The Bum's 2016 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 20

Utah @ Golden State

Game 521-522
December 20, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
119.901
Golden State
138.470
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 18 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 11
210
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-11); Under

Denver @ LA Clippers

Game 519-520
December 20, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
118.586
LA Clippers
123.115
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 4 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 9
214
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+9); Over

Portland @ Sacramento

Game 517-518
December 20, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
114.920
Sacramento
118.391
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 3 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
N/A

San Antonio @ Houston

Game 515-516
December 20, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
127.936
Houston
125.826
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 1
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(+1); Over

Cleveland @ Milwaukee

Game 513-514
December 20, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
124.431
Milwaukee
125.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
212
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+3 1/2); Over

Boston @ Memphis

Game 511-512
December 20, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
126.850
Memphis
118.389
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 8 1/2
189
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2
193
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-2); Under

Indiana @ New York

Game 509-510
December 20, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
113.831
New York
122.933
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 9
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 5 1/2
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-5 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Miami

Game 507-508
December 20, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
112.461
Miami
119.324
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 7
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
197 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-2 1/2); Over

Brooklyn @ Toronto

Game 505-506
December 20, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
115.414
Toronto
126.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 11
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 15 1/2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+15 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ Charlotte

Game 503-504
December 20, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
110.608
Charlotte
122.476
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 12
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 9 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-9 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Philadelphia

Game 501-502
December 20, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
117.697
Philadelphia
112.273
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 5 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 2 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-2 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday's Tip Sheet
December 20, 2016

Favorites won four of five games inside the NBA on Monday night with the Thunder losing in the final seconds to the Hawks as the only chalk team to fall. The Pacers failed to cash as five-point favorites in a 107-105 home triumph over the Wizards as Washington covered for the fourth straight game. Following a 5-2 night to the UNDERS on Sunday, the OVERS bounced back last night with a 3-2 mark.

Game of the Night – Jazz at Warriors (-11 ½, 210) – 10:35 PM EST

A pair of first place teams in the Western Conference hook up at Oracle Arena as Utah will look like a different team against Golden State tonight than the one that lost to the Warriors on December 8. Golden State held off Utah, 106-99 after building a 24-point first quarter advantage as Gordon Hayward, George Hill, and Rodney Hood all sat out for the Jazz due to injuries. Hayward and Hood are back for Utah, who look to snap a six-game losing streak to the Warriors that dates back to March 2015.

The Jazz (18-10 SU, 16-11-1 ATS) wrap up a quick two-game road swing following an 82-73 victory at Memphis on Sunday as 1 ½-point favorites. Utah has won seven of eight games with the only setback in this stretch coming to Golden State, as Quin Snyder’s team is listed as an underdog for the third time in the last 14 contests. The Jazz have put together a solid 7-0 SU/ATS record as a road favorite this season, but have slumped to a 1-5 SU/ATS mark when getting points on the highway.

Golden State (24-4 SU, 12-15-1 ATS) is fresh off a 45-point blowout of Portland on Saturday night, 135-90 to easily cash as 14-point home favorites. Kevin Durant posted a 34-point, 11-rebound performance for the Warriors, who snapped a five-game ATS skid, while improving to 6-7 ATS as a home favorite this season. Golden State is riding a seven-game UNDER streak as Steve Kerr’s team is 1-1 to the UNDER in games with a total posted at 210 or less this season.

Tops in Texas

The only two teams to beat the Warriors this season both hail from the Lone Star State and meet tonight in Houston. The Rockets (21-7 SU, 19-9 ATS) play host to the Spurs (22-5 SU, 14-12-1 ATS) at Toyota Center as the road team has won each of the two meetings this season. In the past matchup in Houston on November 12, the Spurs held off the Rockets, 106-100 as 1 ½-point favorites as San Antonio owns a league-best 14-1 record on the highway. The Rockets are the hottest team in the NBA by winning 10 straight games, including six consecutive victories at Toyota Center.

Central Clash

The last time the Cavaliers visited Milwaukee in late November, the defending champions were embarrassed by the Bucks, 118-101 as seven-point favorites. Cleveland is back at BMO Harris Bradley Center tonight, but are without forward Kevin Love, who is out due to a left knee contusion. Milwaukee has been off for three days since pulling off an impressive home-and-home sweep of Chicago, while limiting the Bulls to 69 points in last Friday’s rout. Cleveland has won six of seven games with the only defeat coming at Memphis in which Love, LeBron James, and Kyrie Irving all sat out.

