Announcement

**Udog** · 04-07-2016, 08:21 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the college football national title this coming year.......

6-1-- Alabama-- What else is new? When in doubt.......

7-1-- Oklahoma/Clemson-- Tigers are breaking in a new QB.

10-1-- Ohio State/Michigan-- Year 2 of the Harbaugh era in Ann Arbor.

12-1-- Baylor-- Hopefully their players will be healthier this season.

15-1-- Notre Dame/Florida State/Tenessee/LSU

25-1-- Michigan State-Ole Miss-Stanford

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......

13) Dodgers 7, Padres 0-- San Diego is first team ever to get shut out in its first three games of a season- they've been outscored 25-0 and if I was a Padre fan, it would tough for me not to think the season was over already.

If ever a team needed a series at Coors Field, it is the Padres- they play the Rockies in Denver starting Friday.

12) Dodgers are first team since the 1963 Cardinals to open a season with three straight shutouts- the '43 Cardinals started season with 26 consecutive scoreless innings. Alex Wood gets the nod or LA against the Giants tonight.

11) Colorado's rookie SS Trevor Story has four HRs in his first three games; he is the first player EVER whose first four big league hits were all home runs and he hasn't played at Coors Field yet.

10) Victor Martinez didn't start either game in Miami because they don't the DH in NL parks, but he pinch-hit in both games and homered both times, once rghty and once lefty. Pretty impressive.

9) Since John Hart took over the Atlanta Braves after the 2014 season, they've made 28 trades involving 89 players.

8) I still don't understand why pitchers bat 8th; it is nonsensical, but if Reds are going to bat their pitchers 8th, then they have to bat Joey Votto leadoff, right? He needs to get as many at-bats as possible on a bad team.

7) Yesterday was first time since May 9, 2014 that Miami Marlins, had both Jose Fernandez and Giancarlo Stanton in the same lineup on the same day.

6) Back when the Milwaukee Brewers played at outdoor County Stadium, when the Brewers hit a homer, mascot Bernie Brewer slid down a slide into a huge fake beer mug- it was very cool. Since the Brewers moved into a domed stadium, Bernie slides down a slide onto a ramp-- no fake beer mug.

Why? The damn ballpark is named Miller Park, as in Miller beer!!!!!

5) Arizona Diamondbacks loaded the bases 13 times in three games against the Rockies this week, thats an ominous nimber for a team with very shaky pitching.

4) Aubrey Dawkins transfers from Central Florida to Michigan, where he will play for his dad, former Stanford coach Johnny Dawkins, who is now at UCF.

3) Trump Hotel in Las Vegas doesn't have a casino in it.

2) Former Florida QB Will Grier transfers from the Gators to West Virginia, where he will be eligible to play starting in 2017.

1) Philadelphia 76ers finally put GM Sam Hinkie out of his misery, firing him and letting him say he "resigned", which he did in a 13-page, 7,000 word document that hopefully will guarantee he never gets another job in pro basketball.

This overeducated nitwit screwed up the Sixers so badly- he spent a first round pick on Joel Embiid, who played 23.1 mpg in his entire 28-game college career, his only season ended early by a sore back. He has yet to play one minute in the NBA.

Why did this tick me off? Because I never played college basketball, so I root for guys who rose thru the ranks and got great jobs. Hinkie has set back the cause of people like this ten or twenty years.

**Udog** · 04-07-2016, 08:23 AM

NBA

Thursday, April 7

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games
Phoenix is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
Houston is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games ,
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. ATLANTA
Toronto is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MIAMI
Chicago is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Miami is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Chicago
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

10:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SACRAMENTO
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

10:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. GOLDEN STATE
San Antonio is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games
Golden State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games

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**Udog** · 04-07-2016, 09:53 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, April 7

Phoenix @ Houston

Game 701-702
April 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.703
Houston
124.194
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 14 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-11 1/2); Over

Toronto @ Atlanta

Game 703-704
April 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
117.323
Atlanta
126.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 9 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 6
200
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-6); Over

Chicago @ Miami

Game 705-706
April 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
118.097
Miami
120.676
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 5
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+5); Under

Minnesota @ Sacramento

Game 707-708
April 7, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.845
Sacramento
118.942
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 4 1/2
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+4 1/2); Under

San Antonio @ Golden State

Game 709-710
April 7, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
120.517
Golden State
130.428
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 10
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7
210
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-7); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 7

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PHOENIX (20 - 58) at HOUSTON (38 - 40) - 4/7/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 33-45 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games this season.
PHOENIX is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PHOENIX is 19-29 ATS (-12.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHOENIX is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 87-61 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
HOUSTON is 34-44 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 96-130 ATS (-47.0 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (52 - 25) at ATLANTA (46 - 32) - 4/7/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 95-77 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (39 - 39) at MIAMI (45 - 32) - 4/7/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (26 - 52) at SACRAMENTO (31 - 47) - 4/7/2016, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 70-87 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 341-401 ATS (-100.1 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 36-52 ATS (-21.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 187-235 ATS (-71.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 43-58 ATS (-20.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 67-86 ATS (-27.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 40-57 ATS (-22.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 39-54 ATS (-20.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 41-55 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-5 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (65 - 12) at GOLDEN STATE (69 - 9) - 4/7/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 98-76 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 91-69 ATS (+15.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 52-37 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 43-34 ATS (+5.6 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 66-49 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 04-07-2016, 10:13 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 7

Hot teams
-- Toronto won three of its last four games (10-6AU). Hawks won five of their last seven games (5-8 last 13HF).
-- Miami won six of its last nine games (5-3 last 8HF).
-- Spurs won eight of their last ten games (0-3AU).

