Announcement

**Udog** · 04-01-2016, 08:16 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Odds to win the home run title this baseball season........

7-1-- Giancarlo Stanton-- Someone's fantasy team needs him healthy this year.

15-2-- Chris Davis-- Was smart re-signing with Orioles; loves Camden Yards.

17-2-- Jose Abreu-- Has lot more protection in lineup this season.

12-1- Bryce Harper-- Has a new manager this year, Dusty Baker.

13-1-- JD Martinez-- Hit three homers that don't count yesterday.

18-1-- Nolan Arenado-- How many taters would Stanton hit in Denver?

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Happy April Fools' Day........

13) On Selection Sunday, someone in NCAA headquarters confused Southern Cal with South Carolina (both USC) and texted South Carolina that they had made the NCAA tournament, when in fact they had not. No bueno. Wouldn't have wanted to be the person who had to explain that miscue to the Gamecocks.

12) Oklahoma plays Villanova Saturday, but on Tuesday, they'll be down a couple of assistant coaches. Steve Henson goes to Tex-San Antonio, Lew Hill to Rio Grande Valley in the Southland Conference. Thats the price of winning.

11) The Final Four is at NRG Stadium in Houston, a dome where the Texans play their NFL games. In the last 13 basketball games played there, favorites are 11-2 vs the spread, under is 8-4-1.

10) Over last 30 years, teams with an 8-seed or worse are 1-3-1 vs spread in national semifinal games, when not playing against each other.

9) Over last 30 years, when teams from same conference meet in national semifinals, the better team won/covered three of the four games.

8) George Washington 76, Valparaiso 60-- GW wins the NIT, but they shouldn't get too happy; the coach who won last year's NIT has already been fired. Stanford fired Johnny Dawkins, who has already resurfaced at Central Florida.

Switching over to baseball..........
7) Travis Shaw beats out Pablo Sandoval as 3B in Boston. Sandoval showed up to spring training more out of shape than usual, and now he will sit.

6) As far as I know, Mike Leake (#8), Marcus Stroman (#6) are only major league starting pitchers with a single digit uniform number. Reliever Adam Ottavino also wears 0 for the Rockies.

5) They put 11,025 fans in Cashman Field in Las Vegas last night for a Mets-Cubs game, listed as a sellout. They have another exhibition game there this afternoon.

4) Bronx TV analyst David Cone joined Royals analyst Rex Hudler in blaming Ruben Tejada for the broken leg Tejada incurred when Chase Utley slid hard into second base in LY's playoffs. Angels' analyst Mark Gubicza took the opposite viewpoint, so apparently the slide is kid of a gray area, even amongst ex-players.

3) Bronx reliever Andrew Miller suffered a chip fracture in his right (non-throwing) wrist when he got hit by a line drive Thursday. With Aroldis Chapman suspended for the first 30 games, Bronx doesn't need Miller on the DL in April.

2) Jockey Calvin Borel retired this week, with 5,136 wins, a great career.

1) I felt so old Thursday; I'm getting my hair buzzed, doesn't take too long, but while I'm there, an ad for comedian Steven Wright's appearance in Albany comes on the radio. Neither of the girls working in the hair salon know who he is. Wright is a brilliant comedian with a deadpan delivery- he also won an Oscar as a film producer; he is a brilliant guy, very funny, but at age 60, he's not well known by younger people. Oy.

**Udog** · 04-01-2016, 08:19 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, April 1

Morehead State @ Nevada

Game 521-522
April 1, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morehead State
55.350
Nevada
57.789
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
by 2 1/2
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 4 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Morehead State
(+4 1/2); Over

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, April 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MOREHEAD ST (23 - 13) at NEVADA (23 - 14) - 4/1/2016, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 2-1 against the spread versus MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons
MOREHEAD ST is 2-1 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Friday, April 1

Morehead State at Nevada, 9:00 ET
Morehead St: 11-2 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
Nevada: 3-11 ATS when playing only their 3rd game in a week

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, April 1

CBI
Best-of-3 series is 1-1; game 3 is Friday night in Reno
This is decisive game of best-of-3 series. Nevada won eight of last nine home games, 12 of its 17 non-league games; they were 27-42 on the line in Game 2, after being outscored 20-18 on line in Game 1. Morehead St won 10 of last 12 D-I games, are more experienced, deeper team, are 4-1 in last five true road games-- they went 1-16 on arc in Game 2 in a rough game with couple of near-scuffles. Eagles are 5-32 from arc in first two series games- they'll need to foul less in order to win this game.

