost eight games in row and 19 of last 20; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home tilts. Nets’ last three games stayed under the total.

                  Clippers won five of last six games with Boston; they won three of last five visits to Beantown (over 4-1). Los Angeles is 2-5 since Paul got hurt but they did play Golden State twice in there; Clippers are 4-9 vs spread in last 13 road games- their last five games went over the total. Celtics won their last six games, but are 2-5 vs spread in their last seven home games. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

                  Home side won last seven Blazers-Thunder games; OKC covered five of last seven series games. Portland lost their last three visits here, by 34-16-11 points. Portland won four of its last six games, is 5-10 vs spread in its last fifteen road games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Thunder lost three of last four games, is 6-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 8-5 in their last thirteen games overall.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 5

                    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

                    TOR at BK

                    BK +7.0

                    O 216.0


                    LAC at BOS 02:00 PM

                    LAC +5.0

                    U 220.5


                    POR at OKC 03:00 PM

                    OKC -4.5

                    O 217.0
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

                      — Florida State 109, Clemson 61— Losses like this get coaches fired.

                      — North Carolina 83, Notre Dame 76— Tar Heels out rebounded Notre Dame 44-25 in game played in Greensboro instead of Chapel Hill, because of a water main break.

                      — California 77, Colorado 66- Buffaloes played without couple of big men.

                      — Iowa 81, Nebraska 70— Cornhuskers were only down 3 with 3:57 left.

                      — Thunder 105, Trailblazers 99— Oklahoma City is 30-22, even without Durant.

                      — Raptors 103, Nets 95— Brooklyn is 9-42. Nine. and. Forty-two. Oy.

                      **********

                      Armadillo: My running diary of Super Bowl LI……..

                      After an interminable pre-game show, they’re actually going to play the Super Bowl. Here are some of my thoughts as I watch the game……….
                      6:25— Luke Bryan cranks out the National Anthem in 2:04; if you bet the under, go cash your ticket.

                      6:30— There is a golf playoff going on at the Phoenix Open; Webb Simpson and Hideki Matsuyama. Good competition, but am I the only person watching this?

                      6:33— President George H Bush (41) is flipping the coin; no matter what your politics, have to have lot of respect for this man, who went skydiving on his 75th birthday. A great American and a very tough guy— he was shot down while flying as a Navy pilot in the war.

                      6:38— While Atlanta won the coin toss, Simpson just left the winning putt about an inch short, just like Matsuyama did on the 18th hole. The playoff continues but now no one is watching.

                      6:41— An argument for Brady as the all-time best QB is that New England rarely has had a great WR; Julian Edelman was a QB in college at Kent State.

                      6:42— Patriots go 3-and-out; this is where I mention that in six Super Bowls, Brady-led offenses have scored zero first quarter points.

                      6:45— Falcons get a long run but wind up punting, first time in nine games they didn’t score a TD on their opening drive.

                      6:53— Budweiser had the option to have the first commercial, but turned it down- their research says commercials are better off run later in the game. Google had the first commercial instead.

                      6:55— Hideki Matsuyama makes a pretty long putt, wins the Phoenix Open for the second year in a row, and I put my remote away for the next three hours.

                      5:08 left in first quarter, 0-0. That total of 59 looks pretty daunting right now.

                      7:05— Scoreless first quarter. Weird stat that Brady has put up zero first quarter points out in the first quarter of his seven Super Bowls, yet won four of the first six.

                      7:07— New England fumbles, Falcons recover at the Atlanta 29. America cheers.

                      7:16— Devonte Freeman scores the first TD of the game; Atlanta is running ball down New England’s throat. 12:15 left in the half. Falcons 7-nil. Atlanta is 9-1 this year when they score first.

                      Referee Gene Steratore worked the Nebraska-Iowa basketball game today; someday I hope he gets to work a Super Bowl.

                      Good Honda commercial with some famous people talking over their high school yearbook pictures. It would take an enormous amount of money for me to show anyone my senior picture from way back when. Uh uh, no thanks.

                      Oh by the way, Falcons’ center Alex Mack is playing this game with a broken leg. In an age where NBA players now routinely take “maintenance days” just to rest up, a guy is playing on the offensive line with a freakin’ broken leg.

