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  • Saturday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/2

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, April 2

    Good Luck on day #93 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NBA Matchups

    NBA Hot and Not

    NBA Injuries

    NBA Referees


    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Injuries


    NASCAR Schedule

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Odds to win next week's Masters golf tournament........

    13-2-- Jason Day- Won six of last 13 tournaments he played in.

    8-1-- Jordan Spieth/Rory McIlroy

    10-1-- Bubba Watson-- Lefties seem to do well at Augusta National.

    12-1-- Adam Scott

    15-1-- Phil Mickelson/Rickie Fowler

    20-1- Dustin Johnson

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here......

    13) Quote of the Day, part 2, from Rush Limbaugh, which pretty much sums up what a lot of people are thinking about politics these days:

    "I don't know what to do here today ....... I mean, if you want a campaign slogan for 2016, it would be, 'Everybody sucks.'"

    12) Bernie Sanders raised $108.8M in the first three months of 2016; this guy might still be campaigning after the election is over. A 74-year old Socialist raised $109M in three months-- what an indictment of every other person in this Presidential race.

    11) Was talking to a friend of mine the other day who said, "It doesn't matter. They're all liars." Sad but true sentiment, thats how we view our nation's "leaders".

    10) CNBC's Andrea Mitchell did some fact-checking: Hillary Clinton banked $300M in contributions from oil/gas companies, Sanders, Sanders $53M.

    On to stuff I like better and know more about.......
    9) Memphis Grizzlies set an NBA record by using 28 players this year; funny thing is, they're probably going to make the playoffs anyway- you'd figure a team with that much turnover would be falling apart. Nice coaching job by Dave Joerger.

    8) The average fan would be surprised by how little yelling/shouting goes on in locker rooms before basketball games and at halftime. Halftime is short; adjustments are made, guys get hydrated, there is only so much yelling a coach can do over the course of a long season before the players stop listening.

    7) People bet on spring training games, but in some games, an AL team might use the DH, while the NL team in same game has its pitchers hit. Small advantage there. If a team doesn't care whether it wins/loses, I'd be hesitant to bet on that game.

    6) Basketball coaching carousel: Jim Engles bolts from NJIT to Columbia. Detroit let Ray McCallum go; Titans hadn't been same since Ray McCallum Jr played there. Portland named former Pistons coach Terry Porter its new head coach.

    5) Texas Longhorns turned down a chance for another trip to China next fall, in order to play in a tournament at Barclays Center in Brooklyn with Northwestern, Notre Dame and Colorado. Pretty good tournament.

    4) If you bring your cellphone into The Masters at Augusta National, you're likely to get tossed and then banned for life from the golf course. Banned for life seems a bit harsh, but they're pretty serious about having no phones on the course.

    3) Maryland's football team lost defensive coordinator Scott Shafer, who resigned for personal reasons before he ever coached a game for the Terps. Shafer was the head coach at Syracuse the last three seasons.

    2) Nevada 85, Morehead State 82 OT-- wins CBI championship. Not too fond of the best-of-3 finals format, but these teams played really good games.

    1) Knicks 105, Nets 91-- Nice of the NBA to have the Lopez brothers play each other on April 1, which happens to be the twins' birthday.

    Comment


    • #3
      Essential betting stats and trends for the Final Four and NCAA Championship

      It’s onward to Houston for the Final Four games. To put the wraps on the 2016 NCAA Tournament, listed below are some interesting trends and angles to consider as our Fab Four heads off to H-Town this weekend.

      *Note: all stats are ATS (Against The Spread) unless noted otherwise.

      NCAA Final Four Round notes

      • No. 1 Seed favorites of 4-points or greater are 1-4 ATS since 2012. North Carolina is the lone team remaining that fit this situation.
      • No. 2 Seed favorites are 3-7 ATS. Villanova is favored in the no. 2 vs. no. 2 matchup against Oklahoma.
      • No. 8 or lower seeds are 2-4-1 ATS. Syracuse, obviously, fits into this trend.
      • Favorites off a win of 14 or more points are 3-7 ATS. North Carolina draws this scenario after beating Notre Dame by 14 points in the Elite 8.
      • Favorites of four points or greater who scored 80 or more points in the Elite 8 round are 7-14 ATS. North Carolina fits this trend.
      • Teams who are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games are 11-15-2 ATS. Both Syracuse and Villanova have covered their last four games.
      • Teams with revenge are 4-11 ATS. Both Syracuse and Villanova are in revenge spots after losing to their Final Four opponents earlier in the season.
      • Teams off back-to-back double-digit wins are 8-15 ATS. North Carolina and Oklahoma both fit this spot.
      • ACC favorites of more than 5 points are 1-4 ATS. Oklahoma is the lone Final Four team to fit this scenario.
      • Big East favorites are 1-3 ATS. Villanova fits this trend very nicely.