NCAAB

Friday, April 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9:00 PM
MOREHEAD STATE vs. NEVADA
Morehead State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nevada's last 12 games at home
Nevada is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-01-2016, 08:22 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, April 1

Hot teams
-- Charlotte won six of its last eight games (5-3-1 last 9HF).
-- Dallas won last two games, allowing 88.5 ppg (5-1 last 6AU). Pistons won six of their last seven games (17-6-1 last 24HF).
-- Cavaliers won six of their last nine games (4-1AU). Hawks won eight of last ten games (4-1 last 5HF).
-- Toronto won six of its last nine games (3-5 last 8AF).
-- Orlando won last three games by 22-34-20 (2-5 last 7AU).
-- Minnesota won three of its last five games (4-1 last 5AU). Utah won seven of its last ten games (7-4 last 11HF).
-- Miami won four of its last six games (6-2 last 8AF). Sacramento won three of last four games, but Cousins is out here (4-9HU).
-- Golden State won its last six games (6-8 last 14HF). Celtics won four of their last six games (2-9 last 11AU).

Cold teams
-- 76ers lost their last ten games, but covered last three on road.
-- Nets lost six of their last eight games (1-4 last 5AU). Knicks also lost six of their last eight games (5-3 last 8HF).
-- Memphis lost eight of its last ten games (6-2 last 8HU).
-- Bucks lost five of their last six games (7-2 last 9HF).
-- Washington lost four of last five games (5-4AF). Suns lost their last four games (3-6 last 9HU).

Series records
-- 76ers lost seven of last eight games with Charlotte.
-- Nets won six of last seven games with the Knicks.
-- Pistons won last two games with Dallas, after losing previous six.
-- Cavaliers won their last five games with Atlanta.
-- Raptors lost four of last five games with Memphis.
-- Bucks won five of last eight games with Orlando.
-- Utah won six of its last eight games with Minnesota.
-- Heat won nine of last ten games with Sacramento.
-- Warriors won last five games with boston, but Celtics are 4-1-1 vs the spread in last six series games.
-- Suns won three of last four games with Washington.

Totals
-- Last five Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Brooklyn-New York games went over.
-- Six of last nine Dallas-Detroit games went over the total.
-- Last three Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Toronto games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Sacramento games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Phoenix games stayed under the total.

Back/backs
-- Nets are 2-5 in last seven games if they played night before.
-- Cavaliers are 2-5 in last seven games if they played night before.
-- Magic lost four of last five on road if they played night before.
-- Boston is 10-7 vs spread if it played the night before.

**Udog** · 04-01-2016, 08:23 AM

NBA

Friday, April 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHARLOTTE
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Charlotte's last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

7:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. NEW YORK
Brooklyn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
Brooklyn is 3-9-1 SU in its last 13 games ,
New York is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 10 games

7:30 PM
DALLAS vs. DETROIT
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Dallas is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 14 games when playing Dallas
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. ATLANTA
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Atlanta is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. MILWAUKEE
Orlando is 2-6-1 SU in its last 9 games ,
Orlando is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
Milwaukee is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Orlando
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. MEMPHIS
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. UTAH
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Utah is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota

10:00 PM
MIAMI vs. SACRAMENTO
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Miami is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games

10:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHOENIX
Washington is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Phoenix
Washington is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Washington

