The Bum's 2016 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA Capsules
December 28, 2016

MIAMI (AP) Russell Westbrook got his 15th triple-double of the season by the midpoint of the third quarter, and the Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Miami Heat 106-94 on Tuesday night to extend their winning streak to four games.

Westbrook finished with 29 points, 17 rebounds and 11 assists. He was two rebounds shy of the triple-double at halftime, and now has six before the end of third quarters this season.

Enes Kanter scored 19 and Steven Adams added 15 - including a highlight-reel dunk in the first half - for the Thunder.

ROCKETS 123, MAVERICKS 107

DALLAS (AP) - James Harden scored 34 points and Houston completed a four-game season sweep of Dallas in a game marred by eight technical fouls.

Harden had 24 points at halftime and finished with 11 assists without playing in the fourth quarter. The Rockets broke a 37-all tie in the second with a 16-0 run and improved to 13-2 in December.

With two games left in the month, Houston can tie the franchise record of 15 wins from November 1996.

Five of the technicals came during the third quarter, and another during the break before the fourth when Houston's Trevor Ariza was assessed his second technical and ejected.

There were also two flagrant fouls, both against Dallas.

CELTICS 113, GRIZZLIES 103

BOSTON (AP) - Avery Bradley scored 23 points, Isaiah Thomas had 21 points and seven assists, and Boston held off Memphis.

Gerald Green added a season-high 19 points and Jae Crowder scored 17 for Boston, which won for the sixth time in seven games and beat the Grizzlies for the second time in a week. The Celtics needed overtime and a career-high 44 points from Thomas for a 112-109 win in Memphis last Tuesday.

Marc Gasol had 26 points and nine assists for Memphis. Zach Randolph scored 10 of his 16 points in the fourth quarter to help keep the Grizzlies close and pulled down 10 rebounds. Tony Allen had 17 points and eight rebounds for Memphis, which was coming off a 112-102 loss in Orlando the night before but hung with Boston until the final minute.

JAZZ 102, LAKERS 100

LOS ANGELES (AP) - Joe Ingles made a 3-pointer with 21.6 seconds left to lead Utah over Los Angeles, snapping a three-game losing streak.

Gordon Hayward led the Jazz with 31 points and nine rebounds. Ingles finished with 13 points and Rudy Gobert had 12 points and 11 rebounds.

The Lakers had a final chance to win the game but D'Angelo Russell shot an airball on a 3-point attempt.

Julius Randle had 25 points and 12 rebounds for his team-high ninth double-double for the Lakers, who have lost 13 of their last 15. Lou Williams added 22 points off the bench, including nine in the fourth quarter.

It was a rough night for the Lakers' two No. 2 picks. Russell went 2 for 11 from the field and Brandon Ingram was 2 for 5.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA RECORD + BEST BETS: ( ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS )

OVERALL BETS AND OPINIONS
12/01/2016 7-5-0 58.33% +750
12/02/2016 7-10-0 41.18% -2000
12/03/2016 10-8-0 55.56% +600
12/04/2016 2-6-0 25.00% -2300
12/05/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/06/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/07/2016 11-9-0 55.00% +550
12/08/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/09/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
12/10/2016 14-5-0 73.68% +4250
12/11/2016 6-4-0 60.00% +800
12/12/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/13/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/14/2016 18-2-0 90.00% +7900
12/15/2016 7-2-1 77.78% +2400
12/16/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/17/2016 7-6-1 53.85% +200
12/18/2016 6-6-2 50.00% -300
12/19/2016 4-6-0 40.00% -1300
12/20/2016 12-10-0 54.55% +500
12/21/2016 7-9-0 43.75% -1450
12/22/2016 4-6-0 40.00% -1300
12/23/2016 12-16-0 42.86% -2800
12/25/2016 3-7-0 30.00% -2350
12/27/2016 3-5-0 37.50% -1250

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 218-221-8 49.66% -12550

O/U Picks 223-219-5 50.45% -8950

BEST BETS:

12/27/16 - 2 - 3 - 0 - 650

ATS: 44- 48 - 2 - 4250

TOTALS: 51 - 39 + 4050

OCT/NOV
ATS: 98 - 93 - 4

OCT/NOV BIG PLAYS 4 - 3

DECEMBER BIG PLAYS: 36 -28

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

— Bills fired Rex Ryan Tuesday, benched Tyrod Taylor for the season finale. Not sure how the GM kept his job, but somehow he did.

