Announcement

**Udog** · 04-05-2016, 08:34 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win at least one major this season:

even-- Jordan Spieth

13-10-- Rory McIlroy

9-4-- Jason Day

7-2-- Bubba Watson

4-1-- Dustin Johnson, Rickie Fowler

6-1-- Phil Mickelson

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) Villanova 77, North Carolina 74-- One of the great championship games ever played in NCAA tournament, an ending that will be remembered forever. A great advertisement for the sport.

12) The swing in emotions in a Las Vegas sportsbook during a game like that is fun to watch; was next to a sharp gambler who had Villanova and the under- the Marcus Paige 3-pointer cost him his under bet-- he took that loss like an adult and was rewarded by Villanova covering.

11) Mike Krzyzewski had knee replacement surgery on Sunday; who has surgery on a Sunday?

10) I had no idea Shaquille O'Neal wasn't in the Basketball Hall of Fame already; what took so long? He appeared in Wrestlemania before his election.

9) UAB hired from within, replacing Jerod Haase with assistant Rob Ehsan.

Vanderbilt hired Bryce Drew away from Valparaiso.

8) I'm driving down the Strip Sunday night, and a guy dressed in full Superman costume is walking alongside my car, carrying only a crowbar. Only in Las Vegas.

7) Random fact: Apparently Al Roker and Lenny Kravitz are cousins.

6) It snowed in the Northeast this week and baseball season started. A team in Texas that plays its home games in a dome got rained out in the Bronx yesterday. Why in the name of Willard Scott was this series not played in Houston?

There are seven dome teams in the majors; those seven, the five California teams, and the Rangers should open at home every damn year, just for weather's sake.

5) Rookie shortstop Trevor Story homered twice in his MLB debut as Colorado won in Arizona. Story looks like a terrific prospect, but sometime this year, they'll also get Jose Reyes back from whatever suspension he gets. Reyes makes $22M a year- they'll have to trade Reyes, right?

4) Mets-Royals series was put at the start of the season before the teams met in the World Series LY. Schedules for the next season come out in August.

3) Pirates gave Gregory Polanco a 5-year, $35M extension; glad to see them spend some money to keep their nucleus intact.

2) Ben Revere left the Nationals' opener yesterday, but Washington doesn't release injury information during a game- they said it was a ribcage injury after the game.

1) Sonny Gray got scratched from his start with food poisoning; Rich Hill was less than brilliant as a replacement. No word on when Gray will pitch next.

**Udog** · 04-05-2016, 08:37 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, April 5

Hot teams
-- Pelicans won three of last four games (5-1 last 6AU).
-- Detroit won seven of its last nine games (2-5 last 7AU). Miami won five of its last eight games (4-3 last 7HF).
-- Hornets won five of their last six games (2-4 vs spread).
-- Chicago won three of its last four games (3-0 last 3A).
-- Cavaliers won four of their last five games (1-4 last 5AF).
-- Spurs won eight of their last ten games (4-6 last 10AF). Utah won six of its last eight games (6-4HU).
-- Oklahoma City won eight of its last ten games (6-4 last 10AF).
-- Portland won four of its last five games (6-3AF). Sacramento won four of its last six games (4-9HU).
-- Golden State won eight of its last nine games (6-5 last 11HF).
-- Clippers won five of their last six games (3-1 last 4F).

Cold teams
-- 76ers lost last ten games, but covered six of the ten games.
-- Toronto is 3-4 in its last seven games (3-5 last 8HF).
-- Suns lost their last six games (3-3 vs spread). Atlanta lost its last two games, by 2-8 points (5-3 last 8HF).
-- Memphis lost its last six games (2-3 last 5H).
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last eight games (7-2 last 9HU).
-- Denver lost four of its last five games (5-2 last 7HU).
-- Minnesota lost four of last five games (4-2 last 6AU).
-- Lakers lost five of their last six games (3-7 vs spread last 10).