Coming up Roses

The Knicks return home following a 2-3 road trip as the Pacers invade Madison Square Garden. Derrick Rose is expected to be in the lineup tonight after missing the past two losses at Golden State and Denver with a back injury. New York owns a strong 9-3 SU/ATS home record when Rose in the lineup, while posting a 6-1 SU/ATS mark in the home favorite role. Indiana held off Washington last night, 107-105 on a Thaddeus Young layup in the final seconds to win its second straight game following a two-game skid. Playing without rest isn’t the best situation to back the Pacers, who own a dreadful 1-5 SU/ATS mark on the second of a back-to-back set.

Looking for Points

The Grizzlies haven’t scored many points of late, putting up fewer than 100 points in six of the past seven games. Memphis was limited to 73 points in Sunday’s home defeat to Utah, while cashing the UNDER in seven straight games. The Grizzlies are listed as a home underdog for the 10th time this season tonight against the Celtics, as Memphis owns a 6-3 SU/ATS mark in this role. The Celtics are riding a two-game winning streak following victories over the Hornets and Heat, but Boston has lost four straight visits to FedEx Forum.

Hot Nuggets

Don’t look now, but Denver is heating up of late by winning consecutive games following Monday’s 117-107 triumph over Dallas. The Nuggets travel to Los Angeles with no rest to face the Clippers, who play their first game without Blake Griffin, who is sidelined with a knee injury. Los Angeles is back from a three-game road swing which ended with a loss at Washington on Sunday, as the Clippers have stumbled to a 1-6 ATS record the past seven games.

Head-to-head trends

-- The 76ers shoot for the season sweep of the Pelicans tonight after Philadelphia won at New Orleans earlier this month. New Orleans hasn’t had much luck in Philadelphia, losing the last two visits to Wells Fargo Center.

-- The Hornets have won three straight meetings with the Lakers, including a pair of double-digit victories last season. Los Angeles travels to Charlotte tonight as the Lakers have covered in each of its past four trips to Spectrum Center.

-- Toronto and Brooklyn are meeting for the first time this season as the Raptors captured all four matchups last season. Three of the four games last season finished UNDER the total, as the Nets scored 99 points or less in three of those defeats.

-- The Heat are 6-1 in the last seven matchups with the Magic since February 2015, including a 108-96 victory at Orlando on opening night. Miami has won three straight home contests against Orlando as the Magic were limited to 97 points or less in each loss.

-- The Kings have dropped their last seven meetings with the Blazers, including a 122-120 overtime setback in Portland last month. The Blazers make their first trip to Golden 1 Center as Portland has won in its past three visits to Sacramento.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA RECORD + BEST BETS: ( ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS )

OVERALL BETS AND OPINIONS
12/01/2016 7-5-0 58.33% +750
12/02/2016 7-10-0 41.18% -2000
12/03/2016 10-8-0 55.56% +600
12/04/2016 2-6-0 25.00% -2300
12/05/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/06/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/07/2016 11-9-0 55.00% +550
12/08/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/09/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
12/10/2016 14-5-0 73.68% +4250
12/11/2016 6-4-0 60.00% +800
12/12/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/13/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/14/2016 18-2-0 90.00% +7900
12/15/2016 7-2-1 77.78% +2400
12/16/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/17/2016 7-6-1 53.85% +200
12/18/2016 6-6-2 50.00% -300
12/19/2016 4-6-0 40.00% -1300

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 200-192-8 51.02% -5600

O/U Picks 200-195-5 50.63% -7250

BEST BETS:

12/19/16 - 3 - 2 - 0 +400

ATS: 38- 32 +2 + 1400

TOTALS: 38 - 26 + 4800

OCT/NOV
ATS: 98 - 93 - 4

OCT/NOV BIG PLAYS 4 - 3

DECEMBER BIG PLAYS: 33 -22

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, December 20

New Orleans at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
New Orleans: 27-13 ATS after 2 straight games where they were called for 18 or less fouls
Philadelphia: 13-27 ATS after scoring 105 points or more

