Announcement

**Udog** · 05-16-2016, 08:26 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Some college football pointspreads for this fall, from the South Point casino:

-- Oct 15: Alabama (-3.5) @ Tennessee

-- Oct 20: BYU @ Boie State (-11.5)

-- Oct 29: Clemson (-1) @ Florida State

-- Nov 5: TCU @ Baylor (-7.5)

-- Nov 12: Stanford @ Oregon (-1.5)

-- Nov 26: Michigan @ Ohio State (-6.5)

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend......

13) Raptors 116, Heat 89-- Toronto is in NBA's Final Four for first time.

12) I've always wondered what the story was behind Russell Wilson transferring from NC State to Wisconsin, before his senior year, and the Wolfpack seemingly not caring if he left or not. Now Russell Wilson says coach Tom O'Brien basically fired him and told him he had no future in football. Curious to see what O'Brin has to say.

11) A's 7, Rays 6-- Danny Valencia homered three times, including the game-winner in the 9th inning, as Oakland salvaged a lousy road trip by going 2-1 in St Pete.

10) 15 baseball games Sunday; game-winning run scored in 7th inning or later in 11 of the 15 games. Pretty good day at the ballpark.

9) Rangers 7, Blue Jays 6-- Big-league brawl in this game, an offshoot of the tensions between these clubs in last year's playoffs. This was an actual fight, not the normal pushing/pulling baseball scuffle. Umps worked hard to keep the peace.

Matt Bush drilled Jose Bautista right before the brawl started; Bautista was smart enough not to go after Bush, who recently spent 3.5 years in jail. Don't want to be picking fights with guys who have done hard time.

8) Tom Dolan came up with a great stat Sunday: Lenny Dykstra had 81 HRs in 4,552 regular season career ABs. 10 HRs in 112 postseason ABs. That is a HR every 56.2 ABs in regular season games, one every 11.2 in postseason games.

7) Red Sox have scored in first inning in 12 of their 22 home games.

6) Rockies 4, Mets 3-- New Yorkers get swept in Denver.

5) Odd timing by MLB announcing Jose Reyes' suspension with New York media is in Denver for the weekend; then the Bronx Bombers brought up catching prospect Gary Sanchez the same day. There aren't many coincidences in this world........could the Bombers be interested in acquiring Reyes?

4) Why run differential is an overrated stat: Phillies are 22-16, but 14-3 in one-run games; they've got a -30 run differential but would be in the playoffs if they started today (they don't). They're maxing out on the talent they have, but wins are the only stat that truly matters and Philly has a lot of them.

3) Red Sox have scored 229 runs, 50 more than any other AL team.

2) If the baseball playoffs started today:
AL: Orioles-White Sox-Rangers. Wild Card: Boston-Seattle
NL: Nationals-Cubs-Giants. Wild Card: Phillies-Mets

1) Heading back from vacation this weekend on the Jersey shore; a tremendous place, lot of good places to eat, lot of good people, made some new friends. Walking on the beach is highly underrated.

**Udog** · 05-16-2016, 08:28 AM

NBA

Monday, May 16

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Monday's NBA Conference Finals betting preview and odds: Thunder at Warriors
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The Warriors swept the three-game season series with the Thunder and were 2-0-1 against the spread in those contests.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors (-7.5, 223.5)

Series tied 0-0

The defending champion and top-seeded Golden State Warriors are one series away from another appearance in the NBA Finals but are staring at an opponent that seems to get stronger by the game. The Oklahoma City Thunder will try to steal Game 1 on the road when they visit the Warriors for the series opener on Monday.

The Thunder have won four of their five road games in the postseason and took a pair in the semifinals at San Antonio, which dropped only one home game during the regular season. "The one thing that's happened for our team, which has been good, is Dallas and San Antonio," Oklahoma City coach Billy Donovan told reporters. "These games helped us get better. We have improved and gotten better. I think there's an opportunity to continue to grow for our team.” The Warriors spent most of the first two rounds without two-time MVP Stephen Curry, but the star point guard returned in the final two games of the semifinals against Portland and averaged 34.5 points, 9.5 assists and seven rebounds while providing the dagger 3-pointers that clinched both wins. Golden State got four full days off between series to help heal Curry’s knee injury and buy some time for center Andrew Bogut (adductor), who left Game 5 against the Trail Blazers and sat out practices on Friday and Saturday.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened at 7.5-point favorites an, as of Sunday evening, the line hasn't budged since its release. The total opened at 223 and came up by a half point to 223.5. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (63-30, 44-48-1 ATS, 45-48 O/U): Oklahoma City lost Game 1 against the Spurs by 32 points but rebounded to win the series behind stars Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant. Westbrook, who drew some criticism and heaped more on himself after needing 31 shots to get 31 points in a Game 3 loss, was arguably the best player on the floor in the final three games of the series, dictating the pace and relentlessly attacking the basket. “I’m excited for all of our players,” Donovan told reporters. “Those guys have done a tremendous job and have worked really hard getting prepared to play each game. I’m just happy that we get a chance to advance and continue to play.”

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (81-11, 52-38-2 ATS, 50-41-1 O/U): Golden State will start Festus Ezeli at center if Bogut is unable to go in Game 1, and the team is confident a reserve frontcourt that includes Anderson Varejao and Marreese Speights can pick up the slack. “We’ve got a lot of options, a lot of depth,” Kerr said. “The good thing is, we’ve had to play without a lot of people this year, and we’ve had to adapt to that. We’ll figure it out.” All-Star forward Draymond Green rolled his ankle in the finale against Portland but has been practicing over the weekend and is more worried about getting baited into technical fouls (he’s already been whistled for four during the postseason) than he is about the ankle.

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
* Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 Conference Finals games.
* Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Home team is 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

CONSENSUS: Somewhat surprising early Consensus data with the Thunder picking up 51 percent of the wagers as of Sunday evening. The Over is the fun play with these two offensive-minded teams, so not a huge surprise that 70 percent of users are picking the Over.

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**Udog** · 05-16-2016, 08:31 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, May 16

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OKLAHOMA CITY (63 - 30) at GOLDEN STATE (81 - 11) - 5/16/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-49 ATS (-18.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-38 ATS (-15.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 48-37 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 75-61 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-40 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 156-114 ATS (+30.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, May 16

Oklahoma City at Golden State, 9:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 10-21 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5
Golden State: 11-1 ATS after 2 games where they were called for 25 or more fouls

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, May 16

Oklahoma City-Golden State (0-0)
Warriors won six of last seven games with Oklahoma City; over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Thunder lost last five visits to Oakland, as Warriors covered last four. OC beat Spurs in six games; they've been off since Thursday; Golden State beat Portland in five; they've been off for one more day than Thunder. Thunder won four of last five road games. Golden State won its last six home games (5-1 vs spread).

Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 26-18, Over: 13-31
Second round: Favorites: 13-8, over: 12-9

NBA

Monday, May 16

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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. GOLDEN STATE
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

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**Udog** · 05-16-2016, 09:41 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, May 16

Oklahoma City @ Golden State

Game 701-702
May 16, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
128.621
Golden State
133.111
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 4 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7 1/2
224
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+7 1/2); Under

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/16

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/16

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