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  • Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/25

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, March 25

    Good Luck on day #85 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Matchup Links

    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

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    NASCAR Schedule

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  • #2
    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Friday, March 25



    Iowa State @ Virginia

    Game 873-874
    March 25, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Iowa State
    70.169
    Virginia
    73.607
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Virginia
    by 3 1/2
    147
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Virginia
    by 5 1/2
    141 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Iowa State
    (+5 1/2); Over

    Gonzaga @ Syracuse


    Game 875-876
    March 25, 2016 @ 9:40 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Gonzaga
    70.592
    Syracuse
    69.371
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Gonzaga
    by 1
    139
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Gonzaga
    by 4 1/2
    134 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Syracuse
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Indiana @ North Carolina


    Game 869-870
    March 25, 2016 @ 9:55 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    70.291
    North Carolina
    77.778
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    North Carolina
    by 7 1/2
    166
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    North Carolina
    by 5 1/2
    160
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Carolina
    (-5 1/2); Over

    Wisconsin @ Notre Dame


    Game 871-872
    March 25, 2016 @ 7:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Wisconsin
    65.513
    Notre Dame
    68.903
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Notre Dame
    by 3 1/2
    128
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Notre Dame
    by 1
    132
    Dunkel Pick:
    Notre Dame
    (-1); Under





    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Friday, March 25


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (27 - 7) vs. N CAROLINA (30 - 6) - 3/25/2016, 9:55 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    N CAROLINA is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WISCONSIN (22 - 12) vs. NOTRE DAME (23 - 11) - 3/25/2016, 7:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WISCONSIN is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    WISCONSIN is 140-104 ATS (+25.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
    WISCONSIN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    IOWA ST (23 - 11) vs. VIRGINIA (28 - 7) - 3/25/2016, 7:10 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VIRGINIA is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    VIRGINIA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 227-175 ATS (+34.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    IOWA ST is 144-111 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    IOWA ST is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
    VIRGINIA is 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
    VIRGINIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GONZAGA (28 - 7) vs. SYRACUSE (21 - 13) - 3/25/2016, 9:40 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SYRACUSE is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
    SYRACUSE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a neutral court underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
    SYRACUSE is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
    GONZAGA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
    GONZAGA is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NCAAB
    Short Sheet

    Friday, March 25


    Indiana at North Carolina, 9:55 ET
    Indiana: 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds
    N Carolina: 2-9 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more

    Wisconsin at Notre Dame, 7:25 ET
    Wisconsin: 20-9 ATS in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7
    Notre Dame: 0-6 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins

    Iowa State at Virginia, 7:10 ET
    Iowa St: 6-17 ATS on road after covering the spread in 4 or + consecutive games
    Virginia: 8-2 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opp to commit 14 or less turnovers

    Gonzaga at Syracuse, 9:40 ET
    Gonzaga: 2-11 ATS in road games after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more
    Syracuse: 8-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games




    NCAAB

    Friday, March 25


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    7:10 PM
    IOWA STATE vs. VIRGINIA
    No trends available
    Virginia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Virginia's last 15 games

    7:27 PM
    WISCONSIN vs. NOTRE DAME
    No trends available
    Notre Dame is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Notre Dame's last 10 games

    9:57 PM
    INDIANA vs. NORTH CAROLINA
    No trends available
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of North Carolina's last 19 games
    North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Friday, March 25


      Since 1997, North Carolina is 9-1 in Sweet 16; they lost to Wisconsin in this round LY. Tar Heels are 2-0 vs Big 14 this year, beating N'western by 11, Maryland by 8. UNC scored 84 ppg LW in easy wins; they've won seven in a row overall. Indiana won 22 of last 26 games; they're 1-2 vs ACC teams, losing to Wake/Duke in fall, then beat Notre Dame by 7 in December. Hoosiers shoot 41.6% on the arc (#5); Carolina foes are shooting 35.4% (#223 defense). ACC teams are 8-11 vs Big 14 teams this season, 5-6 vs spread when favored. Last 10 years, #1 seeds are 16-19 vs spread in regional semifinal round. Battle of senior point guards should be extremely interesting.