LA Lakers at Charlotte, 7:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 12-26 ATS after scoring 105 points or more
Charlotte: 15-5 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog

Brooklyn at Toronto, 7:35 PM ET
Brooklyn: 11-2 OVER as a road underdog
Toronto: 11-1 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4

Orlando at Miami, 7:35 PM ET
Orlando: 18-5 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog
Miami: 9-0 UNDER after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half

Indiana at New York, 7:35 PM ET
Indiana: 3-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins
New York: 10-2 ATS after allowing 110 points or more

Boston at Memphis, 8:05 PM ET
Boston: 54-82 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more
Memphis: 28-15 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games

Cleveland at Milwaukee, 8:05 PM ET
Cleveland: 25-11 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
Milwaukee: 4-16 ATS after allowing 85 points or less

San Antonio at Houston, 8:05 PM ET
San Antonio: 34-21 UNDER after playing a home game
Houston: 12-2 ATS after allowing 105 points or more

Portland at Sacramento, 10:35 PM ET
Portland: 30-15 ATS in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more
Sacramento: 23-44 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent

Denver at LA Clippers, 10:35 PM ET
Denver: 22-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games
LA Clippers: 11-28 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games

Utah at Golden State, 10:35 PM ET
Utah: 10-22 ATS as a road underdog
Golden State: 33-17 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday
December 20, 2016

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bucks are 0-12 ATS (-12.46 ppg) at home off a win as a road dog in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field since Mar 22, 2010.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Grizzlies are 18-0 OU (15.56 ppg) as a dog after their opponent had more than 10 blocks last game since Jan 07, 2009.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Clippers are 0-8 OU (-16.44 ppg) since Dec 19, 2015 after Chris Paul had at least 10 assists in a road loss.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Pelicans are 11-0 OU (11.41 ppg) as a favorite after they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers since Nov 22, 2015.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Jazz are 7-0 OU (9.43 ppg) since Apr 11, 2016 after Gordon Hayward was the Jazz’s high scorer in a road win.

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 20

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LAL at CHA 07:00 PM

CHA -8.5

O 214.0 *****

NO at PHI 07:00 PM

PHI +3.5

U 208.0

IND at NY 07:30 PM

IND +4.5 *****

U 209.0

BK at TOR 07:30 PM

BK +15.0

U 223.5

ORL at MIA 07:30 PM

MIA -3.0 *****

O 199.5

SA at HOU 08:00 PM

HOU +1.0 ***** ( NBA DOG OF THE NIGHT )

O 214.0 ***** ( NBA TOTAL OF THE NIGHT )

BOS at MEM 08:00 PM

MEM +2.5

O 194.5 *****

CLE at MIL 08:00 PM

MIL +3.5 *****

O 212.5

DEN at LAC 10:30 PM

LAC -8.0

U 218.5

POR at SAC 10:30 PM

SAC -1.5 *****

O 217.5

UTA at GS 10:30 PM

GS -12.5 ***** ( NBA BLOW OUT OF THE NIGHT )

U 211.0 *****

[StarDust Bum]

NBA roundup: Spurs rally past Rockets
December 21, 2016

HOUSTON -- Patty Mills turned a scrambled offensive possession into a 3-pointer with 12.9 seconds left as the San Antonio Spurs erased a 13-point, fourth-quarter deficit en route to a 102-100 win over the Houston Rockets on Tuesday night at Toyota Center.

Houston had its 10-game winning streak snapped amid eight fourth-quarter turnovers. The Rockets also missed 31 of 38 3-point attempts, including a wide-open look from guard Eric Gordon following the Mills basket. The Rockets' streak of games with at least 10 3-pointers made ended at 27.

Mills and Manu Ginobili combined for 25 points off the San Antonio bench, hitting 7 of 11 3-pointers. Kawhi Leonard paced the Spurs with 21 points while LaMarcus Aldridge added 17 points, 10 rebounds and five assists. San Antonio's Pau Gasol finished with 10 points and 10 rebounds.

Houston guard James Harden posted 31 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists but missed 10 of 11 3-point tries.

Hornets 117, Lakers 113

CHARLOTTE, N.C. -- Nicolas Batum hit a go-ahead bank shot with 13 seconds remaining, and Charlotte fought back from a 19-point, first-half deficit to pull out a win over Los Angeles.

