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Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/4

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  • Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 9/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, September 4

    Good Luck on day #248 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Thoughts on the Bradford-to-Minnesota trade

    — Eagles get a 1st and 4th-round pick; if Minnesota makes NFC title game, it becomes 3rd-round pick, if they win Super Bowl, a 2nd-rounder.

    — Norv Turner is Bradford’s 6th offensive coordinator in seven years.

    — Vikings TE coach Pat Shurmur was with Bradford in Philly LY and for two years in St Louis as the offensive coordinator.

    — Bradford’s career won-loss record: 25-37-1; he was a college teammate of Adrian Peterson at Oklahoma. Not sure he is worth a 1st-round pick.

    — Rookie QB Carson Wentz will start for the Eagles next week if his ribs have healed. Otherwise Chase Daniel (two starts in six years) will start.

    — If Vikings traded a 1st-round pick, there has to be serious concern about Teddy Bridgewater’s leg ever recovering enough for him to play well again. Hopefully he can come back but apparently it was a terrible injury.

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

    ege football Saturday

    13) Not a great weekend for the SEC. Here’s a look…..

    Losses
    Mississippi State (led 17-0) lost 21-20 to South Alabama.
    Kentucky (led 35-10) lost 44-35 to Southern Miss.
    LSU lost 16-14 to Wisconsin; when will they recruit a decent QB?
    Missouri lost 26-11 at West Virginia.
    Auburn lost 19-13 at home to Clemson (more on this game later).

    Wins that seemed like losses
    Tennessee 20, Appalachian State 13 OT– Vols were a 20.5-point favorite.
    Arkansas 21, Louisiana Tech 20– Hogs scored winning TD with 6:37 left; total yardage in game was 297-291- they were favored by 21.
    Florida 24, UMass 7– Game was 10-7 in 4th quarter.
    South Carolina 13, Vandy 10– Conference opener was a dud.

    Solid wins
    Texas A&M 31, UCLA 24 OT– Aggies led 24-9 with 4:30 left, but still……..
    Alabama 52, USC 6– Total ass-kicking. Tank job by the Trojans.
    Georgia 33, North Carolina 24– Good debut for Kirby Smart’s Dawgs.

    Ole Miss plays Florida State Monday night.

    12) Houston 33, Oklahoma 23– Games like this one and the LSU game are why bigtime coaches don’t like to go on the road to play good teams- you can actually lose. If/when Houston joins the Big X Conference or another Power 5 league, coach Tom Herman will get a check for $5M. Seriously.

    11) Minnesota Gophers’ coach Tracy Claeys is my new hero; Thursday nite he did something I’ve always advocated for, but never thought I would see. Here’s what happened…….

    Gophers led Oregon State 24-23 late in game; they scored a TD with 1:27 left to make it 30-23, but instead of kicking the PAT, Claeys had his team go for 2, because if he makes, it, THE GAME IS OVER!!!! (they’d be up 9 instead of 8 with 1:27 left). If they don’t make it, they still lead by 7 with 1:27 left, and could only lose in OT.

    Former Minnesota/Kansas coach Glen Mason was the TV analyst; you could almost hear his arteries hardening as he criticized going for 2– he restrained himself, but you could tell he thought it was dumb. That’s why he is in a TV booth now.

    Long story short; they didn’t get the two points, Oregon State got the ball back down 7, but Minnesota held on for the win. It took onions for Claeys to do something against the grain in his first game as the fulltime coach. Good for him!!!!

    10) Teams that lost to I-AA “patsies” this weekend:
    Buffalo lost 22-16 to Albany– My alma mater with the upset.
    Virginia lost 37-20 to Richmond– Bad debut for Bronco Mendenhall.
    Iowa State lost 25-20 to Northern Iowa– Good luck in Big X games.
    Washington State lost 45-42 to Eastern Washington– 2nd year in row Coogs open with a I-AA loss.
    Nevada needed OT to beat Cal Poly 30-27, but at least they won.

    9) Odd game of the week: Texas State 56, Ohio U 54 OT– Battle of the Bobcats (both teams’ mascot). Texas State led 14-6 at half, but 17 points were scored in last 0:51 of regulation, then TSU stopped Ohio’s 2-point play in the third OT and got out of town with a win as a 17-point dog.

    8) BYU 18, Arizona 16– Game ended at just about 2am, as I sit here typing this. How great is FOX officiating analyst Mike Pereira? It is 2am, there is an obscure rules question and Pereira appears on camera– why is he still there? He has a knack for explaining things clearly and is TV gold.

    Both teams scored in last minute of this game, by the way.

    7) Western Michigan 22, Northwestern 21– 12-2 weekend for Big 14, with Wisconsin’s win the highlight; most of the wins were against stiffs, though. Joe Flacco’s brother is backup QB for Western Michigan.

    6) TCU 59, South Dakota State 41– Adam Vinatieri’s nephew plays for the Jackrabbits; not surprisingly, he is the kicker. TCU’s defense needs work; this game was 24-24 at the half.

    5) Who is happiest about the Sam Bradford trade? Cleveland Browns, who have the Eagles’ #1 pick next April. If Philly plays Carson Wentz this year, chances are they won’t make the playoffs, since rookie QBs usually struggle. Browns should get a decent draft pick next spring.