      NCAA Championship Game notes

      • No. 1 Seed favorites are 14-4 SU and 11-7 ATS.
      • No. 2 Seeds are 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS (0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS vs. no. 1 seeds).
      • No. 5 or worse seeds are 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS.
      • Favorites of five points or less are 12-3 SU and ATS.
      • Teams with a win percentage of .850 or greater are 12-6 SU and ATS since 1998.
      • Teams with a win percentage of .810 or less are 3-7 SU and ATS since 2000.
      • Favorites who scored 80 or more points in the Final Four round are 5-1 ATS.
      • Dogs who allow 60 or more points in the Final Four round are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS.
      • Dogs of three points or more off a SU dog win are 1-6 ATS since 1998.
      • ACC teams are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS versus no. 2 or lower seeds.
      • Big East teams are 6-1 SU and ATS.
      • Big 12 teams are 1-3 SU and ATS.

      Coach Me Up

      North Carolina’s Roy Williams is:

      68-22 SU and 50-39-1 ATS in NCAA tournament.
      191-79 SU and 132-131-7 ATS vs. ACC.
      21-5 SU and 16-10 ATS vs. Big East.
      112-32 SU and 72-71-1 ATS vs. Big 12.
      4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS vs. Boeheim.
      3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. Kruger.
      3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS vs. Wright.

      Oklahoma’s Lon Kruger is:

      16-12 SU and 13-15 ATS in NCAA tournament.
      9-10 SU and 12-7 ATS vs. ACC.
      14-7 SU and 12-7 ATS vs. Big East.
      0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Boeheim.
      1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. Williams.
      1-0 SU and 1-0 ATS vs. Wright.

      Syracuse’s Jim Boeheim is:

      39-18 SU and 32-23-2 ATS in NCAA tournament.
      47-29 SU and 34-39-3 ATS vs. ACC.
      12-6 SU and 12-6 ATS vs. Big 12.
      294-164 SU and 221-231-5 ATS vs. Big East.
      0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Kruger.
      4-4 SU and 5-3 ATS vs. Williams.
      9-12 SU and 9-12 ATS vs. Wright.

      Villanova’s Jay Wright is:

      18-10 SU and 14-14 ATS in NCAA tournament.
      4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. ACC.
      2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. Big East.
      3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS vs. Big 12.
      12-9 SU and 12-9 ATS vs. Boeheim.
      0-1 SU and 0-1 ATS vs. Kruger.
      0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS vs. Williams.

      There you have it, trends and notes for teams and coaches involved in the NCAA Tournament Final Four in games played over the last 25 years.

      I hope you’ve enjoyed the tournament as much as I have. I’ll return during the NBA playoffs with an overview of some Good, Bad, and downright Ugly stats and trends at that time. Until then enjoy the rest of the ‘Dance’.




      NRG Stadium has been kind to betting favorites. In 10 games since 2010, teams giving the points are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS. UNC-9.5, Nova -2.




      College basketball games inside NRG Stadium producing a 2-8 Over/Under record since 2010 – an 80% winning rate for the Under.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Saturday, April 2



        Villanova @ Oklahoma

        Game 811-812
        April 2, 2016 @ 6:09 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Villanova
        78.443
        Oklahoma
        73.592
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Villanova
        by 5
        152
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Villanova
        by 2
        145 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Villanova
        (-2); Over

        Syracuse @ North Carolina


        Game 813-814
        April 2, 2016 @ 8:49 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Syracuse
        67.713
        North Carolina
        79.230
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        North Carolina
        by 11 1/2
        139
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        North Carolina
        by 9
        145 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        North Carolina
        (-9); Under





