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**Udog** · 07-01-2016, 08:55 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- Indians won their 13th straight game last night; last time the Tribe won 13 games in a row, the Rochester Royals (now Sacramento Kings) were NBA champions.

-- Clayton Kershaw goes on the DL with a bad back. Dodgers acquired Bud Norris from Atlanta for two low-level minor league relief pitchers. Dodgers are desperate for starting pitching.

-- Marlins acquired closer Fernando Rodney from San Diego.

-- Giants didn't use a DH in Oakland last night; they let Madison Bumgarner hit.

-- Bronx pushed CC Sabathia's next start back to Monday; they don't want him to hit in San Diego this weekend and risk having him run the bases and get hurt.

-- Happy Canada Day to all of our friends north of the border.

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Looking at SEC football teams.....

Alabama-- 39-5 SU in last 44 conference games, 27-17 vs spread. +63 in turnovers last nine years, but allowed 40+ points in three of last four bowl/playoff games- they are 3-2 in last five bowl/playoff games.

Arkansas-- Won last three bowl games, all by 13+ points; are +14 in turnovers last two years, after being -28 the two years before that. Razorbacks are 18-7-1 vs spread last two years, 11-4-1 in conference play.

Auburn-- Have eight new assistant coaches this year, after going 15-11 last two years. Scored 31+ points in last four bowls, but split those games. 7-19 vs spread in last 26 games, 3-9 in last 12 tries as a home favorite.

Florida-- Went 10-4 in McIlwain's first year, after going 29-23 under Muchamp, who is now the coach at South Carolina. Gators are 6-14 as home favorites since 2012; they covered six of last eight as a road favorite. Have two transfer QBs battling for #1 job; from Oregon State, Purdue-- one is Jack Del Rio's son.

Georgia-- Why did they fire Mark Richt? Dawgs are 50-17 last five years, have a +41 turnover ratio last five years. Since '13, are 9-17 vs spread coming off a win. Special teams coach in new regime is Shane Beamer, who spent last fuve years working for his father at Virginia Tech.

Kentucky-- Last bowl was 2010, last bowl win in '08. Wildcats are 14-6 as favorites at home since '10, but are 1-9-2 in last 12 tries as a home underdog. Cats are 7-18 as a road dog since 2010-- last time they were favored on the road was five years ago.

LSU-- In 2011-12, Tigers were +36 in TOs, went 23-4. Last three years, Tigers have a +10 TO ratio, are 27-11 and Les Miles barely kept his job. Last two years, LSU QBs completed 50%/53.6% of their passes- that has to go up. Tigers are 4-11 against the spread in true road games the last four years.

Ole Miss-- Favorites covered their last five bowl games; Rebels won five of them, are 13-7-1 as home favorites under Freeze, 11-4 as underdogs. Ole Miss lost four of its top six tacklers from LY. Kelly threw for 4,042 yards, 31 TDs last year.

Mississippi State-- Six straight winning seasons, are 19-7 last two years. Mullen is 15-8-1 vs spread in SEC last three years, 6-2 as road underdog, 18-10 in last 28 games as a home favorite. Six straight winning years in Starkville is no small feat.

Missouri-- Will miss underrated coach Pinkel. Won last three bowl games, all by 10+ points, scoring 35 ppg. Tigers are +24 in turnovers last three years. Mizzou is 16-6 vs spread off a loss, but 2-6 in last eight games as a home underdog.

South Carolina-- Spurrier is tough act to follow, especially with only nine starters back. Gamecocks are 9-15 vs spread in SEC last three years- they're 1-5-1 in their last seven games as a road favorite. Won last four bowls, were underdog in last two.

Tennessee-- Vols are 3-9 vs spread in last dozen games where spread was 4 or less points-- Jones isn't a good game manager, but he can recruit- they won 45-28/45-6 in last two bowls. Hae senior QB who needs to improve on 59.3% completion % from last year-- with 22 starts under his belt, Dobbs should be better than he is. .

Texas A&M-- Were minus in turnovers six of last seven years (-33 total), are 6-12 vs spread as home favorite last three years (6-17-1 vs spread in SEC games), covered just four of last 13 as a dog. Aggies have won four of their last five bowl games.

Vanderbilt-- 7-17 since James Franklin left, with -24 turnover ratio. Commodores are 10-5 as home underdog since '11, 11-6 as road dogs since '12, 22-13 overall in last 35 games when getting points. Won three of last four bowls, with average total of 64 in last three-- their last bowl was in 2013, Franklin's final year as coach.

**Udog** · 07-01-2016, 08:55 AM

Five truly Canadian bets to make this Canada Day
By JASON LOGAN

This July 1, celebrate Canada Day by wagering a few Loonies and Toonies on these All-Canadian bets.

I’ve had possibly the most Canadian week ever leading into the July 1 holiday, better known as “Canada Day”.

After subduing the football shakes with a couple bets on Week 1 of the CFL season (underdogs are now a perfect 8-0 ATS the last two opening weeks), I proceeded to injure my ankle playing Ultimate Frisbee and needed a trip to the hospital - a trip that didn’t cost me jack squat since we have kick-ass health care in Canada.

Once my foot felt better, I spent an evening mowing my lawn. And, after finishing up and briefly heading inside to grab an ice-cold Moosehead, I returned to my freshly-coiffed backyard to find a big-ass wild turkey confidently strutting about like Mike Reno, the lead singer for “Loverboy”.

My first instinct, since I’m a red-blooded Canuck, was to find out if it was turkey hunting season. It is not. And my second instinct, since I’m a red-blood Canuck, was to politely ask the turkey to leave – for which I’d immediately apologize for. Sorry.

