Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

The Bum's 2016 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Tuesday's Tip Sheet
    January 3, 2017


    Favorites won six of eight games in the NBA on Monday night, while the two underdogs that covered in a loss were the Pelicans (at Cleveland) and the Nuggets (at Golden State). The Bulls and Magic won as slight underdogs, while the Clippers ended a six-game losing streak in a 109-98 home victory over the Suns. The UNDER hit in five of eight contests, including rather easily in Houston on a 230 ½ total between the Rockets and Wizards in a 101-91 win by Houston.

    Game of the Night – Raptors at Spurs (-6, 210 ½) – 8:35 PM EST

    It’s a battle of division leaders at the AT&T Center tonight as Toronto (23-10 SU, 21-11-1 ATS) closes out a six-game road trip. The Raptors snapped a two-game skid in Sunday’s 123-114 triumph over the Lakers to barely cash as eight-point favorites, as guards Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan combined to score 72 points. Lowry scored a season-high 41 points in his best shooting game of the season by hitting 12-of-16 from the floor, 6-of-7 from three-point range, and knocking down all 11 free throw attempts. Toronto improved to 8-2 in its last 10 games away from Air Canada Center and 6-4 this season on the road against Western Conference foes.

    The Spurs (27-7 SU, 19-14-1 ATS) had their four-game winning streak snapped in a 114-112 overtime setback at Atlanta on Sunday. San Antonio was led by LaMarcus Aldridge’s 27 points and 13 rebounds, but the Spurs converted on 9-of-27 three-point attempts in the defeat. In spite of the loss, the Spurs own a solid 9-2 ATS mark in the last 11 games overall, while posting a 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS ledger in the past seven contests at the AT&T Center.

    San Antonio has owned Toronto over the years by winning eight of the previous 10 meetings overall and 13 of the past 14 at home. The last time the Raptors won in San Antonio came back in December 2007, while Toronto covered in both meetings against San Antonio last season as an underdog.

    All that Jazz

    Utah continues to stay hot after picking up its fourth consecutive victory on Monday at Brooklyn. The Jazz are cleaning up against teams that won’t be heading to the playoffs by beating the Nets, Suns, Lakers, and 76ers in the last four games, but they remain atop the Northwest division at 22-13. Utah heads to Boston this evening as the Jazz have dropped eight consecutive visits to TD Garden, while scoring less than 95 points in each of those losses.

    Boston has been off since Friday night’s 117-114 victory over Miami as guard Isaiah Thomas blew up for 52 points, including 29 points in the fourth quarter. The Celtics have turned into scoring machines of late by posting 112 points or more in five consecutive games, while sailing OVER the total in seven straight contests. Boston has slumped to a 2-4 ATS mark in its past opportunities as a home favorite, while owning a 2-5 ATS record at home against Western Conference opponents.

    Texas Travels

    The Wizards continue their trip through the Lone Star State in Dallas following last night’s 101-91 setback against the Rockets as 7 ½-point underdogs. The loss snapped a three-game winning streak, while Washington squandered a 15-point lead after the first quarter to not even pick up the cover in the loss. Since December 8, the Wizards have put together a solid 10-3 ATS mark the last 13 games, including a 4-1 ATS mark in the favorite role.

    The Mavericks have played better of late by splitting their last eight games following a 6-20 start, as Dallas begins a three-game homestand. Dallas played six of its previous seven contests on the highway, as the Mavs covered as 17 ½-point underdogs in a 108-99 loss at Golden State on Saturday. This series has been owned by the Mavericks, who have won nine of the previous 10 meetings with the Wizards, although Washington’s only win came in the last matchup in December 2015 in Texas.

    (Trying to) Set The Pace

    Indiana is coming off a pair of victories over Chicago and Orlando at home as the Pacers are within one game of the .500 mark. However, the Pacers have stumbled on the road recently by losing six of the last seven games away from Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The only team Indiana beat during this stretch is Detroit, who of course the Pacers are playing tonight at the Palace of Auburn Hills. In a 105-90 rout on December 17, the Pacers held the Pistons to 38% shooting from the floor, while outrebounding Detroit, 51-40.

    The Pistons won for just the second time in the last nine games in Sunday’s 107-98 comeback victory at shorthanded Miami. Detroit limited Miami to 32 second half points, while the backcourt duo of Reggie Jackson and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope combined to score 50 points. The Pistons have lost five of their past six games at the Palace of Auburn Hills, while dropping six of the previous seven matchups with the Pacers since February 2015.

    Head-to-Head Trends

    -- The Wolves dominated the 76ers in the first matchup this season in Minnesota, 110-86 as 11 ½-point favorites. The two teams meet tonight in Philadelphia as the 76ers have won the past two home meetings, including a 109-99 triumph last season.

    -- Sacramento and Denver are meeting for the first time this season as the Kings captured all three matchups last season. Each of the past seven games between these teams have sailed OVER the total, including each of the past four in Denver.