      Wisconsin allowed 53 ppg in winning twice LW; Badgers won at Syracuse, beat Pitt by 4 in only two ACC games. Notre Dame won four of last five games, sneaking by SF Austin Sunday. Irish subs play 9th-least minutes in country; PG Jackson was on bench for 2:00 LW. ND is 3-1 vs Big 14 this year, losing to Indiana, winning by 7-6-5 points vs Michigan-Illinois-Iowa. Expect a slow tempo; Notre Dame plays tempo #321, Wisconsin #345. Badgers are 13-3 in last 16 games after a 9-9 start; they don't have a senior in rotation. ACC teams are 8-11 vs Big 14 teams this season, 3-3 vs spread when a dog. This is first regional semi with 6-7 seeds playing since 2005.

      Virginia won seven of last eight games, with only loss to UNC; Cavs beat West Va in only Big X game. UVa plays slowest tempo in nation. Iowa State plays #56 tempo, is #4 expereince team, but Cyclones' bench plays 5th-least minutes in country. Last 10 years, #1 seeds are 16-19 vs spread in regional semifinal round. ACC teams are 2-3 vs Big X teams this year, 1-3 vs spread when favored. Iowa State scored 172 points on 141 possessions LW; this game will be mich slower than 70 possessions. Cyclones beat Va Tech by 22 in only ACC game- they've got #5 eFG% in country, shooting 56.6% inside arc (#4), 38.6% outside arc (#22). .

      Gonzaga is 7-0 since losing on Senior Night to St Mary's; they've got two quality big men, shoot ball well (#12 eFG%) and allowed only 55.5 ppg LW in beating seeds #6-3 in their region (Seton Hall/Utah). Zags are 4-5 vs top 50 teams this year. Syracuse got two wins last week after going 1-5 in previous six games; Orange avoided Michigan St in second round, which always helps. Syracuse is one of 20 worst teams in country on defensive boards, but otherwise defend well- their bench plays 2nd-least minutes in country. WCC won both its games vs ACC teams this season. This game is only third 10-11 seed game ever; underdogs won first two.

      Comment


      • #4
        Friday's NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 betting previews

        East Region


        Indiana vs. North Carolina: East Region Sweet 16 betting preview

        Indiana's Ferrell recorded 38 points, 14 assists and three turnovers over the last two games while playing an average of 36 minutes.

        No. 5 Indiana Hoosiers vs. No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels (+4, 135)

        Game to be played at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA.

        Two of the most successful programs in college basketball history meet when top-seeded North Carolina takes on No. 5 seed Indiana in the East Regional semifinals of the NCAA Tournament on Friday in Philadelphia. The Tar Heels, who have won seven straight contests, are tied with Indiana and Duke for third at five national titles and each boasts the tools to make it six.

        North Carolina has rolled to double-digit victories over FGCU and Providence in the first two rounds after winning the ACC regular-season and tournament titles with versatile senior forward Brice Johnson leading a deep, balanced lineup. “I probably think we’ve played our best basketball the entire season in the last couple of weeks,” Tar Heels coach Roy Williams told reporters. Indiana, which won the Big Ten regular-season title and knocked off Kentucky in the regional quarterfinals Saturday, got better as the season went along with senior point guard Yogi Ferrell as the catalyst. The Hoosiers have leaned on their offense all season (82.5 points), but coach Tom Crean told reporters he knows North Carolina will be difficult to outscore because “they keep bringing a wave of guys at you.”

        TV: 9:57 p.m. ET, TBS

        LINE HISTORY: The books opened the no. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels at -6.5 and the public jumped all over Indiana at that value. The books dropped the line to -5.5 by Monday morning and that's where it's been ever since. The total opened at 160 and was dropped to 158.5 on Wednesday afternoon. Check out the complete line history here.

