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Sunday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/12

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  • Sunday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/12

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, June 12

    Good Luck on day #164 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Nolan Ryan threw seven no-hitters, to seven different catchers........

    -- Jeff Torborg-- Became a manager when his playing days were done.

    -- Art Kusyner-- Starting C Torborg broke his finger two days before this game.

    -- Tom Egan-- Like Bob Uecker, a journeyman catcher with a career .200 BA.

    -- Ellie Rodriguez-- Was All-Star rep for Royals in their first-ever season.

    -- Alan Ashby-- Is now a broadcaster for the Astros.

    -- John Russell-- Was Rangers' 3rd-string catcher when he caught the no-hitter.

    -- Mike Stanley-- Best hitter of these seven, hit 187 HRs, had a .370 OB%.

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday......

    13) Someone brought this up on Twitter Friday night and it took me a damn hour to unravel the whole thing in my mind:

    Vince Carter was drafted by Golden State on June 24, 1988; he was traded later that night to Toronto for Antawn Jamison, but the pick that was used to draft him had already been traded twice, in 1993 and 1994-- the Anfernee Hardaway/Chris Webber deal in '93 and a deal involving Scott Skiles the next year.

    In both trades, a pick Golden State later used to draft Todd Fuller (whoops) was also moved with the Carter pick.

    12) Vince Carter scored 23,969 points in his NBA career, earned $165,575,296 in salary; the pick used to select him was traded when he was in 10th and 11th grade.

    11) Barry Bonds was a great, great hitter; he hit 762 HRs, had a career OB% of .444.

    Don Mattingly hit .307 in his fine career, with 222 homers, also a great hitter.

    But playing isn't coaching; Mattingly is Marlins' manager, Bonds is a hitting coach and neither one of them can fix Giancarlo Stanton, who is going thru one of the worst hitting funks I've ever seen. Its like he has suddenly become Adam Dunn, except he never walks. Stanton is hitting .195 this season. No bueno.

    With two strikes on him this season, Stanton is 9-112, with 14 walks, 77 strikeouts. Seeing as they still owe hm $325M or so down the road, they need to have coaches who can fix him, even if that coach wasn't a Hall of Fame player.

    10) White Sox brought up SS prospect Tim Anderson and DFA'd Jimmy Rollins, making them younger, more athletic and probably better.

    9) In Jose Quintana's last 17 losses, White Sox scored a total of 19 runs.

    8) Cavan Biggio, son of the Astros' Hall of Famer, was a 5th-round draft pick of the Blue Jays. That pick was announced by Cavan's older brother, who is an intern in the commissioner's office. There is networking in baseball; your dad is a Hall of Famer, you have a better shot at an internship.

    7) Red Sox have scored 54 more runs than any team in the AL; some credit has to go to hitting coach Chili Davis, who is very underrated. When he was in Oakland, the A's made the playoffs all three years. Probably not a coincidence.

    6) New sliding rules at second base are hurting offenses; you get lot more double plays now, with runners not allowed to do anything remotely aggressive to break up a double play. Reducing contact around home plate probably helped scoring go up.

    5) Golfer Jason Day threw out the first pitch at the Pirates game last night; he is in town for the US Open at Oakmont next week.

    4) Chicago Cubs used a 6th-round pick on Chad Hockin, who is the grandson of the great hitter, the late Harmon Killebrew.

    3) Klay Thompson wore a Dodgers' hat at a Giants' home game last night, normally not the best way to make friends in the Bay Area, but Thompson's brother plays for the Dodgers and if the Warriors win Monday night, it'll all be forgotten, I'm guessing.

    2) CBS made a good move, dumped former referee Mike Carey as its rules expert; Carey wasn't good on TV, although he did improve last year.

    1) I'd like to propose a change to how saves are tracked; the current system just isn't a good yardstick for how closers finish games.