    -- Both the Heat and Suns own dreadful 10-25 records as they hook up tonight in Phoenix. Miami has owned this series by winning 12 straight matchups since 2007, while covering 11 times. The Heat have won eight consecutive times in Phoenix, while holding the Suns to less than 100 points in each of the past five trips to the Valley.

    -- The Grizzlies held off the Lakers in their first meeting this season, 103-100 in Memphis. The two teams battle in Los Angeles tonight as Memphis has won nine of the previous 10 matchups with the Lakers. Los Angeles has lost four of the past five meetings at Staples Center, but the Lakers have covered three times as an underdog.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • TUESDAY, JANUARY 3

      GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

      MIN at PHI 07:00 PM

      MIN -5.0 *****

      U 205.0 *****

      IND at DET 07:30 PM

      DET -4.5

      O 204.5

      UTA at BOS 07:30 PM

      UTA +5.5 *****

      U 200.0 *****


      WAS at DAL 08:30 PM

      DAL +1.0

      O 200.5 *****

      TOR at SA 08:30 PM

      TOR +6.5

      O 206.5 *****

      MIA at PHO 09:00 PM

      MIA +3.0 *****

      O 213.0 *****


      SAC at DEN 09:00 PM

      O 215.5 *****

      MEM at LAL 10:30 PM

      MEM -4.5 *****

      O 206.5 *****
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • Hoop Trends - Tuesday
        January 3, 2017


        ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Celtics are 0-16 ATS (-10.50 ppg) at home with more than one day of rest after allowing 15+ points more than Vegas projected last game since Mar 05, 1999.

        OU TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Suns are 0-12-1 OU (-13.19 ppg) with no rest off a road game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points since Feb 19, 2014.

        PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


        -- The Timberwolves are 9-0 ATS (9.28 ppg) since Jan 12, 2016 after Andrew Wiggins was the Timberwolves’ high scorer in a home loss.

        CHOICE TREND:

        -- The Heat are 11-0 ATS (8.73 ppg) after a game as a home dog in which they had 5 or fewer offensive boards since Jan 28, 2004.

        ACTIVE TRENDS:

        -- The Celtics are 7-0 OU (17.07 ppg) since Nov 25, 2016 after Isaiah Thomas took more than 20 shots.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • NBA Capsules
          January 4, 2017

          BOSTON (AP) Isaiah Thomas had 29 points and a career-high 15 assists, and the Boston Celtics made 17 3-pointers for the second straight game in beating the Utah Jazz 115-104 on Tuesday night.

          Al Horford and Jae Crowder added 21 points apiece and Avery Bradley scored 14 for the Celtics, who have won four of five and eight of 10.

          The Celtics ended Utah's four-game winning streak and beat the Jazz for the ninth straight time in Boston.

          Gordon Hayward led Utah with 23 points. Rudy Gobert pulled down 13 rebounds, extending his streak of 10 or more to 21 consecutive games.

          Thomas, coming off his career-high 52 points Friday against the Heat, has scored at least 20 in 19 straight games.

          SPURS 110, RAPTORS 82

          SAN ANTONIO (AP) - Kawhi Leonard had 25 points, LaMarcus Aldridge added 23 and San Antonio held Toronto to its lowest score of the season.

          San Antonio dominated a matchup of teams with the second-best record in each conference, leading by as many as 34 points.

          Leonard and Aldridge combined to shoot 19 for 28 from the field, but it was veteran point guard Tony Parker who set the tone for the Spurs with 15 points and eight assists in 23 minutes.

          DeMar DeRozan led the Raptors with 26 points, but backcourt mate Kyle Lowry had only six on 2-for-9 shooting.

          PACERS 121, PISTONS 116

          AUBURN HILLS, Mich. (AP) - Paul George had 32 points and Indiana beat Detroit.

          Myles Turner and Jeff Teague each scored 17 for Indiana, which blew a 15-point first-half lead but pulled away in the fourth quarter to win its third straight game. The Pacers (18-18) are 2 1/2 games ahead of Detroit (16-21) in the Eastern Conference standings.

          Tobias Harris led the Pistons with 22 points. Andre Drummond and Reggie Jackson each had a double-double.

          Detroit lost for the eighth time in 10 games, with two of the defeats coming at home to Indiana.

          76ERS 93, TIMBERWOLVES 91

          PHILADELPHIA (AP) - Robert Covington made a fall-away shot off an inbounds pass with 0.2 seconds left to give Philadelphia a victory over Minnesota.

          The Sixers needed the late basket after they blew a 26-point lead and seemed headed to overtime. Ricky Rubio, just a 26 percent 3-point shooter, buried one with 1.6 seconds left that tied it at 91.

          Joel Embiid scored 25 points and Ersan Ilyasova had 19 for the Sixers.

          Karl-Anthony Towns had 23 points and 15 rebounds for the Timberwolves, and Zach LaVine scored 28.

