Announcement

**Udog** · 05-03-2016, 08:18 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Orioles' SS JJ Hardy broke his foot, is out 4-6 weeks.

-- Milwaukee's Wily Peralta allowed 13 hits with no strikeouts Sunday, the first MLB pitcher to do that since Doug Fister six years ago.

-- Cubs/White Sox have combined to outscore opponents 107-39 in innings 7-9 so far this season.

-- Since 2006, Justin Verlander has 159 wins, 13 more than any other pitcher. He also got engaged to Kate Upton, so its good to be him.

-- Dallas wouldn't give the Seahawks a 2nd and 3rd round draft pick, which is why they didn't trade up to draft QB Paxton Lynch.

-- If the Indiana Pacers fire coach Frank Vogel, it is further proof that the NBA is a traveling insane asylum. Vogel is 250-181 as an NBA coach, 31-30 in playoff games. Larry Bird should fire himself for not getting Vogel a good enough team to coach.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Early season trends for AFC teams......

Ravens-- Baltimore is 13-6 vs spread as a favorite in home openers. Over is 5-2 in its last seven home openers. Home side won their last five games with Buffalo.

Bills-- Buffalo covered nine of its last 11 season openers; they're 9-5 vs spread in last 14 road openers. Bills covered seven of last nine home openers.

Bengals-- Cincinnati lost its last nine games against the Jets in Swamp Stadium; last win at the Jets was in 1981. Six of Bengals' last seven road openers went over total.

Browns-- Cleveland came back to the NFL in 1999; they've been 1-0 once since then, going 2-8-1 vs spread in last 11 openers. Over is 11-4 in their last 15 road openers.

Broncos-- Denver is 18-8-1 vs spread in last 27 home openers. Super Bowl champs are 7-3-3 vs spread in season openers the next year. Is Mark Sanchez the Denver QB?

Texans-- Houston won six of last seven season openers, five of last six at home, six of last seven on road. Under is 7-4 in their last eleven home openers.

Colts--Indy is 1-5 vs spread as a favorite in home openers; under is 4-1 in its last five season openers. Colts are 3-10-1 vs spread as an underdog in road openers.

Jaguars--Jax is 2-7 in its last nine home openers, losing last four by average score of 30-9. Under is 8-3-1 n their last 12 home openers. 8-4 in last 12 road openers.

Chiefs-- KC is 5-11 in its last 16 home openers, 2-9-1 vs spread when favored in its home opener. Under is 19-4-2 in their last 25 home openers, 7-4 in road openers.

Dolphins-- Miami is 3-9 in last 12 road openers, 1-6-1 vs spread when an underdog in road openers. Dolphins won five of their last six games with Seattle.

Patriots--NE won 11 of last 12 season openers; they're 3-4 in road openers if spead was 3 or less points. Patriots were favored in their last twelve road openers.

Jets-- Jets won last five home openers, three by 5 or less points; they've won seven of last eight season openers. Jets are 14-5 vs spread in last 19 road openers. .

Raiders-- Oakland lost 12 of last 13 season openers, but is 6-1-1 vs spread as a dog in road openers. Over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 road openers

Steelers-- Pitt lost its last five road openers (0-4-1 vs spread); seven of their last nine road openers stayed under. Steelers lost season opener four of last five years.

Chargers-- San Diego covered its last four season openers; they're 8-5 vs spread as an underdog in road openers. Bolts lost 33-3/10-3 against Kansas City LY.

Titans-- Tennessee covered seven of last nine road openers (6-3 SU); under is 15-4 in its last 19 road openers. Four of of their last five season openers stayed under.

**Udog** · 05-03-2016, 08:22 AM

NBA

Tuesday, May 3

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Tuesday's NBA playoffs betting preview and odds
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The Toronto Raptors and the Miami Heat both had more trouble in the first round than they intended and ended up battling through seven games to reach the Eastern Conference semifinals.

Tuesday's NBA Playoffs action features the opening game of the Heat vs. Raptors series and the second game between the Blazers and Warriors. We break down all the action so you can cap the games like a pro.

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors (-4.5, 191)

Series tied 0-0

The Toronto Raptors and the Miami Heat both had more trouble in the first round than they intended and ended up battling through seven games to reach the Eastern Conference semifinals. Neither team will have had much time to prepare when the Raptors host the Heat in Game 1 on Tuesday.

Miami looked unstoppable in its first two games against the Charlotte Hornets in the first round before struggling through the next four only to find its form again in a 106-73 shellacking at home in Game 7 on Sunday. “Every team faces tough times; we know those times are going to come,” Heat point guard Goran Dragic told reporters. “We have so many veteran guys; they just help you find a way when you’re going through tough times. We just had to grow as a team.” The Raptors don’t need to grow as a team as much as they need to rediscover who they were during a regular season that saw them push the Cleveland Cavaliers into the final week before settling for the No. 2 seed. Toronto nearly squandered all of a 16-point, fourth-quarter lead in Game 7 against Indiana before pulling out an 89-84 triumph and is still waiting for the shots to fall for All-Star guards DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Raptors opened as five-point favorites but the line was adjusted to -4.5 by Monday morning. The total hit the board at 191.5 and was bumped down slightly to 191. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE HEAT (52-37, 47-41-1 ATS, 36-52-1 O/U): Miami star Dwyane Wade kept his team alive with a brilliant fourth quarter in Game 6 but everyone stepped up in Game 7 with the season on the line. Dragic scored 25 points in the clincher while Hassan Whiteside, who feels that the strength the team formed in the series will help them the rest of the way in the playoffs, capped a strong series with 10 points, 12 rebounds and five blocked shots. “I really think it gave us better focus going into the second round,” Whiteside told reporters. “I remember how guys felt after we lost Game 5. Guys were down and I told them, ‘Hey, we’re going to go and steal one in Charlotte.’”