10:30 PM
BOSTON vs. GOLDEN STATE
Boston4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-01-2016, 10:09 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, April 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (9 - 66) at CHARLOTTE (43 - 31) - 4/1/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-40 ATS (-13.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 8-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (21 - 54) at NEW YORK (30 - 46) - 4/1/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 7-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (37 - 38) at DETROIT (40 - 35) - 4/1/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 343-277 ATS (+38.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 459-382 ATS (+38.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 304-251 ATS (+27.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 157-122 ATS (+22.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
DALLAS is 180-142 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (53 - 22) at ATLANTA (45 - 31) - 4/1/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-6 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-6 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (50 - 24) at MEMPHIS (41 - 34) - 4/1/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 235-188 ATS (+28.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (32 - 43) at MILWAUKEE (31 - 44) - 4/1/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-5 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-5 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (25 - 50) at UTAH (37 - 38) - 4/1/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-5 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (43 - 31) at SACRAMENTO (30 - 45) - 4/1/2016, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 152-113 ATS (+27.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.
MIAMI is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 65-85 ATS (-28.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 22-36 ATS (-17.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more this season.
SACRAMENTO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 39-54 ATS (-20.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (43 - 32) at GOLDEN STATE (68 - 7) - 4/1/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-32 ATS (+4.8 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-43 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 90-67 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 67-41 ATS (+21.9 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 51-36 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 87-71 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 55-41 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-37 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-99 ATS (-38.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (36 - 39) at PHOENIX (20 - 55) - 4/1/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 138-180 ATS (-60.0 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
PHOENIX is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-44 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PHOENIX is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHOENIX is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-01-2016, 01:32 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, April 1

Philadelphia at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Philadlephia: 3-11 ATS in road games off a home loss
Charlotte: 12-2 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more

Brooklyn at New York, 7:35 ET
Brooklyn: 26-15 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
New York: 13-24 ATS in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7

Dallas at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Dallas: 15-26 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders
Detroit: 19-7 ATS as a home favorite

Cleveland at Atlanta, 8:05 ET
Cleveland: 2-11 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders
Atlanta: 24-11 ATS on Friday nights

Toronto at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Toronto: 26-39 ATS second half of the season
Memphis: 17-5 ATS after allowing 105 points or more

Orlando at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Orlando: 10-2 ATS off an upset win as an underdog
Milwaukee: 5-16 ATS in home games off a home win

Minnesota at Utah, 9:05 ET
Minnesota: 3-14 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more
Utah: 25-16 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders

Miami at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Miami: 43-30 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses
Sacramento: 1-9 ATS after 2 games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds

Boston at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Boston: 24-10 ATS when playing on back-to-back days
Golden State: 3-11 ATS in home games in non-conference games

Washington at Phoenix, 10:35 ET
Washington: 17-30 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games
Phoenix: 12-3 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more

**Udog** · 04-01-2016, 01:35 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, April 1

Boston @ Golden State

Game 517-518
April 1, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
116.115
Golden State
130.962
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 15
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 12
222
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-12); Over

Philadelphia @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
April 1, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
109.091
Charlotte
126.107
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 17
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 15
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-15); Over

Brooklyn @ New York

Game 503-504
April 1, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
108.763
New York
117.407
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 8 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 6
202
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-6); Over

Dallas @ Detroit

Game 505-506
April 1, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
116.028
Detroit
119.114
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 3
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 6
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+6); Under

Cleveland @ Atlanta

Game 507-508
April 1, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
127.402
Atlanta
120.968
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+1 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Memphis

Game 509-510
April 1, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
122.905
Memphis
115.407
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 7 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5
198
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-5); Over

Orlando @ Milwaukee

Game 511-512
April 1, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
115.337
Milwaukee
120.455
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 5
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-2); Over

Minnesota @ Utah

Game 513-514
April 1, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
114.612
Utah
120.749
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 6
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 9
194 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+9); Under

Miami @ Sacramento

Game 515-516
April 1, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
120.359
Sacramento
121.423
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 1
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 8
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+8); Under

Washington @ Phoenix

Game 519-520
April 1, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
117.359
Phoenix
106.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 10 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7
214
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-7); Over

**Udog** · 04-01-2016, 01:41 PM

NCAAB Dunkel for Friday has been added to reply #3.

