Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/19

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, July 19

Good Luck on day #201 of 2016!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Lot of Republicans hate Donald Trump; someone planted blatant plagiarism into Melania Trump's speech last night, mirroring a Michelle Obama speech from 2008 to make the candidate look bad. This year, making people look bad isn't so hard.

-- No actual politician would be stupid enough to plagiarize and thinking you can get away with it, not in this day and age. Unless it was intentional.

-- Mariners 4, White Sox 3-- Chris Sale threw eight shutout innings on 100 pitches, but was lifted after the 8th with a 3-0 lead. Aaron Lind hit a 3-run walkoff homer.

-- It is July 19 and the Jets haven't signed their starting quarterback yet.

-- Twins fired GM Terry Ryan; not only does Minnesota stink, they owe Hughes and Mauer a total of $86M, after this season.

-- RIP Marion Campbell. Known as the Swamp Fox, the former NFL coach was a defensive wizard who played for the 1960 Eagles' title team.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Looking at Mountain West football......

Air Force-- 9-2-1 vs spread at home last two years; they were +22 in turnovers back in 2009, re -16 since then. Lost three of last four bowls, allowing 38.8 ppg; are 7-16 vs spead coming off a loss.

Boise State-- 27-4 SU in Mountain West last five years; won four of last five bowls (3-1 vs Pac-12 teams). Are only 11-20 as home favorite since 2011, 4-3 as underdogs last decade, 9-3 vs spread coming off a loss. +76 in turnovers last seven years.

Colorado State-- Rams are 12-4 as home favorites since '12, 10-18 as road underdog since '08. State is 16-9 SU in league snce '13- they lost 45-10/28-23 in last two bowls. Underdog is 3-1-1 vs spread in their last five games with Colorado.

Fresno State-- Bulldogs are 9-17 last two years; their 3-9 record LY was worst since 1978. Fresno is 12-7 as home favorite under DeRuyter, but 6-11 as home dog since 2006. Fresno lost its last five bowl games, last four by 23+ points.

Hawai'i-- Last bowl was in 2010, last bowl win in '06; new coach is an alum. Open this season in Australia, against Cal. Rainbows are 1-6 as home favorite, 6-11 as dog at home- they were last favored on road in 2011. Are -54 in turnovers last four years.

Nevada-- Covered 10 of last 12 road games, six of last seven as road dog; they're 14-4 vs spread coming off a loss. Are 18-20 SU last three years, despite its +27 turnover ratio. Wolf Pack lost three of last four bowls, has 10 starters back on offense.

UNLV-- 32-92 SU last 10 years, 20-59 in league. Rebels are 13-5 as road dogs the last three years, 1-8 as home dogs last since '14. Have JC QB who was at Nebraska, so he knows Cotton's offense. Have been to one bowl since 2000, lost that one.

New Mexico-- 18-32 under Davie (3-33 three years before him). LY was first bowl since '07; are 10-5 as road underdog since then, but 15-21-1 as home dog. Last bowl they were in that wasn't on home field was in 2004- have 10 starters back on defense.

San Diego State-- Were +22 in turnovers LY, after being -16 previous six seasons. Aztecs are 6-2 as road favorite since '12, 16-7-1 off win since '13- they're 2-3 in last five bowls (were favored in 4 of 5). State is 13-15 as home favorite under Long. .

San Jose State-- Favorites covered 20 of their last 24 games; covered 8 of last 10 as favorite; they're 1-9 vs spread in last 10 games as road dog. Spartans won last four bowls; last bowl loss was in '87. State is -22 in turnovers last three years.

Utah State-- Won 23 of last 26 home games, have only three defensive starters back this year. Aggies are 27-13 as road dogs since '07, 12-8 as home favorites since 2012. Have had a new offensive and new defensive coordinator in each of last three years.

Wyoming-- Last bowl was in 2011; last bowl win was in '09. 8-14 vs spread in last 22 home games; 4-8 as home faves since '12. Had only 7 seniors LY, have 18 now, and 17 starters back. Cowboys are 24-11 as road underdogs since 2009.

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, July 19


Chicago @ Phoenix

Game 653-654
July 19, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
109.677
Phoenix
114.980
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 5 1/2
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 3
173 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-3); Under

Los Angeles @ Indiana

Game 651-652
July 19, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
115.498
Indiana
112.969
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 2 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 6 1/2
160
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+6 1/2); Under




WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, July 19

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LOS ANGELES (20 - 2) at INDIANA (10 - 12) - 7/19/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (10 - 12) at PHOENIX (10 - 13) - 7/19/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Tuesday, July 19

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Los Angeles is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Indiana is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Los Angeles
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

10:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. PHOENIX
Chicago is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home


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[Udog]

WNBA Betting Recap - 7/11-7/17

League Betting Notes (Monday, July 11 through Sunday, July 17)

-- Favorites went 12-3 straight up (SU)
-- Favorites went 8-7 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 9-6 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 9-6 ATS record
-- The 'under' went 9-6

Team Betting Notes

-- It was a rare trying week for Los Angeles (20-2), as they were taken to overtime in Connecticut (6-16), and then they were drummed Sunday at Atlanta (12-11) by a 91-74 score. After opening the season 8-2 ATS over the first 10 games, the Sparks are just 4-8 ATS over the past 12 outings.

-- The Dream had its best game of the season in their rout of the Sparks. They entered the game just 6-10 ATS over the past 16 outings. The 'over' result Sunday also snapped a three-game 'under' run for Atlanta.

-- New York (17-7) picked up a seven-point win against the Sun Sunday, but narrowly missed out on a cover. It's nothing new for the Liberty, as they're just 2-5 ATS over the past seven games, and 5-8-2 ATS over the past 15 outings. They're also 2-8 ATS over the past 10 games at home.

-- Minnesota (19-4) won their fourth game in a row with an overtime road victory in Dallas (9-14). While the Lynx won the game, they failed to cover and are just 1-3 ATS over the past four outings on the road.

-- The Wings are in a tailspin, losing four straight games, and seven of the past nine straight up. They slapped the brakes on a three-game non-cover streak.

-- Washington (9-13) is in the thros of a five-game losing streak, and they're not covering, either. They're just 1-3 ATS over the past four outings. After an amazing 12-0 'over' streak to start the season, the 'under' has cashed in seven of the past 10 for the Mystics.

-- Phoenix (10-13) had one of the best weeks of the season, pushing aside San Antonio (5-17) and Washington, splitting against the number. The 'under' hit in both games, and is now 4-1 in the past five games for the Mercury.

-- For the Stars, they have dropped four in a row and are no longer covering, either. They're just 1-3 ATS over the past four games. One constant has been totals, as the 'under' is a perfect 5-0 on their past five games, and 7-2 in the past nine.