        ABOUT INDIANA (27-7, 19-15 ATS, 16-18 O/U): Ferrell recorded 38 points, 14 assists and three turnovers over the last two games while playing an average of 36 minutes. Ferrell, who has 1,961 career points, will need continued production inside from center Thomas Bryant (19 points versus Kentucky, 68.9 percent shooting overall) and forward Troy Williams (13 points, team-high 5.9 rebounds this season). The Hoosiers’ depth is a bit in question with the status of guard Robert Johnson (ankle) and forward Juwan Morgan (shoulder) uncertain.

        ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (30-6, 17-18-1 ATS, 18-18 O/U): Johnson, who is four rebounds shy of becoming the eighth Tar Heel to reach 1,000 in his career, averages a double-double (16.8 points, 10.5 boards) while shooting 61.9 percent from the field. Johnson is a constant while the rest of a deep lineup has taken turns stepping up and senior point guard Marcus Paige (12.0 points) is a key for the Tar Heels after draining 5-of-12 from beyond the arc in the first two rounds. Guard Joel Berry II (12.8) and forward Justin Jackson (12.1) also average in double figures.

        TRENDS:

        * Hoosiers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
        * Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
        * Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
        * Over is 6-1 in Tar Heels last 7 non-conference games.


        Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame: East Region Sweet 16 betting preview

        The Fighting Irish haven't lost their flair for the dramatic at the Big Dance, digging out of a 12-point hole to beat Michigan before getting a tip-in to hold off an upset bid from Stephen F. Austin.

        No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers vs. No. 6 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-1, 131.5)

        Game to be played at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA.

        Considering their NCAA Tournament fortunes appeared bleak at best following poor efforts in their respective conference tournaments two weeks ago, it might be appropriate to suggest fate has shined favorably on Notre Dame and Wisconsin recently. A pair of schools coming off dramatic last-second wins last weekend will vie for the right to advance to the Elite Eight on Friday when the Fighting Irish and Badgers square off in a Sweet 16 matchup in Philadelphia.

        Notre Dame opened the ACC tournament by rallying from a 16-point second-half deficit to defeat Duke in overtime, only to get pounded 78-47 by North Carolina in the semifinals. The sixth-seeded Fighting Irish haven't lost their flair for the dramatic at the Big Dance, however, digging out of a 12-point hole to beat Michigan before getting a tip-in from freshman Rex Pflueger with 1.5 seconds left to hold off a second-round upset bid from Stephen F. Austin. Wisconsin turned in a listless offensive effort in a 12-point loss to Nebraska in the second round of the Big Ten tournament, then survived the lowest-scoring effort by a winning team in the NCAA Tournament since 2003 in a 47-43 first-round victory over Pittsburgh. Bronson Koenig kept the seventh-seeded Badgers' dream of making three straight Final Fours alive in their next time out, hitting two 3-pointers in the final 11.7 seconds - including the game-winner as time expired - to send No. 2 seed Xavier home with a 66-63 loss.

        TV: 7:27 p.m. ET, TBS

        LINE HISTORY: The higher seeded Notre Dame Fighting Irish opened as one-point favorite and the spread hasn't moved an inch all week. The total opened at 129.5 and has been bet up a full two points to 131.5.

        WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Of Friday's four Sweet 16 games, the Notre Dame/Wisconsin matchup is projected to be the closest. The other three all have a clear favorite (UNC, UVA, Gonzaga) but the Irish/Badgers line, currently Notre Dame -1 at most shops, suggests a game which could go either way. Check out the complete line history here.

        With victories against Pittsburgh, a team which defeated ND in the reg. season, and Xavier, the Badgers have arguably been more impressive than Notre Dame. The Irish recorded comeback victories against Michigan, a team Wisconsin defeated in the regular season, and also against #15th seeded SF Austin. Indeed, they're fortunate to even be here. That may have some scratching their heads a little about why the Irish are the slight favorites." - Covers Expert Ben Burns.