— I highly recommend the Burger Lounge in the Aria casino. Tremendous bacon burger.

— Northwestern 87, Penn State 77— Big road win for the Wildcats.

— Wake Forest 34, Temple 26— It is easier when the other team doesn’t have your plays.

— Kent State 63, Texas 58— Horrible home hoop loss for the Longhorns.

— Michigan State 75, Minnesota 74 OT— Gophers couldn’t get good look at end of regulation or end of overtime; a bitter loss for Richard Pitino.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: My top 13 NFL teams……

13) Broncos— Curious to see who plays QB for the Broncos next season; I’m guessing it is someone who is not currently on their roster.

12) Texans— Won division title with JJ Watt missing the whole season; not bad.

11) Redskins— Can you imagine if Green Bay and Detroit tie Sunday night? People in our nation’s capital are not going to be very happy.

10) Dolphins— Can’t wait to bet under on their 2017 over/under win total.

9) Seahawks— Need to improve their offensive line this winter/spring.

8) Packers— It is basically impossible to overpay a guy like Aaron Rodgers or Tom Brady, thats how much they mean to a $1B business.

7) Giants— I see Scott Linehan doing so well as OC in Dallas and Steve Spagniolo’s defense playing well in New Jersey, then I remember how terribly they did as head coach of the Rams. Timing is everything in life.

6) Steelers— I really liked their all-black uniforms they wore Christmas night.

5) Raiders— Derek Carr’s injury is just very unfortunate for a team having a great year.

4) Chiefs— Still unsure what that lineman’s TD pass was all about Sunday night, but they aggravated Denver, now they need help from the Broncos this week to win AFC West title.

3) Falcons— Falcons/Braves are both getting new stadiums next year; why?

2) Patriots— Since 2000, the AFC East has had 24 different head coaches; the Patriots have had one, other three teams 23.

1) Cowboys— Pounded Detroit in a game they didn’t even need. Impressive.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 28

Pacers won five of last six games with Washington; they won four of last five visits here. Underdogs covered last six series games. Over is 7-1 in last eight series games. Indiana lost five of last seven games, is 3-7 as a road underdog. Three of their last four games went over the total. Wizards won seven of last ten games; they covered four of last five games as a home favorite. Over is 7-2 in their last nine.

Hornets won six of last seven games with Orlando; they won three of last four visits here. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Charlotte won three of last four games; they’re 4-2-1 as road underdogs. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games. Magic won three of last four games with two wins in OT; they’re 4-4-1 as home favorites. Six of last nine Orlando games went over the total.

Pistons won their last four games with Milwaukee (3-1 vs spread); Bucks lost last three visits to Motor City, by 7-1-15 points. Last three series games stayed under. Milwaukee lost three of last four games; they’re 2-8 as road underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Detroit lost five of its last six games; they’re 8-5 as home favorites. Six of last eight Detroit games stayed under the total.

Knicks won their last three games with Atlanta, by 14-6-10 points; they lost three of last five visits here. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games. New York lost four of last six games, is 6-2 vs spread in its last eight road games. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Hawks lost four of last five home games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last ten games. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games overall.

Bulls won six of last eight games with Brooklyn; Nets won two of last three visits to Windy City. Four of last five series games went over total. Brooklyn lost seven of last nine games; they’re 6-7-1 as road underdogs. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Chicago lost six of last eight games; they’re 5-7 vs spread as home favorites. Seven of their last eight games stayed under the total.

Paul-Griffin-Redick missed LA’s last game; Jordan got in car accident on way to airport yesterday, is supposed to be OK. Clippers won six of last seven games with New Orleans; over is 7-2 in last nine series games. LA lost three of last five visits to Bourbon Street. Clippers lost last three games, are 2-1 as road underdogs. New Orleans won three of last four games, is 4-7 as a home favorite. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Spurs won their last eight games with Phoenix, covering four of last five; under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Suns lost their last five visits to the Alamo (1-3-1 vs spread). Phoenix lost five of its last six games, is 9-7 as a road underdog (0-3 in last three). Over is 7-2 in Suns’ last nine games. San Antonio won seven of last eight games, is 5-7 as a home favorite (3-0 in last three). Last four Spur home games went over the total.

