Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/27

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, March 27

Good Luck on day #87 of 2016!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

The following is based on Baseball America's top 30 prospects for each team:

-- Twins, Blue Jays, Giants are only three big league teams whose top 30 minor league prospects are all home-grown.

-- Braves (14), Padres/Phillies (19 each) have least home-grown top prospects.

-- Twins/Rangers (14 each), Royals (12) have most international top prospects.

-- Blue Jays (17), Rays (15), Reds/Pirates (13) have most high school prospects.

-- Braves have acquired 15 of their top 30 prospects via trade.

-- Giants (19), Angels (15), Astros (14) have most college top prospects.

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Happy Easter to those you believe.......

13) Oklahoma 80, Oregon 68-- Sooners made 12-24 on arc, jumped out quickly and made quick work of the Ducks. Buddy Hield scored 37, made 8-13 on arc and was too much for Oregon, which got only seven points from Dillon Brooks.

12) Villanova 64, Kansas 59-- Strange stat: since 2003, #2-seeds are now 13-5 against #1-seeds SU in regional finals.

Teams combined to go 10-40 on arc in this brickfest. Jayhawks got zero bench points in this game. Bupkus. Bill Self is 2-4 in regional finals; he was favored in all six games.

11) Was reminded yesterday of Jeff Van Gundy's wish that any 3-point shot that is banked in only count as two points. I wouldn't be against that.

10) Greedy bastard update: Gas is back up to $2.29 in beautiful downtown Colonie, after it had gotten down to $2.03 last month. I'm told gas was in $1.60's in Ohio this winter. Price here went up a dime in one day here-- greedy bastards.

9) Home plate ump in Toronto-Philly game Friday looks like he is 15 years old; guy got drilled by a foul ball, he takes his mask off and I'm like, "Why is a kid umping the plate in a big league game?" They said his name; he is already in the majors, too.

8) I'm not a big fan of Reds' TV guy Thom Brennaman; he is brutally honest, but for a spring training game, thats good, because you learn stuff about the Reds' roster you might need for fantasy baseball. Cincinnati is in a major rebuild mode.

He and Chris Walsh were whining about the Reds playing three night games in Wrigley field on their first road trip-- guess they don't like cold weather.

7) Atlanta-Colorado-Milwaukee-Cincinnati-- lot of NL teams are rebuilding.

6) Brennaman was killing the Reds' lineup, saying because no one good hits behind Joey Votto, he is likely to draw 200+ walks this season. Votto won't expand his zone to avoid walks, he just lets pitchers walk him. Maybe he should bat leadoff.

5) Fact of Life: baseball players get hurt a lot, thats hard part of fantasy baseball, it is so aggravating. Brewers lost reliever Will Smith this weekend: he tore the LCL in his knee, when he was putting his shoe on. Seriously.

Imagine if you owned the Brewers and were paying Will Smith $1.475M this year and he blows his knee out putting his shoes on? He is a professional athlete!!!! Oy.

4) Singer Huey Lewis was in uniform and in the Giants' dugout Saturday; no word on whether he got hurt putting his shoes on, and Lewis is 65.

3) Rumors have Pitt Panthers going after Vandy coach Kevin Stallings, who has done well with the Commodores, going 332-220 there, 138-142 in SEC play. Vandy loses so much in football that 138-142 sounds like a great record-- Stallings has been there for 17 years. I'm not even sure Pitt is a better hoop job than Vanderbilt, money aside. Pretty sure he would get a substantial raise in Pittsburgh.

2) Early spread for next weekend: Villanova -1.5 over Oklahoma.

1) CIT tournament has a great mascot matchup today: Cal-Irvine is down south to play Coastal Carolina, the Anteaters against the Chanticleers. Top that.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 27

Hot teams
-- Denver won three of its last four games (2-5 last 7AU).
-- Golden State won nine of its last ten games (6-3 last 9HF).
-- Washington won five of its last seven games (4-3AF).

Cold teams
-- Clippers lost five of their last seven games (1-5 last 6HF).
-- Dallas lost eight of its last ten games (5-0 last 5AU). Sacramento lost seven of last ten games (3-4 last 7HF). .
-- Rockets lost four of their last six games (5-3 last 8AU). Pacers lost four of last seven games (4-6 last 10HF).
-- 76ers lost their last eight games (5-3 last 8AU).
-- Lakers lost six of their last seven games (1-4 last 5HU).

Series records
-- Clippers won four of last five games with Denver.
-- Mavericks won seven of last nine games with Sacramento.
-- Pacers lost their last four games with Houston.
-- Warriors won last five games with Philly (4-6 vs spread last 10).
-- Lakers lost five of last six games with Washington.

Totals
-- Last six Nugget-Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Dallas-Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 3-0 in last three games for both Wizards/Lakers.

Back/backs
-- Indiana is 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games if it played the night before.
-- 76ers are 4-8 vs spread in last 12 games if it played the night before.

[Udog]

NBA

Sunday, March 27

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Trend Report
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3:30 PM
DENVER vs. LA CLIPPERS
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games
LA Clippers are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of the LA Clippers last 22 games

6:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. INDIANA
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Houston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

6:00 PM
DALLAS vs. SACRAMENTO
Dallas is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Dallas's last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Sacramento is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. GOLDEN STATE
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Golden State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

9:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 13 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games
LA Lakers are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against Washington


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 27

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DENVER (31 - 42) at LA CLIPPERS (44 - 27) - 3/27/2016, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (35 - 37) at SACRAMENTO (28 - 44) - 3/27/2016, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 8-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (36 - 37) at INDIANA (38 - 34) - 3/27/2016, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (9 - 64) at GOLDEN STATE (65 - 7) - 3/27/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-64 ATS (-31.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-39 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-41 ATS (+10.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 89-65 ATS (+17.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 67-40 ATS (+23.0 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 68-54 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-42 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (35 - 37) at LA LAKERS (15 - 57) - 3/27/2016, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 27


Denver @ LA Clippers

Game 701-702
March 27, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
115.986
LA Clippers
121.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 5 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+8 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Sacramento

Game 703-704
March 27, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
118.650
Sacramento
117.184
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 2 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2 1/2); Under

Houston @ Indiana

Game 705-706
March 27, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
116.242
Indiana
121.410
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 5
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 2
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-2); Over

Philadelphia @ Golden State

Game 707-708
March 27, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
106.615
Golden State
131.259
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 24 1/2
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 21
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-21); Over

Washington @ LA Lakers

Game 709-710
March 27, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
118.587
LA Lakers
113.440
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 5
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+7); Under