Series records
-- 76ers lost five of last six games with New Orleans.
-- Pistons won four of last five games with Miami.
-- Raptors won three of last four games with Charlotte.
-- Suns are 6-4 in their last ten games with Atlanta.
-- Memphis is 5-3 in its last eight games with Chicago.
-- Cavaliers won four of last five games with Milwaukee.
-- Spurs won eight of last ten games with Utah.
-- Thunder won seven of last ten games with Denver.
-- Portland won its last five games with Sacramento.
-- Golden State won last seven games with Minnesota, but Wolvers are 4-1 vs spread in last five.
-- Clippers won last nine games with Lakers; Lakers covered last three.

Totals
-- Five of last six Pelican games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Toronto-Charlotte games went over.
-- Last four Phoenix-Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Cleveland-Milwaukee games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Thunder-Nugget games went over
-- Eight of last ten Portland-Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Golden State-Minnesota games stayed under.
-- Last five Clipper-Laker games stayed under the total.

Back/backs
-- None

**Udog** · 04-05-2016, 08:37 AM

NBA

Tuesday, April 5

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. TORONTO
Charlotte is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MIAMI
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Detroit is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. ATLANTA
Phoenix is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Phoenix is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
Atlanta is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Phoenix

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MEMPHIS
Chicago is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Memphis is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games on the road
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games at home
Denver is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

10:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. SACRAMENTO
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing at home against Portland
Sacramento is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games

10:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Lakers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games
LA Clippers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. GOLDEN STATE
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games

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**Udog** · 04-05-2016, 01:17 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, April 5

New Orleans @ Philadelphia

Game 701-702
April 5, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
116.738
Philadelphia
111.614
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 5
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 2 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-2 1/2); Over

Detroit @ Miami

Game 703-704
April 5, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
116.763
Miami
122.202
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 5 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 3
204
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-3); Under

Charlotte @ Toronto

Game 705-706
April 5, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
120.746
Toronto
123.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5 1/2
202
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+5 1/2); Over

Phoenix @ Atlanta

Game 707-708
April 5, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.675
Atlanta
120.993
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 11 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 14 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+14 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Memphis

Game 709-710
April 5, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
115.536
Memphis
117.449
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+2 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ Milwaukee

Game 711-712
April 5, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
120.645
Milwaukee
117.449
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+6 1/2); Over

San Antonio @ Utah

Game 713-714
April 5, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
127.427
Utah
121.447
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 6
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 3
183 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-3); Over

Oklahoma City @ Dallas

Game 715-716
April 5, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
125.386
Dallas
114.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 10 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 8 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-8 1/2); Over

Portland @ Sacramento

Game 717-718
April 5, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
121.710
Sacramento
115.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 5 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 2 1/2
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-2 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ Golden State

Game 719-720
April 5, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
113.449
Golden State
130.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 17 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 15 1/2
225
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-15 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ LA Clippers

Game 721-722
April 5, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
109.178
LA Clippers
120.626
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 11 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 14
207
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+14); Over

**Udog** · 04-05-2016, 01:19 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, April 5

New Orleans at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
New Orleans: 48-22 ATS on road after playing 5 games as an underdog
Philadelphia: 7-15 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent

Detroit at Miami, 7:35 ET
Detroit: 11-2 ATS after a division game
Miami: 6-16 ATS on Tuesday nights

Charlotte at Toronto, 7:35 ET
Charlotte: 18-7 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent
Toronto: 8-17 ATS after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists

Phoenix at Atlanta, 8:05 ET
Phoenix: 11-23 ATS as a road underdog
Atlanta: 73-51 ATS after playing a game as favorite

Chicago at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Chicago: 2-12 ATS off a road win
Memphis: 18-5 ATS after allowing 105 points or more

Cleveland at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Cleveland: 11-23 ATS vs. division opponents
Milwaukee: 13-4 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6