Road team won seven of last eight Minnesota-Denver games; Timberwolves won three of last four games in Denver. Four of last six series games stayed under total. Minnesota is 4-3 in its last seven games, 5-6 as a road underdog; under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Denver won its last four games, is 5-5 as a home favorite; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.

Portland won seven of last eight games with Sacramento but Kings covered three of last four; Sacramento lost its last five games in Moda Center, but covered four of them. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Kings won their last four games, are 6-8 as road underdogs, covering last three tries. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Trailblazers lost their last six games (1-5 vs spread); they’re 7-3 as home favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under total.

Golden State won eight of last nine games with Toronto (5-3-1 vs spread); Raptors lost last four visits to Oakland (1-3 vs spread). Over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Toronto won eight of its last nine games, is 5-0-1 as a road underdog. Three of last four Raptor games stayed under the total. Warriors won seven of last eight games, are 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 9-1 in their last ten games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, December 28

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing Washington
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. ORLANDO
Charlotte is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Charlotte is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte

7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. DETROIT
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. CHICAGO
Brooklyn is 3-5-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Brooklyn's last 22 games
Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
LA Clippers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games
LA Clippers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

8:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. SAN ANTONIO
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Minnesota is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota

10:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. PORTLAND
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Sacramento's last 25 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Portland's last 18 games at home

10:30 PM
TORONTO vs. GOLDEN STATE
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Toronto is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Golden State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 28

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INDIANA (15 - 17) at WASHINGTON (14 - 16) - 12/28/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
INDIANA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games this season.
INDIANA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
INDIANA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 374-439 ATS (-108.9 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (17 - 14) at ORLANDO (15 - 18) - 12/28/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (14 - 15) at DETROIT (15 - 18) - 12/28/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (16 - 14) at ATLANTA (15 - 16) - 12/28/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (8 - 22) at CHICAGO (15 - 16) - 12/28/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 257-310 ATS (-84.0 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 30-44 ATS (-18.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (22 - 11) at NEW ORLEANS (12 - 21) - 12/28/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (9 - 22) at SAN ANTONIO (25 - 6) - 12/28/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 972-845 ATS (+42.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 64-48 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 493-411 ATS (+40.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 201-154 ATS (+31.6 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 294-237 ATS (+33.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (10 - 21) at DENVER (13 - 18) - 12/28/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 85-107 ATS (-32.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (14 - 17) at PORTLAND (13 - 20) - 12/28/2016, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (22 - 8) at GOLDEN STATE (27 - 5) - 12/28/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 130-103 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 120-94 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 54-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 61-44 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games this season.
TORONTO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 28

Toronto @ Golden State

Game 719-720
December 28, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.953
Golden State
138.458
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 17 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 9 1/2
225
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-9 1/2); Under

Sacramento @ Portland

Game 717-718
December 28, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
116.582
Portland
117.949
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 1 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
N/A

Minnesota @ Denver

Game 715-716
December 28, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
117.673
Denver
119.645
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+4); Over

Phoenix @ San Antonio

Game 713-714
December 28, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.096
San Antonio
130.101
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 20
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 14 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-14 1/2); Over

LA Clippers @ New Orleans

Game 711-712
December 28, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
119.238
New Orleans
117.900
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 1 1/2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 4 1/2
204
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+4 1/2); Over

Brooklyn @ Chicago

Game 709-710
December 28, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
107.185
Chicago
122.982
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 16
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 9 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-9 1/2); Under

New York @ Atlanta

Game 707-708
December 28, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
117.358
Atlanta
116.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 1
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
New York
N/A

Milwaukee @ Detroit

Game 705-706
December 28, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
116.213
Detroit
125.018
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 9
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3 1/2
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-3 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Orlando

Game 703-704
December 28, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
121.855
Orlando
115.929
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 6
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 3 1/2
199
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+3 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Washington

Game 701-702
December 28, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
114.739
Washington
122.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 8
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 4
213
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-4); Under

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
December 28, 2016

All four favorites in the NBA on Tuesday night picked up victories, while three of them picked up covers. Boston, Oklahoma City, and Houston all won by double-digits in the chalk role, while the Jazz squeezed by the Lakers, 102-100 as 5 ½-point road favorites. The OVER split in four games, as the UNDER has improved to 9-6 since Monday night.