Batum's bank shot gave the Hornets a 115-113 lead. After the Lakers' Nick Young missed a 3-point attempt, Batum came back to hit two free throws for a 117-113 lead with six seconds remaining.

Kemba Walker led Charlotte with 28 points and added 10 assists. Batum had 23 points and 10 assists. Jordan Clarkson led the Lakers with 25 points, and Young scored 24.

Cavaliers 114, Bucks 108 (OT)

MILWAUKEE -- LeBron James hit a 33-footer with 24 seconds left in overtime, and he scored 34 points to lead Cleveland past Milwaukee.

The Cavaliers also got 28 from Kyrie Irving and 15 off the bench from Channing Frye. Jabari Parker led Milwaukee with 30 points, while Giannis Antetokounmpo added 25.

Cleveland's J.R. Smith had a relatively quiet night, scoring six points on a pair of 3-pointers, but left the game late in the second quarter after sustaining an injury to his right thumb. He did not return, and test results were inconclusive.

Pelicans 108, 76ers 93

PHILADELPHIA -- Anthony Davis collected 31 points and 16 rebounds as New Orleans beat Philadelphia.

Terrence Jones added 17 points and 10 boards for the Pelicans, who salvaged the final contest of a three-game road trip with only their third victory in the last 11 games. E'Twaun Moore contributed 15 points.

Ersan Ilyasova had 14 points to lead the Sixers, who lost for the ninth time in their last 10 home games and the 11th time in 14 games overall.

Raptors 116, Nets 104

TORONTO -- Kyle Lowry scored 23 points and added eight assists as Toronto defeated Brooklyn.

The Raptors won for the 12th time in their past 14 games in giving the Nets their third straight loss. The Nets are 1-13 on the road, while the Raptors are 11-5 at home.

Norman Powell added 21 points off the bench for the Raptors, and DeMarre Carroll scored 17. Rondae Hollis-Jefferson had 19 points for Brooklyn.

Knicks 118, Pacers 111

NEW YORK -- Carmelo Anthony scored 35 points, matching his season high, and led New York to a win over Indiana.

Anthony drained 7 of 11 3-point attempts. He was 13 of 25 from the floor overall. Derrick Rose, back in the New York lineup after missing three of the previous four games due to back spasms, scored 24 points and dished out six assists. Kristaps Porzingis contributed 21 points, eight rebounds and three blocked shots.

Myles Turner and Thaddeus Young paced Indiana with 21 points apiece. Al Jefferson scored 18 points off the bench, and Jeff Teague registered 17 points, 12 assists and seven rebounds.

Magic 136, Heat 130 (2 OT)

MIAMI -- Nikola Vucevic and Evan Fournier scored 26 points apiece as Orlando defeated Miami in double overtime.

Fournier's 3-pointer with 1:26 remaining in the second overtime gave the Magic the lead for good at 126-123. Serge Ibaka's jumper with 53 seconds left increased Orlando's lead to 128-123.

Elfrid Payton scored 22 points and Ibaka scored 20 points and made 4 of 5 from 3-point range for the Magic. Vucevic also grabbed 12 rebounds. Hassan Whiteside and Tyler Johnson scored 32 points apiece for Miami. Whiteside shot 14 of 22 from the field and finished with 15 rebounds and five blocked shots.

Celtics 112, Grizzlies 109 (OT)

MEMPHIS, Tenn. -- Isaiah Thomas scored a career-high 44 points to lead Boston Celtics to an overtime win against Memphis.

Memphis center Marc Gasol (24 points, seven rebounds, six assists) missed a turnaround jumper with 1.9 seconds left in regulation. Boston center Al Horford (17 points, 14 rebounds) had a chance to win the game in regulation, but his short shot went in just after time expired.