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (60-29, 47-42 ATS, 43-45-1 O/U): Toronto scrapped past the seventh-seeded Pacers despite terrible shooting slumps from Lowry (31.6 percent from the field in the series) and DeRozan (31.9), who both hit key shots down the stretch in Game 7. “My teammates count on me,” Lowry told reporters. “My teammates love me and they support me, no matter what I do. No matter what happens, they’re always going to be there, and they’re never going to doubt me.” DeRozan, who was 10-for-32 from the floor in Game 7 but knocked down the free throws at the end that sealed the win and finished 9-of-9 from the line, should be glad to see Miami, against which he averaged 29.3 points on 48.8 percent shooting in four regular season games.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.
* Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Heat last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Under is 7-1 in Raptors last 8 overall.
* Heat are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors (-10, 213.5)

Warriors lead series 1-0

The Golden State Warriors had no problem scoring without MVP Stephen Curry in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals and put the focus on defense for most of the afternoon. The Portland Trail Blazers had no answers for the Warriors’ big bodies in the lane and on the perimeter and will try to make some changes before visiting Golden State for Game 2 on Tuesday.

The Warriors frustrated Portland guards Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum with a series of bigger defenders and funneled the action into the paint, where Andrew Bogut and Draymond Green were waiting. "I just told the guys that we got to come out with a defensive mindset and that's pretty much it," Green said in a postgame interview. "I think we can pretty much just stay solid and get good stuff on the offensive end, but against this team, we just got to come out with a defensive mindset when Steph's not out there." The Trail Blazers fell behind by 20 points in the first quarter and never managed to work their way back into the game before falling 118-106. “Certainly wasn’t the start we wanted,” Portland head coach Terry Stotts told reporters. “It was disappointing to get off to such a poor start. Our offense, we had trouble scoring. Their defense got into us. It was just — we struggled at both ends, and probably more so on the offensive end, which fed into their defense.”

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The spread for this one opened up at -9.5 in favor of the Warriors and was bet up to -10 by late Sunday night. The total began at 213.5 and, up until this point, hasn't moved. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (48-41, 47-42 ATS, 47-42 O/U): Portland got a break in the first round when Los Angeles Clippers stars Chris Paul and Blake Griffin went down in Game 4 and was hoping to get a jump on the Warriors before a possible return from Curry (knee) later in the series. “We got beat pretty soundly in Game 1 against the Clippers and we made some adjustments, we played a little bit better and got better as the series went along, and we need to do the same thing,” Stotts said. “So we’ll watch the video, see what we can come up with for Game 2. But there’s no question that we have to play better and learn from Game 1 like we did with the Clippers.” Lillard finished with 30 points but struggled to 8-of-26 from the field while McCollum managed 12 points on 5-of-17 shooting.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (78-10, 50-36-2, 47-40-1 O/U): Klay Thompson buried seven 3-pointers en route to a game-high 37 points and Green took care of almost everything else while piling up 23 points, 13 rebounds, 11 assists, three blocks and a steal in 37 minutes. “I just want to play as myself and to my strengths,” Thompson told reporters. “I don’t have the handle and creativity that (Curry) does, so I’ve got to get it differently. I’ve got to use my teammates. These guys set great screens and I got in a great rhythm.” Thompson is 21-of-36 from 3-point range in the last three games – becoming the first player in NBA history with at least seven 3-pointers in three straight playoff games - and spent plenty of time chasing Lillard around on Sunday in a solid defensive performance.

TRENDS:

* Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games.
* Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
* Over is 7-0 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Over is 7-0 in Warriors last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.

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**Udog** · 05-03-2016, 08:26 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, May 3

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MIAMI (52 - 37) at TORONTO (60 - 29) - 5/3/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 173-215 ATS (-63.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (48 - 41) at GOLDEN STATE (78 - 10) - 5/3/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-35 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 59-40 ATS (+15.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-59 ATS (+8.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-46 ATS (+9.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, May 3

Miami lost four of last five games with Toronto, losing last three games in Canada by 8ot-20-10 points- under is 3-1 in last four games played in Toronto. Home side won seven of last nine series games. Heat lost three of last four road games; their last five games stayed under total, as have seven of last eight Raptor games. Toronto won last three home games by 5-3-11 points. Both teams won Game 7's Sunday- this game could ba a little sluggish, so soon after those win-or-go home games. .

Portland-Golden State (GS 1-0)
In 10 quarters since Curry hurt his knee, Warriors are +72; they've won seven of last eight against Portland, covered nine of last 11. Trailblazers are 0-5 vs spread last five times they came to Oakland. Blazers are 7-4 in last 11 games, with six of last nine staying under the total. Golden State won eight of last ten games, covered seven of last eight- under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Warriors raced out to 37-17 first quarter lead, then coasted from there to win Game 1 by 12.

Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 26-18, Over: 13-31
Second round: Favorites: 3-1, over: 2-2

NBA

Tuesday, May 3

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. TORONTO
Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami

10:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Portland is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing at home against Portland

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**Udog** · 05-03-2016, 09:56 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, May 3

Miami @ Toronto

Game 507-508
May 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
116.917
Toronto
124.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 8
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
191 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-4 1/2); Under

Portland @ Golden State

Game 511-512
May 3, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
123.154
Golden State
136.580
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 10
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-10); Over

**Udog** · 05-03-2016, 01:30 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, May 3

Miami at Toronto, 8:05 ET
Miami: 9-21 ATS after covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
Toronto: 7-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread

Portland at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Portland: 5-13 ATS after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games
Golden State: 12-3 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/3

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/3

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