        ABOUT WISCONSIN (22-12, 18-16 ATS, 14-20 O/U): Defense, specifically keeping the opponent's leading scorer in check, has been key for the Badgers through two NCAA Tournament games; Wisconsin held Pittsburgh's Michael Young nearly 10 points below his 15.7 average and Xavier's Trevon Bluiett to eight points below his usual 15.1-point standard. Koenig (13.3 points) ended a three-game slide in which he totaled 21 points on 7-of-32 from the field by scoring 20 on 6-of-15 shooting - including 6-of-12 beyond the arc - versus the Musketeers. The same cannot be said for leading scorer Nigel Hayes (16.3 points), who has missed all 17 of his 3-point attempts and is a combined 7-of-42 from the floor over his last three outings.

        ABOUT NOTRE DAME (23-11, 15-16-1 ATS, 16-16 O/U): Zach Auguste (14.3 points, 10.9 boards) became the 13th Fighting Irish to reach 800 career rebounds Sunday and has posted 10 double-doubles over his last 14 outings, averaging 15.3 points and 12.1 boards over that span. The 6-10 senior forward is shooting 70.5 percent from the field in seven career NCAA Tournament games and has a chance to break Bill Walton's tournament record (68.6) if is able to maintain his current percentage on nine or more attempts. V.J. Beachem (11.6 points) is coming off his worst shooting effort (6-for-13) since Notre Dame's postseason run began, but he is still averaging 15.8 points on 21-of-39 from the field - including 13-of-25 from long-range - over that four-game stretch.

        TRENDS:

        * Badgers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.
        * Fighting Irish are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big Ten.
        * Under is 10-1 in Badgers last 11 overall.
        * Under is 8-1 in Fighting Irish last 9 games following a ATS loss.



        Midwest Region


        Iowa St. vs. Virginia: Midwest Region Sweet 16 betting preview

        The second-round win allowed ACC Player of the Year Malcolm Brogdon (22 points) to put forth perhaps the best of his seven career tournament games.

        No. 4 Iowa St. Cyclones vs. No. 1 Virginia Cavaliers (-5, 141)

        Game to be played at United Center, Chicago, IL.

        It will be a contrast in styles when No. 1 seed Virginia puts its shutdown defense up against No. 4 seed Iowa State's high-powered attack in an NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 matchup in Chicago on Friday. The Cavaliers, who are seeking their first visit to the Elite Eight since 1995, own the second-ranked scoring defense (59.5) in the country, while the Cyclones have the third-best offensive output (82.1) among remaining tournament teams.

        They are hoping to reach a regional final for the first time in 16 years and after averaging 86 points in first- and second-round wins - are poised to impose their style of play on the top team in the Midwest Region. "It's obviously going to be a toughness battle," Iowa State forward Georges Niang, who has scored 28 points in both tournament games, told reporters. "Who's going to be tougher? Who's going to really will their team to a win? That's what it comes down to." The Cavaliers had some issues imposing their will against Butler in the second round before a solid stretch run lifted them to a 77-69 victory. Anthony Gill remained a rock for Virginia as the senior forward posted his second straight 19-point effort and hauled in a game-high eight rebounds.

        TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, CBS

        LINE HISTORY: Top seed Virginia opened as 5.5-point favorites over Iowa St. but the line was quickly adjusted down to -5. The total began the week at 141 and hasn't moved. Check out the complete line history here.

        ABOUT IOWA STATE (23-11, 17-13-1 ATS, 14-16-1 O/U): Guard Matt Thomas has taken a liking to tournament play, averaging 15 points while making 7-of-15 3-pointers through the first two rounds. The junior, who has one turnover in 77 minutes in those two games, is 12-of-24 from beyond the arc in six career contests in the Big Dance. Niang is winding up a stellar career with a flourish, producing double digits in made field goals in a career-high three consecutive games.