    4) Southern Miss 44, Kentucky 35– Wildcats led USM 35-10, the same Golden Eagle squad that had lost 13 in a row to SEC foes. Shannon Dawson was Kentucky’s OC LY; they fired him after one year. He has the same job at Southern Miss now; think this game meant a lot to him?

    3) South Alabama 21, Mississippi State 20– USA’s defensive coordinator is the son of Ole Miss’ defensive coordinator; think the family enjoyed this upset of the Rebels’ archrival? State led 17-0 at the half, too.

    2) Clemson 19, Auburn 13– Football coaches who make $1M+ a year shouldn’t screw up game management as much as they do. Down 10 early in 4th quarter, Auburn twice went for it on 4th down in easy FG range, and wound up getting zero on the drive. Gus Malzahn was a high school coach not that long ago; some of his decisions remind us of that.

    1– Fact of the Day: 1983 Miami Hurricanes were last college football national champ that lost their season opener.

    Comment


    • #3
      WNBA
      Dunkel

      Sunday, September 4



      Washington @ Dallas

      Game 651-652
      September 4, 2016 @ 4:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Washington
      105.576
      Dallas
      110.617
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Dallas
      by 5
      157
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Dallas
      by 3
      163
      Dunkel Pick:
      Dallas
      (-3); Under

      San Antonio @ Chicago


      Game 653-654
      September 4, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      San Antonio
      101.238
      Chicago
      114.802
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Chicago
      by 13 1/2
      155
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Chicago
      by 11
      160
      Dunkel Pick:
      Chicago
      (-11); Under

      Seattle @ Atlanta


      Game 655-656
      September 4, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Seattle
      113.712
      Atlanta
      110.272
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Seattle
      by 3 1/2
      167
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Atlanta
      by 4
      162
      Dunkel Pick:
      Seattle
      (+4); Over

      Connecticut @ Minnesota


      Game 657-658
      September 4, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Connecticut
      114.189
      Minnesota
      120.370
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Minnesota
      by 6
      170
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Minnesota
      by 11
      162
      Dunkel Pick:
      Connecticut
      (+11); Over

      Indiana @ Los Angeles


      Game 659-660
      September 4, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Indiana
      110.934
      Los Angeles
      115.946
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Los Angeles
      by 5
      154
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Los Angeles
      by 9
      160 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Indiana
      (+9); Under





      WNBA
      Long Sheet

      Sunday, September 4


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WASHINGTON (10 - 17) at DALLAS (9 - 20) - 9/4/2016, 4:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WASHINGTON is 292-347 ATS (-89.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
      WASHINGTON is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in road games in August or September games since 1997.
      WASHINGTON is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1997.
      WASHINGTON is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
      DALLAS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games this season.
      DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
      DALLAS is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in home games this season.
      DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against Eastern conference opponents this season.
      DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
      DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      DALLAS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
      DALLAS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
      DALLAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
      DALLAS is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
      DALLAS is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
      DALLAS is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
      WASHINGTON is 4-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SAN ANTONIO (6 - 21) at CHICAGO (14 - 13) - 9/4/2016, 6:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SAN ANTONIO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more this season.
      CHICAGO is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SAN ANTONIO is 5-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      CHICAGO is 3-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SEATTLE (11 - 17) at ATLANTA (14 - 13) - 9/4/2016, 6:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ATLANTA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      ATLANTA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      SEATTLE is 108-80 ATS (+20.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 4-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
      ATLANTA is 3-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CONNECTICUT (11 - 17) at MINNESOTA (23 - 5) - 9/4/2016, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CONNECTICUT is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
      CONNECTICUT is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
      CONNECTICUT is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
      CONNECTICUT is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      CONNECTICUT is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
      CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
      CONNECTICUT is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CONNECTICUT is 5-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
      MINNESOTA is 3-3 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      INDIANA (13 - 14) at LOS ANGELES (23 - 5) - 9/4/2016, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      INDIANA is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
      INDIANA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
      INDIANA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      INDIANA is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
      INDIANA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      INDIANA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      INDIANA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
      INDIANA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
      INDIANA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
      INDIANA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
      LOS ANGELES is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
      LOS ANGELES is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
      LOS ANGELES is 52-82 ATS (-38.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 since 1997.
      LOS ANGELES is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games against Eastern conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      LOS ANGELES is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      LOS ANGELES is 162-205 ATS (-63.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
      LOS ANGELES is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
      LOS ANGELES is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      INDIANA is 4-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
      LOS ANGELES is 4-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      WNBA

      Sunday, September 4


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      4:30 PM
      WASHINGTON vs. DALLAS
      The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Washington's last 24 games when playing Dallas
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Dallas
      Dallas is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
      Dallas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

      6:00 PM
      SEATTLE vs. ATLANTA
      Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
      Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
      Atlanta is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle

      6:00 PM
      SAN ANTONIO vs. CHICAGO
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Chicago
      Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games at home

      7:00 PM
      INDIANA vs. LOS ANGELES
      Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      Indiana is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing Indiana
      Los Angeles is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Indiana

      7:00 PM
      CONNECTICUT vs. MINNESOTA
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
      Connecticut is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
      Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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