        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Saturday, April 2


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        VILLANOVA (33 - 5) vs. OKLAHOMA (29 - 7) - 4/2/2016, 6:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VILLANOVA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in tournament semi-final games since 1997.
        VILLANOVA is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        VILLANOVA is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        VILLANOVA is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        VILLANOVA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        VILLANOVA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
        VILLANOVA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
        VILLANOVA is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        OKLAHOMA is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        OKLAHOMA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SYRACUSE (23 - 13) vs. N CAROLINA (32 - 6) - 4/2/2016, 8:45 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SYRACUSE is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
        N CAROLINA is 273-225 ATS (+25.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
        N CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
        N CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
        SYRACUSE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
        SYRACUSE is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        SYRACUSE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
        SYRACUSE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
        SYRACUSE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SYRACUSE is 2-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        N CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NCAAB
        Short Sheet

        Saturday, April 2


        Villanova at Oklahoma, 6:05 ET
        Villanova: 12-4 ATS in non-conference games
        Oklahoma: 4-11 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5

        Syracuse at North Carolina, 8:45 ET
        Syracuse: 6-0 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick
        N Carolina: 13-26 ATS in road games after 8 or more consecutive wins




        NCAAB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Saturday, April 2


        Since 1987, #8 or lower seeds are 1-3-1 vs spread in national semis when not facing each other. North Carolina swept Syracuse this season, 84-73 in Carrier Dome Jan 9 (trailed by 6 with 8:28 left, UNC made 64.4% of 2-pointers, 3-16 on arc), 75-70 at home Feb 29 (UNC was up 4 at half, made 6 of 25 on arc). Tar Heels made 11-20 on arc vs Indiana, but in last four games other than that one, were at 33.3% or less. Syracuse allowed 55.8 ppg in four tourney wins; their last three losses were by 5 or less points. Carolina won its last nine games overall. Since '87, when teams from same conference play in national semis, the favorite is 3-1

        Last five years, underdogs are 6-4 vs spread in national semifinal games. Villanova's worst game of year was 78-55 loss to Oklahoma Dec 7th on Pearl Harbor- game was 32-26 at half. Sooners made 14-26 on arc while Wildcats were 4-32 in game they never led. Villanova won nine of its last ten games, losing by hoop to Seton Hall in Big East final- they've got the #13 eFG% in country. Oklahoma has four kids who've started together for 100+ games; Sooners won seven of last eight games, losing by hoop to West Virginia in Big X semis. Big East teams are 2-2 vs Big X teams this season- Oklahoma had both Big X wins, also beating Creighton.




        NCAAB

        Saturday, April 2


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        6:09 PM
        OKLAHOMA vs. VILLANOVA
        No trends available
        Villanova is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Villanova's last 13 games

        8:49 PM
        SYRACUSE vs. NORTH CAROLINA
        No trends available
        The total has gone UNDER in 14 of North Carolina's last 21 games
        North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB

          Saturday, April 2


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Villanova vs. Oklahoma: Final Four betting preview
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Can Buddy Hield and his 29.3 ppg in the tourney carry Oklahoma past Villanova and to the National Championship game?

          No. 2 Villanova Wildcats vs. No. 2 Oklahoma Sooners (+2, 144.5)

          Game to be played at NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

          Buddy Hield has turned the NCAA Tournament into a personal highlight reel and the stage gets bigger Saturday when he leads Oklahoma into their first Final Four game in 14 years against Villanova in Houston. The Sooners' senior scored 37 points in the Elite Eight victory over Oregon last weekend, is averaging 29.3 on 56.7 percent shooting in the tournament and presents a skill set that will dominate the Wildcats' pregame preparations.

          "The way people are guarding Buddy and getting into him, it impacts everything," Oklahoma coach Lon Kruger told the media. "It helps create opportunities going at the goal and maybe when two guys are on him one guy might roll and we can get a lob. ... So how defenses cover Buddy effects everyone." While Hield is the unquestioned star of the Final Four, Villanova can come at you in waves with four players averaging double figures in the tournament. Three of them - Ryan Arcidiacono, Josh Hart and Kris Jenkins - scored 13 points apiece in the 64-59 victory over Kansas in the South Region final last Saturday which pushed the Wildcats into the Final Four for the fifth time in school history and the second time under coach Jay Wright, who also led his 2009 team to the national semifinals. These teams met Dec. 7 in Hawaii and the Sooners rolled 78-55 behind 19 points from Isaiah Cousins and 18 from Hield.

