Announcement

**Udog** · 05-19-2016, 08:10 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Westgate Superbook's odds on random football games this coming fall..........

-- Week 8: Packers (-3.5) @ Atlanta

-- Week 9: Broncos @ Oakland (-1.5)

-- Week 10: Seahawks @ New England (-3.5)

-- Week 11: Bears @ NJ Giants (-4)

-- Week 12: Vikings (-1) @ Detroit

-- Week 13: Colts @ NJ Jets (-2.5)

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......

13) Warriors 118, Thunder 91-- No one on Oklahoma City had more than 9 points, other than Durant/Westbrook. They need a third double figure scorer to compete.

12) Knicks are apparently going to name Jeff Hornacek head coach; good coach, good basketball guy, but kind of feel about him the same way I felt when the Mets hired Art Howe as manager-- not very New York-ish. Sometimes that matters.

11) Chicago White Sox turned their second triple play of the season last night; they are first team since '07 Phillies to turn two triple plays in same season.

10) A's 8, Rangers 1-- Khris Davis has nine HRs, 20 RBI in first 18 days of May.

9) NBA playoff favorites of 8+ points are 19-6 vs spread this season.

8) Why is the price of gasoline 45 cents a gallon cheaper in New Jersey than here in New York? Is Crhis Christie that good a governor that his constituents don't get ripped off like we do? By the way, in New Jersey they put the gas in your car for you.

7) NBA Summer League will be July 8-18 at UNLV and on TV every day on NBA TV. Solid entertainment; I'll be out there for the AAU tournaments later in the month.

6) Illinois got good news: big man Mike Thorne got a sixth year of eligibility from the NCAA, very important for John Groce's team.

5) More transfers, as number approaches 600 this year (there are 351 D-I teams):
-- Anthony Livingston goes from Arkansas State to Texas Tech.
-- Kendall Stephens goes from Purdue to Nevada

4) This will be the sixth NFL season for 49er QB Blaine Gabbert, who will have his sxith different head coach, sixth offensive coordinator, sixth QB coach. Oy.

3) Why would the Ravens intentionally break the NFL rule about not using full pads during rookie minicamps? Sounds like they did just that.

2) Minnesota Twins are 4-2 against the Cleveland Indians, 0-15 against the rest of the AL Central. No bueno. Minnesota is 5-12 in games where the winning run scores from the 7th inning on.

1) Werid story about Robert Griffin III and his relationship with his coaches in Washington; if that story is remotely true, Daniel Snyder is the worst owner in the NFL and the Browns may have made a colossal mistake acquiring RGIII, who appears to be a complete jerk if you believe the article, which is excerpted up above.

**Udog** · 05-19-2016, 08:13 AM

NBA

Thursday, May 19

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Thursday's NBA Conference Finals betting preview and odds: Raptors at Cavaliers
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LeBron James was unstoppable in Game 1, putting up 24 points on 11-of-13 shooting as the Cavs cruised to an easy win and a 19.5-point cover.

Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers (-10.5, 201.5)

Cavaliers lead series 1-0

The Cleveland Cavaliers dismantled the Toronto Raptors in the opening game of the Eastern Conference finals and attempt to remain unbeaten in the postseason when they host Thursday's Game 2. Cleveland is 9-0 in the playoffs and its latest superb performance was a 115-84 trouncing of Toronto in Game 1.

