Announcement

**Udog** · 05-27-2016, 08:15 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Odds on select college football games this season:

-- Sept 10: Arkansas @ TCU (-6)

-- Sept 17: Oregon @ Nebraska (-2)

-- Oct 1: Tennessee @ Georgia (pick)

-- Oct 8: Oklahoma (-14) vs Texas (in Dallas)

-- Oct 15: Ohio State (-3) @ Wisconsin

-- Oct 29: Michigan (-2) @ Michigan State

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.......

13) Baylor fired football coach Art Briles, who went 65-37 at a school that hadn't gone to a single bowl game in the 12 years before he came to Waco. Briles got fired due to his players having lot of legal problems off the field. On the field, Baylor did so well they just built a new $266 million stadium. Off the field, there were big problems.

12) The next questions are these: a) Who takes Briles' place? and b) is Baylot a good job right now for an aspiring young coach? Recruiting right now could be a problem.

11) Houston Rockets hired Mike D'Antoni as its new coach, meaning Houston will be a fun team to watch going forward.

10) 19-year old Julio Urias makes his MLB debut for the Dodgers tonight when they play at Citi Field against the Mets.

9) A CBS TV station in California found 265 people voting while using the IDs of dead people, one of whom died as long ago as 1988. 86 Republicans, 146 Democrats, 33 independents. Is this a great country or what?

8) Pirates' TV announcers do not like Tony LaRussa; while D'Backs/Pirates were plunking each other this week, Pittsburgh TV guys basically blamed LaRussa for the fireworks not dying down. LaRussa, who was in Pittsburgh for the series, went into the Pirate TV booth in between innings to talk to the announcers, which is not how these things are usually handled. .

7) Cubs scored 81 runs in winning all 10 of Jake Arrieta's starts this season.

6) World Series of Poker starts pretty soon; players can wear headphones this year, until the final table, which is a player-friendly change in rules.

5) Maryland got very good news when Melo Trimble dropped out of NBA Draft just before the deadline to do so.

4) All in all, 49 underclassmen stayed in the NBA Draft, compared to 46 LY. There are only 60 picks in the whole draft. Lot of kids get bad advice.

3) Al Leiter does TV analysis part-time for both the Miami Marlins/Bronx Bombers; is there another guys who works for two teams in two different cities?

2) New Orleans Pelicans' Anthony Davis will not be awarded the estimated $24.8 million bonus allowed as the maximum value for the contract he signed last summer.

The Rose Rule says that a player coming off his rookie contract is eligible for a higher raise structure if he accomplishes two of the following: a) wins the MVP award b) is selected as an All-Star starter, or c) is selected for All-NBA.

Davis was hurt much of last year, which is why he fell short of those goals.

1) Royals' OF Lorenzo Cain never played baseball until he was in 10th grade.

**Udog** · 05-27-2016, 08:19 AM

NBA

Friday, May 27

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Eastern Conference betting preview and odds: Cavaliers at Raptors
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The home team is 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings between the Cavaliers and Raptors.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors (+6, 196)

Cavaliers lead series 3-2

The Cleveland Cavaliers have hung three fierce beatings on Toronto but the outcomes have been different when the Eastern Conference finals have been staged in Canada. The Raptors will attempt to force a Game 7 when they host Cleveland on Friday, while the Cavaliers will be looking to clinch their second consecutive trip to the NBA Finals.

Cleveland took a 3-2 series lead with a 116-78 dismantling of the Raptors on Wednesday and its three wins are by an average of 29.3 points. "You can see that we've won three at home and they've won two," Cavaliers point guard Kyrie Irving said at the postgame press conference. "Game 6 will definitely be a great atmosphere that I'm looking forward to, and my teammates are as well." The Raptors gained momentum with their wins in Game 3 and 4 but the good vibes evaporated quickly in the Game 5 effort that was described as "embarrassing" by coach Dwane Casey. "Our backs are against the wall, but we're a resilient group," Toronto small forward DeMarre Carroll told reporters. "We've been in this same situation the last two series, so we know what we need to do. There's no more talking, no more motivational speeches. You just show up."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: With their season on the line, the Raptors open as 6-point home dogs against the Cavaliers and the line has yet to move off that number. The total has been bet down one point since opening, going from 197 to 196. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (68-27 SU, 45-47-3 ATS, 47-48 O/U): Power forward Kevin Love rediscovered his shooting stroke and scored 25 points on 8-of-10 shooting in Game 5 after averaging 6.5 points on 5-of-23 shooting over the previous two games. "Just Kevin Love being Kevin Love, he's been playing this way throughout the whole postseason," Cleveland coach Tyronn Lue said at a press conference. "He had two bad games, two bad shooting games, and we made a big deal of it. But Kevin is one of the top 10 players in this league. Nothing that he does amazes me." Small forward LeBron James and point guard Kyrie Irving each scored 23 points on a night in which the Cavaliers shot a blistering 57.1 percent from the field.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (66-35 SU, 52-49 ATS, 49-51-1 O/U): The backcourt of shooting guard DeMar DeRozan (14 points) and point guard Kyle Lowry (13) combined for just 27 points in Game 5 after putting up 67 in the previous game. Lowry's play has been superb at home (27.5 average, 8-of-15 from 3-point range) and atrocious on the road (10.3 average, 2-of-19 on 3s). "I have to play more aggressive from the jump, and I've done it two games at home and not enough on the road," Lowry said at a postgame press conference. "I don't know what it is because I always feel like I can get mine on the road and I know my teammates are going to need me on the road."