        ABOUT THE VIRGINIA (28-7, 18-14-1 ATS, 13-20 O/U): The second-round win allowed ACC Player of the Year Malcolm Brogdon (22 points) to put forth perhaps the best of his seven career tournament games, and the only one in which he has shot better than 50 percent from the field (8-of-14). The Cavaliers have also been getting great production off the bench from big man Mike Tobey, who has made 9-of-11 shots, grabbed eight rebounds and blocked three shots in 24 total minutes of tournament play. Guard Marial Shayok added 12 points versus Butler and has three double-digit efforts in his last four games after producing a total of four in his previous 29 affairs.

        TRENDS:

        * Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
        * Cavaliers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
        * Over is 5-1 in Cyclones last 6 vs. Atlantic Coast.
        * Under is 12-3 in Cavaliers last 15 overall.



        Gonzaga vs. Syracuse: Midwest Region Sweet 16 betting preview

        After shooting a season-high 55.1 percent against Middle Tennessee, Jim Boeheim knows that his team is playing some of its best basketball at the right time of the season.

        No. 11 Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. No. 10 Syracuse Orange (+4, 135)

        Game to be played at United Center, Chicago, IL.

        Syracuse and Gonzaga are two of the most surprising teams in the Sweet 16, but they also have been two of the most impressive teams through the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament. The 10th-seeded Orange and the 11th-seeded Bulldogs eye another strong effort - and a spot in the Elite 8 - when they clash in Friday's nightcap in Chicago.

        The earlier contest in the Windy City pits top-seeded Virginia against No. 4 seed Iowa State, but the region's two Cinderella squads have generated as much (if not more) buzz for their dominant play in the tournament's opening weekend. Syracuse rolled past Dayton by 19 points and Middle Tennessee by 25, while Gonzaga topped Seton Hall by 16 before knocking off Utah in a 23-point affair. Each team is led by a sweet-shooting senior, as Michael Gbinije paces the Orange in scoring (17.8) and 3-pointers (90), while Kyle Wiltjer does the same for the Bulldogs (20.4, 86). In the front court, Domantas Sabonis has been a force for Gonzaga, although Syracuse's Tyler Roberson and Tyler Lydon also have enjoyed terrific tournaments to this point.

        TV: 9:40 p.m. ET, CBS

        LINE HISTORY: The books opened this game with Gonzaga as 4.5-point favorites over Syracuse but the public bet the line down to Gonzaga -4. The total opened at 135.5 and dropped slightly to 135. Check out the complete line history here.

        ABOUT GONZAGA (28-7, 17-15-1 ATS, 17-16 O/U): Sabonis (19 points, 10 rebounds), Wiltjer (17 points) and Eric McClellan (22 points) all shot at least 66 percent in the win over Utah while combining to go 6-of-7 from 3-point range. Those three average double-digit points, as does freshman Josh Perkins (10.2), who is 1-of-8 from beyond the arc in the NCAAs but likely will be needed to knock down shots over the Syracuse 2-3 zone. With seven straight wins, however, Bulldogs coach Mark Few does not want the recent success to go to his players' heads, saying this week: "We don't want them patted on the back. I like them playing with an edge and desperation and maybe not feeling that good about themselves."

        ABOUT SYRACUSE (21-13, 18-15 ATS, 17-16 O/U): After shooting a season-high 55.1 percent against Middle Tennessee, Jim Boeheim knows that his team is playing some of its best basketball at the right time of the season. “I think we just have to make sure we understand that there’s a lot to be done, a lot can be done, a lot of good things can happen and we have to focus on that, the next game and not really look backward,” Boeheim told reporters. “There will be time to look backward, some day.” In the meantime, the veteran coach needs continued solid production from Gbinije (23 points on 10-of-14 shooting last game), Roberson (averaging 11 points and 13.5 rebounds in the tournament) and Lydon (14 points and seven rebounds in both games so far).

        TRENDS:

        * Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
        * Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
        * Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.
        * Under is 6-1 in Orange last 7 NCAA Tournament games.

