Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/10

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, April 10

Good Luck on day #101 of 2016!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Odds to win the college football national championship.......

USC-- 80-1-- Stanford appears to be favored in the Pac-12.

Miami-- 100-1-- Mark Richt's first year back in Coral Gables.

BYU-- 300-1-- Someone remind me why they went independent.......

Penn State 300-1-- Breaking in a new quarterback this year.

South Carolina 300-1-- If Steve Spurrier couldn't win a title there.......

Kansas State 500-1-- Opened at 1,000-1, so someone bet on 'em.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.....

3) It rained here in Las Vegas last night, very hard at times; wound up stuck in a huge traffic jam because a tractor trailed jackknifed on I-15, or I-95, not sure which road it was. Turns out that people in the desert aren't real good at driving in rainstorms. Go figure.

12) Padres were outscored 25-0 by the Dodgers in three games during the week, then they go to Coors Field and score 29 runs in their first two games there. Dodgers scored 11 runs in their first three games in San Francisco.

11) San Diego loses ace Tyson Ross to DL with shoulder problems.

10) All five Houston games this week have gone over the total.

9) Minnesota Twins are 0-5 for first time ever; its not good if you're buried in the standings before your home opener.

8) If you look at the 5-inning records of teams, Cubs are 5-0 so far, Arizona is 0-6. You can bet on how games will wind up after the fifth inning, so this is a relevant stat. All the five-inning record are posted on our baseball page.

7) Broncos traded OT Ryan Clady to the Jets, where he will replace the retired D'Brickashaw Ferguson.

6) Was wondering today what golfers do the night before the last round of a major? Their tee time is late in the day, so no need to go to bed real early. Do they watch replays of the Saturday telecast, to try and pick up something about the course?

5) Donnie Tyndall got a 10-year show-cause order from NCAA, meaning he cannot coach for the next nine years. Apparently Tyndall had his assistant coaches do course work for his players. Everyone knows thats what student managers are for, except when I was a manager, since I was worse at schoolwork than most all of our players.

Seriously though, a 10-year show-cause is basically a lifetime ban. He'll have to coach at an NAIA school or in junior college or high school if he wants to keep coaching.

4) Former Cal assistant Yann Hufnagel, who quit the Golden Bears last month because of a sexual harassment charge, has surfaced as an assistant at Nevada. Hufnagel is a very good recruiter and recruiters are very important people.

3) Oakland's pint-sized point guard Kay Felder is off to the NBA; I say he makes someone's roster.

2) Iowa State caught a big break when PG Monte Morris passed on the NBA Draft; Cyclones will have a lot of new players next year, at least now they still have a floor leader. Big X is a very tough league, but Iowa State, Oklahoma have to rebuild.

1) Domantas Sabonis is apparently heading to the NBA; boy, if I had the top pick in the draft, I'd seriously have a hard time passing him up, giving how productive he has been at Gonzaga and also his bloodlines-- his dad was one of the greatest players ever before he tore an Achilles in Europe.

Top of the NBA Draft is going to be very interesting this year.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, April 10

Hot teams
-- Hornets won five of their last seven games (7-1 last 8AF).
-- Mavericks won their last six games (6-1 last 7AU). Clippers won eight of their last nine games (3-1 last 4HF).
-- Utah won four of its last five road games (9-4 last 13AF).
-- Indiana won three of its last four games (4-6 last 10HF).
-- Orlando won five of its last seven games (3-6 last 9AU). Miami is 5-3 in its last eight games (4-0 last 4HF).
-- Warriors won eight of their last ten games (2-1AU), San Antonio won its last four home games; they're 1-7 vs spread in last 8 games overall.
-- Toronto won four of its last six games (4-6 last 10AF).

Cold teams
-- Washington lost six of its last nine games (2-4 last 6HU).
-- Lakers lost eight of their last nine games (0-5 last 5AU). Houston lost three of its last four games (0-5 last 5HF).
-- Denver lost five of its last seven games (2-3 last 5HU).
-- 76ers lost nine of their last ten games (1-4 last 5HU). Milwaukee lost eight of its last ten games (1-1AF).
-- Nets lost their last seven games (1-6 vs spread).
-- Knicks lost five of their last seven games (3-7 last 10HU).

Series records
-- Hornets won seven of last ten games with Washington.
-- Lakers lost eight of last nine games with Houston.
-- Clippers won seven of last eight games with Dallas.
-- Jazz won their last four games with Denver.
-- 76ers lost their last eight games with Milwaukee.
-- Pacers won seven of their last ten games with Brooklyn.
-- Heat won eight of last ten games with Orlando.
-- Home side won last five Warrior-spur games; home side won last five. Golden State hasn't won at Alamo since 1997 (33 games).
-- Knicks lost five of last seven games with Toronto.

Totals
-- Four of last five Washington games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Dallas-Clipper games went over.
-- Seven of last eight Denver-Utah games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Brooklyn-Indiana games went over.
-- Six of last eight Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Golden State-San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Toronto-New York games went over total.