**Udog** · 04-01-2016, 01:58 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, April 2

Villanova @ Oklahoma

Game 811-812
April 2, 2016 @ 6:09 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Villanova
78.443
Oklahoma
73.592
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Villanova
by 5
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Villanova
by 2
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Villanova
(-2); Over

Syracuse @ North Carolina

Game 813-814
April 2, 2016 @ 8:49 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Syracuse
67.713
North Carolina
79.230
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 11 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 9
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-9); Under

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 2

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VILLANOVA (33 - 5) vs. OKLAHOMA (29 - 7) - 4/2/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in tournament semi-final games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
VILLANOVA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (23 - 13) vs. N CAROLINA (32 - 6) - 4/2/2016, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 273-225 ATS (+25.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
SYRACUSE is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
SYRACUSE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
SYRACUSE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Short Sheet

Saturday, April 2

Villanova at Oklahoma, 6:05 ET
Villanova: 12-4 ATS in non-conference games
Oklahoma: 4-11 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5

Syracuse at North Carolina, 8:45 ET
Syracuse: 6-0 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick
N Carolina: 13-26 ATS in road games after 8 or more consecutive wins

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 2

Since 1987, #8 or lower seeds are 1-3-1 vs spread in national semis when not facing each other. North Carolina swept Syracuse this season, 84-73 in Carrier Dome Jan 9 (trailed by 6 with 8:28 left, UNC made 64.4% of 2-pointers, 3-16 on arc), 75-70 at home Feb 29 (UNC was up 4 at half, made 6 of 25 on arc). Tar Heels made 11-20 on arc vs Indiana, but in last four games other than that one, were at 33.3% or less. Syracuse allowed 55.8 ppg in four tourney wins; their last three losses were by 5 or less points. Carolina won its last nine games overall. Since '87, when teams from same conference play in national semis, the favorite is 3-1

Last five years, underdogs are 6-4 vs spread in national semifinal games. Villanova's worst game of year was 78-55 loss to Oklahoma Dec 7th on Pearl Harbor- game was 32-26 at half. Sooners made 14-26 on arc while Wildcats were 4-32 in game they never led. Villanova won nine of its last ten games, losing by hoop to Seton Hall in Big East final- they've got the #13 eFG% in country. Oklahoma has four kids who've started together for 100+ games; Sooners won seven of last eight games, losing by hoop to West Virginia in Big X semis. Big East teams are 2-2 vs Big X teams this season- Oklahoma had both Big X wins, also beating Creighton.

NCAAB

Saturday, April 2

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Trend Report
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6:09 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. VILLANOVA
No trends available
Villanova is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Villanova's last 13 games

8:49 PM
SYRACUSE vs. NORTH CAROLINA
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of North Carolina's last 21 games
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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NRG Stadium has been kind to betting favorites. In 10 games since 2010, teams giving the points are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS. UNC-9.5, Nova -2.

College basketball games inside NRG Stadium producing a 2-8 Over/Under record since 2010 – an 80% winning rate for the Under.

Essential betting stats and trends for the Final Four and NCAA Championship

It’s onward to Houston for the Final Four games. To put the wraps on the 2016 NCAA Tournament, listed below are some interesting trends and angles to consider as our Fab Four heads off to H-Town this weekend.

*Note: all stats are ATS (Against The Spread) unless noted otherwise.