                      7:21— I’m still an advocate of throwing long passes towards YOUR SIDELINE; think you get an extra interference call or two a game that way.

                      7:28— Austin Hooper catches a TD pass from Ryan and Kyle Shanahan’s agent is doing backflips, whoever/wherever he is. Young Shanahan’s price tag is going up by the second here. 14-0 Atlanta with 8:48 left in the half.

                      Roger Staubach/Hank Aaron both had birthdays today; couple of pretty good ballplayers.

                      7:32— Total yards so far: 189-111, Falcons. Joe Buck informs me that no team has won a Super Bowl after trailing by more than ten points. Thanks, Joe.

                      Falcons traded five draft picks to Cleveland so they could draft Julio Jones; none of those five players is still in the NFL.

                      7:38— New England is dying here, but refs have called two defensive holding penalties on Atlanta on this drive. Falcons have allowed 30+ points six times this year, although only once since Halloween. Their tackling so far has been tremendous.

                      Lady Gaga is wearing sunglasses in an indoor stadium. With the roof closed.

                      Three defensive holding penalties on this drive; where were these guys when the Rams played New England in the Super Bowl?

                      7:45— Robert Alford picks off a pass and scores an 82-yard TD for the Falcons. Wow. Arthur Blank is looking for people to high-5 in his box. Alford showboats for the last 20 yards but for the love of God, this is a shocking result. 21-nil Falcons.

                      One of Mr Blank’s sons is named Max. Max Blank; is that a tremendous name or what? You could imagine a movie with a private eye named Max Blank.

                      Atlanta’s defensive coordinator is Richard Smith, working for his 8th NFL team in 28 years. His heartbeat has to be pretty high right now; his defense is playing its ass off!!!!

                      One of the endless list of prop bets was over 49.5 yards for the longest touchdown of the game, so if you had over, go cash your ticket.

                      7:55— Is Tom Brady the only NFL quarterback who makes less money than his wife?

                      A ticket to the first Super Bowl cost $12. A souvenir soda at this Super Bowl costs $11.

                      8:02— Troy Aikman kills Josh McDaniels’ play selection after a screen pass on 3rd down falls flat. New England kicks a field goal and it is 21-3 Falcons at halftime. I am stunned.

                      Time to hit the mens’ room and get some food!!!!

                      They opened the roof for the halftime show; seems like a good time to see what is on other channels:
                      — ESPN has a 30 for 30 on Allen Iverson
                      — ESPNU has a Memphis-USF womens’ basketball game. Do people bet on this?
                      — ESPN2 has the Harlem Globetrotters playing on an outdoor court.
                      — FX1 has motorcycle racing.
                      — NBC Sports Network has curling on (China 6-3 over US at the half)
                      — CBS Sports Network has poker on; Phil Hellmuth is playing with an Aria hat on that I declined to buy when I stayed there in December. For what I spent there, they should’ve thrown in a free hat.

                      8:35— Falcon offense went 68 minutes between drives; they get the second half kickoff.

                      Teams leading the Super Bowl at halftime are 37-10 (three games were tied).

                      8:47— Neither team scored on their first drive of second half; now Martha Stewart is on a commercial with Snoop Dawg. Another $5M down the drain.

                      8:55- Atlanta scores another touchdown; Arthur Blank is dancing again. Falcons just seem like the faster team across the board. 28-3 Atlanta; can we see Robert Kraft? Please?????

                      Right on cue, FOX shows Kraft and his hideous son Jonathan, who mocked Colts GM Ryan Grigson after he was fired. I understand why he would enjoy Grigson getting canned, since he helped instigate DeflateGate, but be a bigger person and keep it to yourself.

                      9:00— I’m in my late 50’s; right now I’m thinking of someone who is my age who became a Falcons’ fan as a little kid and has lived/died with every game of theirs since then. They must be SO EXCITED and that clock must be going so slowly for them.

                      Meanwhile, the Falcons have a new domed stadium opening next year; pretty good time to be selling luxury boxes/PSL’s for the new ballpark, eh?

                      9:05— Brady just ran for 15 yards, winning somebody a prop bet on his rushing yardage.

                      9:07— New England scores on a TD pass to White; time-consuming drive, and now the score is only 28-9 as Gostkowski clanks the PAT off the right upright.