Back/backs
-- Warriors covered two of last seven if they played night before.

[Udog]

NBA

Sunday, April 10

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Trend Report
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2:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. WASHINGTON
Charlotte is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. HOUSTON
LA Lakers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Houston
LA Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
DALLAS vs. LA CLIPPERS
Dallas is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing LA Clippers
Dallas is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 10 games

5:00 PM
UTAH vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games when playing Denver
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Denver's last 23 games at home
Denver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

5:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games
Philadelphia is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee

6:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. INDIANA
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Indiana is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

6:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami
Orlando is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Miami is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Orlando

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. SAN ANTONIO
Golden State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
Golden State14-3-1 SU in its last 18 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Antonio's last 23 games

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. NEW YORK
Toronto is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 10 games at home
New York is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games


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[Udog]

How to properly use the infamous "Zig-zag" theory this NBA postseason

With the Stanley Cup playoffs scheduled to begin on April 9 and the NBA postseason slated to open exactly one week later, we’re about to be inundated with a plethora of analysis and strategies designed to put sports bettors in a more advantageous position with which to turn a profit. And one of those popular strategies set to rear its head in the very near future is the infamous Zig-Zag Theory.

Simply put, the Zig-Zag Theory is a strategy in which gamblers bet on a team coming off a playoff loss. For example, if the Cleveland Cavaliers were to beat the Indiana Pacers in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference quarterfinals, the Zig-Zag Theory would dictate that we bet on Indiana in Game 2. Why? Well, the prevailing reason for such a maneuver is that teams are more inclined to rebound with a solid showing following a playoff loss in order to stave off elimination.

But here’s the problem: Bookmakers are well aware of the Zig-Zag Theory thanks, in large part, to the rise in sports betting coverage in the mainstream media. With more people tasked with providing more information than at any other time in sports betting’s history, very little usable intelligence is capable of remaining in the shadows. And with more people aware of the Zig-Zag Theory and, therefore, more people implementing the Zig-Zag Theory, the bookmakers know what they’re up against and can adjust their respective point spreads accordingly.

Granted, we are talking about a small sample size here, but if you had chosen to implement the Zig-Zag Theory in every applicable game during last year’s NBA playoffs, you would have posted an ATS record of 33-32-1 which, after factoring in the juice, would have put you in the red. But how does last year stack up against a larger sample size?

From 1991-2015, the NBA Zig-Zag Theory has gone 819-725-38 against the spread, good for a winning percentage of 53.0 percent. However, since 2001, the Zig-Zag theory has dropped to an overall ATS record of just 508-476-28 (51.6 percent), as opposed to the 55.5 percent (311-249-10) mark the strategy produced from 1991-2000.

The 3.9 percent drop in success rate that has occurred over the last 15 installments of the NBA playoffs may not seem like a lot, but it’s enough to go from turning a profit to losing money, which is the exact opposite of what we’re trying to accomplish with these articles.

So what’s the bottom line?

Simple. Feel free to consider the Zig-Zag Theory during your NBA postseason handicapping, but don’t put too much stock in its viability.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, April 10


Toronto @ New York

Game 517-518
April 10, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
122.462
New York
116.840
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 5 1/2
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
195
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-3 1/2); Under

Charlotte @ Washington

Game 501-502
April 10, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
119.511
Washington
121.166
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 5
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+5); Under

LA Lakers @ Houston

Game 503-504
April 10, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
108.486
Houston
119.946
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 14
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+14); Under

Dallas @ LA Clippers

Game 505-506
April 10, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
120.151
LA Clippers
128.170
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 8
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 3
195
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-3); Under

Utah @ Denver

Game 507-508
April 10, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
123.135
Denver
113.928
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 9
187
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 6
192
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-6); Under

Milwaukee @ Philadelphia

Game 509-510
April 10, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
111.383
Philadelphia
114.934
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 3 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 5 1/2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+5 1/2); Under

Brooklyn @ Indiana

Game 511-512
April 10, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
107.192
Indiana
117.967
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 11
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 13 1/2
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+13 1/2); Under

Orlando @ Miami

Game 513-514
April 10, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
113.315
Miami
124.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 11 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 8 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-8 1/2); Over

Golden State @ San Antonio

Game 515-516
April 10, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
120.263
San Antonio
128.742
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 8 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 4 1/2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-4 1/2); Over

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 10

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CHARLOTTE (46 - 33) at WASHINGTON (38 - 41) - 4/10/2016, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 362-432 ATS (-113.2 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 166-209 ATS (-63.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 87-123 ATS (-48.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 7-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 7-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (16 - 63) at HOUSTON (38 - 41) - 4/10/2016, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 35-43 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
LA LAKERS are 42-58 ATS (-21.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 34-45 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 96-131 ATS (-48.1 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (41 - 38) at LA CLIPPERS (51 - 28) - 4/10/2016, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (39 - 40) at DENVER (33 - 47) - 4/10/2016, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 85-71 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 86-59 ATS (+21.1 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
UTAH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 8-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (32 - 47) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 69) - 4/10/2016, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (21 - 58) at INDIANA (42 - 37) - 4/10/2016, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (34 - 45) at MIAMI (46 - 33) - 4/10/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 44-34 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (71 - 9) at SAN ANTONIO (65 - 14) - 4/10/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 948-826 ATS (+39.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 43-31 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 484-400 ATS (+44.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 268-221 ATS (+24.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 169-122 ATS (+34.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 66-51 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 127-95 ATS (+22.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 99-77 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 53-38 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 67-46 ATS (+16.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (53 - 26) at NEW YORK (32 - 48) - 4/10/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA

Sunday, April 10

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Game of the Day: Warriors at Spurs
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The Warriors are two wins away from history and the Spurs haven't lost on home court yet this season. Get ready for a showdown in San Antonio on Sunday night.

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs (-5.5, 205)

The Golden State Warriors rallied late Saturday to give themselves an opportunity at history and set up a monumental matchup at the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday. The Warriors finished on an 8-2 run to steal a 100-99 win at Memphis, improving to 71-9 and keeping alive their chance to record an NBA-record 73 victories with two games to play.

To get one win closer, they would have to be the first team all season to win in San Antonio, where the Spurs are closing in on the first perfect home record in league history. Golden State knows all about it, as the franchise has dropped an alarming 33 straight games at San Antonio. The two Western Conference powers are meeting for the second time in four days, with the Warriors holding serve at home in a 112-101 triumph on Thursday. San Antonio followed that loss up with another at Denver the following night, but coach Gregg Popovich chose to rest nearly all of his regulars in that one as his team suffered its first set of consecutive losses.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBA TV, CSN Bay Area (Golden State), FSN Southwest (San Antonio)

LINE HISTORY: The spread for this showdown opened with the Spurs as 5.5-point favorites. On Saturday evening there was a slight wobble in the line and some books even dropped the point spread as low as -4.5, but that didn't last too long and the spread quickly returned -5.5 where it sits currently. The total opened at 206 and was bet down to 204.5 by Sunday morning.

INJURY REPORT:

Warriors - SF K. Looney (out indefinitely, hip).

Spurs - PF L. Aldridge (Probable Sunday, finger), C B. Diaw (Out Sunday, groin).

POWER RANKINGS: Warriors (-14.6) - Spurs (-15.8) + home court (-3) = Spurs -4.2

MATCHUP CHART:



ABOUT THE WARRIORS (71-9, 43-35-2 ATS, 44-35-1 O/U): The win in Memphis allowed Golden State to match the NBA record for road victories (33), held by the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls, the same team the Warriors are hoping to catch at 72. They were able to survive an off night for leader Stephen Curry, who was 3-of-14 from 3-point range while finishing with fewer than 20 points for the first time since March 21. Curry was just 4-of-18 from the floor and 1-of-12 from beyond the arc in the previous visit to San Antonio on March 19, when the Spurs recorded an 87-79 win.

ABOUT THE SPURS (65-14, 43-36 ATS, 35-42-2 O/U): Popovich has said he will not rest anyone for this one, even though he called the pursuit of a perfect home record "meaningless," but he will be without reserve forward Boris Diaw (thigh) for the fourth straight game. Diaw had 14 points and eight rebounds in a season-high 35 minutes against Golden State earlier this season. Popovich will have a close eye on LaMarcus Aldridge, who briefly left the loss to the Warriors on Thursday with a finger injury before resting against the Nuggets.

TRENDS:

* Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
* Spurs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
* Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Under is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Antonio.
* Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is all over the Warriors at a rate of 65 percent and, somewhat surprisingly, the over is getting the majority of the total action at 57 percent.


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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, April 10

Charlotte at Washington, 12:05 ET
Charlotte: 27-18 ATS after 2 games where they made 9 or more 3 point shots
Washington: 17-32 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games

LA Lakers at Houston, 3:35 ET
Los Angeles: 63-40 ATS after game where they made 85% of free throws or +
Houston: 10-21 ATS as a home favorite

Dallas at LA Clippers, 3:35 ET
Dallas: 15-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5
Los Angeles: 9-19 ATS at home after covering 2 of 3 against the spread

Utah at Denver, 5:05 ET
Utah: 9-1 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite
Denver: 10-22 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

Milwaukee at Philadelphia, 5:05 ET
Milwaukee: 23-12 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog
Philadelphia: 12-23 ATS as a home underdog

Brooklyn at Indiana, 6:05 ET
Brooklyn: 28-15 ATS in road games off a road loss
Indiana: 4-16 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite

Orlando at Miami, 6:05 ET
Orlando: 24-14 ATS after playing a home game
Miami: 26-39 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games

Golden State at San Antonio, 7:05 ET
Golden State: 8-22 ATS on road after 2 games making 85% of free throws or +
San Antonio: 12-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more

Toronto at New York, 7:35 ET
Toronto: 11-24 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6
New York: 27-18 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6

[Udog]

NBA

Sunday, April 10


Dogs have covered 7 of last 8 meetings between Wizards and Hornets. WAS +5.5 at home