        Comment


        • #5
          Essential betting stats and trends for the Sweet 16 and Elite 8

          No. 3 Seed dogs of 4-points or greater, are 6-1 ATS. That is the situation Miami is in for their Sweet 16 matchup with Villanova.

          If you are a player, a coach, or a fan, there is nothing sweeter this time of the year than being alive in the NCAA Tournament. For those teams that survived the opening two rounds of the "Big Dance," it’s on to the Sweet 16 and hopefully, the Elite 8 this weekend.

          So before placing your wagers for the next two rounds, Marc Lawrence digs up all the essential betting notes and trends of the teams that have arrived.

          *Note: all stats are ATS (Against The Spread) unless noted otherwise.

          NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Round notes

          • No. 1 Seeds coming off back-to-back SU/ATS wins are 19-8 ATS. Kansas fits the bill this year.
          • No. 2 Seed favorites of 4-points or greater, are 2-6-1 ATS. So be cautious Villanova backers.
          • No. 3 Seed dogs of 4-points or greater, are 6-1 ATS. That is the situation for Miami.
          • No. 4 Seed dogs of 6-points or less, are 6-1 ATS. Both Duke and Iowa State are in that spot.
          • No. 5 Seeds off a double-digit SU win, are 0-4 ATS. Maryland hopes to break that trend.
          • No. 6 Seeds off a SU win as favorites, are 5-0 ATS. Notre Dame hopes that holds true.
          • No. 7 Seed dogs of 3-pts or less, are 1-3 ATS. Wisconsin is in that spot this year.
          • No. 10 or worse seed dogs of 4-points or greater, are 6-1 ATS. Syracuse is looking at that situation.
          • Favorites off a SU win of 20 or more points are 0-4 ATS. Gonzaga is coming off a 23-point win over Utah.

          Best Team ATS records in the Sweet 16:

          Wisconsin 3-0, Oregon, Virginia 2-0, Oklahoma 4-1, Duke 3-1.

          Worst Team ATS records in the Sweet 16:

          Miami-Fl 0-2, Syracuse 1-6, Gonzaga and Indiana 1-3, Kansas 4-10.

          Best Conference ATS records in the Sweet 16:

          SEC: 7-1-1, Big East: 5-1 as dogs

          Worst Conference ATS records in this round:

          Big 12: 0-6, MVC: 0-4, West Coast: 1-3, Pac-12: 2-6

          NCAA Tournament ELITE 8 Round notes

          • No. 1 Seed favorites of greater than 7-points are 1-9 ATS.
          • No. 2 Seeds are 3-10-1 ATS coming off a double-digit ATS win.
          • No. 3 Seeds are 2-9 ATS.
          • No. 4 Seeds are 11-3 ATS.
          • No. 5 Seeds are 7-0 ATS.
          • No. 6 Seeds are 2-5 ATS.
          • No. 7 Seeds are 3-1-1 ATS.
          • No. 8 Seeds are 5-1 ATS.
          • Teams that score 67 points or less are 17-49 SU and 17-46-3 ATS.
          • Teams that score 85 points or more are 29-7 SU and 26-8-2 ATS.
          • Teams coming off three or more ATS wins are 7-1-1 ATS.
          • Teams in Revenge spots are 16-6-1 ATS.
          • Dogs coming off three straight double-digit wins are 2-7-1 ATS.

          Best Conference ATS records in this round:

          Big East: 6-1 as dogs of 4-points or less, Big 10: 5-1 as dogs, SEC: 5-1 as favorites of 7 or more points, Pac 12: 4-1 as dogs.

          Worst Conference ATS records in this round:

          Big 12: 0-11, ACC: 0-4 as favorites of greater than 7-points, Pac 12: 1-5 as favorites of greater than 2-points, Big East: 1-4 as favorites of less than 4-points, SEC: 2-5 as favs less than 7-points.

          Coach me if you can

          • Duke’s Mike Krzyzewski is 20-5 SU from the Elite 8 Round out since 1991, including 15-2 ATS when not favored by 7 or more points.

          Comment

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