          TV:
          6:09 p.m. ET, TBS

          ODDS TO WIN NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP:


          Villanova - Open 20/1, Current 5/2
          Oklahoma - Open 30/1, Current 7/2

          LINE HISTORY: Oklahoma opened as 1-point pups versus Villanova and the line quickly moved in the direction Wildcats. Villanova move to -1.5, then to -2, before peaking at -2.5. Since then some action has come back on the Sooners moving the line to the current number of Villanova -2. Meanwhile, the total has plummeted down since opening at 150, coming all the down to 144.5. Check out the complete line history here.

          WHAT SHARPS SAY:
          "It will be interesting to see how playing in a big football arena will affect the three-point shooting of both teams, especially since both squads rely heavily on the outside shot and will now be dealing with unusual sight lines. Both teams average 24 three-point attempts per game which equates to 42 percent of Villanova's total field goal attempts and 40 percent of Oklahoma's total shot attempts per game. Extreme variance in three-point shooting accounted for Oklahoma's easy 23-point win on December 7th as a 5-point underdog when they faced Villanova in Hawaii. The Sooners shot 14-for-26 (54%) from beyond the arc, while the Wildcats were just 4-for-32 (13%). Villanova actually held a 52 percent to 41 percent shooting edge from two-point range in that game."

          WHAT BOOKS SAY:
          "We haven’t had to move off our number of Villanova -2 as we are seeing great two way action on both sides of the line with just over 50 percent on Villanova to cover the 2-point spread against Oklahoma. The 145.5 point total has just over 60 percent of the action on the Over."

          MATCHUP CHART:




          ABOUT VILLANOVA (33-5, 19-17-1 ATS, 19-17-1 O/U):
          Coach Jay Wright knows his team was already manhandled by the Sooners and is well aware of the fact that Houston is not too far from the Oklahoma campus, but he saw his team knock off the favored Jayhawks last week and said he feels he has another positive development on his side. "When we played Oklahoma earlier this season, Jalen (Brunson) was starting for the first time, Kris and Josh were starting for the first time," Wright told reporters earlier this week. "We were an inexperienced team and it really showed, so I think we are a much more experienced team now." That trio combined to go 1-of-16 from 3-point range against Oklahoma, but have posted a collective 42.6 percent mark from beyond the arc in the tournament.

          ABOUT OKLAHOMA (29-7, 14-20 ATS, 15-19 O/U):
          Guard Jordan Woodard has been the best of the supporting cast for Hield by averaging 16.8 points, while Cousins has struggled of late with a total of 13 points on 5-of-21 shooting over the last two games. Hield hit 8-of-13 3-pointers versus Oregon and has taken at least 10 triples in eight of his last 14 contests. The Wildcats will need to be on their game early as the Sooners have outscored their four tournament opponents by an average of 14.3 points in the first half.

          TRENDS:


          * Villanova is 4-0 ATS in its last four neutral site games.
          * Oklahoma is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 NCAA Tournament games.
          * Under is 8-1 in Villanova's last nine games versus Big 12 opponents.
          * Under is 12-2 in Oklahoma's last 14 games overall.

          CONSENSUS:
          Bettors are giving the slight edge to Villanova in this mathchup of No. 2 seeds, with 52 percent of wagers on the Wildcats. As for the total, 68 percent of wagers are on the over.


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Saturday, April 2


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Syracuse vs. North Carolina: Final Four betting preview
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            While most people think UNC will win their Final Four matchup with Syracuse, the question for bettors is will they cover the big 9-pt spread?

            No. 10 Syracuse Orange vs. No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels (-9, 144.5)

            Game to be played at NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

            North Carolina makes its record 19th trip to the Final Four and must beat ACC rival Syracuse for the third time this season Saturday in Houston to reach its 10th title game. The Tar Heels are the only top seed remaining in the NCAA Tournament field and upstart Syracuse navigated its way to a sixth Final Four from the 10th seed.