    -- Protect a one-run lead, 3 points. Lose a one-run lead, lose 1 point.
    -- Protect a two-run lead, 2 points. Lose a two-run lead, lose 2 points.
    -- Protect a three-run lead, 1 point. Lose a three-run lead, lose 3 points.

    For instance, Huston Street entered the game last night with a 3-0 lead; he blew the lead, so he would lose three points. I think over the course of a season, this point system would be more telling than the current one.

    Comment


    • #3
      WNBA
      Dunkel

      Sunday, June 12



      Connecticut @ Atlanta

      Game 601-602
      June 12, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Connecticut
      101.216
      Atlanta
      113.694
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Atlanta
      by 12 1/2
      161
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Atlanta
      by 10
      166 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Atlanta
      (-10); Under

      Seattle @ Indiana


      Game 603-604
      June 12, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Seattle
      104.359
      Indiana
      113.556
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Indiana
      by 9
      168
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Indiana
      by 6
      162 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Indiana
      (-6); Over

      Chicago @ Phoenix


      Game 605-606
      June 12, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Chicago
      114.808
      Phoenix
      113.993
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Chicago
      by 1
      178
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Phoenix
      by 3 1/2
      174
      Dunkel Pick:
      Chicago
      (+3 1/2); Over





      WNBA
      Long Sheet

      Sunday, June 12


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CONNECTICUT (2 - 7) at ATLANTA (6 - 3) - 6/12/2016, 3:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CONNECTICUT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      ATLANTA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      CONNECTICUT is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons.
      CONNECTICUT is 120-87 ATS (+24.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CONNECTICUT is 5-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
      ATLANTA is 6-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SEATTLE (3 - 6) at INDIANA (4 - 5) - 6/12/2016, 6:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SEATTLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      SEATTLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      SEATTLE is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
      INDIANA is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
      SEATTLE is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      INDIANA is 5-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
      INDIANA is 5-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CHICAGO (5 - 4) at PHOENIX (3 - 6) - 6/12/2016, 6:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CHICAGO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      PHOENIX is 6-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      WNBA

      Sunday, June 12


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      3:00 PM
      CONNECTICUT vs. ATLANTA
      Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
      Connecticut is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
      Atlanta is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Connecticut
      Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut

      6:00 PM
      SEATTLE vs. INDIANA
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
      Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
      Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

      6:00 PM
      CHICAGO vs. PHOENIX
      Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
      Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
      Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home


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      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Dunkel

        Monday, June 13



        Cleveland @ Golden State

        Game 509-510
        June 13, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Cleveland
        126.486
        Golden State
        136.853
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Golden State
        by 10 1/2
        211
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Golden State
        by 8
        206
        Dunkel Pick:
        Golden State
        (-8); Over





        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Monday, June 13


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CLEVELAND (70 - 30) at GOLDEN STATE (88 - 15) - 6/13/2016, 9:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CLEVELAND is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 32-40 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 58-42 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in all playoff games this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 61-43 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
        GOLDEN STATE is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GOLDEN STATE is 9-7 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        GOLDEN STATE is 11-5 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Monday, June 13


        Cleveland-Golden State (GSt 3-1)
        Golden State is 0-4 in Game 3's in playoffs this spring, 15-2 in all the other games. Warriors went 17-36 on arc in Game 4 win which forces Cleveland to win last three games in series with two of the three in Oakland. Golden State won eight of last nine games with Cleveland, beating Cavaliers in six games in LY's Finals; Cavaliers are 13-5 in playoffs, 5-4 on road. Five of last six Golden State games, four of last five Cavalier games stayed under the total. Doubt that Cavs are strong enough defensively to beat Warriors three games in a row.

        In the playoffs this spring, under is 50-31-1

        Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 26-18, Over: 13-31
        Second round: Favorites: 13-8, over: 12-9
        Conference final: Favorites: 7-6, over: 5-7-1
        Final: Favorites: 3-1, Over: 1-3




        NBA

        Monday, June 13


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        9:00 PM
        CLEVELAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
        Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment

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