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**Udog** · 03-26-2016, 08:25 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

-- Florida football coach Jim McElwaine got a $750K raise, now makes $4.25M.

-- Oakland Raiders paid $925K in rent for the O.co Coliseum LY; they'll pay $3.5M next year. Thats what happens when you threaten to skip town.

-- Enough with The Masters commercials; they've been on since January.

-- With RGIII signing in Cleveland, looks like Denver is only team left that night trade for Colin Kaepernick.

-- Apparently the Shanahans talked to John Elway about RGIII and they weren't complimentary. Questions remain as to whether Mr Griffin can lead a team.

-- QB prospect Christian Hackenberg is blaming Penn State coach James Franklin for Hackenberg's reduced production his last two years at Penn State. While that may be true, not sure scouts like hearing a kid criticize his former coaches.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind......

13) Notre Dame 61, Wisconsin 56-- Irish outscored last two opponents 14-3 in last minute of the game, sneaking by SF Austin/Wisconsin. Now Notre Dame plays UNC, which beat them by 31 three weeks ago in Washington, at ACC tournament. Irish did beat Tar Heels in South Bend 80-76 during the regular season.

12) Syracuse 63, Gonzaga 60-- Last week was best first weekend tournament has had; Sweet 16 wasn't as good, except for this game and ND-Wisconsin. Syracuse lost at Virginia 73-65 back in January, despite Orange going 13-30 on arc; teams play again Sunday at 6:00, with a trip to the Final Four in Houston up for grabs.

11) Virginia 84, Iowa State 71-- Cyclone squad that was #4 in country in experience got run off floor here, now has major rebuilding job, playing in a brutal league. Virginia shot 61% inside arc; Iowa State had no depth, hard to press that way and get back in the game. Last time all four #1 seeds made it to Elite 8: 2009.

10) North Carolina 101, Indiana 86-- In regional finals since 2005, teams seeded #6 or lower are 11-2 vs spread-- both non-covers were favored- that trend would favor the Fighting Irish Sunday. Last team to score 100 points in Sweet 16 game was Kentucky in 2012, also against Indiana. Hoosiers had an outstanding season, though.

9) Regional final spreads: Virginia -8.5 vs Syracuse.
Kansas -2.5 vs Villanova.....Oregon -1 vs Oklahoma........UNC -9.5 vs Notre Dame

8) Coaching carousel: Jerod Haase jumps from UAB to Stanford.

Tulane hired 62-year old Mike Dunleavy Sr, who has never coached college ball, but has coached three NBA teams.

7) Flip side: Georgia Tech canned Brian Gregory after five years, one night after Gregory was guest analyst on CBS College Sports.

Cincinnati coach Mick Cronin told UNLV to take a hike, using them as leverage to try and get better facilities built for his Bearcats. Leading candidate for the UNLV coaching job appears to be New Mexico State's Marvin Menzies.

6) Speaking of CBS College Sports, Danny Granger has a future on TV; he's done a good job on their studio show this month.

5) Wisconsin's Ethan Happ is the cousin of major league pitcher JA Happ.

4) Major league position players must be going nuts as Opening Day nears; spring training is so damn long because pitchers need to get their arms ready. Hitters do not need 30+ games to ready for the season- then once the season starts, lot of the games will be in much colder weather. which takes a big adjustment.

3) Mets are using Wilmer Flores some at 1B; you wonder if he'll become a utility guy once Asdrubel Cabrera gets healthy and becomes the Mets' SS.

2) Regional final pointspread trends by region:
-- East final: favorites covered four of last five.
-- South final: favorites covered six of last nine.
-- Midwest final: underdogs are 8-5 vs spread in last 13
-- West final: underdogs are 15-3 vs spread in last 18.

1) Guatemala has fewer people than Los Angeles; who knew?

**Udog** · 03-26-2016, 08:33 AM

Oklahoma vs. Oregon: Elite Eight betting preview

Buddy Hield is averaging 18 points per game for the tourney and has shot 9-for-16 (56 %) from three.

No. 2 Oklahoma Sooners vs. No. 1 Oregon Ducks (-1, 151)

Game to be played at Honda Center, Anaheim, CA

Oregon defeated Oklahoma on its way to winning the first NCAA Tournament title in 1939, and the top-seeded Ducks will need to go through the No. 2 Sooners again Saturday at Honda Center in Anaheim, Calif. if they hope to return to the Final Four for the first time in 77 years. Oregon will need to find someone to guard Buddy Hield, the two-time Big 12 player of the year who comes in averaging 25.1 points, while Oklahoma will face a similar challenge against Oregon leading scorer Dillon Brooks, who has combined for 47 points in the last two West Region games.