San Antonio at Utah, 9:05 ET
San Antonio: 27-15 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5
Utah: 17-7 UNDER after a blowout win by 15 points or more

Oklahoma City at Denver, 9:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 5-13 ATS in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7
Denver: 11-3 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite

Portland at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Portland: 16-6 ATS after allowing 110 points or more
Sacramento: 3-12 ATS at home after allowing 100 pts or more 5 straight games

Minnesota at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Minnesota: 19-42 ATS after having lost 4 of their last 5
Golden State: 39-23 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more

LA Lakers at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET
LA Lakers: 21-7 ATS on road after 2 games where they attempted 90 or more shots
LA Clippers: 12-21 ATS after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers

**Udog** · 04-05-2016, 01:37 PM

NBA

Tuesday, April 5

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Game of the Day: Pistons at Heat
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The Detroit Pistons roll into Miami in need of a win to extend their lead in the battle for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference..

Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat (-4, 202)

The Detroit Pistons look to build off perhaps their biggest victory in the last seven seasons when they visit the Miami Heat on Tuesday to start a two-game trip to the Sunshine State. The Pistons, who play at Orlando on Wednesday, won 94-90 at Chicago on Saturday to increase their lead over the ninth-place Bulls to two games in their quest to return to the playoffs for the first time since 2008-09.

Detroit is tied with Indiana for seventh in the Eastern Conference with five games left, including a pair against the playoff-bound Heat. “These are games you need to be in for your team to grow and learn,” Pistons coach Stan Van Gundy told the Detroit News. “Last year, at this time, we were just winding it up. It was coming to an end and it’s great to be playing in games that matter all the way through the season.” Miami clinched its 19th postseason appearance in the team’s 28 seasons after Detroit’s victory over Chicago, despite a 1-2 road swing capped by a 110-93 loss to Portland on Saturday. Heat leading scorer Dwyane Wade (neck, back) missed the last two games and is questionable for Tuesday.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, FSN Sun (Miami)

LINE HISTORY: The line was held back until Tuesday morning while everyone awaited the status of D. Wade. When a line was eventually released the Heat came out of the gates as 4.5-point favorites and the total was set at 195.5. By mid-morning the Heat were dropped to 4-point faves and the total rocketed up to 202.

INJURY REPORT:

Pistons - PG S. Dinwiddie (Questionable Tuesday, ankle), SG J. Meeks (Out Tuesday, foot).

Heat - SG D. Wade (Questionable Tuesday, neck), PF C. Bosh (Out Tuesday, leg).

POWER RANKINGS: Pistons (-2.7) - Heat (-5.5) + home court (-3) = Heat -5.8

MATCHUP CHART:

ABOUT THE PISTONS (41-36, 39-36-2 ATS, 39-38 O/U): Leading scorer Reggie Jackson (18.5) snapped out of a shooting slump with 22 points against Chicago while Marcus Morris continued his scoring surge with 16. Morris is averaging 23.7 points over the past three contests and has drained 32-of-51 from 3-point range over a 12-game span. Tobias Harris has contributed 18.3 points per game over the past four, but defensive stopper Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has struggled during the same stretch by making just 13-of-48 from the field.

ABOUT THE HEAT (44-32, 39-36-1 ATS, 32-43-1 O/U): Miami allowed 106 points per game on the road trip – 7.5 above its average – and has a difficult final six games as it battles three other teams for third place in the East. “Instead of just looking at the standings and where we’re going to end up at the end of the year, we’ve really got to focus on us and try to figure it out right now: How can we go into the postseason being at our best?” forward Luol Deng told reporters. Center Hassan Whiteside has been outstanding with 18 double-doubles in the last 22 games.

TRENDS:

* Pistons are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Central.
* Under is 6-0 in Pistons last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
* Under is 7-1 in Heat last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

CONSENSUS: Early consensus data is coming in heavy on Miami (59 percent) and the Under (60 percent).

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Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/5

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/5

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