Troy Daniels had 24 points off the bench for Memphis, and Mike Conley finished with 19 points and eight assists.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA RECORD + BEST BETS: ( ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS )

OVERALL BETS AND OPINIONS
12/01/2016 7-5-0 58.33% +750
12/02/2016 7-10-0 41.18% -2000
12/03/2016 10-8-0 55.56% +600
12/04/2016 2-6-0 25.00% -2300
12/05/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/06/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/07/2016 11-9-0 55.00% +550
12/08/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/09/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
12/10/2016 14-5-0 73.68% +4250
12/11/2016 6-4-0 60.00% +800
12/12/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/13/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/14/2016 18-2-0 90.00% +7900
12/15/2016 7-2-1 77.78% +2400
12/16/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/17/2016 7-6-1 53.85% +200
12/18/2016 6-6-2 50.00% -300
12/19/2016 4-6-0 40.00% -1300
12/20/2016 12-10-0 54.55% +500

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 204-199-8 50.62% -7450

O/U Picks 208-198-5 51.23% -4900

BEST BETS:

12/20/16 - 5 - 4 - 1 +300

ATS: 40- 36 - 2 + 200

TOTALS: 40 - 27 + 5150

OCT/NOV
ATS: 98 - 93 - 4

OCT/NOV BIG PLAYS 4 - 3

DECEMBER BIG PLAYS: 34 -24

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

NFL trends with Week 16 sneaking up on us:

— Cleveland is 1-12-1 vs spread in its last fourteen games.

— Steelers are 10-3 in last thirteen games as a home favorite.

— Atlanta is 8-17 in its last 25 games as a favorite.

— New England covered 10 of its last 13 games.

— Rams are 1-7-2 vs spread in last 10 games; 49ers are 2-11 in last 13.

— Chiefs covered twice in their last ten home games.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Some of my favorite movie quotes

13) “Who’s the u-boat commander?” From Risky Business, when the kid’s father’s Porsche winds up in Lake Michigan, and then in a repair shop to be cleaned up.

12) “I believe in the Church of Baseball. I’ve tried all the major religions, and most of the minor ones. I’ve worshipped Buddha, Allah, Brahma, Vishnu, Siva, trees, mushrooms, and Isadora Duncan. I know things. For instance, there are 108 beads in a Catholic rosary and there are 108 stitches in a baseball. When I learned that, I gave Jesus a chance. But it just didn’t work out between us. The Lord laid too much guilt on me. I prefer metaphysics to theology. You see, there’s no guilt in baseball, and it’s never boring.”
Susan Sarandon, from Bull Durham

11) “He’s a great player, but I don’t think we can get him in academically.”
Jerry Tarkanian, playing himself in Blue Chips

10) “In ‘Confessions of a Winning Poker Player,’ Jack King said, ‘Few players recall big pots they have won, strange as it seems, but every player can remember with remarkable accuracy the outstanding tough beats of his career.’ It seems true to me, ‘cause walking in here, I can hardly remember how I built my bankroll, but I can’t stop thinking of how I lost it.”
Matt Damon in Rounders

9) “I guess it comes down to a simple choice; get busy living, or get busy dying.”
Tim Robbins from Shawshank Redemption

8) “……Who cares? I’ll tell you. Me. I’m not your best friend. I’m your only friend. I don’t make anything? I’m making you money. And lest we forget, that’s the only reason any of you became stockholders in the first place. You want to make money! You don’t care if they manufacture wire and cable, fried chicken, or grow tangerines!

You want to make money! I’m the only friend you’ve got. I’m making you money. Take the money. Invest it somewhere else. Maybe, maybe you’ll get lucky and it’ll be used productively. And if it is, you’ll create new jobs and provide a service for the economy and, God forbid, even make a few bucks for yourselves.

And if anybody asks, tell ’em ya gave at the plant. And by the way, it pleases me that I am called “Larry the Liquidator.” You know why, fellow stockholders? Because at my funeral, you’ll leave with a smile on your face and a few bucks in your pocket. Now that’s a funeral worth having!”
Danny DeVito, in Other People’s Money

7) “It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everyone would do it. The hard… is what makes it great.” Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own

6) “You don’t want the truth because deep down in places you don’t talk about at parties, you want me on that wall, you need me on that wall. We use words like honor, code, loyalty. We use these words as the backbone of a life spent defending something. You use them as a punchline. I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man who rises and sleeps under the blanket of the very freedom that I provide, and then questions the manner in which I provide it. I would rather you just said thank you, and went on your way, Otherwise, I suggest you pick up a weapon, and stand a post. Either way, I don’t give a damn what you think you are entitled to.”
Jack Nicholson, from A Few Good Men

