Announcement

**Udog** · 05-05-2016, 08:18 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- A's were 256-175 in the regular season when they had Yoenis Cespedes. They are 103-143 since they traded him.

-- Cubs are 13-2 against their NL Central rivals this season.

-- Mo Tom and Tom's Ready are running in Kentucky Derby; they're both owned by the owner of the New Orleans Saints/Pelicans, Tom Benson.

-- Rory McIlroy has played one round of golf since the Masters. 18 holes.

-- Arizona Coyotes are going to hire a 27-year old as their new GM; at least he did not go to an Ivy League school-- he went to U of Western Ontario.

-- JT Realmuto led off for Marlins last two nights; not often a catcher leads off.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Early season trends for NFC teams......

Cardinals-- Arizona won its last six home openers, covering four of last five; they are 8-0 vs spread in last eight road openers. Under is 7-3 in last ten road openers.

Falcons-- Atlanta won/covered its last eight home openers; they're 14-3 vs spread in last 17 home openers. They're 3-9 vs spread in last 12 road openers (under 10-2)

Panthers-- Last 13 Super Bowl losers are 2-11 vs spread in their opener the following season. Carolina is 10-5 as an underdog in road openers (under 3-1 last four).

Bears-- Chicago is opening on road for first time since '09; under is 10-2 in their last 12 road openers. Bears covered eight of last eleven home openers.

Cowboys-- Dallas covered one of last eight home openers; since '93, they're 7-13 vs spread as a favorite in home openers, 18-8 in last 26 road openers.

Lions-- Detroit is 4-8 as underdog in road openers; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road openers. Lions are 8-1-1 as a favorite in home openers (over 5-1 last 6).

Packers-- Green Bay lost three of last four home openers, covered one of its last five. Packeras are 6-2 vs spread as favorite in home openers (over 4-1 last five).

Rams-- Rams are 3-13 vs spread in last 16 openers, 1-13 SU in last 14 road openers, with only win 19-17 in Tampa. Under is 7-3 in their last ten road openers.

Vikings-- Minnesota is 4-11 in last 15 road openers, 3-5 in last eight season openers. Vikings covered once in last eight home openers; they've got a new dome this year.

Saints-- NO is 13-5 in last 18 home openers, 5-2-1 vs spread as favorite. under is 9-3 in their last 12 home openers. Saints covered once in last eight road openers.

Giants-- Big Blue started last five years 0-1; they've lost five of last six road openers. Over is 14-2 in their last 16 road openers. Giants lost last four home openers.

Eagles-- Philly is 2-8 vs spread in last 10 home openers; they're 0-7 as favorite of less than 8 points in HO's. Iggles won six of their last seven road openers.

49ers-- Niners won last five season openers, are 10-1-1 vs spread in last dozen home openers. Under is 9-5-1 in last 15 home openers, 4-2-1 in last seven road openers.

Seahawks-- Seattle won/covered 12 of last 13 home openers; under is 12-2-1 in their last 15 HO's. Seahawks covered once in their last 11 road openers (1-8 last 9 SU).

Bucs-- Tampa Bay covered four of last five as an underdog in road openers; under is 16-7 in their last 23 AO's. Buccaneers lost four of their last five home openers.

Redskins-- Washington lost three of last four home openers; four of their last five went over total. Redskins lost seven of last eight road openers (over 5-2 last seven).

**Udog** · 05-05-2016, 08:21 AM

NBA

Thursday, May 5

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Thursday's NBA playoffs betting preview and odds: Heat at Raptors
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Raptors' Kyle Lowry was only 3-for-13 shooting in Game 1. If he doesn't get his game together quickly it could be a quick series win for the Heat.

Once again there is only one game on the NBA Playoff schedule and it's Game 2 between the Miami Heat and the Toronto Raptors. We break down all the action so you can cap the game like a pro.