But my third instinct, and one that speaks to the sports bettor in all of us, was to get that turkey something to eat. I grabbed whatever I thought a turkey would care to snack on and threw it at the big dumb bird. If I feed this turkey all summer long and keep him coming back for more, by the time the fall rolls around (AKA turkey season), he’ll be fatter than a garbage bag full of Tim Horton’s day-olds.

You see: risk a little to get a lot. That’s a gambler’s Holy Grail.

So, after being served a big slice of Canadiana this week, it only seems fitting to return the favor to my fellow sports bettors in the Great White North, and even those of you outside our vast borders. With Canada Day kicking off the weekend Friday, here are my favorite Canadian inspired bets for July 1:

Toronto Blue Jays

When the Red Sox are winning, Boston is buzzing. When the Cubs are cruising, Chicago is jumping. But when the Blue Jays are rolling, the entire nation is losing their frickin’ minds.

Take last season’s incredible second-half run and postseason appearance by Toronto. Jose Bautista’s infamous bat flip against the Rangers actually made Canadian sports fans forget about hockey for a few minutes. If you had immediately lobbied for the silhouette of Bautista barbarically discarding his bat to replace the maple leaf in the middle of the Canadian flag, it would have passed with a unanimous vote.

This Canada Day, the Jays are home to the red-hot Cleveland Indians. Toronto will be sporting their special red attire for the nation’s birthday, giving the nod to Marcus Stroman for the matinee start. The Blue Jays, who are currently -118 favorites, have won the last three July 1 outings and have outscored opponents 23-6 in those games.

CFL

It just doesn’t feel like Canada Day without some three-down football, am I right? It's like seeing Tom Cochrane without a jean jacket on. Last year, July 1 was void of any CFL action but the schedule makers have more than made up for that with a “double double” of Canadian pigskin Friday.

The BC Lions are visiting the Hamilton Ti-Cats, moving from touchdown dogs to 5.5-point pups in the early game. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are on the road facing the Calgary Stampeders later in the day, with Calgary moving from -8.5 to -10.5 – a rare double-digit CFL favorite.

Parity is the name of the game in the Canadian Football League. Last season, there were only five double-digit spreads all year, with those big faves going 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS. The Stamps were responsible for two of those double-digit covers.

Wimbledon tennis

Both Canadian tennis stars, Milos Raonic on the men’s side and Eugenie Bouchard on the women’s, have advanced to the third round at the All England Club.

Bouchard, seeded 16th, faces 19th-seed Dominika Cibulkova next, with oddsmakers setting Genie as a +133 underdog despite defeating Cibulkova in both of their career meetings, including earlier this year at the Hobart Open. You can be sure that Covers' own Andrew “Taco” Caley will have a ticket on Bouchard, to go with his creepy shrine to Canada’s resident tennis goddess.

Raonic, who has yet to drop a set at Wimbledon, takes on American Jack Sock in the third round. Books have the Thornhill, Ontario native priced at -720 to advance. If swallowing that amount of juice feels like chugging a warm can of Labatt Maximum Ice (or even an ice-cold Maximum Ice... yuck), then perhaps you can cool down the vig by taking Milos at -103 to win in three straight sets.

MLS soccer

Is the quality of the Euro Cup just too good for you to wager on? Do you need a watered-down version of the beautiful game in which you know none of the players, nor did you realize half of the teams in the league even existed? Major League Soccer is begging you to bet on it. No, really. It is. On both knees.

There are three Canadian clubs in the MLS: Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver. And according to our standings, none of them are really great – and none of them actually play on the Canada Day holiday.

However, Montreal hosts New England Saturday, as a +117 favorite in the three-way betting, and Toronto takes on visiting Seattle as a -139 three-way fave to win. Say what you want about the quality of the play, but I’ve heard it’s quite the party in the stands for a MLS game. Throw a long-weekend rager in the middle of those wagers, and I’m sold!

NHL futures

Hockey fans from East to West were extremely pissed off Wednesday when two massive trades by Canadian NHL clubs left puck faithful scratching their heads in Montreal and Edmonton. You would have thought they were outlawing the use of Muskoka chairs at the end of lake-view docks with the way Canadians (and Canadiens) were losing their shit.

Montreal dealt face of the franchise P.K. Subban to Nashville for fellow blueliner Shea Weber, while Edmonton packed up leading scorer Taylor Hall and sent him to New Jersey for defenseman Adam Larsson.

I have friends in both camps and let me tell you, Facebook was not a pretty place once those guys vented their frustrations. If anything fellas, you can get the Habs and Oilers at juicy odds to win the Stanley Cup next year with Montreal going off at +2,500 and Edmonton at +5,500.

**Udog** · 07-01-2016, 08:57 AM

WNBA

Friday, July 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. INDIANA
San Antonio is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Antonio is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Indiana's last 22 games at home
Indiana is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio

8:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHICAGO
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

10:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
New York is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Phoenix's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 07-01-2016, 11:36 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, July 1

San Antonio @ Indiana

Game 651-652
July 1, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
102.246
Indiana
114.260
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 12
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 8
156
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-8); Under

Washington @ Chicago

Game 653-654
July 1, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
109.699
Chicago
115.149
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 5 1/2
169
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3 1/2
165
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-3 1/2); Over

New York @ Phoenix

Game 655-656
July 1, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
113.870
Phoenix
112.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 1 1/2
172
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 4
166
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+4); Over

WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, July 1

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SAN ANTONIO (3 - 12) at INDIANA (7 - 9) - 7/1/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (9 - 8) at CHICAGO (6 - 9) - 7/1/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 288-341 ATS (-87.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 180-223 ATS (-65.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (11 - 5) at PHOENIX (7 - 9) - 7/1/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games against Western conference opponents since 1997.
NEW YORK is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
NEW YORK is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Friday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/1

Friday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/1

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