These teams have two common opponents this season in Baylor and Washington State, but the results shed little light on which team might have the edge in this game. Oklahoma beat Baylor by 10 points and two points in conference play, the Ducks knocked off the Bears by seven points in the second game of the season and each blew out Washington State in their only meetings. Both teams faced their biggest challenges of this tournament in the second round, as Oregon needed to rally from seven points down in the final five minutes against No. 8 Saint Joseph's before winning 69-64, the same day Oklahoma held off No. 10 VCU 85-81. The Sooners came back to hammer No. 3 Texas A&M in the Round of 16, a couple hours before the Ducks also posted a 14-point victory against No. 4 Duke.

TV: 6:09 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: The first Elite Eight matchup of the Tournament opened at a Pick and the early action was on Oklahoma, moving the line to Sooners -1. Since then however, action has come back on Oregon, moving back to a Pick then to Ducks -1. Check out the complete line history here.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Oregon is still a phony No. 1 seed, and they've had an easy path to the Elite 8. They are taking a big step-up in class here against Oklahoma and the Sooners have the offense to match the Ducks. That wasn’t the case in Oregon’s other three games so far."

ABOUT OREGON (28-6, 13-20 ATS, 15-18 O/U): Both teams feature exceptional supporting casts to go with their leading scorers, but Oregon might have a little more skill in that area. Elgin Cook is a 6-foot-6 forward like Brooks, but prefers to play more on the inside, where he's averaging 15 points and 8.7 rebounds in the tournament. Tyler Dorsey had a strong finish to the regular season, but the freshman guard has struggled with his offensive efficiency during the tournament, and the Ducks feature two elite shot blockers in Chris Boucher and Jordan Bell, who might end up being the difference in this outcome.

ABOUT OKLAHOMA (28-7, 21-13 ATS, 15-19 O/U): The Ducks won't come close to matching the Sooners when it comes to chemistry among its starting five, as Hield, Jordan Woodard, Ryan Spangler and Isaiah Cousins have started the last 102 games together. Woodard is having the second-best tournament showing on the team behind Hield, averaging 18 points through the first three games while shooting 9-for-16 from 3-point range. Cousins is the player who needs to pick up his production, as the third starting guard for the Sooners was held to a season-low two points against Texas A&M after shooting 1-for-8 from the floor, though he did contribute eight assists.

TRENDS:

* Oklahoma covered its last game, but is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games.
* Oregon is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 NCAA Tournament games.
* Under is 11-2 in Oklahoma's last 13 games overall.
* Under is 7-3 in Oregon's last 10 games overall.

CONSENSUS: The public is fairly split for the West Region final, with 54 percent of the wagers on the No. 1 seed Ducks. As for the total, 66 percent of wagers think the result will go Over.

Villanova vs. Kansas: Elite Eight betting preview

The No. 1 overall seeded Jayhawks haven't lost sinec Jan. 25 and are 14-3 ATS in that span.

No. 2 Villanova Wildcats vs. No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks (-2.5, 145.5)

Game to be played at KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY

Saturday's matchup between Kansas and Villanova features the two teams that perhaps have been more impressive than any other in this NCAA Tournament. Yet, the top-seeded Jayhawks and second-seeded Wildcats are vying for one spot in the Final Four when the teams clash in Louisville to determine the South Region champion.

Leading up to this star-studded matchup that features impact players ranging from freshmen to seniors, Kansas has won its first three games by 26, 12 and 16 points, while Villanova has throttled opponents by 30, 19 and 23 to this point in the tournament. "They're a red-hot team right now," Kansas coach Bill Self said to reporters. "But, honestly, we've been playing pretty well ourselves." Self is looking to get his Jayhawks to the Final Four for the first time since 2012, while the Wildcats have not reached the national semifinals since 2009. "My first responsibility is to these guys. I would love to see them play in the Final Four," said Villanova coach Jay Wright, whose team has won 15 of its last 17, although Kansas has captured 17 games in a row.

TV: 8:49 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: Kansas, the South's No. 1 seed, opened as 2.5-point favorites for the regional final over second-seeded Villanova. The early action was on the Wildcats, moving the number to Jayhawks -2, before bouncing back to the opening number and that is where the line currently sits. Check out the complete line history here.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Villanova has shot the lights out in their three tournament games, so regression has to set in at some point. Kansas has yet to be challenged, and their opponent here is very good. But the Jayhawks have an excellent defense that should prevent the Wildcats from shooting a high percentage once again."