                      Caesar’s Palace offered a prop on: “Will a PAT/FG hit the goal post?” The line was -$600 and of the $20,250 wagered, $20,o00 of it was on “No”. Whoops.

                      Mike Pence is sitting with Texans’ owner Robert McNair; when he was watching the Super Bowl at this time last year, Mr Pence had zero idea how much his life would change in a year. It won’t happen, but what a book he’ll be able to write if he ever wanted to.

                      If you had 8-0 in a square pool, you just threw something; if you had 8-9, you’re damn happy.

                      9:10— Onside kick fails miserably. Falcons take over at New England’s 45 with 2:06 left in the third quarter. If you’re an Atlanta fan, that clock can’t move fast enough.

                      17 years ago, the Rams led Tennessee 16-0 in the third quarter; a game that seemed over soon got very dicey. That freakin’ clock went so slow. Atlanta fans are not resting easily yet.

                      9:18— Third quarter is over. 28-9 Atlanta.

                      9:20— Arizona CB Tyrann Mathieu just tweeted this: “NE should have played Mike Floyd. They have no deep threats… ATL LBs too good. They aren’t any mis matches”

                      In NFL history, teams leading by 19+ points after third quarter in playoff games are 94-0.

                      9:27— New England is driving again, but Grady Jarrett (#97 on the Falcons) is having a big game; he has just tossed a few guys out of his way tonight. If you’re thinking (too early) about an MVP for this game, Jarrett deserves consideration.

                      Jarrett’s dad, by the way, is former Falcon linebacker Jesse Tuggle.

                      9:29— Patriots kick a field goal; game is 28-12 Atlanta with 9:44 left. If you’re a Falcon fan, that damn clock needs to start moving a little faster. Couple of first downs wouldn’t hurt, either.

                      Ryan is 7-7 for 121 yards on passes thrown in the middle third of the field. Atlanta’s offense has done very little in this game, but they have run the ball for 6.8 yards/attempt.

                      9:38— Ryan is sacked/fumbles and New England recovers on the Atlanta 25; if you’re a lifelong Falcon fan, your blood pressure just went up. A lot. This will be the longest hour of your life.

                      Random baseball stat that I just saw on Twitter: Claudell Washington struck out 39 times against Nolan Ryan, the most of any player ever.

                      9:40— Danny Amendola just caught a TD pass from Brady and the score is 28-20 with 5:56 left. When Amendola played for the Rams, he got hurt on every other play. Now he’s Cal Ripken.

                      I’ve lived through a game just like this; if you’re an avid Falcon fan, life is standing still right now; you’re ignoring the commercials and praying for Ryan to hit Julio Jones a couple times. Nothing else matters; you’re not hungry, Arthur Blank isn’t dancing anymore and your team that has never won a Super Bowl is desperately holding on.

                      9:45— Ryan hits Freeman for a big gain and Atlanta has the ball at midfield. Clock is under 5:00 but one of the Atlanta linemenn just got hurt.

                      9:49— Julio Jones just made a great catch!!! Fantastic!!! First down and Atlanta is in field goal range. Clock is at 4:40, the ball is on the 22 and those five draft picks the Falcons traded to the Browns so they could draft Jones seems like a mere pittance.

                      9:53— Good God. The Falcons implode, wind up with a 4th-and-33 near midfield; they’re punting with 3:38 left and New England has two timeouts left.

                      I’m guessing this is getting big TV ratings.

                      10:00— Julian Edelman just made a great catch on a deflected pass; Atlanta wasted their last challenge— they’ll lose it. That catch will go down in history as a great play but by God Atlanta, make a play!!!!

                      10:02— New England is inside the Atlanta 25 and Falcon fans are promising to give up any bad habits they might have if just this one time, their team can win. Even if the Patriots score a TD, they need the 2-point conversion to tie the score.

                      How hard is Roger Goodell rooting for the Falcons right now?

                      10:06— White scores another TD. 28-26. High drama. Patriots have to go for 2- they make it, so now a game that was 28-9 after three quarters is 28-28. Kraft and his creepy son are hugging in their box. Aikman just called Brady the best QB ever. I have empathy for loyal Falcon fans.