Cold teams
-- Chicago lost six of its last nine games (5-1 last 6AU).
-- Suns lost their last seven games (6-4 last 10AU). Houston lost six of its last nine games.
-- Minnesota lost three of its last four games (5-2 last 7AU). Sacramento is 4-5 in its last nine games (6-4 last 10HF).
-- Warriors lost two of last three home games (1-5 last 6HF).

Series records
-- Raptors won their last four games with Atlanta.
-- Miami won four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Rockets won seven of last eight games with Phoenix.
-- Minnesota won its last three games with Sacramento.
-- Spurs won eight of last ten games with Golden State.

Totals
-- Four of last five Toronto-Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Chicago-Miami games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Phoenix games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Sacramento games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten San Antonio-Golden State games stayed under.

Back/backs
-- Houston is 2-9 in its last 11 games if they played the night before.

**Udog** · 04-07-2016, 01:01 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, April 7

Phoenix at Houston, 8:05 ET
Phoenix: 9-20 ATS after a non-conference game
Houston: 34-21 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

Toronto at Atlanta, 8:05 ET
Toronto: 11-23 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
Atlanta: 32-17 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more

Chicago at Miami, 8:05 ET
Chicago: 2-8 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite
Miami: 5-2 ATS as a home underdog

Minnesota at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Minnesota: 10-2 ATS on road after 2 games with 10 or less offensive rebounds
Sacramento: 3-12 ATS after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games

San Antonio at Golden State, 10:35 ET
San Antonio: 28-15 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
Golden State: 8-22 ATS after a combined score of 215 or more 2 straight games

**Udog** · 04-07-2016, 01:21 PM

NBA

Thursday, April 7

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Game of the Day: Spurs at Warriors
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The teams have split two meetings this season, with Golden State blasting San Antonio 120-90 at home on Jan. 25.

San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors (-7, 210)

The Golden State Warriors are looking very vulnerable lately and now need to win each of their four remaining games in order to break the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls’ record of 72 regular-season wins. The path to 73 will have to include two wins over the San Antonio Spurs, who visit the Warriors on Thursday.

Golden State lost to Boston on Friday to end an NBA-record 54-game home winning streak and fell again at home on Tuesday in overtime after blowing a 17-point lead against the Minnesota Timberwolves. "You have so much media attention and everybody talking about breaking the record and you lose focus a little bit," Warriors coach Steve Kerr, who was a member of the 95-96 Bulls, told reporters. "The same thing happened 20 years ago. (The Bulls) didn't play well down the stretch. This doesn't surprise me. It's easy to get lost in all this stuff. We haven't been very dialed in of late.” The Spurs are only 3 1/2 games behind Golden State in the standings and still have a shot at 70 victories if they win out. San Antonio scratched its way past Utah 88-86 to earn a fourth straight win on Tuesday and may have all of its starters available on Thursday.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT, CSN Bay Area (Golden State)

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as five-point favorites at home but by Thursday morning that line had quickly jumped to -7. It's likely that the Spurs will rest their starters for most, or all, of tonight's showdown. The total opened at 210 and has been steady at that number. View complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Spurs - B. Diaw (Out Thursday, groin).

Warriors - SF K. Looney (Out Thursday, hip).

POWER RANKINGS: Spurs (-15.8) - Warriors (-14.6) + home court (-3) = Warriors -1.8

MATCHUP CHART:

ABOUT THE SPURS (65-12, 43-34 ATS, 33-42-2 O/U): The assumption has been that San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich would rest starters in the two remaining games against the Warriors, but point guard Tony Parker refuted that notion in a postgame TV interview on Tuesday. “I think we'll play," Parker said in the interview. "Utah, I thought (Popovich) was going to rest everybody. But we played Utah, so I don't see any reason we're not playing Golden State.” That win over the Jazz marked the 1,000th career regular-season victory for Spurs center Tim Duncan, making him the third player in history (Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, 1,074, and Robert Parish, 1,014) to reach the mark.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (69-9, 42-34-2 ATS, 43-34-1 O/U): Golden State bounced back from its last to the Celtics by cruising past the Portland Trail Blazers 136-111 on Sunday but had the same problems crop up against the Timberwolves on Tuesday that plagued it in other losses this season. “We’re trying to hit the home run, instead of just a bunch of singles,” Kerr told reporters after his team committed a season-high 24 turnovers. “…Bad coaching. Bad playing. Bad everything.” The letdown came despite the return of sixth man Andre Iguodala, who sat out the previous 13 games with a sprained ankle.

TRENDS:

* Spurs are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
* Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
* Under is 11-0 in Spurs last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The early action on this matchup is on the Warriors (56 percent) and the Over (58 percent).

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Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/7

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/7

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