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**Udog** · 07-03-2016, 10:33 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Friday was a great day to be an NBA player (or their agent):

-- Timofey Mosgov getting $65M for four years is nonsense; guy played 76:00 total in 21 playoff games for Cleveland this spring.

-- Brooklyn giving Jeremy Lin $36M for three years makes some sense.

-- Joakim Noah is a good fit for the triangle offense; Derrick Rose is not.

-- Pelicans gave Solomon Hill $12M a year; guy started three games for Indiana last season. He played a lot for the Pacers the year before, but $12M a year?

-- Milwaukee gave Matthew Dellavedova $38.5M for four years.

-- Memphis made Mike Conley the highest-paid player in NBA history. Problem is, he's never even made one All-Star Game.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here......

13) I'm a big fan of the instant replay system in baseball, think it has made the game a lot better, but the Angels-Red Sox game Friday night was instant replay at its worst.

Angels are down 5-4 in ninth inning; Mike Trout is tying run on first with two out. . Daniel Nava hits a ball down the rightfield line at Fenway- it bounces, hits the top of the short wall, keeps going until a fan reaches out and grabs the ball. Call on the field is a ground rule double, but even the Red Sox TV guys said Trout should score.

Angels challenge the play but replay says Trout should stay at third. Who is making this call? Maybe they should show which umpires are deciding what in the replay center in Manhattan, because whoever made that decision screwed the Angels bigtime.

12) In 2013-14, NBA salary cap was $58.68M; it went up to $63.07, then $70M his past year, $94M next year and $107M in 2017-18, so the NBA is very healthy.

This year's salary floor is $85M; teams have to spend that much on salary, which is part of why guys who aren't stars are raking in silly money.

11) I remember seeing OJ Mayo play in an AAU tournament in Florida in 2006; he played on D-I Greyhounds, who also had Bill Walker- they played the 10pm game in The Milkhouse most nights-- they were the best team, and they knew it.

Ten years later, Mayo has banked $46M in salary but is now suspended by the NBA for two years- he'll be turning 31 next time he is eligible to be an NBA player, just as salaries are really taking off bigtime now. It can be difficult to handle prosperity.

10) New Orleans Saints wanted to make a waiver claim on QB Connor Shaw this week, but instead of e-mailing the NFL, they mistakenly sent their plan to every other team in the league and the Chicago Bears picked Shaw up instead.

9) White Sox got shut out Friday nite, but their TV guys praised home plate ump Jordan Baker, a young umpire who is 6-foot-8. When Hawk Harrelson praises an umpire after a White Sox loss, you know the ump did a really good job.

8) Somehow Tom Brady was involved in the Celtics' pitch to lure Kevin Durant to Boston as a free agent. Durant grew up in Maryland but isn't a Ravens' fan?

7) Captain Obvious checks in with this: In movies and on TV shows, the good guys are much better shooters than the bad guys. Bad guys should practice more- never see a criminal at a gun range practicing.

6) Arizona Cardinals are 20-6-1 vs spread under Bruce Arians in games where the spread was 4 or less points, by far best in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts are 23-13-1 under Chuck Pagano in games with a spread of 4 or less points, but if you remember, Pagano was ill during his first year as coach- the interim coach? Bruce Arians. Indy was 6-2-1 vs spread that season in low-spread games.

5) There is a tournament at World Series of Poker this weekend-- it costs $50,000 to enter, five times what the Main Event costs. Daniel Negreanu says that for most of the top players, the Players tourney is most fun/prestigious event of the WSOP.

4) Seven of the top nine international baseball prospects that were eligible for the draft this weekend were listed as shortstops, including all of the top five.

3) As I type this, Ryan Anderson just got $80M for four years from Houston; he scored 15.4 ppg the last two years in 29 mpg, despite starting only 12 of 127 games. He is a career 37.7% shooter outside the arc. Shooting is marketable.

Al Horford gets $113M for four years from the Celtics.

2) Blue Jays 9, Indians 6-- Congrats to Cleveland on a 14-game winning streak.

1) Pinnacle Sports posted odds on the Nathan's hot dog eating contest that is held every July 4 on Coney Island in Brooklyn.:

Over 65.5 hot dogs eaten by winner: -$145. Under 65.5: +119

**Udog** · 07-03-2016, 10:42 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, July 3

New York @ Los Angeles

Game 651-652
July 3, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
111.271
Los Angeles
115.099
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 4
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 8 1/2
161
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+8 1/2); Under

Phoenix @ Atlanta

Game 653-654
July 3, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
108.233
Atlanta
110.334
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 2
177
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 2
172 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+2); Over

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, July 3

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NEW YORK (12 - 5) at LOS ANGELES (15 - 1) - 7/3/2016, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games this season.
NEW YORK is 78-50 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games against Western conference opponents since 1997.
NEW YORK is 78-50 ATS (+23.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
NEW YORK is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games since 1997.
NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games against Eastern conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 158-201 ATS (-63.1 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (7 - 10) at ATLANTA (8 - 8) - 7/3/2016, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WNBA

Sunday, July 3

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 15 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing New York
Los Angeles is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games when playing New York

6:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

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**Udog** · 07-03-2016, 10:54 AM

WNBA

Sunday, July 3

Road underdogs are covering at a rate of 64.6% (41-23) thus far this season. Overs are hitting at 60% (60-40)

Announcement

Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/3

Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/3

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