Announcement

**Udog** · 03-20-2016, 09:29 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Seven #15-seeds who won in first round- how did they do in their second game?

1991-- Richmond beat Syracuse-- Lost 77-64 (+2.5) in next game.

1993-- Santa Clara beat Arizona-- Lost 68-57 (+11) in next game.

1997-- Coppin State beat South Carolina-- Lost 82-81 (+11.5) to Texas.

2001-- Hampton beat Iowa State-- Lost 76-57 (+12.5) to Georgetown

2012-- Norfolk State beat Missouri-- Lost 84-50 (+14) to Florida.

2012-- Lehigh beat Duke-- Lost 70-58 (+4.5) to Xavier.

2013-- Florida Gulf Coast beat Georgetown-- Beat San Diego State 81-71 (+7.5).

2016-- Middle Tennessee State beat Michigan State-- ??????

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.....

13) Actually left the house today, went out for lunch and watched the Wichita State game. Checking out of the human race for a few days to watch basketball is something I highly recommend. Starting Monday, time to get ready for baseball, and Sweet 16 games next weekend. And maybe pack for a vacation...... :-)

12) Miami 65, Wichita State 57-- Hurricanes were up 27-6 very quickly, then blew the lead-- Shockers went up 43-42, but Miami pulled back ahead and advances to the Sweet 16. Van Vleet/Baker gave Wichita fans tons of thrills, what great careers they've had, but now they move on to pro ball and Wichita State has to rebuild.

11) Duke 71, Yale 64-- Duke led 46-19 at one point, were up 23 at half, then all of a sudden, Yale started playing well, then really well- they got the lead all the way down to three before time ran out on them. Historic season for the Bulldogs, who made it to the NCAAs for first time since 1962. Hope they enjoyed it.

10) Indiana 73, Kentucky 67-- Wildcats had at least made the Sweet 16 the last five they were in the tournament, but Indiana shot 61% inside arc, Kentucky shot 4-16 on the arc and now we wait to see which Wildcats bolt for the NBA Draft. Up next for the Hoosiers is North Carolina, another good game for TV ratings.

9) Virginia 77, Butler 69-- Cavaliers are 15-3 in last 18 games, move on to play Iowa State in a great game of contrasting styles. I think I overrated Butler; kept waiting for them to play better and they really never did. Wonder if the people at Wisconsin were going to go after Tony Bennett, had the Badgers not gotten hot in February?

8) Kansas 73, UConn 61-- Jayhawks led 42-19 at one point; Huskies got it down to single digits, but Kansas was just too good. Maryland-Hawai'i winner awaits in the next round; Terps are 4-6 in last ten games and were shaky at end of their win Friday against South Dakota State. Will Kevin Ollie jump to an NBA coaching job?

7) Iowa State 78, Ark-Little Rock 61-- Big underdogs who pull shocking first round upsets tend to do poorly in their next game, just the way it has usually been. After a couple of games vs free-wheeling teams this week, Iowa State plays Virginia next, and the Cavaliers are quite the opposite. That will be an interesting game.

6) Gonzaga 82, Utah 59-- Tank job by Utes, who lost to Oregon by 31 last week in Pac-12 tournament- those are their only two losses in their last ten games, but that is how this Utah team will be remembered. As for Gonzaga, three weeks ago, they lost at home to St Mary's on Senior Night and looked like they would miss the NCAAs for first time since 1998- now they're in Sweet 16 and playing their best basketball.

5) North Carolina 85, Providence 66-- .Game was 41-41, but Friars just didn't have enough players; you'd think they'd go to a zone once Dunn/Bentil got into foul trouble, since those two were the backbone of the team. Carolina is 11-1 in its last dozen Sweet 16 games, losing to Wisconsin LY. Tar Heels play Indiana next.

4) Favorites went 5-2 Saturday; I had Gonzaga-Utah as pick 'em. I'm thinking it is hard to play these noon games on Saturday/Sunday- pregame meals at 8am?

3) Rutgers hired Stony Brook coach Steve Pikiell as its new coach, $1.6M a year; he is also a former UConn player/coach. Danny Hurley/Mike Lonergan were Rutgers' first two choices. I might have looked at Manhattan coach Steve Masiello, but seems like these college administrators are so gutless- they just pick guys who had big years this season, rather than a lot of good years previously.

2) Middle Tennessee coach Kermit Davis got a $31,250 bonus for winning a game in the NCAA tournament; wonder how they came up with that amount?

1) 11-seed in South Region has now beaten the 6-seed in first round seven years in row, so go find a blank bracket, put "2017" on top and circle the 11-seed in the South. then put it where you can find it next March and you'll already have one winner.