                      0:57 left, the Falcons have no timeouts; if you bet the over, the only way you can lose in on a safety. If you took three points or money-lined Atlanta, you’re queasy.

                      10:10— I saw an article this week that said if the Patriots win 31-28, Vegas sports books would be refunding tickets for a week— so many wagers would be pushed.

                      10:14— First overtime in Super Bowl history. 28-28. FOX executives have to be thrilled.

                      10:18— Patriots are -$165 in OT; Atlanta is +$145. New England has the ball first.

                      During the week, odds on there being overtime was +$525.

                      10:23— Pass interference on Atlanta; ball is on the 2-yard line. TD wins the game; if they kick a FG, Falcons will get the ball for one possession.

                      10:24— New England scores, the Patriots win 34-28 and my condolences to Falcon fans.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • NBA
                        Armadillo's Write-Up

                        Monday, February 6

                        Washington won its last 17 home games (14-2-1 vs spread); their last home loss was December 6 to Orlando. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six home games. Cleveland won four of last five games overall, but lost five of last seven road games (5-8 vs spread in last 13). Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Cavaliers won six of last eight games with Washington, winning three of last four visits here (over 3-1).

                        Lakers lost their last 12 road games, are 4-0 vs spread in last four; they covered five of last six games overall. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. New York lost three of last four games overall and four of last five at home. Four of their last five games went over. Knicks won their last five games with the Lakers; under is 3-2 in last five series games played here. LA lost its last five visits to Manhattan (1-4 vs spread).

                        Oklahoma City won its last two games, is 5-8 vs spread in last 13 road games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games overall. Pacers won their last six games, are 6-2-1 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games. Indiana won three of its last four games with Oklahoma City; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Teams split last four series games played here.

                        Clippers lost six of their last eight games, are 5-9 vs spread in last 14 road games. Five of their last six games went over total. Raptors won three of last four games, are 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 8-2-1 in last 11 Toronto games. Clippers lost four of last five games with Toronto; they lost three of last four visits to Canada, with losses by 25-16-18 points. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

                        Jazz won three of last four games; they’re 0-7 vs spread in their last seven road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Atlanta won three of its last four games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Over is 8-4 in their last twelve games. Hawks won eight of last ten games with Utah, winning four of last five played here (4-1 vs spread). Four of last five series games stayed under.

                        Philly lost five of its last six road games; they’re 12-7 vs spread in last 19 games overall. Eight of their last nine games went over. Pistons won five of their last six home games; they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 home games. Seven of their last eight games went over the total. 76ers lost four of last five games with Detroit; they lost three of last four visits here, losing by 18-13-20 points. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

                        Miami won its last ten games, but 8 of those 10 were at home; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten road games. Three of last four Heat games went over total. Minnesota lost its last three games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home tilts. Wolves’ last seven games went over total. Heat won seven of last ten games with Minnesota; they won five of last six visits to Twin Cities. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

                        Phoenix lost six of last seven games, is 6-4 vs spread in its last ten road games. Six of their last seven games went over total. Pelicans lost their last four games, are 5-7 vs spread in last 12 home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Suns won three of last four games with New Orleans; they won by 1-21 points in last two visits to Bourbon Street. Road team won four of last five series games. Five of last six series games went over.

                        Mavericks won/covered six of last seven games; they’re 8-4 vs spread in last 12 road games. Four of their last five games went over total. Nuggets lost three of last four games, are 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Five of their last six games went over total. Dallas won six of last eight games with the Nuggets; teams split last four series games played in Denver. Four of last five series games went over.

                        San Antonio won/covered seven of last nine games; they covered four of last six road games. Spurs’ last three games stayed under the total. Grizzlies won/covered four of last five games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last 10 home games. Last six Memphis games went over. Spurs won their last nine games with Memphis (7-2 vs spread); they won last four visits here, by 20-14-9-21 points. Four of last five series games stayed under.