5) “Being perfect is not about that scoreboard out there. It’s not about winning. It’s about you and your relationship with yourself, your family and your friends. Being perfect is about being able to look your friends in the eye and know that you didn’t let them down because you told them the truth. And that truth is you did everything you could. There wasn’t one more thing you could’ve done. Can you live in that moment as best you can, with clear eyes, and love in your heart, with joy in your heart? If you can do that gentleman – you’re perfect!”
Billy Bob Thornton in Friday Night Lights

4) “And you know Steve you get the feeling that Billy Chapel isn’t pitching against left handers, he isn’t pitching against pinch-hitters, he isn’t pitching against the Yankees. He’s pitching against time. He’s pitching against the future, against age, and even when you think about his career, against ending. And tonight I think he might be able to use that aching old arm one more time to push the sun back up in the sky and give us one more day of summer.”
The great Vin Scully, from For Love of the Game

3) “GOD LIKES ME! HE REALLY, REALLY, LIKES ME! WHAT A DAY! WHAT A FABULOUS DAY!”
Richard Dreyfuss in Let It Ride

2) “You’re a goddamn quarterback! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.”
Al Pacino, from Any Given Sunday

1)“Do whats in your heart, son. You’ll be fine.”
Robin Williams, from Good Will Hunting

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 21

Cavaliers won seven of last eight games; they’re 6-2 in last eight games as a home favorite. Over is 10-4 in their last fourteen games. Milwaukee is 4-6 on road, 2-6 as road underdogs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Cavaliers won six of last eight games with Milwaukee; they needed OT to beat them on road last night. Bucks are 7-4 vs spread in last 11 series games. Over is 9-2 in last 11 series games.

Memphis won nine of last ten games with Detroit (8-2 vs spread), winning four of last five visits to Motor City. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Grizzlies lost four of last five games; they lost in OT at home to Boston last nite- they’re 4-5 as road underdogs. Detroit lost last three games, losing by 33 at Chicago Monday; Pistons are 7-4 as home favorites. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Hawks are 6-4 in last ten games with Minnesota but Wolves won last two; Minnesota covered four of last five series games, but lost five of last six visits here. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Minnesota lost five of last seven games but covered last four; they’re 4-5 as road underdogs. Over is 8-4 in their last twelve games. Atlanta lost five of its last six home games; they’re 0-5-1 vs spread in last six home tilts. Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Wizards are 6-4 in last games with Bulls, but lost three of last four visits to Chicago, with losses by 5-5-11 points. Five of last six series games went over total. Washington won five of its last seven games, is 4-2 as a road underdog. Over is 9-1-1 in last eleven Wizard games. Chicago lost three of last four games, is 1-5 in last six tries as a home favorite. Under is 5-1-1 in Bulls’ last seven games.

Thunder won three of last four games with New Orleans, but Pelicans are 6-3 vs spread in last nine meetings. Oklahoma City lost three of last four visits to Bourbon Street. Over is 4-2 in last six series games. Thunder lost three of last four games, are 1-5 vs spread in last six; they’re 1-2 as road favorites. New Orleans split its last six games but lost four of last five at home; they’re 4-1 as home underdogs. Last three Pelican home games stayed under.

Road team won last six Houston-Phoenix games Rockets won last five visits here (4-1 vs spread). Over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Suns lost four of last five games, are 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Over is 8-3 in last 11 Phoenix games. Houston had its 10-game win streak snapped last night; they’re 5-3 as road favorites. Over is 9-5 in their last 14 games. Don’t forget D’Antoni had his greatest days coaching the Suns but was stupidly fired; this has to mean a little bit more than usual to him.

Jazz won seven of last ten games with Sacramento (4-2-1 vs spread in last seven): Kings lost four of last five visits here (1-2-2 vs spread). Four of last six series games went over. Utah lost by 30 in Oakland last night; they’ve won four of last five games, are 4-7 as home favorites. Five of last six Jazz games stayed under. Sacramento lost five of last seven road games; they’re 4-8 as a road underdog Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Cousins had 55 points last night in a home win over Portland.