Game of the Night – Raptors at Warriors (-9 ½, 225) – 10:35 PM EST

Toronto continues its six-game Western Conference road swing in Oakland tonight against Golden State. The Raptors (22-8 SU, 20-9-1 ATS) captured the first two contests at Utah and Portland in the favorite role, although Dwane Casey’s club didn’t cover as eight-point favorites in Monday’s 95-91 nail-biter over the Blazers. Toronto has won eight of its past nine games overall, including seven consecutive victories away from Air Canada Center.

Golden State (27-5 SU, 14-17-1 ATS) has yet to lose consecutive games this season as the Warriors hope to keep that streak alive tonight following a shocking meltdown in Sunday’s 109-108 defeat at Cleveland. The NBA Finals rematch was going Golden State’s way as the Warriors built a 94-80 advantage with 9:34 remaining, but the Cavaliers rallied with a 29-14 run the rest of the way for their fourth straight win over the Warriors. Kevin Durant posted a solid 36-point, 15-rebound performance for Golden State, but the Warriors dropped to 1-6 ATS in their past seven road contests.

The Raptors look to avenge a 127-121 home setback to the Warriors on November 16 as six-point underdogs. Toronto actually outscored Golden State in three of four quarters, but the killer was the Warriors chasing the Raptors in the second period, 32-15 to take control of the contest. Stephen Curry led the way with 35 points, barely offsetting Toronto’s DeMar DeRozan, who put up 34 points in the loss. The Warriors have won eight of the last nine meetings with the Raptors since January 2013, while capturing 11 straight home matchups and covering 10 times in Toronto’s last 11 visits to the Bay.

From a totals perspective, the Warriors are riding a 10-1 run to the UNDER the last 11 games, including three consecutive UNDERS at Oracle Arena. The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four with the total listed at 225 or higher, which is tonight’s total. Toronto is on a modest 3-1 UNDER clip the previous four games, but the OVER has cashed in its past seven trips to Golden State.

Head-to-Head Trends

Pacers at Wizards (-4, 212 ½) – Indiana edged Washington in its first matchup this season, 107-105 at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, but the Wizards cashed as 5 ½-point underdogs. Seven of the past eight meetings have eclipsed the OVER, while the Pacers are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five visits to the Verizon Center.

Hornets (-2, 203 ½) at Magic – Charlotte has dominated this series recently by winning six of the past seven matchups, including a 109-88 home blowout earlier this month. The Hornets have seen plenty of success in Orlando by going 3-1 SU/ATS in the past four visits to central Florida, while three of those contests have sailed OVER the total.

Bucks at Pistons (-3 ½, 199) – Detroit snapped a five-game skid in Monday’s win over Cleveland, as the Pistons try to start a winning streak against the Bucks. Milwaukee has lost four straight meetings with Detroit since last season, as the Bucks fell at the Palace of Auburn Hills, 98-83 in late October.

Knicks at Hawks (-2, 212) – New York has been a thorn in Atlanta’s side recently by winning three straight meetings, including a 104-94 home triumph as 4 ½-point ‘dogs on November 20. Five of the last six matchups have hit the OVER, while five straight meetings in Atlanta have gone OVER the total since 2014.

Nets at Bulls (-10, 213 ½) – Chicago owns a 4-1 SU/ATS record in the past five matchups with Brooklyn, as the Bulls chased the Nets at Barclays Center on Halloween, 118-88 as 6 ½-point favorites. The Nets have held their own at the United Center by splitting the last four visits to Chicago, including a 105-102 upset as 10 ½-point underdogs last December.

Clippers at Pelicans (-4, 203 ½) – Los Angeles has captured the first two matchups with New Orleans this season with both victories coming by double-digits. The Clippers are short-handed with Chris Paul and Blake Griffin sidelined, as L.A. is 0-3 since Paul went out last week with a hamstring injury. The Pelicans have been listed as a favorite only once in the past 10 meetings, falling 95-89 as two-point chalk last December.

Suns at Spurs (-15, 213 ½) – San Antonio doesn’t have issues with any team it seems like it and that story is the same with Phoenix. The Spurs are 8-0 SU and 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight matchups with the Suns, including a 107-92 triumph as eight-point road favorites in mid-December. The Suns have dropped 13 of the past 14 meetings in San Antonio since March 2009, but are 3-1 ATS in their last four opportunities as a double-digit underdog against the Spurs.