NCAA Final Four Round notes

• No. 1 Seed favorites of 4-points or greater are 1-4 ATS since 2012. North Carolina is the lone team remaining that fit this situation.
• No. 2 Seed favorites are 3-7 ATS. Villanova is favored in the no. 2 vs. no. 2 matchup against Oklahoma.
• No. 8 or lower seeds are 2-4-1 ATS. Syracuse, obviously, fits into this trend.
• Favorites off a win of 14 or more points are 3-7 ATS. North Carolina draws this scenario after beating Notre Dame by 14 points in the Elite 8.
• Favorites of four points or greater who scored 80 or more points in the Elite 8 round are 7-14 ATS. North Carolina fits this trend.
• Teams who are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games are 11-15-2 ATS. Both Syracuse and Villanova have covered their last four games.
• Teams with revenge are 4-11 ATS. Both Syracuse and Villanova are in revenge spots after losing to their Final Four opponents earlier in the season.
• Teams off back-to-back double-digit wins are 8-15 ATS. North Carolina and Oklahoma both fit this spot.
• ACC favorites of more than 5 points are 1-4 ATS. Oklahoma is the lone Final Four team to fit this scenario.
• Big East favorites are 1-3 ATS. Villanova fits this trend very nicely.

NCAA Championship Game notes

• No. 1 Seed favorites are 14-4 SU and 11-7 ATS.
• No. 2 Seeds are 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS (0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS vs. no. 1 seeds).
• No. 5 or worse seeds are 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS.
• Favorites of five points or less are 12-3 SU and ATS.
• Teams with a win percentage of .850 or greater are 12-6 SU and ATS since 1998.
• Teams with a win percentage of .810 or less are 3-7 SU and ATS since 2000.
• Favorites who scored 80 or more points in the Final Four round are 5-1 ATS.
• Dogs who allow 60 or more points in the Final Four round are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS.
• Dogs of three points or more off a SU dog win are 1-6 ATS since 1998.
• ACC teams are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS versus no. 2 or lower seeds.
• Big East teams are 6-1 SU and ATS.
• Big 12 teams are 1-3 SU and ATS.

Coach Me Up

North Carolina’s Roy Williams is:

68-22 SU and 50-39-1 ATS in NCAA tournament.
191-79 SU and 132-131-7 ATS vs. ACC.
21-5 SU and 16-10 ATS vs. Big East.
112-32 SU and 72-71-1 ATS vs. Big 12.
4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS vs. Boeheim.
3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. Kruger.
3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS vs. Wright.

Oklahoma’s Lon Kruger is:

16-12 SU and 13-15 ATS in NCAA tournament.
9-10 SU and 12-7 ATS vs. ACC.
14-7 SU and 12-7 ATS vs. Big East.
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Boeheim.
1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. Williams.
1-0 SU and 1-0 ATS vs. Wright.

Syracuse’s Jim Boeheim is:

39-18 SU and 32-23-2 ATS in NCAA tournament.
47-29 SU and 34-39-3 ATS vs. ACC.
12-6 SU and 12-6 ATS vs. Big 12.
294-164 SU and 221-231-5 ATS vs. Big East.
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Kruger.
4-4 SU and 5-3 ATS vs. Williams.
9-12 SU and 9-12 ATS vs. Wright.

Villanova’s Jay Wright is:

18-10 SU and 14-14 ATS in NCAA tournament.
4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. ACC.
2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. Big East.
3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS vs. Big 12.
12-9 SU and 12-9 ATS vs. Boeheim.
0-1 SU and 0-1 ATS vs. Kruger.
0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS vs. Williams.

There you have it, trends and notes for teams and coaches involved in the NCAA Tournament Final Four in games played over the last 25 years.

I hope you’ve enjoyed the tournament as much as I have. I’ll return during the NBA playoffs with an overview of some Good, Bad, and downright Ugly stats and trends at that time. Until then enjoy the rest of the ‘Dance’.

Final Four Opening Line Report: Books weigh in on NCAA Tournament semifinals

Since the NCAA Tournament’s round of 64 began March 17, we’ve seen a flurry of 60 games in 11 days while watching the field whittled down to the Final Four. Now, there’s only one No. 1 seed standing, along with a pair of No. 2s and a stunning No. 10.

No. 10 Syracuse vs. No. 1 North Carolina (-9.5)

Syracuse is the odd man in and will face No. 1 North Carolina on one side of the bracket in next Saturday’s Final Four in Houston.

