Announcement

**Udog** · 05-15-2016, 08:17 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Some college football pointspreads for this fall, from the South Point casino:

-- Sept 10: BYU @ Utah (-7.5)

-- Sept 17: Ohio State @ Oklahoma (-9)

-- Sept 24: Arkansas (-1.5) @ Texas A&M

-- Oct 1: Tennessee @ Georgia (even)

-- Oct 8: Washington @ Oregon (-4.5)

-- Oct 15: Stanford (-1) @ Notre Dame

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.....

13) National League is off to a 31-20 start in interleague play, its best start in years. Over is 31-20 in those 51 games.

12) Cubs 8, Pirates 2-- Chicago has won Jake Arrieta's last 21 starts.

11) Larry Fitzgerald graduated from college, fuffilling a promise he made to his late mother, so good for him.

10) Red Sox 6, Astros 5-- Gregerson blew save in 9th for 15-23 Houston.

9) There were no NBA or NHL games Saturday, which is odd.

8) Braves 5, Royals 0-- Mike Foltynewsicz shut Royals out for eight innins, then got picked up by my fantasy team while I was sitting in a bar listening to live music.

7) Orioles 9, Tigers 3-- Baltimore is 23-12; Showalter is a great manager- at one point in spring training, Orioles were 0-10 and there was unstated concern. But those games do not atter and now the O's are in first place.

6) Phillies 4, Reds 3-- Philly is now 14-3 in games decided by one run.

5) Angels 9, Mariners 7-- Jhoulys Chacin was excellent in his Halos debut, but LA's bullpen blew 6-2 lead on him, then Seattle bullpen blew that lead in ninth.

4) No NBA team should draft Cheick Diallo in the first round; he averaged 3.0 ppg and 2.5 rpg in his only year at Kasnas-n he played 7.5 mpg. Why would a kid leave school so early when he clearly is not ready? .

3) Russell Wilson gave the commencement address at Wisconsin yesterday; he went to school in Madison for one year, after transferring from NC State.

2) Cubs are 15-2 vs NL West rivals, 12-6 vs everyone else.

1) Giants and Dodger are tied atop NL West, three games over .500. No bueno.

**Udog** · 05-15-2016, 08:21 AM

NBA

Sunday, May 15

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Sunday's NBA playoffs betting preview and odds: Heat at Raptors
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Dwyane Wade can expect to get the full attention of the Raptors' defense during Sunday's Game 7 battle in Toronto.

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors (-4.5, 189.5)

Series tied 3-3

The Miami Heat are embracing small ball in ways rarely seen in the NBA and are on the verge of taking it to the Eastern Conference finals. The Heat will once again operate without a traditional center when they visit the Toronto Raptors for Game 7 on Sunday.

Miami didn’t just leave the center out of the lineup in Game 6 with starter Hassan Whiteside sidelined, it left power forwards Amar’e Stoudemire and Udonis Haslem on the bench the entire game as well while small forwards Luol Deng, Justise Winslow and Joe Johnson started and got the bulk of the playing time in the frontcourt. "Sometimes unconventional works," veteran guard Dwyane Wade, who scored 22 points in the 103-91 triumph, told reporters of the lineup. The Raptors received solid play from the backcourt pairing of DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry but failed to contain the Miami guards and the waves of perimeter players the Heat sent at them on the defensive end. “They did an excellent job of setting the tempo and the style of play early and we didn’t adjust to it as far as guarding the basketball, containing the basketball, keeping it in front of us,” Raptors coach Dwane Casey told reporters.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The Raptors opened as 4.5-point favorites and the total hit the board at 189.5. At the time this preview will be published on Saturday evening, neither number has moved. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE HEAT (55-40, 51-43-1 ATS, 39-55-1 O/U): Miami, like Toronto, is playing a Game 7 for the second time already in this postseason and is confident it can get the job done on the road. "It's different than a normal game," Wade told reporters. "It's not a Game 1, where you have a Game 2 the next day. You have to give a little more. You have to do a little more. You have to give everything you have. There's no tomorrow." The Heat are at their best when point guard Goran Dragic is playing aggressively and attacking the basket, and the 30-year-old posted his playoff high with 30 points in Friday’s triumph.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (63-32, 49-46 ATS, 46-48-1 O/U): Toronto was without its starting center as well (Jonas Valanciunas, ankle) but elevated reserve center Bismack Biyombo into the starting lineup and tried to play a more traditional style on offense. The Raptors lamented their struggles with one-on-one defense after the loss, with Lowry in particular noting the difficulty of containing Dragic, but are excited for Game 7 at home. “This is going to be fun,” Lowry told reporters. “It’s Game 7, (No. 2 seed) versus No. 3 and a good opportunity to play on one of the biggest stages there is. Time to just go out there and hoop.”

TRENDS:

* Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Raptors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
* Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Over is 23-5 in Raptors last 28 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

CONSENSUS: The public is favoring the Raptors as home favorites at 55 percent and the Over is getting 60 percent of the action in early wagering.

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**Udog** · 05-15-2016, 08:27 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, May 15

Miami @ Toronto

Game 549-550
May 15, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
123.480
Toronto
124.937
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
185
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
189 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+4 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, May 15

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MIAMI (55 - 40) at TORONTO (63 - 32) - 5/15/2016, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 51-43 ATS (+3.7 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-31 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 175-219 ATS (-65.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 48-63 ATS (-21.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 9-8 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-8 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, May 15

Miami-Toronto (3-3)
Heat lost seven of last 10 games with Toronto, losing four of last five played here. Home side won 11 of last 15 series games overall- three of last four series games here went over total. Eight of last 11 Miami games stayed under total, as have 10 of last 14 3 Raptor games. Lowry had 33 points in Game 3 but is 33-98 in other five games. Dragic erupted with 30 points in Game 6 to help even series. Miam is 6-3 all-time in Game 7's, Toronto is 1-2

Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 26-18, Over: 13-31
Second round: Favorites: 12-8, over: 11-9

NBA

Sunday, May 15

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Trend Report
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3:30 PM
MIAMI vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

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**Udog** · 05-15-2016, 09:07 AM

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, May 15

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SEATTLE (10 - 24) at LOS ANGELES (15 - 22) - 5/15/2016, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-4 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (18 - 18) at NEW YORK (26 - 14) - 5/15/2016, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1997.
NEW YORK is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Sunday, May 15

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Trend Report
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5:00 PM
DALLAS vs. NEW YORK
Dallas is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
New York is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
New York is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home

5:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Los Angeles's last 25 games when playing Seattle
Los Angeles is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games at home

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**Udog** · 05-15-2016, 09:58 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, May 15

Seattle @ Los Angeles

Game 651-652
May 15, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
103.966
Los Angeles
116.432
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 12 1/2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 10
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-10); Under

Dallas @ New York

Game 653-654
May 15, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
108.983
New York
116.359
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 7 1/2
167
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 5
157
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-5); Over

**Udog** · 05-15-2016, 01:34 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, May 15

Miami at Toronto, 3:35 ET
Miami: 19-10 ATS after 4 games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers
Toronto: 4-13 ATS in all playoff games

Announcement

Sunday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/15

Sunday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/15

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