The 31-point margin of victory was the largest in Cavaliers' postseason history and the Raptors tried to put on brave faces after the annihilation. "It's the first to four, and it's one game," Toronto small forward DeMarre Carroll told reporters. "It doesn't matter if you lose by two or you lose by 30. It's only one game." The Raptors were dominated on the boards 45-23 without center Jonas Valanciunas (ankle) - who is likely to miss Game 2 as well - and were powerless to defend Cleveland star LeBron James, who scored 24 points on 11-of-13 shooting and is highly motivated to keep the wins coming. "We have a goal, and our goal was not nine wins," James told reporters. "It's just not my focus. I've won nine games in the postseason before, won 14 games in the postseason before. "It's not my goal, and as the leader of this team, I'm going to continue to make sure that these guys understand what our goal is."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Following their dominant performance in Game 1, the Cavs opened as 12-point favorites over the Raptors for Game 2. As of Wednesday evening, the line has not moved off the lofty opening number. The total hit the board at 196 but was raised a full two points Wednesday morning and that is where it currently sits. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (64-33, 50-47 ATS, 48-48-1 O/U): Point guard Kyle Lowry appeared to be on his game with outings of 36 and 35 to close the Miami series but he was disjointed in Game 1 with just eight points on 4-of-14 shooting - including missing all seven 3-point attempts. Toronto won two of the three regular-season meetings and believes it can compete with Cleveland but Game 1 displayed the opposite as the Raptors were largely uncompetitive. "It's a different series than last series," Toronto coach Dwane Casey told reporters. "We've got to get our minds adjusted and bodies adjusted. The speed of the game is another issue, a quicker pace, a quicker foot speed for this team versus Miami and Indiana, so we've got to make that adjustment."

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (66-25, 43-45-3 ATS, 46-45 O/U): Point guard Kyrie Irving is meshing well with James and badly outplayed Lowry with 27 points on 11-of-17 shooting in the opener. Irving and James haven't always seen eye-to-eye over their two seasons together but James said he is seeing the growth and maturity needed from Irving. "He's grown every single day, every single week, month and over the course of these last two years or year-plus, becoming a leader and becoming a staple of our team," James told reporters. "We all knew how talented the kid was and how talented he is still today, but his growth and what he demands out of all of us, as the point guard, as one of the leaders of the team, that's what's the best part about it."

TRENDS:

* Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
* Cavaliers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Over is 24-5 in Raptors last 29 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
* Over is 8-2 in Cavaliers last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The Cavaliers are picking up 53 percent of the Consensus wagers as of Wednesday evening. It seems as though the public doesn't really like the lofty 12-point spread as you'd expect the percentage to be much higher for a very public team coming off a monster win. The Over is picking up 72 percent of the total wagers - even after the line move up to 196.

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**Udog** · 05-19-2016, 08:19 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 19

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TORONTO (64 - 33) at CLEVELAND (66 - 25) - 5/19/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all playoff games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 176-220 ATS (-66.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 49-64 ATS (-21.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 6-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 19

Toronto-Cleveland (C 1-0)
Cavaliers won five of last seven games with Toronto; five of last six tilts in series went over total. Raptors are playing third game in five days; in Game 1 they got outrebounded 45-23, were down 22 at half, they didn't compete real hard- they'll show up better here. Cavaliers are 9-0 SU in playoffs, 6-3 vs spread (over 5-4). Toronto is 1-4 in its last five road games (under 3-2). James was 11-13 from floor in Tuesday's game. NBA playoff favorites of 8+ points are 19-6 vs spread this season.

Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 26-18, Over: 13-31
Second round: Favorites: 13-8, over: 12-9
Conference final: Favorites: 2-1, over: 1-2

NBA

Thursday, May 19

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Trend Report
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8:30 PM
TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 05-19-2016, 08:20 AM

WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 19

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CONNECTICUT (15 - 19) at SAN ANTONIO (8 - 26) - 5/19/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 3-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Thursday, May 19

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Trend Report
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12:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games on the road
Connecticut is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games

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**Udog** · 05-19-2016, 09:54 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, May 19

Connecticut @ San Antonio

Game 651-652
May 19, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
103.901
San Antonio
109.328
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 5 1/2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 3 1/2
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(+3 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 05-19-2016, 09:57 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, May 19

Toronto @ Cleveland

Game 707-708
May 19, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
121.776
Cleveland
130.305
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 8 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 12 1/2
198
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+12 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 05-19-2016, 12:09 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, May 19

Toronto at Cleveland, 8:35 ET
Toronto: 1-9 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds
Cleveland: 11-2 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days

Announcement

Thursday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/19

Thursday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/19

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