The Orange rallied from a 15-point second-half deficit against No. 1 Virginia to post a shocking 68-62 victory as an 8-point underdog in Sunday’s Midwest Region final. Trailing 54-39, the Orange (23-13 SU, 20-15 ATS) outscored the Cavaliers 29-8 over the final 9½ minutes.

Syracuse is the first No. 10 seed to reach the Final Four, and the Orange will be prohibitive underdogs to the Tar Heels, who opened as 9.5-point favorites.

North Carolina pulled away from No. 6 Notre Dame 88-74 as a 9.5-point chalk in Sunday’s East Region final. It was the ninth consecutive SU win for the Tar Heels (32-6 SU, 19-18-1 ATS), who are also on a 7-1 spread-covering streak.

Jay Kornegay, executive vice president for race and sports at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook, told Covers that there wasn’t much debate on the opening line.

“We had a 9, a 10, a 9.5, so we were all really close. It wasn’t a long discussion,” Kornegay said. “I’m sure the public will be on the favorite. The guessing game is where the big money will come in at. The numbers are so good that you don’t see the big money sometimes.”

It’s a rare instance that an NCAA semifinal has a spread approaching double digits.

“It’s a pretty big number for a Final Four game, so I’d suspect we’ll see a little Syracuse money,” Kornegay said. “We think 9.5 is a good number for the sharps. If the public drives it up to double digits, it wouldn’t surprise me to see a bigger play on the underdog.”

The Golden Nugget didn’t post a number on Sunday night, but oddsmaker Aaron Kessler was a little surprised the early line wasn’t a little higher.

“Notre Dame is no worse than Syracuse, and North Carolina has been nothing but impressive at every stop,” Kessler said. “We’ll probably be on the high side of that number. I’ve got to anticipate a lot of public money on Carolina in this one.”

Kessler said he sees a lot of similarities between Notre Dame and Syracuse – which bodes well for the Tar Heels.

“It’s a good matchup for them, kind of like the Notre Dame game,” he said. “North Carolina is the bigger, stronger team, by a lot. Carolina’s just got great athletes at every position.”

John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker.ag, shared concerns about the hefty underdog.

“I'm not sure how we're going to attract Syracuse money on this game,” Lester said. “The line will be inflated, and we'll still be heavily one-sided on North Carolina. The Tar Heels are as complete a team as we've seen in a while, and they can simply turn it on when needed, which you can't say about many NCAA teams in history. However, the Orange have been defying odds since the outset of the tourney. So why not one more time?”

No. 2 Villanova (-2) vs. No. 2 Oklahoma

Villanova advanced with a 64-59 victory as a 2-point underdog against overall No. 1 seed Kansas in the South Region final Saturday. Oklahoma was a 1-point pup in Saturday’s West Region final against Oregon, but rolled to an 80-68 victory.

The ‘Cats (33-5 SU) are barely above water against the oddsmakers, at 19-17 ATS this season, though the Sooners (29-7 SU) are just 14-20 ATS, which rates 317th in the nation. However, this game is a rematch of a Dec. 7 regular-season meeting on a neutral floor in Hawaii, where the Sooners, catching 5 points, boat raced the Wildcats 78-55.

Kessler was a bit surprised with where the line sits at this point.

“Oklahoma has been a very public team this year, so I think Villanova’s upset of Kansas has already come into play,” Kessler said. “I tend to think the line might come down a little bit. I’m not sure we’ll see a flip, but I think it will go lower before it goes higher. If it goes up to 3, I’ll probably be in line!”

To Kessler’s point, the line actually did drop at Bookmaker.ag – but then it rebounded all the way to 2.5.

“Most of the action in the first half hour was on Oklahoma, but when we dropped Villanova from -1.5 to -1, we saw an influx of money on the favorite,” Lester said. “Some of the sharps were just waiting to see where the opener went, and once it was basically a pick 'em, they pounced on the Wildcats. We quickly moved to -2 and then -2.5.”