Wolves at Nuggets (-4, 217 ½) – The road team has dominated this series of late by winning seven of the last eight matchups, including Denver’s 102-99 victory at the Target Center in early November. The Nuggets have captured the last four meetings in the series, but the Wolves have won two of the past three visits to Pepsi Center with the only loss coming in overtime last season.

Kings (-3, 211) at Blazers – These Western Conference rivals have played two close contests this season with the home team winning each time. Portland edged Sacramento in overtime at the Moda Center in mid-November, 122-120, but the Kings picked up revenge at home last Tuesday, 126-121. The Blazers have won seven straight home meetings with the Kings, but Sacramento has covered four times in this stretch.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday
December 28, 2016


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Hawks are 0-14 ATS (-12.89 ppg) with rest off a road game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points since May 20, 2015.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Hornets are 0-12-1 OU (-14.96 ppg) off a road game in which they had 6+ double digit scorers since Feb 04, 2014.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pelicans are 10-0 OU (11.45 ppg) since Jan 15, 2016 at home after Anthony Davis was the Pelicans’ high scorer in a win.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Nets are 0-13 ATS (-12.27 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest after they shot over 50% from the field since Apr 02, 2014.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Spurs are 0-8 OU (-13.38 ppg) since Mar 19, 2016 after Lamarcus Aldridge was the Spurs’ high scorer at home.

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 28

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHA at ORL 07:00 PM

CHA -3.5 *****

O 204.5

IND at WAS 07:00 PM

IND +5.0

O 213.0

NY at ATL 07:30 PM

NY +3.5 *****

O 211.0

MIL at DET 07:30 PM

DET -3.0

U 201.5

BK at CHI 08:00 PM

BK +9.5

O 212.5 *****

LAC at NO 08:00 PM

NO -5.0 *****

U 204.0

PHO at SA 08:30 PM

SA -14.5

U 216.0

MIN at DEN 09:00 PM

DEN -4.0

U 217.0

SAC at POR 10:00 PM

SAC -1.0

U 208.0

TOR at GS 10:30 PM

TOR +9.5 *****

U 225.5 *****

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win this year’s NBA championship……

— Golden State Warriors -$140

— Cleveland Cavaliers 11-5

— San Antonio Spurs 9-2

— Los Angeles Clippers 10-1

— Toronto Raptors/Boston Celtics 22-1

— Houston Rockets/Oklahoma City Thunder 40-1

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random thoughts after my vacation

13) It is good to be home; had great fun at the Aria Hotel in Las Vegas for eight days, but now it is time to get to work on college basketball. Having fun can be tiring.

12) There was a middle-aged man doing pushups in the McCarran Airport terminal by gate B14 Wednesday morning; I enjoyed my jelly doughnut while watching him exercise.

11) One of the basic rules of life: If there is a screaming child on an airplane that I am on, the child will undoubtedly be sitting right behind me. Just because.

10) $8 for WiFi is a sound investment for a 5-hour flight. Makes the time go so much faster.

9) Walking on the Las Vegas Strip at night is something everyone should do at least once; great place to people watch. It is better in summer than winter, but any time of year is fine.

Not a lot of English being spoken in Las Vegas this week; lot of visitors from other countries. Lot of people taking pictures of the ceiling in the Bellagio.

8) Planet Hollywood improved their sportsbook; put little dining area in near the bar, with white furniture that brightens the whole place up.

I’m watching the end of the Laker game Tuesday; game is 99-99 with 0:58 left, total is 204.5. Two guys in their 20’s come in and stand next to me; one of them has over 204.5. It looked good for his bet until a couple of missed foul shots, then lousy shot selection by D’Angelo Russell doomed him. My new friend was not happy. I went on my way.

7) If you ran an NFL franchise that needed a QB, would you trade a 1st and 4th-round draft choice to New England for Jimmy Garoppolo? Apparently that offer is on the table.

6) Dez Bryant’s TD pass against the Lions Monday night was the only left-handed TD pass in the NFL this season.

5) Tampa Bay Lightning head coach John Cooper was once a public defender in Lansing, MI; not sure how he got from there to being an NHL head coach, but he should write a book.

4) Oakland Raiders’ QB Matt McGloin is 1-5 as an NFL starter, with all six starts coming in 2013, when he helped ruin my ridiculously injury-riddled fantasy team (he was my 7th QB that year).