          MAVERICKS 113, WIZARDS 105

          DALLAS (AP) - Harrison Barnes scored 26 points and Deron Williams added 21 as Dallas rallied to beat Washington.

          Devin Harris had 17 points and Seth Curry 16 for the Mavericks. Williams, Harris and Curry each hit four 3-pointers as Dallas went 17 of 32 from long range.

          John Wall led Washington with 27 points and Bradley Beal added 25 for the Wizards, who fell to 1-6 on the second half of back-to-back games. They lost to Houston on Monday night.

          The Mavericks took control early in the fourth quarter, scoring the first eight points and building a 110-100 lead on Barnes' 3-pointer with 2:51 to play.

          KINGS 120, NUGGETS 113

          DENVER (AP) - DeMarcus Cousins scored 31 points, and Darren Collison had 26 points and seven assists in Sacramento's victory over Denver.

          The Kings led most of the way to stop a two-game skid and win for the fifth time in seven games.

          Denver got within three in the fourth quarter and had chances to trim it to one or tie, but Sacramento kept extending the lead with Cousins on the bench.

          The lead was five when he returned, and he helped the Kings push it to 11 with 2:22 left with assists on a 3-pointer by Arron Afflalo and a layup by Garrett Temple.

          Danilo Gallinari led the Nuggets with 24 points.

          SUNS 99, HEAT 90

          PHOENIX (AP) - Devin Booker scored 27 points - 18 in the second half - and rookie Marquese Chriss added a career-best 18 as Phoenix handed short-handed Miami its sixth consecutive loss.

          The Suns snapped a 12-game losing streak against Miami. Phoenix hadn't beaten the Heat since Nov. 3, 2009.

          Goran Dragic scored 22 of his 24 points in the first half for the Heat, who had just eight available players in the opener of a six-game road trip.

          Willie Reed had 22 points and 18 rebounds for Miami, both career highs.

          Eric Bledsoe added 17 points for the Suns, who stretched a four-point halftime lead to 19 in the second half.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • Wednesday’s 6-pack

            — North Carolina 89, Clemson 86 OT— Tigers missed FT to win it with 0:00.5 left in regulation.

            — TCU 60, Oklahoma 57— Big win for Jamie Dixon’s rebuilding Horned Frogs.

            — Kansas 90, Kansas State 88— Jayhawks won it at buzzer, but K-State is better than anyone thought.

            — Texas Tech 77, West Virginia 76 OT— Wild game; Red Raiders hit a 3-pointer with 0:04.6 left for the win.

            — Wisconsin 75, Indiana 68— Hoosiers are 0-2 in Big 14, with two home losses.

            — Home favorites were 4-1 vs spread in MAC games last nite, 2-8 everywhere else.


            Wednesday’s List of 13: Hump Day knowledge…..

            13) Over the last 12 years, Big 14 teams are 41-64 in bowl games; 4-0 vs MAC teams, 14-23 vs SEC teams, 7-12 vs Pac-12 teams.

            Against spread, Big 14 teams are 11-15-2 vs spread when favored, 39-35-3 as an underdog.

            12) Jets fired six assistant coaches Tuesday; well, officially OC Chan Gailey “retired” but guys like that seldom retire.

            11) Football coaches are somewhat nomadic; not only are the Jets looking for six assistants, but six NFL teams are looking for head coaches and new staffs. Will be interesting to see which jobs get filled first, and by whom.

            10) Stumbled upon a pretty good movie: One More Time, with Christopher Walken playing an aging lounge singer who in one scene is teaching his young (7-8ish) grandson how to play blackjack, using playing cards with naked women on them. Offbeat movie, but pretty good.

            9) Tony Romo’s brief performance in Philly Sunday probably will net Dallas a slightly better draft pick than they would’ve gotten for Romo otherwise.

            Chuckled at the story that Chip Kelly wanted to draft Dak Prescott last April, but GM Trent Baalke wouldn’t do it. Maybe it was the supposed DUI arrest in March that made him hesitant.

            Eight months after the draft, it is easy for people to claim they wanted to draft Prescott; didn’t hear from any of those people last spring.

            8) Denver media had great respect for Gary Kubiak; when he finished his final press conference with the Broncos the other day, media actually applauded him as he left the room. Doesn’t happen much.

            7) I used to say it was worth getting NFL Sunday Ticket just to watch Barry Sanders run with the ball; now I feel the same way about watching Aaron Rodgers play QB. Tremendous ability in the scramble drill to find open receivers.

            6) College administrators are weasels; Minnesota fired football coach Tracy Claeys because he supported his players when they threatened to boycott their bowl game because ten players had been suspended after an off-field incident in which no one has been charged with anything.

            But because they don’t want protests, the easiest thing to do to make everything go away was to fire the coach. Lets see if the players protest their coach’s firing after he supported them.

            5) There were only seven punts blocked in the NFL all season; three of them came Sunday, in Week 17.