Dallas-Portland split last ten games but Mavericks covered four of last five; under is 3-1 in last four series games played here. Dallas lost three of last four visits here, losing by 6-19-21 points. Mavericks are 1-13 on road, 5-9 as road underdogs. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Trailblazers lost seven of last eight games, but they won/covered six of last eight at home- they’re 7-2 as home favorites. Over is 10-4 in their last fourteen games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, December 21

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

7:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. DETROIT
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ATLANTA
Minnesota is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Minnesota is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHICAGO
Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

9:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games at home

9:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. UTAH
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Sacramento is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PORTLAND
Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Portland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 21

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MILWAUKEE (13 - 13) at CLEVELAND (20 - 6) - 12/21/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (18 - 12) at DETROIT (14 - 16) - 12/21/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (8 - 19) at ATLANTA (14 - 14) - 12/21/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (12 - 15) at CHICAGO (14 - 13) - 12/21/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 256-307 ATS (-81.7 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 12) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 20) - 12/21/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-59 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-51 ATS (-20.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (21 - 8) at PHOENIX (8 - 20) - 12/21/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 109-78 ATS (+23.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
HOUSTON is 92-57 ATS (+29.3 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (11 - 17) at UTAH (18 - 11) - 12/21/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (7 - 21) at PORTLAND (13 - 17) - 12/21/2016, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 21

Dallas @ Portland

Game 715-716
December 21, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
116.314
Portland
118.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
N/A

Sacramento @ Utah

Game 713-714
December 21, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
115.042
Utah
126.501
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 11 1/2
183
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
N/A

Houston @ Phoenix

Game 711-712
December 21, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
126.845
Phoenix
113.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 13 1/2
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
223
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-5 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ New Orleans

Game 709-710
December 21, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
115.509
New Orleans
120.054
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 4 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 1 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+1 1/2); Over

Washington @ Chicago

Game 707-708
December 21, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
113.837
Chicago
124.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 10 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 4
207
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-4); Over

Minnesota @ Atlanta

Game 705-706
December 21, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.209
Atlanta
118.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
N/A

Memphis @ Detroit

Game 703-704
December 21, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
120.149
Detroit
114.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 5 1/2
174
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 6 1/2
185
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+6 1/2); Under

Milwaukee @ Cleveland

Game 701-702
December 21, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
119.944
Cleveland
129.500
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 9 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
N/A

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
December 21, 2016

Tuesday’s card provided one of the more entertaining nights in the NBA this season with three games going to overtime. The Celtics, Cavaliers, and Magic all pulled off road overtime triumphs, including Orlando topping Miami in two overtimes. Favorites compiled an 8-3 SU and 6-5 ATS record as the Spurs and Kings each won as short underdogs. OVERS hit in eight of 11 games on Tuesday, as the 76ers and Jazz were the only teams not to hit the 100-point mark last night.

Game of the Night – Wizards at Bulls (-4, 208 ½) – 8:05 PM EST

Chicago (14-13 SU, 14-13 ATS) rebounded from a three-game losing skid by blasting Detroit on Monday night, 113-82 as the Bulls jumped out to a commanding 69-34 halftime advantage. All five Bulls’ starters finished in double-figures as the front-court trio of Jimmy Butler, Taj Gibson, and Robin Lopez combined to shoot 21-of-25 from the floor. The Bulls cashed as 2 ½-point favorites, ending an 0-5 ATS home favorite skid.

Washington (12-15 SU, 13-14 ATS) saw its three-game winning streak on Monday at Indiana, falling to the Pacers, 107-105 in the final seconds. The Wizards managed a cover as 5 ½-point underdogs to improve to 4-0 ATS the last four games, while Washington eclipsed the 100-point mark for the sixth straight contest. Scott Brooks’ club has hit the OVER in 10 of the past 11 games, including five consecutive OVERS away from Verizon Center.

The Bulls captured the first matchup this season against the Wizards at United Center, 106-95 on November 12. Chicago cashed as 10-point favorites, as Butler posted a game-high 37 points in the victory. Washington played without its top two players, John Wall and Bradley Beal as the Wizards put together one bad quarter, getting outscored in the third, 28-14.

