The Bum's 2016 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 15

New York @ Golden State

Game 709-710
December 15, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
121.213
Golden State
125.720
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 4 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 14
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+14); Over

Portland @ Denver

Game 707-708
December 15, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
115.272
Denver
119.880
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 4 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-1 1/2); Under

San Antonio @ Phoenix

Game 705-706
December 15, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
127.091
Phoenix
110.688
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 16 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 8 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-8 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Milwaukee

Game 703-704
December 15, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
115.240
Milwaukee
120.717
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 5 1/2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 3
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-3); Under

Indiana @ New Orleans

Game 701-702
December 15, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
112.188
New Orleans
120.681
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 8 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3 1/2
211
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-3 1/2); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 15

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INDIANA (13 - 13) at NEW ORLEANS (8 - 18) - 12/15/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (13 - 11) at MILWAUKEE (11 - 12) - 12/15/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 145-107 ATS (+27.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 10-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (20 - 5) at PHOENIX (8 - 17) - 12/15/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 967-844 ATS (+38.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 775-656 ATS (+53.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 327-256 ATS (+45.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 290-237 ATS (+29.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 389-312 ATS (+45.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHOENIX is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (13 - 14) at DENVER (9 - 16) - 12/15/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 9-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (14 - 11) at GOLDEN STATE (22 - 4) - 12/15/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 127-100 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 117-91 ATS (+16.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 68-47 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-51 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-42 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-104 ATS (-41.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 15

Bulls won four of last five games with Milwaukee; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Chicago won three of last five games in this building. Bulls lost four of last six games; they’re 5-1 in last six games as a road underdog. Three of Bulls’ last four games stayed under. Bucks lost last three games by 4-5-22 points; they’re 3-5 as home favorites. Last four Milwaukee games went over the total.

Pacers won their last ten games with New Orleans (8-1 vs spread in last nine); Indiana won last five visits to Bourbon Street (5-0 vs spread). Under is 6-1 in last seven series games. Pacers are 3-9 on road, 2-4 as road underdog; over is 9-3 in their road games. Pelicans lost six of their last seven games; they’re 5-9 at home, losing last four. Over is 9-4-1 in New Orleans home games.

Portland won nine of last ten games with Denver; Trailblazers won four of last five visits here. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Portland lost four of last five games; they’re 2-9 in last 11 road tilts. Over is 8-3 in Trailblazers’ last 11 games. Nuggets lost three of last four games, are 3-7 at home, losing last three at home. Over is 8-1-1 in Denver’s last ten games overall.

Spurs won last seven games with Phoenix (4-2-1 vs spread); San Antonio won last three games in desert, by 27-28-7 points. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Spurs beat Boston last night; they’re 9-4 as road favorites, 4-1 vs spread on road if they played night before. Over is 7-1 in their last eight games. Suns are 4-7 at home, 5-3 as a road underdog. Seven of last eight Phoenix games went over total.

Knicks lost six of last seven games with Golden State, losing four of last five visits to Oakland (1-4 vs spread). Four of last five series games stayed under. New York won four of last five road games, covered five of last six; they covered last four tries as a road underdog. Over is 4-1 in Knicks’ last five games. Golden State won six of last seven games; they’re 5-6 as home favorites. Four of Warriors’ last five games stayed under.




NBA

Thursday, December 15

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MILWAUKEE
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Chicago

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Indiana's last 25 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Indiana is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. DENVER
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Portland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games at home
Denver is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home

9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Phoenix is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games

10:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. GOLDEN STATE
New York is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA, players tentatively reach labor deal
December 14, 2016

MIAMI (AP) The NBA and its players have agreed in principle on a new collective bargaining agreement, one that still needs to be ratified by players and owners in the coming weeks.

The league announced the tentative agreement Wednesday night, one day before the sides faced a deadline for opting out of the current deal. It ensures the two sides will avoid the kind of ugly labor dispute that led to a lockout and missed games in 2011.

That deadline for opting out has now been extended to Jan. 13, with the NBA saying that's ''in order to give both sides enough time to review the terms of the agreement and vote to ratify.''

With both sides signing off, getting players and owners to pass the deal would likely be no more than a formality.

Three people briefed on the terms said the deal extends for seven seasons, with an opt-out possible after six. The people spoke on condition of anonymity because neither side was releasing exact details.

If the deal is ratified, the start of the season would be moved up a week, preseason games would be capped at six and there's a hope that one of the most dreaded elements of the schedule - the four-game-in-five-day stretches - would be eliminated.

Other details of the new proposed CBA include increases in values of rookie-scale contracts, minimum salaries and exceptions, with a 45 percent increase in minimum salaries across the board in the first year of the new agreement. The rookie deals will be proportionate to the salary cap, either rising or falling as that does. The average player salary is expected to hit $8.5 million next season and rise to $10 million by 2020-21 under the new terms.