            4) South Florida fired basketball coach Orlando Antigua, who didn’t win much and got USF in trouble with the NCAA for alleged academic fraud. Not winning was the worst of those two.

            3) New Orleans Saints gained 6,816 yards this season (426.0 per game) most yards gained by any team ever that didn’t make the playoffs.

            2) Houston will start Brock Osweiler at QB against Oakland this week; Raiders are likely going to start rookie 3rd-string QB Connor Cook, who has never started an NFL game.

            1— Speaking of the Texans, they scored only 25 touchdowns this year, fewest by any playoff team since 1978, when the NFL went to a 16-game schedule.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • NBA SEASON RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

              ATS Picks 236-255-8 48.07% -22250

              O/U Picks 251-244-5 50.71% -8700

              DAILY OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

              01/01/2017 3-7-0 30.00% -2350
              01/02/2017 8-8-0 50.00% -400
              01/03/2017 6-9-0 40.00% -1950


              DAILY BEST BETS

              JANUARY

              ATS:.......3 - 8 - 0

              O/U........8 - 5 - 0
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • NBA
                Armadillo's Write-Up

                Wednesday, January 4


                Atlanta is 7-5 in its last 12 games, 5-1 vs spread in its last six road games; they’re 1-4 as road favorites. Over is 6-1-1 in their last eight road games. Orlando is 6-5 in its last 11 games, 4-2 vs spread in its last six home games; their last four games went over total. Magic won last three games with Atlanta; road team won four of last six series games. Hawks are 3-2 in last five visits here. Last two series games went over total.

                Oklahoma City won five of last seven games but lost last two on road; they’re 3-6 as road dogs. Last four Thunder games stayed under the total. Hornets lost last two games but won five of last six at home; they’re 5-1 in last six games as a home favorite. Four of their last five games went over total. Thunder won their last ten games with Charlotte (9-1 vs spread); they won last four visits here (3-1 vs spread). Three of last four series games stayed under.

                Bucks won three of their last four games; they’re 6-9 vs spread on road, 4-7 as road underdogs. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. New York lost its last five games; they’re 9-2 vs spread as home favorites. Four of their last five home games went over the total. Knicks lost six of last eight games with Milwaukee; Bucks won three of last four visits to MSG, with three of the four staying under the total.

                Chicago lost its last six road games (0-6 vs spread); they’re 5-8 as road underdogs. Bulls’ last three games went over the total. Cleveland won its last nine home games; they’re 8-3-1 in last 12 games as a home favorite. Three of their last four home games stayed under. Bulls won four of last five games with Cleveland; they lost three of last four visits to Lake Erie but covered last three. Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

                Memphis lost to the Lakers in Staples last nite; they’re back tonite. Grizzlies lost four of last six road games, are 5-6 as road underdogs. Five of their last six games went over total. LA lost six of its last seven games, is 3-6-1 in last ten games as a home favorite. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Clippers won five of last seven games with Memphis; under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Grizzlies lost three of last four visits here but covered four of last five.

                Portland lost seven of last nine games, is 4-10 as a road underdog. Five of their last six games stayed under total. Golden State won its last eight home games, is 6-3 in its last nine games as a home favorite. Under is 10-4 in their last fourteen games. Warriors won eight of last nine games with Portland (7-2 vs spread); Trailblazers lost last six visits to Oakland (1-5 vs spread). Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

                Miami lost its last six games (2-4 vs spread); they’re 8-4 in last 12 games as a road underdog. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Sacramento won five of last seven games; they’re 4-4 as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over the total. Heat won nine of last ten games with Sacramento (5-5 vs spread); they won three of last four visits here. Nine of last ten series games went over total.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • NBA

                  Wednesday, January 4

                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Trend Report
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  7:00 PM
                  OKLAHOMA CITY vs. CHARLOTTE
                  Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
                  Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
                  Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

                  7:00 PM
                  ATLANTA vs. ORLANDO
                  Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Orlando
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
                  Orlando is 4-10-2 ATS in its last 16 games at home
                  Orlando is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home

                  7:30 PM
                  MILWAUKEE vs. NEW YORK
                  Milwaukee is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New York
                  Milwaukee is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New York
                  New York is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
                  The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 10 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

                  8:00 PM
                  CHICAGO vs. CLEVELAND
                  Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                  Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
                  Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                  Cleveland is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home

                  10:30 PM
                  MIAMI vs. SACRAMENTO
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
                  Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 10 of Sacramento's last 11 games when playing Miami
                  Sacramento is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

                  10:30 PM
                  MEMPHIS vs. LA CLIPPERS
                  Memphis is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
                  LA Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games

                  10:30 PM
                  PORTLAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
                  The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland's last 11 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 11 of Portland's last 13 games when playing Golden State
                  Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 11 games when playing at home against Portland
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • NBA
                    Long Sheet