                        Chicago is 3-2 in its last five road games, 6-2 vs spread in its last eight; four of their last five games went over total. Kings lost three of last four games but just beat the Warriors; they’re 2-10 vs spread in last 12 home games. Last three Sacramento games stayed under. Bulls won their last four games with Sacramento, but lost three of last four visits here- home side won nine of last ten series games. Last seven series games stayed under the total.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • NBA

                          Monday, February 6

                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Trend Report
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          7:00 PM
                          OKLAHOMA CITY vs. INDIANA
                          Oklahoma City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
                          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games
                          Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City

                          7:00 PM
                          LA LAKERS vs. NEW YORK
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games on the road
                          LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
                          New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

                          7:00 PM
                          CLEVELAND vs. WASHINGTON
                          Cleveland is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
                          Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                          Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                          Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland

                          7:30 PM
                          LA CLIPPERS vs. TORONTO
                          LA Clippers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 6 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
                          Toronto is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

                          7:30 PM
                          UTAH vs. ATLANTA
                          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 11 games on the road
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
                          Atlanta is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
                          Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah

                          7:30 PM
                          PHILADELPHIA vs. DETROIT
                          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
                          Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
                          Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
                          Detroit is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

                          8:00 PM
                          PHOENIX vs. NEW ORLEANS
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
                          Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Phoenix

                          8:00 PM
                          MIAMI vs. MINNESOTA
                          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games when playing Minnesota
                          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
                          Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                          Minnesota is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games

                          9:00 PM
                          DALLAS vs. DENVER
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Denver
                          Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                          Denver is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

                          9:30 PM
                          SAN ANTONIO vs. MEMPHIS
                          San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Memphis
                          Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
                          Memphis is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio

                          10:30 PM
                          CHICAGO vs. SACRAMENTO
                          Chicago is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
                          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
                          Sacramento is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Chicago
                          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games at home
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • NBA
                            Long Sheet

                            Monday, February 6

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            CLEVELAND (34 - 15) at WASHINGTON (30 - 20) - 2/6/2017, 7:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            WASHINGTON is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                            CLEVELAND is 6-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            LA LAKERS (17 - 36) at NEW YORK (22 - 30) - 2/6/2017, 7:05 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            NEW YORK is 4-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                            NEW YORK is 5-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            OKLAHOMA CITY (30 - 22) at INDIANA (28 - 22) - 2/6/2017, 7:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-67 ATS (-25.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
                            OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                            INDIANA is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                            OKLAHOMA CITY is 169-123 ATS (+33.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
                            INDIANA is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
                            INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            LA CLIPPERS (31 - 20) at TORONTO (31 - 21) - 2/6/2017, 7:35 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            TORONTO is 5-0 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                            TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            UTAH (32 - 19) at ATLANTA (30 - 21) - 2/6/2017, 7:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            UTAH is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
                            UTAH is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                            ATLANTA is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                            ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            PHILADELPHIA (18 - 32) at DETROIT (23 - 28) - 2/6/2017, 7:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            DETROIT is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
                            DETROIT is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
                            DETROIT is 108-156 ATS (-63.6 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                            DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            MIAMI (21 - 30) at MINNESOTA (19 - 32) - 2/6/2017, 8:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            MIAMI is 80-66 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            MIAMI is 135-103 ATS (+21.7 Units) in February games since 1996.
                            MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
                            MIAMI is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                            MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                            MIAMI is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
                            MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
                            MIAMI is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
                            MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
                            MINNESOTA is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
                            MINNESOTA is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                            MINNESOTA is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                            MINNESOTA is 344-405 ATS (-101.5 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
                            MINNESOTA is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                            MINNESOTA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                            MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            PHOENIX (16 - 35) at NEW ORLEANS (19 - 32) - 2/6/2017, 8:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            PHOENIX is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHOENIX is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHOENIX is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHOENIX is 92-61 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
                            NEW ORLEANS is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                            NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                            6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            DALLAS (20 - 30) at DENVER (22 - 28) - 2/6/2017, 9:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            DALLAS is 368-302 ATS (+35.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
                            DALLAS is 476-397 ATS (+39.3 Units) in road games since 1996.
                            DALLAS is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
                            DALLAS is 192-150 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
                            DALLAS is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
                            DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
                            DENVER is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                            DALLAS is 6-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            SAN ANTONIO (39 - 11) at MEMPHIS (31 - 22) - 2/6/2017, 9:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            MEMPHIS is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
                            MEMPHIS is 126-95 ATS (+21.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
                            SAN ANTONIO is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
                            SAN ANTONIO is 74-55 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                            SAN ANTONIO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games this season.
                            SAN ANTONIO is 304-242 ATS (+37.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
                            SAN ANTONIO is 108-79 ATS (+21.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
                            SAN ANTONIO is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
                            SAN ANTONIO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            SAN ANTONIO is 8-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                            SAN ANTONIO is 10-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                            7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            CHICAGO (25 - 26) at SACRAMENTO (20 - 31) - 2/6/2017, 10:35 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                            CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • NBA Betting Road Map: Unprecedented run for white-hot Heat