            Seniors Brice Johnson and Marcus Paige lead a North Carolina team that is averaging 89.3 points while winning by an average of 16 in the Big Dance, and has won nine in a row. Paige told reporters: “I think we always thought we were going to be the favorite because in our minds when we’re playing our best basketball, we feel we can’t be beat. So, that’s the mentality I’m sure all four teams have going in.” The Orange had lost five of six games coming into the NCAA Tournament, but have played their best basketball at the right time to move within a victory of meeting Oklahoma or Villanova in the final. “I think we learned lot about each other throughout the whole entire year, and all those things are paying off now,” Syracuse senior guard Trevor Cooney told reporters. “We’re sticking together, believing in each other, and good things happen when you do that.”

            TV:
            8:49 p.m. ET, TBS

            NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS:


            Syracuse - Open 100-1, Current 10/1
            North Carolina - Open 8-1, Current 10/11

            LINE HISTORY:
            North Carolina opened as nine-point faves for their Final Four showdown with Syracuse and have remained at that number. However, the Tar Heels have creeped up to -9.5 at some books. The total opened at 147 and has seen mostly under money since then, moving down to as low as 144.5. It has come back up to 145, where it currently sits. Check out the complete line history here.

            WHAT SHARPS SAY:
            "The current betting odds give North Carolina an 83 percent chance of winning this game straight-up. The bigger question for most bettors is if Syracuse can stay within the large pointspread. The key will be if the Orangemen can slow down the pace of play and force UNC into a half-court game. Syracuse was unable to do this in the first regular season meeting on January 9th, losing by 11 points at home with the game going Over the total (157 points), however the Orangemen played better in the rematch on February 29th at Chapel Hill, losing by only 5 points with the game landing right near on the total (145 points)."

            WHAT BOOKS SAY:
            "We have seen good two way action on our -9.5 point spread on North Carolina with with just over 55 percent of the action on the Tar Heels to cover. The 145 point total is also seeing solid two action with over 55 percent of the action on the Under."

            MATCHUP CHART:




            ABOUT SYRACUSE (23-13, 20-15 ATS, 18-17 O/U):
            The Orange won their lone NCAA title in 2003 and boast a mix of veteran leadership with talented young players to go along with a Hall of Fame coach in Jim Boeheim. Senior Michael Gbinije tops the team in scoring (17.6) and boasts 91 3-pointers while recording double figures in points 37 straight contests and at least 20 in four of the past six games. Freshman Malachi Richardson raised his level of play in the NCAAs, including a season high-matching 23 points in the 68-62 Elite Eight victory over Virginia, and fellow freshman Tyler Lydon (10.2 points overall) is also a threat.

            ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (32-6, 19-18-1 ATS, 20-18 O/U):
            Hall of Fame coach Roy Williams’ Tar Heels began their winning streak with a 75-70 triumph against Syracuse on Feb. 29 and Johnson (17.1 points, 10.5 rebounds overall) has been a consistent force. The 6-10 All-American forward is averaging 21 points, 9.8 boards and shooting 63 percent from the field in the first four rounds while Paige drained 13-of-27 from 3-point range in the same span. Guard Joel Berry II has committed only four turnovers in the last six games while swingman Justin Jackson, a Texas native, is 6-for-13 from behind the arc in the NCAAs.

            TRENDS:


            * Syracuse is 6-0 ATS in its last six games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.
            * North Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last five games versus Atlantic Coast conference opponents.
            * Under is 4-1 in Syracuse's last five NCAA Tournament games.
            * Over is 5-1 in North Carolina's last six NCAA Tournament games.

            CONSENSUS:
            Bettors are giving the slight edge to Syracuse in this Final Four showdown, with 53 percent of wagers backing the Orange. As for the total, 59 percent of wagers are on the over.


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Saturday, April 2


              Hot teams
              -- Detroit won six of its last eight games (2-4 last 6A). Chicago won its last three games (3-2 last 5H).
              -- Toronto won seven of its last ten games (3-5 last 8AU). Spurs won eight of its last ten games (3-5-1 last 9HF).
              -- Miami won five of its last seven games (1-4 last 5A). Portland won five of its last seven games- they won last four at home.

              Cold teams
              -- Indiana lost five of its last eight games (6-7AF). 76ers lost their last 11 games (3-7 last 10HU).
              -- Sacramento lost four of last five road games (1-3-1 last 5AU). Denver lost three of its last four games (5-3 last 8HF).

