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Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/5

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  • Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, July 5

    Good Luck on day #187 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    -- Kevin Durant banks $54M for two years from the Warriors; Durant can opt out after next season. $1.6M day for his agent, at 3%.

    -- Mark Cuban was one of two owners to vote against the NBA stealing the Sonics from Seattle and moving them to Oklahoma City.

    -- Rajon Rondo got $28M for two years from Chicago, Pau Gasol $30M from the Spurs for two years, Harrison Barnes $94M for four years from Dallas.

    -- In non-NBA financial news, I found 83 cents under the cushions in my couch.

    -- Milwaukee Brewers won 1-0 in Washington, but also batted out of order.

    -- Joey Chestnut downed 70 weiners to win the Nathan's hot dog eating contest in Brooklyn yesterday. They need to bring Kobiyashi back for some competition.

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Looking at ACC football teams.....

    Boston College-- Went 0-8 in ACC LY; last time they were better than 7-6 was '09. Lost last five bowl games, after winning eight in row before that. Completed 44.6% of their passes LY-- grad transfer QB Patrick Towles started 22 games at Kentucky, and he should help the BC offense a great deal.

    Clemson-- 56-12 last five years, with a +11 turnover margin, surprisingly low; scored 39.3 ppg in last four bowl/playoff games. 5-10 vs spread in true road games last three years. 29-4 in ACC games last four years, with three losses to Florida State and one at Georgia Tech in 2014.

    Duke-- Played in bowls last four years, with average total of 83.5- last three of those were decided by 5 or less points. Are 13-7 as home favorites last four years, 5-1-1 as road favorites the last decade, 12-3 in non-ACC games last three seasons.

    Florida State-- Fisher is 68-14 at FSU, 32-3 in ACC games last four years. Lost last two bowls, allowing 97 points; they're 26-16-2 all-time in bowls. Have all 11 starters back on offense this year. FSU is 23-16-1 as a home favorite under Fisher.

    Georgia Tech-- Slipped to 3-9 LY, first losing year since 2010- went 1-9 in last ten games, but win was over Florida State. Johnson is 107-73 as I-A coach, just 4-7 in bowl games; triple option is easier to defend when you have full month to prep for it.

    Louisville-- Petrino has 17 starters back, including top six rushers, top 10 WRs, so expect them to score a lot- they went 8-5 with freshman QB LY. Cards are 9-15 as home favorites last four years, Won last five games (3-1-1 vs spread) with Kentucky.

    Miami-- Alum Mark Richt (145-51 at Georgia, 9-5 in bowls) is new coach. Lost last five bowl games, scoring just 15 ppg- they were favored in three of them. Canes are 16-9-1 vs spread at home last four years. Have junior QB Kaaya back-- he's started 25 games the last two years.

    North Carolina-- Went 11-3 LY, their best year since '97. Are 15-9 as home favorite under Fedora, 4-7 as road underdog. Lost three of last four bowls, allowing 40+ points in the losses. Play Florida State-Va Tech-Miami on consecutive Saturdays early on.

    NC State-- Wolfpack is 6-18 in ACC games under Doeren, 8-15-1 vs spread- LY they were 0-7 vs bowl eligible teams. Favorites are 10-4-1 vs spread in their road games last three years. New OC, new QB are both transfers from Boise State.

    Pittsburgh-- Had four coaches the last six years; have 8 starters back on both sides of ball this year, so some welcomed continuity. Lost three of last three bowls, allowing average of 36 ppg. 4-9 vs spread at home last two years. Last three years, Pitt is 5-13 vs spread coming off a win.

    Syracuse-- Babers is third coach in five years- they have top five rushers, seven of top eight WRs back. Orange is 7-14 vs spread as road dog the last five years. Syracuse won last three bowls- they weren't favored in any of them. Are playing I-AA team for sixth year in a row.

    Virginia-- Last bowl was 2011, last bowl win was in '05. Mendenhall was 99-43 at BYU, 6-5 in bowls. Cavs are 6-11-3 as home favorites since 2011- they're 8-24 SU in ACC games last four years. Have senior QB who has started 27 games. .

    Virginia Tech-- Fuente went 19-7 last two years at Memphis; replaces legendary VT coach Beamer here. Tech is 8-17-1 as home favorite last five years, 3-9 as road favorite last four years. Tech won three of last four bowls- they've been to a bowl the last 23 years in a row. Not an easy task replacing a legend.

    Wake Forest-- Their stadium seats 31,500, #94 out of 128 in I-A football. Last bowl was in 2011, last bowl win in '09. Since '07, Wake is 14-24 as road underdog- over last decade, they're 19-11-1 as home dogs. Their QBs have been sacked 88 times the last two seasons, during which time Wake has sacked opposing QBs 48 times.

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    • #3
      WNBA
      Dunkel

      Tuesday, July 5



      Chicago @ Minnesota

      Game 603-604
      July 5, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Chicago
      111.511
      Minnesota
      119.102
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Minnesota
      by 7 1/2
      161
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Minnesota
      by 10
      166 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Chicago
      (+10); Under

      Phoenix @ Dallas


      Game 605-606
      July 5, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Phoenix
      109.611
      Dallas
      112.512
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Dallas
      by 3
      184
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Dallas
      by 1
      179
      Dunkel Pick:
      Dallas
      (-1); Over

      Seattle @ Atlanta


      Game 601-602
      July 5, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Seattle
      106.391
      Atlanta
      107.922
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Atlanta
      by 1 1/2
      174
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Atlanta
      by 4
      169
      Dunkel Pick:
      Seattle
      (+4); Over





      WNBA
      Long Sheet

      Tuesday, July 5


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SEATTLE (6 - 10) at ATLANTA (8 - 9) - 7/5/2016, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SEATTLE is 125-159 ATS (-49.9 Units) in road games since 1997.
      SEATTLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
      SEATTLE is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
      ATLANTA is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
      SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CHICAGO (7 - 9) at MINNESOTA (14 - 3) - 7/5/2016, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CHICAGO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHOENIX (8 - 10) at DALLAS (8 - 10) - 7/5/2016, 8:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHOENIX is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games this season.
      DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games this season.
      DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      DALLAS is 8-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      PHOENIX is 8-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
      8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      WNBA

      Tuesday, July 5


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      7:00 PM
      SEATTLE vs. ATLANTA
      Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
      Seattle is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
      Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

      8:00 PM
      CHICAGO vs. MINNESOTA
      Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
      Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
      Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chicago

      8:30 PM
      PHOENIX vs. DALLAS
      Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing at home against Phoenix
      Dallas is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Phoenix


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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