                              No team as bad as the Heat were, has ever won 10 in a row, not to mention 10 straight ATS wins, too.

                              For much of the season, most NBA pundits believed we would eventually see a rematch between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors in the NBA Finals. However, the Washington Wizards have played like they want to break into the conversation. Scotty Brooks' squad is now 14-2 since Jan. 4, which compares favorably to Cleveland's 8-7 record. So, the Wizards must be considered a dark horse to represent the Eastern Conference. Let's take a look at other goings-on around the NBA.

                              Spread Watch

                              The Miami Heat blew out the 76ers,125-102, on Saturday for their 10th straight win (both SU and ATS). The craziest thing about this hot streak is that it would have been impossible to see it coming. Indeed, the Heat were 11-30 (.268) prior to ripping off their 10 wins. The last time anything even remotely close to this happened, where a bad team went on an extended win streak, was two seasons ago, when the 5-23 (.178) Pistons went on a 7-0 SU/ATS streak. Then in 2005, the 22-46 (.323) Warriors won eight in a row (6-2 ATS). But no team this bad has ever won 10 in a row, not to mention 10 straight ATS wins, too.

                              Additionally, Miami didn't compile this streak only against cupcakes. They beat, arguably, the best team in NBA history, Golden State and also knocked off Houston and Atlanta. This week, the Heat will hit the road for games at Minnesota, Milwaukee, Brooklyn and Philadelphia. Expect the streak to be snapped on Monday by the Timberwolves, as NBA teams off back-to-back wins are a poor 37-62 ATS their last 99, if they scored 117-plus points in their previous game and they're matched up against a foe off a loss.

                              Totals Watch

                              The San Antonio Spurs have gone Over the total in 14 of their last 20 games, notwithstanding the fact that the Spurs have given up the second least amount of points (behind Utah) and have the 2nd most efficient defense (after Golden State). Moreover, since Paul Gasol got injured, the Spurs have played at a faster pace. Before Gasol's injury, the Spurs were 25th in the league in pace and averaged 96.93 possessions per 48 minutes. But after his injury, that number is up to 101.37 possessions per 48 minutes and the Spurs are 6th in pace in this stretch. Gasol likely won't return until after the All-Star Break, so the Spurs' next six games at least, should be played at this faster pace.

                              This week, the Spurs will embark on the first leg of their eight-game Rodeo Road Trip. On Monday, San Antonio will be in Memphis, followed by games against the 76ers (Wednesday), Pistons (Friday) and Knicks (Sunday). The Grizzlies (6-0 Over run), 76ers (8-1 Over run), Pistons (14-4 Over run) and Knicks (4-1 Over run) have all been involved in relatively high-scoring games of late, so I look for the Spurs' stretch of Over to continue.

                              Injury Watch

                              Toronto's DeMar DeRozan continues to be sidelined by his ankle injury. The All-Star injured himself on Jan. 22, against the Phoenix Suns. He initially missed three games and returned Jan. 29 to play 36 minutes vs. the Magic. But, he's been out for their last four games.

                              Not surprisingly, the Raptors have struggled without DeRozan on the floor. Dating back to the Jan. 22 game, the Raptors are 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS. Toronto is also currently without forward Patrick Patterson, as well. Overall, the Raptors are 8-9 in the 17 games that either or both players have missed since Jan. 1.

                              This week, the Raptors will alternate home and road games against the Clippers (Monday), Timberwolves (Wednesday) and Pistons (Sunday). If DeRozan and Patterson are both out on Monday against Los Angeles, then the Clippers would be worth a look.