TRENDS:

* Home team is 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
* Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
* Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last five games playing on one days rest.
* Over is 4-1 in Raptors last five home games versus a team with a winning road record.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-four percent of bettors are giving the early edge to the favored Cavaliers to end the series. Bettors also like the Over in Game 6.

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**Udog** · 05-27-2016, 08:21 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, May 27

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CLEVELAND (68 - 27) at TORONTO (66 - 35) - 5/27/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 178-222 ATS (-66.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 51-66 ATS (-21.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 8-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-7 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, May 27

Cleveland at Toronto, 8:35 ET
Cleveland: 20-9 ATS after allowing 85 points or less
Toronto: 1-10 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, May 27

Toronto-Cleveland (C 3-2)
Home team has dominated series, winning all five games by 21.8 point average; over is 6-4-1 in last 11 series games, with home team 8-0 in last eight. Cavaliers lost last four games in Canada (0-4 vs spread). Cavs are 4-2 on road in playoffs. Lowry/DeRozan went a combined 28-43 in Game 4, scoring 67 points; but went 7-20 in Game 5. Raptors are 8-2 at home in playoffs. Home sides are 9-1 vs spread in conference finals.

Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 26-18, Over: 13-31
Second round: Favorites: 13-8, over: 12-9
Conference final: Favorites: 5-5, over: 4-5-1

NBA

Friday, May 27

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Trend Report
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8:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TORONTO
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Toronto's last 22 games when playing at home against Cleveland

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**Udog** · 05-27-2016, 08:24 AM

WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, May 27

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CHICAGO (22 - 15) at SAN ANTONIO (8 - 26) - 5/27/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-60 ATS (-30.0 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (26 - 19) at MINNESOTA (29 - 15) - 5/27/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 7-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (15 - 19) at DALLAS (18 - 18) - 5/27/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
ATLANTA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Friday, May 27

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
Indiana is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Chicago

8:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. DALLAS
Atlanta is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Dallas is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta

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**Udog** · 05-27-2016, 09:44 AM

WNBA long sheet has updated.

**Udog** · 05-27-2016, 09:57 AM

NBA betting history says the Raptors will rebound from big loss

Since the 1991 NBA Playoffs, home teams reeling from a 30-plus point loss the game before are 17-7 ATS - a 71 percent payday.

Cheer up Toronto Raptors bettors.

Yes, Wednesday’s 116-78 blowout loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference finals stung (Cleveland covered the 11-point spread by 27 points) but there are brighter skies ahead – at least so says NBA Playoffs betting history.

Going back to the 1990-91 NBA season, playoff teams coming off a loss of 30 or more points are a profitable 36-20 ATS (26-30 SU) in their following postseason game, covering the spread 64 percent of the time. And looking closer at teams fresh from an ass-waxing of 38 points-plus (like Toronto is in Game 6), those clubs have rebounded with a 9-3 ATS mark (5-7 SU), a 75 percent winner at the window.

The Raptors are 6-point underdogs at home to LeBron James and the Cavaliers Friday. Toronto was trucked in Games 1 and 2 of the series in Cleveland, but returned serve with two wins as a home pup in Games 3 and 4. The Dinos are 5-5 ATS at the Air Canda Centre this postseason.

Home cooking has helped teams bounce back from a bad loss during that 25-year span. Since the 1991 NBA Playoffs, home teams reeling from a 30-plus point loss the game before are 17-7 ATS (14-10 SU), which is a 71 percent payday.

Those teams off a crushing loss have scored an average of 96.33 points for while allowing an average of 98.03 points against, versus an average spread of +6.67. Home sides in this situation have a positive points for/against count of 100.04-97.16 with an average pointspread of +5.4.

This trend is, however, reserved to the playoffs. Looking into that same situation during the regular season returns a record of 301-600 ATS (342-559 SU), with teams off a 30-plus beatdown covering just 33 percent of the time in the following game. Basic logic tells us that playoff clubs are much more talented than team losing big in the regular season, with an ability to shake off those one-sided defeats and return to form.

This postseason trend has also paid well for Under bettors. Playoff teams coming off a loss of 30 or more points have gone 23-33 Over/Under in the following contest, staying below the total at a 59 percent clip.

**Udog** · 05-27-2016, 10:00 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, May 27

Cleveland @ Toronto

Game 721-722
May 27, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
126.666
Toronto
127.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
196 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+6 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 05-27-2016, 10:02 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, May 27

Chicago @ San Antonio

Game 601-602
May 27, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
120.736
San Antonio
100.594
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
152
by 20
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
158
by 8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-8); Under

Indiana @ Minnesota

Game 603-604
May 27, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
109.124
Minnesota
122.576
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 13 1/2
175
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 11
169 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-11); Over

Atlanta @ Dallas

Game 605-606
May 27, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
112.890
Dallas
113.996
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4
167
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+4); Under

Announcement

Friday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/27

Friday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/27

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