                    Wednesday, January 4

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    ATLANTA (18 - 16) at ORLANDO (16 - 20) - 1/4/2017, 7:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ORLANDO is 121-158 ATS (-52.8 Units) in January games since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                    ATLANTA is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    OKLAHOMA CITY (21 - 14) at CHARLOTTE (19 - 16) - 1/4/2017, 7:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
                    OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-61 ATS (-24.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
                    OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
                    OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHARLOTTE is 155-195 ATS (-59.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
                    OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MILWAUKEE (17 - 16) at NEW YORK (16 - 18) - 1/4/2017, 7:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 124-90 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
                    MILWAUKEE is 6-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    CHICAGO (17 - 18) at CLEVELAND (26 - 7) - 1/4/2017, 8:05 PM
                    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    CHICAGO is 10-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                    CLEVELAND is 8-7 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                    8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MEMPHIS (22 - 15) at LA CLIPPERS (23 - 14) - 1/4/2017, 10:35 PM
                    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    MEMPHIS is 6-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                    LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                    6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    PORTLAND (15 - 21) at GOLDEN STATE (30 - 5) - 1/4/2017, 10:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    PORTLAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
                    PORTLAND is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
                    GOLDEN STATE is 131-105 ATS (+15.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                    GOLDEN STATE is 121-96 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
                    GOLDEN STATE is 71-50 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
                    GOLDEN STATE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    GOLDEN STATE is 62-45 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                    GOLDEN STATE is 12-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                    11 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MIAMI (10 - 26) at SACRAMENTO (15 - 19) - 1/4/2017, 10:35 PM
                    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                    MIAMI is 5-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • 3-pointer: Potential Finals spoilers
                      January 4, 2017


                      We’re into 2017 now, and it’s fair to say this NBA season has gone as expected.

                      Although there were some initial growing pains, the Warriors superteam is great and remains the betting favorite despite the Christmas Day loss to the Cavs. Meanwhile, the defending champs are the class of the East, appearing to be even more formidable since Kevin Love looks more comfortable in his skin and embracing his role. The Spurs, even having lost Tim Duncan, have had the type of success we’ve come to expect from them, even if it’s taken Gregg Popovich kicking them around after wins to keep them on their toes.

                      If there’s been a real surprise, it’s been how bad the Timberwolves have been given Tom Thibodeau’s presence and all that young talent. If you’re looking to accentuate the positive, the fact James Harden has taken so well to Mike D’Antoni’s coaching while embracing the role of distributor falls into that category. He’s made his teammates better. Sometimes, he shockingly even plays defense.

                      Still, it’s not good enough. We dig drama. We love to be surprised.

                      The remainder of the week could provide some clues as to who is actually mentally tough enough to emerge and prevent a third consecutive Cleveland-Golden State NBA Finals. I won’t even include San Antonio since the Spurs have been ubiquitous in going deep in the playoffs for two decades. You won’t find the Clippers here either, since they’re a shell of themselves until Chris Paul and Blake Griffin get healthy.

                      Sadly, there’s no Eastern Conference team worth putting on this list, which is why you’ll read about no potential variable there. Barring injury, Cleveland will be back in the NBA Finals. Load up on your Cavs to win the East futures without apprehension unless Toronto finds a way to extract Paul Millsap from Atlanta or the Celtics make another Al Horford-like acquisition.

                      The top threat

                      The Utah Jazz have been riddled with injuries over the first few months and yet are still edging out Oklahoma City for the Northwest Division lead. In Rudy Gobert, they have one of the NBA’s premier rim protectors, which is why they’re potentially so dangerous in a series against the Warriors. Although the fact Golden State shoots it so well from the perimeter mitigates the advantage Gobert provides Utah, the Jazz do have the pieces, when healthy and completely whole, to really frustrate anyone in the league.

                      Wings Gordon Hayward, Derrick Hood and Joe Johnson are flammable and capable of raining down 3-pointers on anybody. Gobert and Derrick Favors, who has been in and out of the lineup all season, are physically dominant and can own the boards while providing fantastic post defense. Point guards George Hill and Shelvin Mack are among the top defenders at their position, so there’s no question they’ll be able to make Stephen Curry work for everything he gets over the course of a series.

                      A collective approach isn’t likely to beat the Warriors, but Hayward has demonstrated the ability to take over a game. He’s averaged a career-best 22.4 points and opened 2017 with his fourth game of 30 points or more in a 101-89 win over the Nets.

                      Utah appears to check all boxes, but what we want to see now is whether it has staying power, and that’s going to be tested this week. The Jazz opened a five-game road swing in Brooklyn to begin a seven-day, five-city oddysey. Although they opened with a win and cover after a slow start in Brooklyn, they fell in Boston on Tuesday 115-104, surrendering a season-high points allowed. They’re toiling short-handed with stops in Toronto, Minnesota and Memphis ahead. Each game will be incredibly challenging, especially when you factor in the travel involved.