                              Schedule Watch

                              Since the Spurs moved into their current home, the AT&T Center, 14 years ago, they have taken an extended road trip at this time of year while the San Antonio Stock Show & Rodeo took over the premises. The Spurs have used these Rodeo Road Trips over the years to bond as a team, as well as to generate momentum for the playoff push to come. Which has gone exceptionally well. They've gone 82-35 SU and 61-52-2 ATS on these road trips. They've had just one losing trip, and that was in 2015, when they went 4-5.

                              Last season, the Spurs bounced back to go 7-1 on their eight-game road trip, and they'll have another eight-game trip this season. First up will be a Memphis Grizzly squad looking to avenge last year's playoff series defeat (a 4-0 sweep). Overall, the Spurs have won nine straight vs. Memphis, but .545 (or better) teams, playing a division foe with revenge from a playoff series loss, have gone 24-48-1 ATS since 1991. Look for Memphis to cover as a home underdog.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • NBA
                                Dunkel

                                Monday, February 6


                                Chicago @ Sacramento

                                Game 521-522
                                February 6, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Chicago
                                120.320
                                Sacramento
                                118.763
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Chicago
                                by 1 1/2
                                211
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Sacramento
                                by 2
                                206 1/2
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Chicago
                                (+2); Over

                                San Antonio @ Memphis

                                Game 519-520
                                February 6, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                San Antonio
                                130.424
                                Memphis
                                118.966
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                San Antonio
                                by 11 1/2
                                209
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                San Antonio
                                by 2 1/2
                                203
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                San Antonio
                                (-2 1/2); Over

                                Dallas @ Denver

                                Game 517-518
                                February 6, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Dallas
                                117.019
                                Denver
                                124.662
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Denver
                                by 7 1/2
                                209
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Denver
                                by 2 1/2
                                214
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Denver
                                (-2 1/2); Under

                                Phoenix @ New Orleans

                                Game 515-516
                                February 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Phoenix
                                114.620
                                New Orleans
                                112.253
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Phoenix
                                by 2 1/2
                                216
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                New Orleans
                                by 5
                                221
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Phoenix
                                (+5); Under

                                Memphis @ Minnesota

                                Game 513-514
                                February 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Memphis
                                117.741
                                Minnesota
                                123.794
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Minnesota
                                by 6
                                219
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Minnesota
                                by 1
                                206
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Minnesota
                                (-1); Over

                                Philadelphia @ Detroit

                                Game 511-512
                                February 6, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Philadelphia
                                107.381
                                Detroit
                                124.884
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Detroit
                                by 17 1/2
                                206
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Detroit
                                by 9 1/2
                                213
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Detroit
                                (-9 1/2); Under

                                Utah @ Atlanta

                                Game 509-510
                                February 6, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Utah
                                124.032
                                Atlanta
                                117.583
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Utah
                                by 6 1/2
                                202
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Atlanta
                                by 1 1/2
                                197 1/2
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Utah
                                (+1 1/2); Over

                                LA Clippers @ Toronto

                                Game 507-508
                                February 6, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                LA Clippers
                                111.357
                                Toronto
                                123.724
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Toronto
                                by 12 1/2
                                223
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Toronto
                                by 5
                                216
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Toronto
                                (-5); Over

                                Oklahoma City @ Indiana

                                Game 505-506
                                February 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Oklahoma City
                                122.436
                                Indiana
                                120.361
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Oklahoma City
                                by 2
                                222
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Indiana
                                by 4 1/2
                                210 1/2
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Oklahoma City
                                (+4 1/2); Over

                                LA Lakers @ New York

                                Game 503-504
                                February 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                LA Lakers
                                112.657
                                New York
                                121.172
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                New York
                                by 8 1/2
                                212
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                New York
                                by 5
                                220
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                New York
                                (-5); Under

                                Cleveland @ Washington

                                Game 501-502
                                February 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

                                Dunkel Rating:
                                Cleveland
                                127.206
                                Washington
                                125.612
                                Dunkel Team:
                                Dunkel Line:
                                Dunkel Total:
                                Cleveland
                                by 1 1/2
                                215
                                Vegas Team:
                                Vegas Line:
                                Vegas Total:
                                Washington
                                by 1
                                220
                                Dunkel Pick:
                                Cleveland
                                (+1); Under
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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