Two-way contracts between the NBA and the D-League will be in play for the first time, which would figure to enhance player development. And contracts would be able to be extended for five, or in some cases, six years.

Neither NBA Commissioner Adam Silver nor NBPA executive director Michele Roberts spoke publicly after the tentative deal was announced. Some players reacted quickly on social media, including Golden State's Draymond Green - who said ''one day we will get it right.... maybe.''

Phoenix's Jared Dudley said he wasn't sure what Green meant. ''I really don't know anything about the deal,'' Dudley tweeted .

News broke of the tentative agreement just as Wednesday's games were starting. In San Antonio, before the Spurs played Boston, Celtics coach Brad Stevens reacted cautiously.

''I don't have any reaction until I know things are completed,'' Stevens said. ''Once that is a thing and we're made of it aware of it, I'll talk about it. I think the NBA is in a great place. I think we're all hopeful that something like that would happen.''

Heat coach Erik Spoelstra was briefed on the agreement after a victory over the Pacers on Wednesday night and said he felt a sense of relief.

''We're all very fortunate to be in this profession,'' Spoelstra said.

Talks have gone on for weeks, and unlike those surrounding the most recent deal between the league and its players, these were mostly amicable. Most of the major issues - such as keeping the split of basketball-related income the same as it is in the existing deal - were agreed upon weeks ago.

Included in the more than 400-page document is a new program that addresses domestic violence, sexual assault and child abuse. Players and their families will be provided with education, training and counseling and players facing allegations will be subject to a new investigation, discipline and appeals process.

Another key element was the league agreeing to help fund programs that aid retired players with education and medical expenses.

Still, some issues needed to get ironed-out, including ones related to licensing and marketing. The sides considered extending the opt-out deadline even before coming to the tentative agreement, and now only the voting remains before labor peace is ensured for up to seven more years.

NBA officials and players expressed optimism throughout the process, pointing to the league's skyrocketing revenue and salaries - thanks to a massive new television deal - and rising TV ratings.

From the outset, these talks seemed much different than the unfriendly discourse that went on five years ago, when the league and its players were so far apart that the 2011-12 season wound up getting shortened from 82 games per team to 66. The players were locked out for 161 games, resulting in a shortened season and plenty of frustration.

''I think they will get to a decision that's good for everybody,'' Miami guard Goran Dragic said in recent weeks.

Another issue previously known to be addressed in this proposed CBA was a deal where the league would help fund programs to help retired players with education and medical expenses.

---

[StarDust Bum]

Inside the Paint - Thursday
December 15, 2016

The second quarter of the NBA regular season is underway and similar to last year, the contenders have lived up to the expectations from the oddsmakers. Even though the league has had its fair share of repeat matchups in the NBA Finals, we’ve never seen the two teams meet in the finals for three consecutive years.

We’ve got a lot of season left, but taking a stab on Golden State-Cleveland III seems like a sound investment and you can get 5/7 odds (Bet $100 to win $70) at Sportsbook.ag.

Golden State has gone 22-4 straight up this season and some pundits might believe the club has underachieved, especially since it acquired All-Star Kevin Durant in the offseason.

The Warriors were 25-1 at this point last season without KD and that included a 24-0 start.

Has Golden State regressed or has the rest of the league improved?

For our purposes, the Warriors are 12-13-1 against the spread this year compared to a 17-8-1 ATS record during the same span last season. I put a lot of stock in point-spread production when evaluating a team and while those records might have you believing Golden State is down, it’s really not the case.

Offensively, Golden State is averaging 117.8 point per game, up from 113.3 PPG last season. The club is shooting 49.5 percent from the field, also up (48%) from last season. The defensive scoring has gone up from 104 PPG to 106.1 PPG but did you know Golden State is ranked third in field goal shooting defense (43.3%) behind a pair of clubs (Jazz and Grizzlies) that play at a super slow pace?

The reason the Warriors aren’t covering as much is because of the oddsmakers, who have done a tremendous job catering to Golden State’s high expectations.

In the first 26 games last season, the Warriors were listed as double-digit favorites 11 times. This season, that number is up to 19 and the club is just below .500 at the betting counter, which is impressive to say the least.

The Golden State-Over parlay combination is easily the most popular wager in the NBA but that brace has only connected six times this season.

Heading into Thursday’s home matchup versus the Knicks, the Warriors have failed to cover the number in four straight and the ‘under’ has cashed in all four games, which makes you believe the books have cleaned up lately.

Golden State opened -14 versus New York (14-11 SU, 15-10 ATS) with a total of 224. Normally I tend to lean to fading heavy favorites when they’re playing their first home game after a long road trip due to the travel factor. However, the matchup always comes first and the large number is justified in this spot.

The Knicks are currently the No. 3 seed in the East, which might be a surprise for many. I touched on New York’s success in Tuesday’s ITP column, which is attributed to their record vs. teams below .500 (9-2).

That formula will get the Knicks into the playoffs but an early exit is very likely knowing they’re just 4-9 against teams with winning records. Golden State has won four straight against New York and every win has come by double digits. The Warriors have gone 3-1 ATS during this span and the lone non-cover came in a 14-point win as 15 ½-point road favorites. The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 during this span.

Knicks point guard Derrick Rose (back) is ‘questionable’ for Thursday.

TNT will provide national coverage at 10:35 p.m. ET.

Along with the late-night tip, we have four other games on tap and every one of the matchups has very strong head-to-head angles to follow or fade.

Indiana at New Orleans: The Pacers have absolutely dominated this series recently, taking 11 straight (9-2 ATS) meetings against the Pelicans. Indiana lost 95-89 at Miami last night as its struggled on no rest this season, going 1-4 both SU and ATS with the defense getting diced up in these spots (112 PPG). While those angles could have you split on Indiana, make a note that New Orleans (-3) is just 1-5 both SU and ATS as a home favorite this season.

Chicago at Milwaukee: This will be the first game of a quick home-and-home set between the pair with the second meeting set at the United Center on Friday. The Bulls won and covered three of their last four encounters against the Bucks but the two games played at the Bradley Center were decided by four and five points. Unlike New Orleans, Milwaukee (-2 ½) has been a great investment this season as a home favorite, going 6-2 both SU and ATS. Make a note that the ‘over’ has gone 7-1 in those games.

San Antonio at Phoenix: No overnight number was posted but Spurs will likely be favored unless ‘Pop’ decides to rest everybody since they played last night. San Antonio held off Boston 108-101 at home on Wednesday and the fatigue factor hasn’t come into play yet this season with the club going 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on zero days rest. The lone loss took place at home while all five of the road wins were by seven or more points. The Suns nipped the Knicks 113-111 in overtime on Tuesday and bettors should be aware that Phoenix is 1-6 off a win this season, five losses by double digits. San Antonio swept all four games against Phoenix last season and it covered three of them. The Spurs won posted 118 and 117 in two trips to the desert and the ‘over’ cashed easily in those games.

Portland at Denver: Portland captured a solid 114-95 home win over Oklahoma City on Tuesday, which snapped a four-game slide. I didn’t expect that effort and if they can answer the bell again on Thursday, I’d be equally impressed considering this matchup will be their fourth in five nights. Confidence should be high for the Trail Blazers, who have won 13 of their last 14 games against the Nuggets and that includes a 112-105 win this season as 7 ½-point home favorites. Make a note that the last four games played at the Pepsi Center have been decided by six points or less. Denver has been installed as a small favorite (-1 ½) and is just 2-3 both SU and ATS in that role this season.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA RECORD + BEST BETS: ( ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS )

OVERALL BETS AND OPINIONS
12/01/2016 7-5-0 58.33% +750
12/02/2016 7-10-0 41.18% -2000
12/03/2016 10-8-0 55.56% +600
12/04/2016 2-6-0 25.00% -2300
12/05/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/06/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/07/2016 11-9-0 55.00% +550
12/08/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/09/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
12/10/2016 14-5-0 73.68% +4250
12/11/2016 6-4-0 60.00% +800
12/12/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/13/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/14/2016 18-2-0 90.00% +7900

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 184-175-7 51.25% -4250

O/U Picks 180-184-2 49.45% -11200

BEST BETS:

12/14 - 10 - 1 - 0 + 4450

ATS: 29- 22 +2 2400

TOTALS: 30 - 23 + 2350

OCT/NOV
ATS: 98 - 93 - 4

OCT/NOV BIG PLAYS 4 - 3

DECEMBER BIG PLAYS: 31 -20

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 15

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHI at MIL 08:00 PM

MIL -1.0 *****

O 205.0 *****

IND at NO 08:00 PM

NO -2.0

U 210.0 *****

SA at PHO 09:00 PM

SA -8.0

O 210.0 *****

POR at DEN 09:00 PM

DEN -2.0

O 220.5

NY at GS 10:30 PM

NY +17.0 *****

O 222.0 *****

[StarDust Bum]

NBA Capsules
December 16, 2016

MILWAUKEE (AP) Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 30 points and Jabari Parker added 28 to lead the Milwaukee Bucks to a 108-97 victory over the Chicago Bulls on Thursday night.

Milwaukee led the entire game and held a 24-point advantage early in the fourth quarter but had to hold on to snap a three-game losing streak, its longest of the season.

Antetokounmpo has totaled 88 points and 35 rebounds in his last three games, and Parker has reached at least 27 points in four of his past five.

Chicago lost for the fifth time in seven games and dropped its third straight on the road despite 21 points from Jimmy Butler and 20 from Dwyane Wade. The Bulls also got 19 points from Taj Gibson in the opener of a home-and-home between the teams on back-to-back nights.

PELICANS 102, PACERS 95

NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Anthony Davis had 35 points, 16 rebounds and five blocked shots, rookie Buddy Hield scored a career-high 21 and New Orleans defeated Indiana.

Davis highlighted a dynamic performance with two 3-pointers and a couple of driving dunks. He was at his best during a pivotal 15-0 Pelicans run inside the final 5 minutes, when he converted a three-point play on a dunk, hit a 3, added four free throws and blocked two shots.

Jrue Holiday, who started the surge with a driving layup, had 16 points.

Myles Turner scored 26 on 11-of-14 shooting for Indiana, but the Pacers missed eight straight shots during a 4-minute scoring drought late in the fourth quarter.

SPURS 107, SUNS 92

PHOENIX (AP) - Kawhi Leonard had 18 points and 10 rebounds, and Pau Gasol added 18 points and nine boards to lead San Antonio over Phoenix.

The Spurs (21-5) withstood the Suns' attempt to push the tempo after San Antonio had played Wednesday. San Antonio held Phoenix to 40 percent shooting and improved to an NBA-best 14-1 on the road.

After the Suns grabbed a 77-76 lead with 10:08 to play, the Spurs responded with an 11-0 run to take control for good.

Devin Booker's 17 points led the Suns, who missed a chance to win consecutive games for only the second time this season.

NUGGETS 132, TRAIL BLAZERS 120

DENVER (AP) - Danilo Gallinari scored 20 of his 27 points in the first half and Denver led big early before holding on late to beat Portland.

Gary Harris scored 18 in his return to the Nuggets' lineup. It was Denver's second win in the last 15 games against the Trail Blazers, who got 40 points and 10 assists from Damian Lillard.

CJ McCollum scored 23 for Portland, which has lost five of six.

The Nuggets snapped a three-game skid at Pepsi Center, where they are 4-7 this season.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s six-pack

— Seahawks 24, Rams 3– Seattle clinches the NFC West title.

— Rams were first NFL team with a logo on their helmet; it was designed by Fred Gehrke, who played for the Rams and whose grandson is Christian Yelich, the Marlins’ left-fielder.

— Former Villanova/NBA star Kerry Kittles is now an assistant coach at Princeton.

— Monmouth 82, Memphis 79— Statement win for the Hawks.

— 5-9 Marcus Keene has been a dynamo for Central Michigan this season; when he played at Youngstown State, he was listed at 5-11. Apparently the move to CMU cost him a couple of inches.

— Michael Floyd gets a DUI, is cut by Arizona, gets signed by the 1st-place Patriots. Players on cruddy teams will be driving drunk all weekend, trying to get cut so they can hook up with good teams.

Friday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) RIP Craig Sager; the TNT sideline reporter passed away Thursday at age 65, after a courageous battle with leukemia. Known for his colorful wardrobe, Sager inspired us with his toughness as he would commute from chemo treatments to NBA playoff games last spring, then go back for chemo treatments the next day.

“Time is something that cannot be bought, it cannot be wagered with God, and it is not in endless supply, time is simply how we live our lives.” RIP sir.

12) Derek Dooley is the Cowboys’ WR coach; he was fired as Tennessee’s football coach four years ago. This month he got the last of his payments from Tennessee for having coached there. Four years of checks without stepping foot in Knoxville; not bad.

11) Jordy Nelson has 17 red zone receptions (plays inside opponents’ 20-yard line), the most of anyone in the NFL.

10) Tom Brady’s career record against Denver is 6-9, the only NFL team he is under.500 against.

9) Our thoughts and prayers are with baseball great Rod Carew, who received both a new heart and a new kidney Thursday. What a hitter Carew was, a career .328 batter.

8) Chicago Bulls are the only NBA team this season that has scored more points on the foul line than they have on the 3-point arc.

7) Ole Miss signed a new offensive coordinator from I-AA Sam Houston State, a team that ran the Air Raid offense. Ole Miss HC Hugh Freeze was once a high school coach, so hiring a guy from a I-AA program is no big deal.

6) Sean Woods “resigned” as basketball coach at Morehead State, which probably means they gave him some money so he would go away and they wouldn’t have to fire him. One parent claimed Woods head-butted his son, one of the Morehead players, which obviously is not good.

5) NFL salary cap is expected to go up around $12M next year, so next time Richard Sherman whines about Thursday night games, maybe he should say whether or not he would be willing to take less of a salary if the NFL eliminated Thursday games. Maybe he would, maybe not.

4) 20 of 80 teams playing in bowl games had a 6-6 or worse record, part of the reason ESPN is having a harder time finding title sponsors for these games that featured such mediocre teams.

3) SEC Network is showing lot of basketball this month, but by God, except for Kentucky, does anyone in the SEC go to any of these games? Games at Alabama-Tennessee-Miss State-LSU, they seemed more like funerals than games on a college campus. After New Year’s, when conference games start, things will pick up but these December games have had practice-like atmospheres.

2) If you care about such things, Golden State Warriors are 4-0 as a road favorite when laying 7 or less points, 3-8 when laying 8+ points.

1) Given what happened earlier today, I’m not sure how any NBA player can simply take a day off now to “rest”. Live your life, use the gifts God gave you to entertain the public. Ron Boone played in 1,041 consecutive ABA/NBA games and his team didn’t travel on a chartered plane. Life is short, we need to do what we can, while we can.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s games

Home side won six of last seven Detroit-Washington games; Pistons lost last four visits here, by 43-12-4-4 points (2-2 vs spread). Four of last five series games stayed under the total. Detroit won five of its last six road games, is 1-2 as a road favorite- five of his last six games stayed under the total. Washington won three of its last four games, is 1-2 as a home underdog. Over is 7-1 in Wizards’ last eight games.

Magic won their last four games with Brooklyn, winning by 7-34 points in last two series games played here. Four of last five series games stayed under. Nets lost five of last seven games, are 4-5-1 as road underdogs; four of last five Brooklyn games went over total. Orlando lost four of last five games, is 2-3-2 as a home favorite. Five of last six Magic games went over the total.

Celtics won five of last six games with Charlotte; road team won last five series games. Teams split last four series games played here. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Hornets lost their last three games, are 3-2-1 as road underdogs. Over is 3-1 in their last four road games. Boston lost its last three games, is 4-4 as a home favorite (0-3 in last three). Under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Raptors won eight of last ten games with Atlanta; home side won last four series games. Hawks lost last three visits to Canada by 8-8-44 points. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Atlanta lost five of last six road games; they’re 3-6 as road underdogs. Last three Hawk road games went over total. Toronto won nine of its last ten games; they’re 8-3 as home favorites. Five of last six Raptor games went over total.

Bucks beat Chicago by 11 at home last nite, their first win in last four games; Milwaukee is 1-6 as a road underdog. Four of Bucks’ last five games went over total. Chicago won four of last six games with Milwaukee; Bucks lost four of last five visits to Milwaukee. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Bulls lost five of their last seven games; they’re 3-5 as home favorites. Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Grizzlies won nine of last ten games with Sacramento (7-3 vs spread); Memphis won last five series games played here, covered last three. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Kings lost six of last eight games, are 3-9 as road underdogs. Under is 6-2 in Kings’ last eight games. Memphis won seven of last eight games; they won last five home games (4-1 vs spread). Last five series games stayed under the total.

New Orleans lost six of last eight games, is 4-6-1 as a road underdog. Under is 8-4 in Pelican road games. Houston won its last eight games (6-2 vs spread); they’re 5-5 as home favorites. Over is 8-3 in their last eleven games. Rockets won five of last six games with New Orleans; Pelicans lost last three visits here, by 7-7-5 points. Six of last nine series games stayed under the total.

Lakers won four of last five games with Philly; they won three of last four visits here. Under is 5-1 in last six series games. Los Angeles lost its last eight games, is 1-7 in last eight games as a road underdog. Under is 5-1-1 in Lakers’ last seven road games. 76ers are 0-1 as a favorite this year; they’ve lost last seven home games, are 4-11SU at home, 4-2 vs spread in last six games overall. Four of last five Philly games stayed under the total.

Clippers won three of last four games with Miami; LA won by 17-7 points in last two visits here. Last three series games stayed under the total. Clippers won last three games by 28-1-5 points; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six games as a road favorite. Five of LA’s last six games went over the total. Heat won last two games by 11-6 points; they’re 3-4 as home underdogs. Four of last five Miami home games went over the total.

Mavericks won seven of last ten games with Utah; Dallas won four of last six games in this building. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Dallas is 1-12 on road, 4-9 as a road underdog. Four of last six Dallas games went over the total. Jazz won eight of last ten games, is 5-6 as a home favorite. Last three Utah games stayed under the total.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA BETTING TRENDS
ATS

7:35 pm 12/16/2016
(505) ATLANTA @(506) TORONTO
Play ON TORONTO against the spread in All games in all games.
The record is 18 Wins and 6 Losses this season (+11.4 units)
BET NOW!

7:35 pm 12/16/2016
(505) ATLANTA @(506) TORONTO
Play ON TORONTO against the spread in All games first half of the season.
The record is 18 Wins and 6 Losses this season (+11.4 units)
BET NOW!

------------------------------

NBA BETTING TRENDS
Money Line

8:05 pm 12/16/2016
(513) NEW ORLEANS @(514) HOUSTON
Play AGAINST NEW ORLEANS using the money line in All games vs. division opponents.
The record is 4 Wins and 14 Losses for the last two seasons (-14.75 units)
BET NOW!

8:05 pm 12/16/2016
(509) MILWAUKEE @(510) CHICAGO
Play ON CHICAGO using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 53 Wins and 39 Losses for the last three seasons (-53.5 units)
BET NOW!

8:05 pm 12/16/2016
(509) MILWAUKEE @(510) CHICAGO
Play ON CHICAGO using the money line in Home games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 28 Wins and 16 Losses for the last three seasons (-42.4 units)
BET NOW!

8:05 pm 12/16/2016
(515) LA LAKERS @(516) PHILADELPHIA
Play AGAINST PHILADELPHIA using the money line in Home games in December games.
The record is 41 Wins and 67 Losses since 1996 (-59.5 units)
BET NOW!

8:05 pm 12/16/2016
(511) SACRAMENTO @(512) MEMPHIS
Play ON MEMPHIS using the money line in Home games after a non-conference game.
The record is 32 Wins and 8 Losses for the last three seasons (+22.9 units)
BET NOW!

8:05 pm 12/16/2016
(517) LA CLIPPERS @(518) MIAMI
Play AGAINST LA CLIPPERS using the money line in All games after 3 or more consecutive overs.
The record is 7 Wins and 10 Losses for the last three seasons (-24.4 units)
BET NOW!

8:05 pm 12/16/2016
(513) NEW ORLEANS @(514) HOUSTON
Play ON HOUSTON using the money line in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game.
The record is 11 Wins and 2 Losses this season (+12.7 units)
BET NOW!

7:35 pm 12/16/2016
(505) ATLANTA @(506) TORONTO
Play AGAINST ATLANTA using the money line in All games revenging a loss vs opponent.
The record is 21 Wins and 28 Losses for the last two seasons (-27.65 units)
BET NOW!

7:05 pm 12/16/2016
(501) BROOKLYN @(502) ORLANDO
Play AGAINST ORLANDO using the money line in All games when the total is greater than or equal to 210.
The record is 5 Wins and 16 Losses for the last three seasons (-21.45 units)
BET NOW!

7:05 pm 12/16/2016
(501) BROOKLYN @(502) ORLANDO
Play AGAINST ORLANDO using the money line in All games when the total is greater than or equal to 210.
The record is 5 Wins and 15 Losses for the last two seasons (-20.45 units)
BET NOW!

[StarDust Bum]

NBA BETTING TRENDS
Half Time

8:05 pm 12/16/2016
(513) NEW ORLEANS @(514) HOUSTON
Play ON HOUSTON in the first half in All games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 12 Wins and 0 Losses this season (+12 units)
BET NOW!

8:05 pm 12/16/2016
(513) NEW ORLEANS @(514) HOUSTON
Play ON HOUSTON in the first half in All games as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line.
The record is 14 Wins and 2 Losses this season (+11.8 units)
BET NOW!

--------------------------------

NBA BETTING TRENDS
Half Time Under

10:35 pm 12/16/2016
(519) DALLAS @(520) UTAH
Play UNDER UTAH on the first half total in All games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 25 Overs and 60 Unders for the last three seasons (+32.5 units)
BET NOW!

10:35 pm 12/16/2016
(519) DALLAS @(520) UTAH
Play UNDER UTAH on the first half total in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game.
The record is 39 Overs and 84 Unders for the last three seasons (+41.1 units)
BET NOW!

8:05 pm 12/16/2016
(513) NEW ORLEANS @(514) HOUSTON
Play UNDER NEW ORLEANS on the first half total in Road games first half of the season.
The record is 11 Overs and 33 Unders for the last three seasons (+20.9 units)
BET NOW!

7:35 pm 12/16/2016
(507) CHARLOTTE @(508) BOSTON
Play UNDER BOSTON on the first half total in Home games against Southeast division opponents.
The record is 3 Overs and 17 Unders for the last three seasons (+13.7 units)
BET NOW!

7:35 pm 12/16/2016
(505) ATLANTA @(506) TORONTO
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the first half total in All games versus the 1rst half line in road games.
The record is 14 Overs and 45 Unders for the last two seasons (+29.6 units)
BET NOW!

7:35 pm 12/16/2016
(507) CHARLOTTE @(508) BOSTON
Play UNDER BOSTON on the first half total in All games against Southeast division opponents.
The record is 10 Overs and 35 Unders for the last three seasons (+24 units)
BET NOW!

7:05 pm 12/16/2016
(501) BROOKLYN @(502) ORLANDO
Play UNDER ORLANDO on the first half total in Home games after a non-conference game.
The record is 3 Overs and 15 Unders for the last two seasons (+11.7 units)
BET NOW!

----------------------------------------------

NBA BETTING TRENDS
Over

8:05 pm 12/16/2016
(517) LA CLIPPERS @(518) MIAMI
Play OVER LA CLIPPERS on the total in All games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 12 Overs and 1 Unders this season (+10.9 units)
BET NOW!

[StarDust Bum]

NBA RECORD + BEST BETS: ( ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS )

OVERALL BETS AND OPINIONS
12/01/2016 7-5-0 58.33% +750
12/02/2016 7-10-0 41.18% -2000
12/03/2016 10-8-0 55.56% +600
12/04/2016 2-6-0 25.00% -2300
12/05/2016 12-8-0 60.00% +1600
12/06/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/07/2016 11-9-0 55.00% +550
12/08/2016 6-6-0 50.00% -300
12/09/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
12/10/2016 14-5-0 73.68% +4250
12/11/2016 6-4-0 60.00% +800
12/12/2016 8-6-0 57.14% +700
12/13/2016 4-8-0 33.33% -2400
12/14/2016 18-2-0 90.00% +7900
12/15/2016 7-2-1 77.78% +2400

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 189-175-7 51.92% -1750

O/U Picks 182-186-3 49.46% -11300

BEST BETS:

12/15 - 3 - 2 - 1 + 400

ATS: 31- 22 +2 + 3400

TOTALS: 31 - 25 + 1750

OCT/NOV
ATS: 98 - 93 - 4

OCT/NOV BIG PLAYS 4 - 3

DECEMBER BIG PLAYS: 31 -20

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Friday, December 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Brooklyn's last 25 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games at home

7:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. BOSTON
Charlotte is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Boston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Charlotte

8:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. HOUSTON
New Orleans is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 15 games when playing New Orleans

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. PHILADELPHIA
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
LA Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Philadelphia is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Sacramento is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Memphis's last 15 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Memphis is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. MIAMI
LA Clippers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHICAGO
Milwaukee is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. UTAH
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 9 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, December 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (7 - 17) at ORLANDO (11 - 16) - 12/16/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (14 - 13) at WASHINGTON (10 - 14) - 12/16/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 57-82 ATS (-33.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 371-439 ATS (-111.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 141-183 ATS (-60.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (12 - 13) at TORONTO (18 - 7) - 12/16/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (14 - 12) at BOSTON (13 - 12) - 12/16/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (12 - 12) at CHICAGO (13 - 12) - 12/16/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 255-306 ATS (-81.6 Units) first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 10-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-5 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (9 - 16) at MEMPHIS (18 - 9) - 12/16/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (9 - 18) at HOUSTON (19 - 7) - 12/16/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
HOUSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (10 - 18) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 19) - 12/16/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 47-61 ATS (-20.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in December games this season.
LA LAKERS are 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 32-45 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-67 ATS (-35.7 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 111-153 ATS (-57.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (19 - 7) at MIAMI (9 - 17) - 12/16/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 250-302 ATS (-82.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
MIAMI is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 124-165 ATS (-57.5 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (6 - 19) at UTAH (16 - 10) - 12/16/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
UTAH is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 357-296 ATS (+31.4 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 468-392 ATS (+36.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 72-46 ATS (+21.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 310-257 ATS (+27.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, December 16

Dallas @ Utah

Game 519-520
December 16, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
112.974
Utah
130.384
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 17 1/2
179
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 12
186
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-12); Under

LA Clippers @ Miami

Game 517-518
December 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
126.766
Miami
114.646
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 12
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 7
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-7); Under

LA Lakers @ Philadelphia

Game 515-516
December 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
115.705
Philadelphia
113.517
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+1 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Houston

Game 513-514
December 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
112.522
Houston
132.075
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 19 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-11 1/2); Over

Sacramento @ Memphis

Game 511-512
December 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
114.657
Memphis
126.303
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 11 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
N/A

Milwaukee @ Chicago

Game 509-510
December 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
118.253
Chicago
117.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 4 1/2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+4 1/2); Under

Charlotte @ Boston

Game 507-508
December 16, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
116.066
Boston
125.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 10
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
N/A

Atlanta @ Toronto

Game 505-506
December 16, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
119.225
Toronto
124.863
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 5 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 7 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+7 1/2); Under

Detroit @ Washington

Game 503-504
December 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
121.665
Washington
118.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 3 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 1
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-1); Over

Brooklyn @ Orlando

Game 501-502
December 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
109.352
Orlando
119.467
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 10
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 6 1/2
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(-6 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's Tip Sheet
December 16, 2016

Home teams took care of business on Thursday night by winning four of five games in the NBA, while the Pelicans and Nuggets both won and covered as home favorites. The Spurs cruised past the Suns as eight-point road favorites, 107-92 to improve to 21-5 overall and 14-1 on the road. The Warriors returned from their long road trip and beat the undermanned Knicks, 103-90, but failed to cash as 17 ½-point favorites.

Game of the Night – Bucks at Bulls (-4 ½, 206) – 8:00 PM EST

These two Central division rivals meet for the second time in as many days after Milwaukee held off Chicago last night, 108-97 to snap a three-game losing streak. The Bucks jumped out to a 19-point halftime lead while owning as large as a 27-point advantage before Chicago cut the deficit to eight points with eight minutes remaining. Giannis Antetokounmpo led Milwaukee with 30 points and 14 rebounds, while Jabari Parker added 28 points for the Bucks, who improved to 9-6 at home.

Milwaukee has struggled with no rest this season by compiling an 0-4 SU/ATS record in this situation, as Jason Kidd’s squad has been limited to 83 points or fewer in three of those defeats. Chicago hasn’t fared much better on the second of a back-to-back by going 2-3 SU/ATS, while the Bulls are playing at home with no rest for the first time this season.

Chicago has dropped five of its past seven games since knocking off Cleveland two weeks ago, as the Bulls have posted a 1-6 ATS mark in this stretch. Fred Hoiberg’s team has failed to cash in its last four opportunities as a home favorite, but the Bulls beat the Bucks twice at the United Center last season with both victories coming by double-digits.

All that Jazz

Following an up and down first month of the season, Utah has rebounded back nicely by winning nine of its last 11 games. The Jazz sit atop the Northwest division with a 16-10 record following a 109-89 blowout of the Thunder on Wednesday to cash as 7 ½-point favorites. Utah is getting back to full health after forward Derrick Favors returned to the lineup on Wednesday following a 13-game absence due to a knee injury.

The Jazz go for their eighth home win in 10 tries tonight against a Mavericks’ squad that owns a dreadful 6-19 record. Dallas has lost 11 of 12 road contests this season, as the Mavs’ offense has scored 91 points or less in seven consecutive away games. The Mavs are making their second trip to Salt Lake City this season as Dallas lost at Utah on November 2 as 3 ½-point underdogs, 97-81. Tonight, the Jazz are listed as 12-point home favorites at Sportsbook.ag, as Dallas owns a 2-4 ATS record as a double-digit underdog.

Revenge of the Hawks

The last time Atlanta traveled north of the border, the Hawks were destroyed by the Raptors, 128-84 in early December as 8 ½-point underdogs. The Hawks are 7 ½-point ‘dogs tonight in their return to Air Canada Center as Atlanta has lost 11 of its past 14 games since a 9-2 start. The Raptors remain in first place of the Atlantic division at 18-7, including a 10-4 record at home. Toronto is the hottest ATS team currently in the league at 11-1 ATS the last 12 games, including a 7-0 ATS mark as a favorite of seven points or more in this stretch.

Shooting for 20

The Clippers continue their Sunshine State tour tonight after holding off the Magic on Wednesday, 113-108 to improve to 19-7. Los Angeles travels south to Miami tonight to face a Heat squad that is coming off back-to-back wins over the Wizards and Pacers. The Clippers are riding a 6-2 mark to the OVER the last eight games, while busting the 113-point mark six times in this stretch. Los Angeles has slumped from an ATS perspective recently by failing to cash in four of the past five games, but the Clippers won and covered in both meetings last season with the Heat.

Without Walker

Hornets’ leading scorer Kemba Walker will miss his first game of the season tonight at Boston to tend to a personal matter. The Celtics are expected to have their leading scorer back this evening as Isaiah Thomas will return following a four-game absence with a groin injury. Since beating Orlando on December 7, the Celtics have lost three straight games, including Wednesday’s setback at San Antonio.

Charlotte searches for its first road win on its current five-game trip after losing at Cleveland, Indiana, and Washington, while falling at home to Boston in late October, 104-98. The Hornets have won two of the last three visits to TD Garden, including a 114-100 triumph in Boston last season.

Head-to-head stats

-- The Wizards captured three of four meetings from the Pistons last season as the two teams meet tonight in Washington. The Pistons were limited to 95 points or less in the three losses, while Washington is 4-0 in the past four home meetings with Detroit.

-- Orlando swept the four-game set from Brooklyn last season, including the Magic dropping 139 points on the Nets in their final matchup. Three of the four games finished UNDER the total, as the Nets were limited to 93 points or fewer three times.

-- Memphis has dominated Sacramento over the years by winning nine of the last 10 meetings since November 2013, including a three-game sweep last season. The Grizzlies won both home matchups last season as 3 ½-point favorites, winning by four and six points.

-- Houston and New Orleans meet for the first time this season at Toyota Center as the Rockets went 3-1 last season against the Pelicans. In both meetings in Houston, each game finished UNDER the total as tonight’s total is listed at 220.

-- The Lakers and 76ers hook up in Philadelphia as the home team won each matchup last season. Los Angeles has won three of the past four meetings in Philadelphia, as the Lakers look to snap an 0-8 SU/ATS stretch the last eight games overall.