ABOUT VILLANOVA (32-5, 18-17-1 ATS, 19-16-1 O/U): The Wildcats put on a shooting clinic in their 93-69 victory over Miami (Fla.) in the Sweet 16, connecting on 62.7 percent of their shots from the field, 10-of-15 from the 3-point line and 18-of-19 from the foul line. "If any team is shooting the way we're shooting right now, they'll easily be the most dangerous team in the country," Villanova forward Daniel Ochefu said to reporters after scoring 17 points, joining three of his teammates in double-figures. "But hopefully, we'll keep shooting like that, so we can keep playing the way we are." Fellow senior Ryan Arcidiacono scored 21 points against the Hurricanes and is shooting just over 65 percent from the field (10-of-16 from the arc) in his final NCAA Tournament, while Kris Jenkins is 8-of-11 from long range over the last two games.

ABOUT KANSAS (33-4, 24-11 ATS, 13-21-1 O/U): The Jayhawks defeated the Wildcats in the 2008 Sweet 16 en route to winning the national championship and will have a good chance to top Villanova again if senior Perry Ellis can duplicate his effort against Maryland on Thursday (season high-tying 27 points). Ellis is averaging 23 points in the tournament and leads the team at 17.2 points on the season, but that elusive Final Four is one win away - as Self noted when he said, “This is why (Ellis) came back to school." Kansas desperately needs more production out of its bench, as the Jayhawks reserves combined to shoot 2-of-9 versus the Terrpains and the unit once again will be without sharpshooter Brannen Greene (back spasms).

TRENDS:

* Villanova is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games after scoring more than 90 points in its previous game.
* Kansas is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games overall.
* Over is 10-2 in Villanova's last 12 games overall.
* Under is 12-3-1 in Kansas' last 16 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

CONSENSUS: Bettors are backing Kansas in the South Region Final, with 62 percent of wagers on the Jayhawks. As for the total, bettors are strongly on the over, with 75 percent of wagers on it.

**Udog** · 03-26-2016, 08:39 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 26

Oklahoma @ Oregon

Game 523-524
March 26, 2016 @ 6:09 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
77.913
Oregon
76.405
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 1 1/2
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 1 1/2
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma
(+1 1/2); Over

Villanova @ Kansas

Game 521-522
March 26, 2016 @ 8:49 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Villanova
79.825
Kansas
77.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Villanova
by 2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas
by 2 1/2
146
Dunkel Pick:
Villanova
(+2 1/2); Under

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 26

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VILLANOVA (32 - 5) vs. KANSAS (33 - 4) - 3/26/2016, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
KANSAS is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
KANSAS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
KANSAS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
KANSAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games on Saturday games this season.
KANSAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
KANSAS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
KANSAS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
KANSAS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
KANSAS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VILLANOVA is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
VILLANOVA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VILLANOVA is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (28 - 7) vs. OREGON (31 - 6) - 3/26/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
OREGON is 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season.
OREGON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
OREGON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 26

Since 2003, #2-seeds are 11-5 SU vs #1-seeds in regional finals; dogs are 9-7 vs spread in those games. In Oregon's last 3 losses, opponents shot 26-43 (60.5%) behind arc- Oklahoma shoots 42.6% (#2) on arc (30-71 in NCAAs). Oregon won its last 11 games; their foes shoot 35.7% on arc (#237). Three of seven Ducks in rotation are seniors; Oklahoma has four kids who started 100+ games together. Neither team subs much. Since 1998, underdogs are 15-3 vs spread in West Region final. Big X teams are 6-4 vs Pac-12 this season; favorites are 7-2 vs spread in those games.

Bill Self is 2-3 in regional finals; he was favored in all five games; Kansas won last 17 games, beating Maryland by 16 Thursday- they're making 41.8% on arc (#4). Villanova foes shoot 33.9% on arc (#134); they lost to Oklahoma 78-55 on Pearl Harbor Dec 7, their only Big X game this year. Wildcats are 13-2 outside Big East; their closest game in this event has been 19 points- they crushed Iowa/Miami in last two. Since 2003, #2-seeds are 11-5 SU vs #1-seeds in regional finals; underdogs are 9-7 vs spread in those games. Big X teams are 2-1 vs Big East this season.

NCAAB

Saturday, March 26

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Trend Report
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6:09 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. OREGON
No trends available
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oregon's last 10 games

8:49 PM
VILLANOVA vs. KANSAS
No trends available
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas's last 16 games

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**Udog** · 03-26-2016, 10:35 AM

Long sheet has updated.

Announcement

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/26

Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/26

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