                      Hill’s availability will be key since he’s in concussion protocol after catching an elbow from Phoenix center Alex Len over the weekend that opened a gash in his lip so wide it required 22 stitches to close. There’s no word as to when he’ll be available, so the Jazz may have to make it through the entire trip short-handed with rookie Dante Exum also out. Shelvin Mack is handling point guard duties and has his limitations, while backups Raul Neto and Joe Ingles wouldn’t ordinarily be out there in the role they’re having to play.

                      The Celtics snapped Utah’s four-game losing streak, but despite playing a third game in four nights without their preferred floor generals, there were bright spots. Favors distributed a career-high seven assists. Veterans Joe Johnson and Boris Diaw, brought in this offseason precisely to help provide leadership through periods like these, combined for 32 points off the bench.

                      It remains to be seen how long Hill is out or how well the rest of this road trip goes, but the Jazz need to continue making strides. Quin Snyder’s team has a chance to be the ultimate x-factor once fully healthy. For now, I wouldn’t pick on them simply because they’re short-handed, but an ‘over’ run may be coming without Hill around. The ‘under’ had come in 10 of 12 times before Boston got off against their tired legs.

                      MVP-Driven

                      Great players can own a series, so Houston-led James Harden and Russell Westbrook’s OKC Thunder have to be taken seriously.

                      It’s always going to seem like Mike D’Antoni’s teams are winning via smoke and mirrors. Even his masterpieces, those Suns squads of a decade ago featuring the maestro Steve Nash, Amar’e Stoudemire, Johnson and Shawn Marion, were always greeted with a sense of skepticism. Do they play enough defense? Can they beat four games over the course of seven games by running and gunning?

                      Count on Charles Barkley dismissing the Rockets as a gimmicky jump-shooting team.

                      However dubious you are about their chances, there’s no debating that GM Daryl Morey has assembled some great shooters around Harden. Newcomers Ryan Anderson and Eric Gordon have lived up to their reputations and thrived. Gordon leads the NBA in 3-pointers made. Trevor Ariza often finds himself completely wide open.

                      D’Antoni’s other starting guard, Patrick Beverley, is not at all his typical type of player due to the fact he doesn’t shoot it well, but his pesky, relentless defense and intensity crashing the boards and pitching in wherever he can has endeared him to the veteran coach and makes him someone who can make Curry’s life a nightmare in a series.

                      Beverley has a wrist issue that sidelined him for Monday’s game against John Wall-led Washington, but he should be fine for games against Russell Westbrook’s Thunder, the Magic, Kyle Lowry’s Raptors and Kemba Walker’s Hornets over the next 10 days. Beverley takes the pressure off Harden, a suspect defender at best, so his return will be key even though the Rockets managed to beat Washington 101-91 without him for their 16th win in 18 games. Houston is 24-6 over the last 30, covering the spread 21 times.

                      Westbrook is the NBA’s other top MVP candidate and has averaged a triple-double while attempting to keep the Thunder among the league’s elite. Whether he’ll wear down is a subject of great debate, but he’s regarded as the league’s top athlete and only has to deal with three back-to-backs this month, the first of which comes as they continue a three-game road trip that began with Monday’s 98-94 loss in Milwaukee.

                      Playing at Charlotte and then attempting to run with Houston in its building puts OKC in an underdog role both nights, so it will be important to try and gain a split in order to avoid a losing streak that would keep it winless in ’17 until the weekend.

                      Oklahoma City is playing 12 of 15 games away from home in January, so it could be a trying period if health issues creep in. Fortunately, the Thunder just got Victor Oladipo back from a wrist injury and have point guard Cameron Payne trying to get back in a rhythm in the D-League, so Westbrook will soon have multiple playmakers to take some of the burden off him available.

                      Billy Donovan is trying to piece together a bench with inexperienced players like Jerami Grant, Joffrey Lauvergne and Alex Abrines, so monitor how the second unit holds up on the road. If things go poorly, this could be a forgettable month. If they rise to the occasion, it could be the point where Oklahoma City truly turns the corner in its first season without Kevin Durant.

                      The Wild Card

                      The final threat to the Warriors appears to be Memphis, since point guard Mike Conley is among the game’s best defenders at his position and the same can be said about Marc Gasol at center. Having thrived despite Conley’s extended absence has put the Grizzlies in position to compete for a top-four seed.

                      The fact they were able to lean on young players like Andrew Harrison and JaMychal Green while Conley, Zach Randolph and Vince Carter were out of the lineup provided their youth invaluable experience. Top offseason acquisition Chandler Parsons appears to be finally ready to play without restrictions and could raise the Grizzlies’ ceiling significantly.

                      While Utah has supplanted them in playing the league’s slowest pace, the Grizzlies still are edging them out in defensive efficiency, nosing out the Spurs and Warriors too. Being comfortable in grinders is essential to winning on the road and slowing down a team like Golden State, so it would be foolish not to take this group seriously.

                      First-year head coach David Fizdale is still learning how to push his team’s buttons, so it will be interesting to see how his rotation changes with a full team intact, especially with so many veterans competing with young athletes for minutes.