McGloin’s only win was against Houston, coached then by Gary Kubiak. McGloin needs to beat Kubiak’s Broncos this week for the Raiders to win the AFC West title.

3) I’m typing this and Bill Walton is at the UCLA-Oregon game talking about clothing-optional beaches in California. He is a gem.

2) Rookie QB Carson Wentz bought his offensive linemen shotguns for Christmas; if I’m coaching the Eagles, not sure I think thats such a great idea.

1) Northwestern 31, Pittsburgh 24— Cubs won World Series, Northwestern won a bowl game; whats next? Northwestern in NCAA tournament? That could happen too.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 29

Dallas @ LA Lakers

Game 511-512
December 29, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.330
LA Lakers
114.924
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 2 1/2
204
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2 1/2); Over

Toronto @ Phoenix

Game 509-510
December 29, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
120.933
Phoenix
120.096
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 8 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+8 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ Utah

Game 507-508
December 29, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
109.584
Utah
125.125
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 15 1/2
183
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 13
196
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-13); Under

Oklahoma City @ Memphis

Game 505-506
December 29, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
122.800
Memphis
120.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2 1/2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+2); Under

Boston @ Cleveland

Game 503-504
December 29, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
126.523
Cleveland
122.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 6
215
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+6); Over

Miami @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
December 29, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
112.174
Charlotte
121.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 9 1/2
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 6
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-6); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 29

Hornets won four of last six games with Miami; teams split last four games played here. Last six series games stayed under total. Favorites covered six of last eight series games. Heat lost five of last six games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Charlotte won three of last four games, covered four of last five as a home favorite- under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Cavaliers won seven of last eight games with Boston (5-3 vs spread); Celtics lost four of last five visits here (3-2 vs spread). Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Boston won six of last seven games; they’re 3-2 as road underdogs. Last five Celtic games went over total. Cleveland won five of its last six games; they’re 8-2 in last ten games as a home favorite- their last three games stayed under total.

Home side won five of last six Thunder-Grizzly games; Oklahoma City lost three of last four visits here. Favorites covered last six series games, with last three going over total. Thunder won/covered their last four games; they’re 3-4 as road underdogs. Four of last five OKC games went over total. Memphis lost five of last seven games overall, three of last four at home; they are 3-5 as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over total.

76ers lost their last eight games with Utah (3-5 vs spread); they lost last four visits to Salt Lake City (2-2 vs spread). Five of last six series games stayed under total. Philly lost five of its last six games; they covered four of last five games as a road underdog. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Jazz lost three of last four games; they’re 4-8 as home favorites. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Suns won four of last six games with Toronto, but Raptors won three of last five visits to desert. Underdogs covered four of last five series games- five of last six went over total. Toronto lost in Oakland last night; they’re 8-2 in last ten games, 3-3 as road favorites, 2-1-1 if they played night before. Phoenix lost six of last seven games; they’re 5-5 as home underdogs. 2-2 if they played night before. Suns’ last five games went over the total.

Lakers lost their last ten games with Dallas (3-7 vs spread); Mavericks won last six series games played here. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Dallas lost five of last eight games; they’re 7-10 as a road underdog. Last two Dallas games went over total. Lakers lost five of last six games; they’re 1-3-1 as a home favorite. Four of their last six games went over the total.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Thursday, December 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Miami
Charlotte is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 12 games

9:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. UTAH
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Utah's last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Utah is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PHOENIX
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Toronto's last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. LA LAKERS
Dallas is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 8-16-1 ATS in their last 25 games
LA Lakers are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games

[StarDust Bum]

MIAMI (10 - 22) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 14) - 12/29/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 159-123 ATS (+23.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.
MIAMI is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 8-8 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 8-8 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (19 - 13) at CLEVELAND (23 - 7) - 12/29/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 245-200 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-6 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 9-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (20 - 12) at MEMPHIS (20 - 14) - 12/29/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (7 - 23) at UTAH (19 - 13) - 12/29/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (22 - 9) at PHOENIX (9 - 23) - 12/29/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (9 - 23) at LA LAKERS (12 - 23) - 12/29/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 360-299 ATS (+31.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 471-394 ATS (+37.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 86-60 ATS (+20.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
DALLAS is 75-48 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 140-105 ATS (+24.5 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 147-191 ATS (-63.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 53-73 ATS (-27.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons