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**Udog** · 10-03-2016, 01:37 PM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks this week in the Westgate Super Contest

1) Jets +2.5 (661)– L

2) Broncos -3 (592)- W

3) Panthers -3 (541)– L

4) Patriots -5.5 (502)– L

5) 49ers +2.5 (460)– L

6) Raiders +3.5 (440)– W

Season record of top 6 picks: 2-4 this week (6-18 for season)

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Jaguars 30, Colts 27— College games end at like 2am Saturday night; having an NFL game on from England at 9:30am ET is a bit much. Jags are now 2-2 in London the last four years; all four of those games went over the total- they led this game 23-7 after three quarters, then held on. As for the Colts, they’re 1-3, allowing 30+ points in all three losses- they needed a 63-yard TD in last 1:30 for their only win last week. Pretty soon, the Nick Saban-to-Indy rumors should be popping up.

Bills 16, Patriots 0— New England is so sure they’re going to win the AFC East, they basically forfeited this game, playing a rookie QB (who already had an injured thumb) with a WR (Edelman) as his backup. No emergency backup QB, they just got this game over with, now Brady returns next week and things will return to normal and they can coast to yet another division title.

Redskins 31, Browns 20— Jerry Izenberg once wrote a book about Bill Parcells called, “No Medals for Trying”, which sums up the Browns’ first four games. Cleveland led 20-17 after third quarter; natives were drawing up impeachment papers for coach Gruden, but Redskins drove 91-39 yards for 4th quarter TDs to even their record at 2-2.

Seahawks 27, Jets 17— Sometimes teams don’t like an early bye too much, but for Seattle, their Week 5 bye couldn’t come at a better time; Russell Wilson needs to heal up. Seahawks had a 13-yard advantage in field position here. In their last two games, Jets have had 21 drives, 11 turnovers (-10); their offense scored one TD, allowed two TDs. I suppose they could bench QB Fitzpatrick, but then Geno Smith would have to play.

Texans 27, Titans 20— Only second half TD came on game-winning punt return by Houston; O’Brien’s play-calling produced TDs on Texans’ first two drives, but then only six points on last nine drives. Tennessee gave up the punt return TD and gave Houston a gift FG when they had 12 men on the field while Texans were trying to punt. Marcus Mariota was very unimpressive; he looks like a college-level passer and he only ran the ball four times for 20 yards.

Bears 17, Lions 14— Rumors are popping up that Detroit wants to hire Josh McDaniels as its next coach, with Jimmy Garoppolo as their new QB. Be careful what you wish for; Stafford is a pretty good QB (43-53 career record, with 0-2 playoff mark); he is still only 28, but you could probably get a good package for him in a trade. Lions’ only TD in this game came on a punt return. Hoyer passed for 302 yards as Bears got their first win this year.

Falcons 48, Panthers 33— Ryan passed for 504 yards, which is a lot harder when your team was winning the whole game- he averaged 12 yards per attempt. Atlanta’s last three TDs all came on plays of 35+ yards; they’re averaging over 7 yards per play, for the season. Cam Newton left with a concussion; Carolina is 1-3, after being 17-2 last year. Losing the Super Bowl does funny things to a team.

Raiders 28, Ravens 27— Baltimore rallied from down 21-12 with 7:00 left to take lead with 3:36 left, but Oakland drove 66 yards in six plays to win its third straight road game. Yardage was 412-261 Ravens; Oakland had 9-yard edge in field position in penalty-filled game. Two of Raiders’ four TDs came on drives of only 6-29 yards.

Saints 35, Chargers 34— Drew Brees wins his homecoming to San Diego. Horrific loss for Chargers, who’ve led by double digits in all four games, but are 1-3. Bolts led 24-14 at half, had ball up 34-21 with 6:50 left, but turned ball over three times on their last six offensive plays of the game. If you’re trying to get a new stadium and you need to win a vote on Election Day to get it, coughing up double digit leads every week is no bueno.

Cowboys 24, 49ers 17— Dallas rallies back from down 14-0 to win again as Dak Prescott is now 3-1 as an NFL starter. Good balance for Cowboys (194 running yards, 234 passing); Blaine Gabbert is now 9-30 as an NFL starter; Colin Kaepernick has a $60M guaranteed contract, but can’t beat him out.

Broncos 27, Buccaneers 7— Very rough day for Jameis Winston (17-35, 179 yards, two INTs). Another lightning delay in 4th quarter; wonder if Bucs will have more 1:00 home games early next season? Broncos were +3 in turnovers, had 14-yard edge in field position. Siemian hurt his left shoulder; rookie Lynch was 14-24/170 in relief. Denver hosts red-hot Atlanta next week in one of Week 5’s best matchups.

Rams 17, Cardinals 13— The difference between winning and losing teams in the NFL is very, very thin; last three weeks, Ram defense has been on field in last 2:00 of all three games, with other team driving to take the lead, but none of them did. LA is finding ways to win. This was also third time in last five games with Arizona that Rams KO’d Carson Palmer from the game.

Steelers 43, Chiefs 14— One of worst NFL games I’ve seen in long time; KC has scored three offensive TDs in their last three games. This seems like a good time to point out that Antonio Brown’s father Eddie once scored nine TD’s in an Arena Football League game for the Albany Firebirds, 1999 Arena Bowl champs. So far in Week 4, favorites are 5-9 vs spread, home teams 7-7, over 7-7.

**Udog** · 10-03-2016, 01:38 PM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win the World Series:

7-4– Chicago Cubs

5-1– Texas Rangers

6-1– Boston Red Sox

7-1– Los Angeles Dodgers/Washington Nationals

14-1– Cleveland Indians, Toronto Blue Jays

20-1– New York Mets

25-1– Baltimore Orioles, San Francisco Giants

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but………

13) Tennessee won their game Saturday at Georgia on a Hail Mary on the last play of the game; Pitt Panthers scored a pick-6 on the last play of their game against Marshall.

In both games, the PAT wasn’t tried after the TD, because time had run out, which was bad news for gamblers who had the two favorites, since both failed to cover by half a point.

12) Home teams are 13-3 vs spread in SEC conference games so far, 10-2 in Pac-12 games; in all the other conferences combined, home teams are 29-34 vs spread in conference play.

11) This year and last, Toronto Blue Jays are a combined 181-142, but just 35-53 in one-run games.

10) Heard some good news over the weekend; 71-year old Sam Wyche, the former NFL coach (Bengals/Bucs) received the heart transplant he needed. Has to be a weird thing, waiting for someone else to pass away (often unexpectedly) so you can have their heart.

9) Baylor has an odd football schedule; they’re off on both October 8 and 22 and play doormat Kansas on the 15th, so basically they have three open dates in a row. They should be unbeaten when they play TCU/Oklahoma back-to-back later on.

8) There were 12 catcher interference calls this year when Jacoby Ellsbury was hitting; with all the baseball I watch every night, think I saw one catchers’ interference the whole season. It doesn’t happen very often.

7) College basketball practices started last weekend; from reports on Twitter, every single practice went really, really well. Either that, or the team who had lousy practices stayed off of social media.

6) Had to laugh the other night; was watching a Bruins-Red Wings NHL preseason game- the announcers spent a good five minutes discussing how many teeth a certain player had knocked out by a slap shot last year. Losing 13, 14 teeth- that had to hurt. Hockey players are tough.

5) North Carolina’s punter is a 27-year old freshman from Australia.

4) BYU’s kicker is the grandson of former Cougars’ coach LaVell Edwards. Speaking of BYU, their first five games this year were decided by a total of 11 points.

3) I despise taunting penalties; either let ‘em talk a little, or just throw a flag and call it offsetting penalties. Picking out the instigator is stupid— it goes on the whole game. Very subjective as to who started what. NFL football is VERY over-officiated— too damn many penalty flags.

2) Evander Holyfield’s son is a freshman running back at Georgia.

1) Houston Astros were 28-25 in one-run games this year, ending a dismal streak from 2011-2015, where they went 93-148 in games decided by one run.

**Udog** · 10-03-2016, 01:38 PM

WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 4

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LOS ANGELES (28 - 9) at CHICAGO (20 - 18) - 10/4/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games on Tuesday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 8-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 8-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Tuesday, October 4

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. CHICAGO
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Chicago's last 15 games
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 10-04-2016, 10:02 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 4

Los Angeles @ Chicago

Game 601-602
October 4, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
112.989
Chicago
114.543
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
173
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 7
168
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+7); Over

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Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 10/4

Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 10/4

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