                      The Grizzlies spent New Year’s Even on the road after torching Sacramento and remained out West to face the both Staples residents in a Tuesday-Wednesday back-to-back before testing themselves against the Warriors in a matchup all eyes will be on come Friday.

                      The Lakers hit 16 3-pointers against Memphis through the first three quarters in a 116-102 upset win, so this week could get ugly if the defense doesn’t get its act together.

                      “I don’t know who we were performing for, but it wasn’t for each other,” Fizdale said afterward. “We show signs of greatness and then we are just zombies out there.”

                      With challenges against the Clippers and Warriors ahead, this will be a great opportunity to see if the resiliency demonstrated during a marvelous Conley-less two-week stretch from Nov. 30-Dec. 14 can be replicated now that they’re whole.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 4

                        GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

                        OKC at CHA 07:00 PM

                        OKC +2.0

                        U 210.0 *****

                        ATL at ORL 07:00 PM

                        ATL -1.5 *****

                        O 209.0 *****


                        MIL at NY 07:30 PM

                        MIL -2.0

                        U 214.5 *****

                        CHI at CLE 08:00 PM

                        CHI +5.0 *****

                        U 204.5

                        MEM at LAC 10:30 PM

                        MEM -1.5

                        U 198.5

                        MIA at SAC 10:30 PM

                        SAC -8.0 *****

                        O 202.0

                        POR at GS 10:30 PM

                        GS -16.0 *****

                        O 223.5 *****
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • NBA roundup: Bucks beat Knicks at buzzer
                          January 4, 2017


                          NEW YORK - Giannis Antetokounmpo hit a step-back jumper near the free throw line as time expired to lift the Milwaukee Bucks to a 105-104 win over the New York Knicks on Wednesday night at Madison Square Garden.

                          Antetokounmpo posted his 16th double-double of the season with 27 points and 13 rebounds for Milwaukee (18-16). Lance Thomas was draped all over Antetokounmpo on the shot, but the Bucks forward found a little space with a back step to nail the winner as Milwaukee fought back from a 16-point third-quarter deficit.

                          Carmelo Anthony led the Knicks (16-19), losers of six straight, with 30 points and 11 rebounds for his third double-double this season.

                          Bulls 106, Cavaliers 94

                          CLEVELAND -- Jimmy Butler scored 14 points in the fourth quarter after a slow start and Chicago held on against depleted Cleveland.

                          LeBron James had 31 points, eight rebounds and seven assists while playing 37 minutes despite battling an illness. The Cavs (26-8) were also without Kevin Love (food poisoning) and Kyrie Irving (right hamstring).

                          Butler started slowly two nights after scoring 52 points against Charlotte, but he had 10 straight for the Bulls (18-18) during one stretch of the fourth quarter when the Cavs were rallying and finished with 20 points.

                          Hornets 123, Thunder 112

                          CHARLOTTE, N.C. -- Nicolas Batum scored 28 points and Charlotte beat Oklahoma City at the Spectrum Center, snapping an 11-game losing streak against the Thunder.

                          Batum scored on a drive and a 3-pointer as part of a 9-0 run that pushed a 105-104 Charlotte lead to 114-104 with 1:19 left. Oklahoma City never got closer than six the rest of the way. The Hornets (20-16) snapped a two-game losing streak and remained atop the Southeast Division.

                          Oklahoma City (21-15) was frustrated by the officiating, as the Hornets were 40 of 49 from the foul line. Russell Westbrook led the Thunder with 33 points, 15 rebounds and eight assists but missed 10 of his first 12 shots and finished 10 of 31 from the field and 2 of 12 from 3-point range. He picked up a technical foul in the first quarter.

                          Hawks 111, Magic 92

                          ORLANDO, Fla. -- Dennis Schroder had 18 points, seven assists and six rebounds in leading Atlanta over Orlando at the Amway Center.

                          The Hawks (19-16) won their fourth consecutive game. The Magic (16-21) lost for the third time in their last four games.

                          Kent Bazemore had 17 points and hit all three of his 3-point shots for Atlanta. Paul Millsap scored 16 points and Dwight Howard, who began his career in Orlando, had 13 points and 12 rebounds. Aaron Gordon and Elfrid Payton led the Magic with 15 points each.

                          Heat 107, Kings 102


                          SACRAMENTO, Calif. -- Tyler Johnson capped a 23-point night with a driving layup that he made despite the foul, breaking a tie and helping Miami hold off a furious Sacramento rally in a victory at the Golden 1 Center.

                          Johnson nearly lost the ball twice while dribbling on the decisive possession, once the ball was knocked away and once when he dribbled off his knee. But he recovered, drove the key and converted despite being hammered by the Kings' Matt Barnes and breaking 102-102 tie. Johnson then made the free throw for a 3-point lead, and Miami held on.

                          Goran Dragic added 19 points for Miami (11-26), which ended a six-game losing streak despite blowing a 19-point third-quarter lead and playing without usual starters Hassan Whiteside and Justise Winslow.