              Series records
              -- 76ers lost eight of last nine games with Indiana.
              -- Pistons won four of last six games with Chicago.
              -- Spurs won eight of last ten games with Toronto.
              -- Kings won five of last seven games with Denver.
              -- Miami won five of last six games with Portland.

              Totals
              -- 76ers' last five games stayed under the total.
              -- Last five Chicago games stayed under the total.
              -- Under is 14-4-1 in last nineteen San Antonio games.
              -- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Denver home games.
              -- Four of last five Portland home games stayed under total.

              Back/backs
              -- 76ers are 5-3 vs spread in last eight games if they played night before.
              -- Detroit covered seven of last eight games if it played night before.
              -- Toronto won last six games (5-1 vs spread) if it played nite before.
              -- Kings covered two of last seven games if they played night before.

              Comment


              • #8
                NBA

                Saturday, April 2


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Trend Report
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                7:30 PM
                INDIANA vs. PHILADELPHIA
                Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

                8:00 PM
                DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
                Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Chicago
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
                Chicago is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

                8:30 PM
                TORONTO vs. SAN ANTONIO
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
                Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Toronto
                The total has gone UNDER in 14 of San Antonio's last 19 games

                9:00 PM
                SACRAMENTO vs. DENVER
                Sacramento is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Denver
                Sacramento is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Denver
                Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
                Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

                10:00 PM
                MIAMI vs. PORTLAND
                Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
                The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games when playing Portland
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  NBA
                  Long Sheet

                  Saturday, April 2


                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  INDIANA (39 - 36) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 67) - 4/2/2016, 7:35 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  INDIANA is 117-151 ATS (-49.1 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
                  PHILADELPHIA is 32-40 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
                  PHILADELPHIA is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points this season.
                  PHILADELPHIA is 25-48 ATS (-27.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
                  PHILADELPHIA is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                  PHILADELPHIA is 103-149 ATS (-60.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  INDIANA is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                  INDIANA is 8-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                  5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  DETROIT (40 - 36) at CHICAGO (38 - 37) - 4/2/2016, 8:05 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  DETROIT is 7-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                  CHICAGO is 6-5 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
                  6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  TORONTO (51 - 24) at SAN ANTONIO (63 - 12) - 4/2/2016, 8:35 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                  SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
                  4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  SACRAMENTO (30 - 46) at DENVER (32 - 45) - 4/2/2016, 9:05 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                  SACRAMENTO is 6-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                  7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  MIAMI (44 - 31) at PORTLAND (40 - 36) - 4/2/2016, 10:05 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                  MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                  3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NBA
                    Dunkel

                    Saturday, April 2



                    Indiana @ Philadelphia

                    Game 801-802
                    April 2, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Indiana
                    114.497
                    Philadelphia
                    113.563
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Indiana
                    by 1
                    198
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Indiana
                    by 11
                    203 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Philadelphia
                    (+11); Under

                    Detroit @ Chicago


                    Game 803-804
                    April 2, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Detroit
                    118.767
                    Chicago
                    117.728
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Detroit
                    by 1
                    200
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Chicago
                    by 3
                    205 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Detroit
                    (+3); Under

                    Toronto @ San Antonio


                    Game 805-806
                    April 2, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Toronto
                    115.995
                    San Antonio
                    129.141
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    San Antonio
                    by 13
                    194
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    San Antonio
                    by 10
                    197 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    San Antonio
                    (-10); Under

                    Sacramento @ Denver


                    Game 807-808
                    April 2, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Sacramento
                    110.063
                    Denver
                    120.567
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Denver
                    by 10 1/2
                    212
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Denver
                    by 8 1/2
                    217 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Denver
                    (-8 1/2); Under

                    Miami @ Portland


                    Game 809-810
                    April 2, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

                    Dunkel Rating:
                    Miami
                    120.720
                    Portland
                    122.835
                    Dunkel Team:
                    Dunkel Line:
                    Dunkel Total:
                    Portland
                    by 2
                    213
                    Vegas Team:
                    Vegas Line:
                    Vegas Total:
                    Portland
                    by 6
                    208 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick:
                    Miami
                    (+6); Over

                    Comment

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