Pitiful Pistons

Detroit has seen plenty of ups and downs this season but Stan Van Gundy’s squad is currently riding a downward trend. Following Detroit’s 31-point blowout loss at Chicago two nights ago, the Pistons have lost three straight games and fell to 3-6 ATS the last nine trips to the court. The Pistons host the Grizzlies tonight, as Detroit has lost three of its past four games at the Palace of Auburn Hills, while scoring 92 points or less in each defeat. Memphis also looks to get on track after falling in overtime to Boston last night to drop to 1-4 the past five following a six-game winning streak to start December.

Rebuilding Rockets

Houston’s 10-game winning streak came to an end in Tuesday’s 102-100 setback to San Antonio as the Rockets squandered a 13-point lead with 4:30 left. Three nights earlier, the Rockets erased a 12-point deficit in the final three minutes to force overtime at Minnesota and eventually beat the Timberwolves. Houston heads to Phoenix as the Rockets have won seven of their past eight games away from Toyota Center. The Rockets have won in each of their previous five trips to Arizona, as the Suns enter tonight’s action in a 2-7 SU and 2-6-1 ATS funk.

Back-to-Back Bucks

For some strange reason, Milwaukee is in the midst of three consecutive home-and-home sets, already sweeping Chicago and facing Washington this weekend. Sandwiched in between those two are the defending champion Cavaliers, who knocked off the Bucks in overtime at BMO Harris Bradley Center last night, 114-108. The venue shifts to Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland tonight as Kevin Love sat out Tuesday’s victory with a knee contusion. Milwaukee hasn’t thrived in the back-to-back spot this season by going 1-4 SU/ATS with no rest, while finishing UNDER the total four times. Cleveland hasn’t been much better in this rest spot at 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS, but both victories came at home.

Flying Home

The Pelicans avenged a home loss to the 76ers from earlier this month by beating Philadelphia last night, 108-93 as 3 ½-point favorites. New Orleans returns from a 1-2 SU/ATS road swing back to Smoothie King Center to begin a five-game homestand as the Thunder invade the Big Easy tonight. The Pelicans have posted an impressive 6-1 ATS mark as a home underdog this season, as New Orleans opened as a two-point ‘dog to OKC. The Thunder own a 2-3 ATS mark in the road favorite role, while losing three of their past four visits to New Orleans.

Head-to-head trends

-- The Wolves pulled off a season sweep of the Hawks last season as the two teams hook up in Atlanta. In last season’s matchup at Philips Arena, Minnesota built a 34-point lead before Atlanta pulled off a furious comeback to lead by one with three minutes left. However, the Wolves ended the game on an 11-0 run to prevent a huge meltdown and cash as 8 ½-point underdogs.

-- Eleven days ago, Utah crushed Sacramento in Salt Lake City, 104-84 as six-point favorites as the two clubs meet in Utah again tonight. The Kings have lost seven of the past 10 matchups with the Jazz since December 2013, while both teams are coming off action last night. Sacramento has lost five of six with no rest, while Utah has thrived on the second of a back-to-back by going 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS.

-- Portland pulled away from Dallas in its first matchup this season at American Airlines Center in November, 105-95. This series has been pretty even over the years with the teams splitting the last 10 meetings, with two games last season won by Dallas in overtime.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA RECORD + BEST BETS: ( ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS )

OVERALL BETS AND OPINIONS
12/01/2016 7-5-0 58.33% +750
12/02/2016 7-10-0 41.18% -2000
12/03/2016 10-8-0 55.56% +600
12/04/2016 2-6-0 25.00% -2300
12/05/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/06/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/07/2016 11-9-0 55.00% +550
12/08/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/09/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
12/10/2016 14-5-0 73.68% +4250
12/11/2016 6-4-0 60.00% +800
12/12/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/13/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/14/2016 18-2-0 90.00% +7900
12/15/2016 7-2-1 77.78% +2400
12/16/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/17/2016 7-6-1 53.85% +200
12/18/2016 6-6-2 50.00% -300
12/19/2016 4-6-0 40.00% -1300
12/20/2016 12-10-0 54.55% +500

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 204-199-8 50.62% -7450

O/U Picks 208-198-5 51.23% -4900

BEST BETS:

12/20/16 - 5 - 4 - 1 +300

ATS: 40- 36 - 2 + 200

TOTALS: 40 - 27 + 5150

OCT/NOV
ATS: 98 - 93 - 4

OCT/NOV BIG PLAYS 4 - 3

DECEMBER BIG PLAYS: 34 -24