                          Clippers 115, Grizzlies 106


                          LOS ANGELES -- Austin Rivers scored a game-high 28 points and Los Angeles earned a victory over Memphis at Staples Center.

                          Jamal Crawford contributed 22 points, while DeAndre Jordan collected 18 points and 20 rebounds for the Clippers. J.J. Redick added 19 points and Raymond Felton chipped in 11 points.

                          Marc Gasol had 23 points for the Grizzlies, who were playing the second end of a back-to-back at Staples. The Grizzlies lost 116-102 to the Lakers on Tuesday.

                          Warriors 125, Trail Blazers 117

                          OAKLAND, Calif. -- Shaun Livingston had a dunk, Draymond Green a block and Stephen Curry a 3-pointer in a key 34-second sequence of the fourth quarter, helping Golden State hold off Portland.

                          Curry totaled 35 points and Kevin Durant 30 as Golden State made it three straight wins this season over the Trail Blazers.

                          Portland managed to make things interesting against the two-time defending Western Conference champions without star point guard Damian Lillard, who missed a fifth straight game with sprained left ankle.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

                            13) When he starts Saturday’s playoff game in Houston, Oakland’s Connor Cook becomes first-ever NFL QB whose first career start came in a playoff game.

                            Funny thinking about it now; the biggest question about Cook coming out of Michigan State last spring was that his teammates did not vote him in as a captain as a senior, rare for a multi-year starting QB. Some teams were turned off on him because of that.

                            12) With Tom Savage in concussion protocol, Houston’s backup QB against the Raiders will be Brandon Weeden.

                            11) Reading into Mike Zimmer’s comments that Sam Bradford “….has earned the right to be the starting QB” next season, that tells me the Vikings don’t think Teddy Bridgewater will be healthy for the start of next season.

                            10) For what it is worth (apparently not much) Buffalo Bills were 14-2 in the coin toss this year.

                            9) At one point this season. Green Bay allowed 153 points in losing four straight games and stood at 4-6; everyone had them dead and buried. Since then, they’ve won six games in a row, and they’ve played pretty good defense. It is strange how quickly they turned things around.

                            8) Nathan Hale HS in Seattle was 3-18 LY; now they’re 9-0 and one service has them ranked as the best high school team in the country. Team is coached by former Portland Trailblazers star Brandon Roy.

                            7) When I was a kid, every high school team played zone defense on out-of-bounds under plays; it was an automatic thing. Now it is just the opposite; no one does.

                            6) Colorado State will lose three of its ten eligible basketball players when spring semester starts January 17; despite fact that everyone knows the kids will be ineligible then, they played last night in a win at San Jose State. Curious if they will recruit a couple of football players to fill out the roster— hard to practice well with seven players.

                            5) Grayson Allen’s suspension turned out to be one game- big deal. Duke killed Georgia Tech last night and now Mike Krzyzewski begins a leave of absence to get his back operated on.

                            This will be Krzyzewski’s 4th operation in the last ten months; he turns 70 on February 13. Wouldn’t surprise me a whole lot if this was it for him. The body can only take so much.

                            4) During/after his playing career, Bill Walton had 37 orthopedic operations. Thats a lot.

                            3) I’d be in favor of college basketball putting in the NBA’s 8-second to cross half court rule. Would encourage teams to press and make the game a little faster.

                            2) Russell Westbrook was 10-31 from floor in Oklahoma City’s loss in Charlotte last night; there have been six games this year where a player missed 20+ shots from the floor. Westbrook has four of those six games.

                            1) ESPN should most definitely hire Lane Kiffin as an analyst for Monday night’s national title game. He would get 3-4 hours of free advertising for his new team at FAU, fans would get some insight into the Alabama offense and into what makes Kiffin such a polarizing figure.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • NBA SEASON RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

                              ATS Picks 238-260-8 47.79% -24000

                              O/U Picks 255-247-5 50.80% -8350

                              DAILY OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

                              01/01/2017 3-7-0 30.00% -2350
                              01/02/2017 8-8-0 50.00% -400
                              01/03/2017 6-9-0 40.00% -1950
                              01/04/2017 6-8-0 42.86% -1400


                              DAILY BEST BETS

                              JANUARY

                              ATS:.......5 - 10 - 0

                              O/U........10 - 7 - 0
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

                                — Butler 66, Villanova 58— First loss for the defending national champs.

                                — Pitt 88, Virginia 76 OT— Second loss in a row for the Cavaliers.

                                — Syracuse 70, Miami 55— Syracuse played four guys 39:00+; 5th guy played 35:00.

                                — Providence 76, Georgetown 70— Hoyas are 0-3 in Big East for first time ever.

                                — Notre Dame 77, Louisville 70— Cardinals lost last six visits to South Bend.

                                — So Carolina 67, Georgia 61— Sindarius Thornwell had 19 in his return from suspension.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X