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors (-4.5, 188)

Heat lead series 1-0

The Toronto Raptors have been waiting for their All-Star backcourt to step up in the postseason, and aside from one moment in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals, they are still waiting. The Raptors will try to get more out of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan and even the series when they host the Miami Heat in Game 2 on Thursday.

DeRozan shot 31.9 percent from the floor in a seven-game victory over the Indiana Pacers in the first round and went 9-of-22 from the floor on Tuesday while Lowry has been even worse, shooting 31.6 percent against the Pacers and slumping to 3-of-13 in Game 1 against the Heat. "I'm trying to get my touch back. I don't know where it's at," Lowry told reporters. "It's kind of mind-boggling right now, and it's frustrating, but I'm not going to shy away from the criticism or anything. I’m going to continue to be aggressive and take shots.” The Miami backcourt carried the team through the final two games of its first-round series against the Charlotte Hornets and stepped up again against Toronto with a combined 50 points from Goran Dragic and Dwyane Wade. Wade, who picked up his 100th career playoff victory with the 102-96 overtime triumph, scored seven of his 24 points in the extra period and stole the ball from DeRozan with four seconds left to seal the win.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The Raptors opened as 4.5-point favorites for Game 2 after dropping the opener Tuesday night. The total opened at 188.5 and came down a point to 187.5 by Wednesday evening. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE HEAT (53-37, 48-41-1 ATS, 37-52-1 O/U): Miami squandered a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter before regrouping for overtime and credited injured forward Chris Bosh for keeping the team focused at the start of the extra period. "(Bosh) was huge in that timeout," Dragic told reporters. "When (Lowry) hit that shot, most other teams would think it's over. We didn't. We kind of (flipped) the switch and tried to make something positive from that. (Bosh) said, 'OK, it's our first game. We're playing in a hostile environment. We still have five minutes to go, and we're in a good position.’” Bosh is reportedly in a dispute with the Heat over his medical condition, with the team exercising caution and keeping him off the floor against his wishes.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (60-30, 47-43 ATS, 44-45-1 O/U): Lowry went from the high of sending the game into overtime with a halfcourt buzzer-beater to missing his only shot in overtime as Toronto fell. “I have but not at this time, so that's what's frustrating,” Lowry told reporters when asked if he has been in shooting slumps like this before. “In the playoffs, all eyes are on you. It sucks to be playing this bad with all eyes on me. I know I'm better than this, so I have to pick this (stuff) up.” Lowry has not shot better than 38.1 percent in any of his eight games this postseason and stayed in the gym after finishing up with his media responsibilities on Tuesday to shoot jumpers.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Raptors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
* Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Heat are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Toronto.

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**Udog** · 05-05-2016, 08:23 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 5

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MIAMI (53 - 37) at TORONTO (60 - 30) - 5/5/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all playoff games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 173-216 ATS (-64.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 46-60 ATS (-20.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-6 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, May 5

Miami at Toronto, 8:05 ET
Miami: 20-11 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
Toronto: 4-14 ATS in all playoff games

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 5

Miami-Toronto (M 1-0)
Toronto tied game dramatically at end of regulation, then lost in OT as Dragic had 26 points for Heat, which was -9 in 12:00 he was off floor. Miami lost four of last six games with Toronto, losing three of last four games in Canada, losing by 8ot-20-10 points. Home side won seven of last ten series games. Heat lost three of last five road games; five of their last six games stayed under total, as have seven of last nine Raptor tilts. Toronto won three of last four home games. Toronto was -16 in 12:00 without Valanciunas on floor, +10 when he was playingr.

Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 26-18, Over: 13-31
Second round: Favorites: 5-2, over: 4-3

NBA

Thursday, May 5

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
Toronto is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games

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**Udog** · 05-05-2016, 10:18 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, May 5

Miami @ Toronto

Game 515-516
May 5, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
119.266
Toronto
125.751
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 6 1/2
183
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
188 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-4 1/2); Under

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/5

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/5

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