The matchup of No. 2 seeds is the more interesting one, according to Kornegay, who said the Superbook opened at Villanova -1.5 but has since moved to 2.

“I expect this one to be pretty solid, and the more popular game to wager on,” he said. “This is a more intriguing matchup. There’ll be support for both teams here.”

**Udog** · 04-01-2016, 02:26 PM

NBA

Friday, April 1

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Game of the Day: Celtics at Warriors
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The Warriors need just five wins to break the 1995-96 Bulls record of 72 regular season wins. The Celtics would be No. 69.

Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors (-12, 222)

The Golden State Warriors are five wins away from the NBA's single-season victory mark and look to capture their 69th win when they host the Boston Celtics on Friday. Golden State, which has won six straight games, needs to go 5-2 over the final seven games to surpass the 72-victory record set by the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls.

The Warriors have won 13 of their last 14 games and set a franchise record Wednesday with their 68th victory by outlasting Utah 103-96 in overtime. "(The record) is something we want to do; we've spoken on this," forward Draymond Green told reporters. "It is no secret. It will be a cool thing to do, but we have to worry about getting better each and every night. I think if we worry about that, the wins will take care of themselves." Boston suffered a 116-109 road loss to the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday to fall into sixth place in the Eastern Conference but the Celtics are just 1 1/2 games behind the third-place Atlanta Hawks. Boston All-Star point guard Isaiah Thomas scored 20 or more points in all 14 games in March and averaged 25.9 points for the month.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, CSN New England (Boston), CSN Bay Area (Golden State)

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as 12-point home favorites over the Celtics, where they are 36-0 SU (19-17 ATS). The total opened at 223 and was immediately bet down a point and a half to 215.5. It has since been bet back up to 222. Check out the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Celtics - No injuries to report.

Warriors - SF K. Looney (out Friday, hip), C F. Ezeli (out Friday, knee), SF A. Iguodala (out Friday, ankle).

POWER RANKINGS: Celtics (-6.1) - Warriors (-15) + home court (-3) = Warriors -12

MATCHUP CHART:

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The Warriors continue to be No. 2 in the West ATS (41-32-3), but have now failed to cover five of their last seven games. Four of those ATS defeats came as double digit favorites."

ABOUT THE CELTICS (43-32, 39-35-1 ATS, 36-39 O/U): Small forward Jae Crowder returned from an eight-game absence because of an ankle injury and had 13 points and 10 rebounds in the loss to Portland. Boston coach Brad Stevens said that Crowder wouldn't be on a minutes' restriction but there is a chance he could be held out against the Warriors if the training staff decides it is too much of a risk for him to immediately play both ends of a back-to-back. "I'm hopeful that, knock on wood, we can get healthy and be healthy the rest of the way through and build off of some of the good things that we've done," Stevens told reporters. "And hopefully get back to playing a little bit like we were playing, really, before the All-Star break."

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (68-7, 41-32-2 ATS, 41-33-1 O/U): Golden State looks to extends its NBA-record home winning streak to 55 games and the contest with the Celtics is the opener of a four-game homestand that includes games against the Trail Blazers, Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs. The Warriors also have a road game at San Antonio for their next-to-last game of the season but coach Steve Kerr sees every game as being important at this point. "We always compete; that is the great thing about this team," Kerr said after his team rallied to force overtime en route to the win over the Jazz. "That is why we have this record and our guys compete every night. I love our competitive spirit. No matter what our record ends up, it almost doesn't matter. It is just an incredible display of competition and fight night after night."

TRENDS:

* Celtics are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last five versus Eastern Conference opponents.
* Over is 4-1 in Celtics last five games playing on zero days rest.
* Under is 6-1 in Warriors last seven games overall.

CONSENSUS: Bettors are giving the Celtics a slight edge with the a number apparently many feel is too high. Fifty-four percent of wagers are on Boston, while 69 percent are on the over.

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Friday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/1

Friday's NBA and NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/1

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