**Udog** · 03-20-2016, 09:32 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 20

Hot teams
-- Toronto won six of its last seven games (3-1 last 4HF).
-- Utah won its last four games (4-10 last 14AU). Milwaukee won four of its last five games (6-2 last 8HF).

Cold teams
-- Portland lost six of its last nine games. Mavericks lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Orlando lost six of its last eight games (2-3 last 5AU).
-- Boston lost five of its last six games (6-3 last 9AF). 76ers lost nine of their last ten games (3-1 last 4HU).
-- Clippers lost four of their last six games (9-2 last 11AF). New Orleans lost five of its last six (5-3 last 8HU).
-- Kings lost seven of their last eight games (2-6 last 8AU). New York lost seven of its last ten games (10-6HF).

Series records
-- Mavericks won three of last four games with Dallas.
-- Raptors won nine of last ten games with Orlando.
-- Celtics won their last seven games with Philadelphia.
-- Clippers won their last four games with New Orleans.
-- Jazz won eight of their last ten games with Milwaukee.
-- Knicks lost four of their last five games with Sacramento.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Portland games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Pelican games went over the total.
-- Over is 10-2 in last 12 Utah games if it played night before.
-- Under is 9-2 in New York's last eleven games.

Back/backs
-- Clippers won last six games if they played the night before.
-- Utah is 3-5 in last eight road games if it played night before.
-- Knicks won four of last five if they played the night before.

**Udog** · 03-20-2016, 09:34 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 20

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Trend Report
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4:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. DALLAS
Portland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Dallas's last 17 games

4:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

6:00 PM
BOSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Philadelphia is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games

6:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
LA Clippers are 15-6 SU in their last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 7 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-11 SU in their last 13 games when playing LA Clippers
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
UTAH vs. MILWAUKEE
Utah is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Utah

7:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 13 games on the road
Sacramento is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 11 games
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento

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**Udog** · 03-20-2016, 09:48 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 20

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PORTLAND (36 - 34) at DALLAS (34 - 35) - 3/20/2016, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 339-276 ATS (+35.4 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
PORTLAND is 40-30 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PORTLAND is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PORTLAND is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PORTLAND is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 43-58 ATS (-20.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (29 - 39) at TORONTO (47 - 21) - 3/20/2016, 4:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (39 - 30) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 60) - 3/20/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 84-68 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 53-38 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-71 ATS (-26.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 103-147 ATS (-58.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (43 - 25) at NEW ORLEANS (25 - 43) - 3/20/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 241-292 ATS (-80.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 211-260 ATS (-75.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-40 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (33 - 36) at MILWAUKEE (30 - 39) - 3/20/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (26 - 42) at NEW YORK (28 - 42) - 3/20/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 28-38 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW YORK is 49-67 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-20-2016, 09:51 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 20

Sacramento @ New York

Game 711-712
March 20, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
117.848
New York
111.323
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 6
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 2 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(-2 1/2); Under

Portland @ Dallas

Game 701-702
March 20, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
117.640
Dallas
122.403
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 5
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 1
213
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-1); Over

Orlando @ Toronto

Game 703-704
March 20, 2016 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
112.977
Toronto
127.358
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 14 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 10
210
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-10); Under

Boston @ Philadelphia

Game 705-706
March 20, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
117.579
Philadelphia
112.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 5 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 11
215
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+11); Under

LA Clippers @ New Orleans

Game 707-708
March 20, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
118.842
New Orleans
117.465
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 1 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 8
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+8); Over

Utah @ Milwaukee

Game 709-710
March 20, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
116.849
Milwaukee
121.414
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 4 1/2
187
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
193 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-1 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 03-20-2016, 01:37 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, March 20

Portland at Dallas, 4:05 ET
Portland: 15-5 ATS after 2 games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds
Dallas: 5-16 ATS in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7

Orlando at Toronto, 4:35 ET
Orlando: 25-16 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 200
Toronto: 31-52 ATS after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games

Boston at Philadelphia, 6:05 ET
Boston: 24-10 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 210
Philadelphia: 0-9 ATS as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12

LA Clippers at New Orleans, 6:05 ET
Los Angeles: 25-11 ATS on road after 2 games with 10 or less offensive rebounds
New Orleans: 6-16 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more

Utah at Milwaukee, 7:05 ET
Utah: 25-14 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days
Milwaukee: 4-12 ATS after playing a game as favorite

Sacramento at New York, 7:35 ET
Sacramento: 5-19 ATS after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds
New York: 13-5 ATS after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/20

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/20

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