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Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/19

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  • Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/19

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, March 19

    Good Luck on day #79 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Matchup Links

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    NASCAR Schedule

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Seven #15-seeds who won in first round- how did they do in their second game?

    1991-- Richmond beat Syracuse-- Lost 77-64 (+2.5) in next game.

    1993-- Santa Clara beat Arizona-- Lost 68-57 (+11) in next game.

    1997-- Coppin State beat South Carolina-- Lost 82-81 (+11.5) to Texas.

    2001-- Hampton beat Iowa State-- Lost 76-57 (+12.5) to Georgetown

    2012-- Norfolk State beat Missouri-- Lost 84-50 (+14) to Florida.

    2012-- Lehigh beat Duke-- Lost 70-58 (+4.5) to Xavier.

    2013-- Florida Gulf Coast beat Georgetown-- Beat San Diego State 81-71 (+7.5).

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Wrapping up a full day of basketball.......

    Middle Tennessee State 90, Michigan State 81-- This was 3rd-biggest upset (MT was +18) in tournament history, but hardly a fluke; Blue Raiders outhustled Michigan State, hit 11-19 3-pointers, beat Spartans to most every loose ball- they jumped out to a 15-2 lead and became more confident as the game went on. Great win for them.

    Oregon 91, Holy Cross 52-- If you care about such things, Norfolk State (+21.5) in '12, Santa Clara (+20) in '93, Middle Tennessee (+18) today are three biggest spread upsets in NCAA tournament history. As for Oregon, they'll have their hands full on Sunday, with St Joe's. More on the Hawks later.

    Northern Iowa 75, Texas 72-- Kid on UNI made sure he will be on highlight shows in March until the day he dies, banking in a halfcourt shot at buzzer, giving Shaka Smart his third consecutive first round loss. Northern Iowa alum/booster Kurt Warner was in the crowd, and this game proved that indeed, all things are possible.

    St Joe's 78, Cincinnati 76-- Rough week for Bearcats, who lost in AAC tourney in four OT's last week, after kid on UConn drained a 60-footer in third OT, then lost at buzzer here, when game-tying dunk was after light came on backboard. I had no idea how good DeAndre' Bembry is; he played all 40:00, its all the little things he does. he must have gobbled up five or six loose balls I thought he had no shot at. Great player.

    Stephen F Austin 70, West Virginia 56-- Lumberjacks haven't lost since December; they play great defense and handled West Virginia's press very well. Mountaineers turned ball over 22 times, forced only seven- that doesn't happen much and they play in the best league in country. Brad Underwood will get a higher-level job soon.

    Syracuse 70, Dayton 51-- Both teams limped into tournament; Flyers finished year going 4-5 in last nine games, after a 21-3 start. Hard to figure what happens to make a team regress like that- maybe someone was playing hurt. It is part of what makes the art of handicapping a very difficult one.

    Villanova 86, NC-Asheville 56-- Villanova plays Iowa next; Wildcats haven't been to Sweet 16 since 2009. Going to be a very long summer if Villanova doesn't get there this year. This is random: Pitt's band stayed after their game to also be the Weber State band- they all got t-shirts and $15 apiece to play the Weber State fight song.

    VCU 75, Oregon State 67-- It is ironical that VCU has gone farther in NCAAs this year than its former coach Shaka Smart. Rams shot 64% inside arc- they were down a hoop with 9:05 left, but scored 26 points from there on in. Oregon State had a great year, have a talented, young nucleus, but must replace Gary Payton II.

    Iowa 72, Temple 70-- Hawkeyes won at buzzer, on a putback after an airball, when the refs ignored a push-off that would've given the Owls foul shots for the win. Fran McCaffery is from Philly, making his game with Villanova Sunday a little more spicy, In 2008, Villanova beat McCaffery's Siena team in a 2nd round 12-13-seed game.

    Hawai'i 77, California 66-- Golden Bears lost PG Wallace on Wednesday in practice, then Jabari Bird had back spasms Friday morning and sat game out. This was the first non-play-in win for the Big West since Pacific in 2005 they aren't even in the league anymore, they're in the WCC now. Big day for Hawai'i- they play Maryland next.

    Oklahoma 82, Cal-Bakersfield 68-- Roadrunners were spunky here, running out to an 8-0 lead, but reality set in against veteran Sooner squad that has four kids who have played 100+ games together in Norman. Bakersfield needs to move up to the Big West with the other mid-major state schools in California.

    Maryland 79, South Dakota State 74-- Gritty Jackrabbits had ball with chance to tie in last 0:10, but turned it over and fell short of their first tournament win. Terps have to be concerned that they had to sweat out a game they led by 12 at half. Hawai'i is lot more athletic than South Dakota State- Maryland could have its hands full Sunday.

    Wisconsin 47, Pitt 43-- Dreadful game, with 54 freakin' possessions. UNLV wants to hire Jamie Dixon; how about hiring a coach who will play a more entertaining style of play? Jesus, Northern Iowa led Texas 44-36 at the half and they both have tempos in the 300's. A 47-43 final? Badgers play Xavier Sunday; they'll have to play faster.

    Texas A&M 92, Green Bay 65-- Milwaukee fired coach Rob Jeter this week; his dad played for the Lombardi Packers in the late 60's. Panthers were 20-13 this year, were in NCAAs two years ago-- there is a story out there that the female AD had it out for Jeter and undermined the program so she could fire him. Politics suck.

    Xavier 71, Weber State 53-- I go to AAU games in Las Vegas in July; last summer, Xavier coach Chris Mack was there recruiting......with his 9-year old daughter. Mack also coaches his daughter's grade school team, he seems like a good guy. As for the Big Sky, they should have a Monday night midnight game on ESPN-- why not?

    Notre Dame 70, Michigan 63-- Pac-12 lost five games as higher seeds the last two days, first team any conference has failed that much. Notre Dame is playing its next game against Stephen F Austin, a bunch of Lumberjacks taking Brooklyn by storm. There is a famous book called A Tree Grows in Brooklyn- could Stephen F Austin be the team that chops that tree down and moves on to the Sweet 16?

    Comment


    • #3
      Saturday's NCAA Tournament Second Round betting preview


      Saturday's South Region Second Round betting preview

      No. 11 Wichita State opened as 2.5-point favorites, despite going up agianst No. 3 Miami.

      No. 11 Wichita State Shockers at No. 3 Miami Hurricanes (+2, 131.5)

      Game to be played at Dunkin' Donuts Center, Providence, RI

      Two of the most experienced and productive backcourt duos in the nation meet when third-seeded Miami (Fla.) takes on No. 11 seed Wichita State in the second round of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday in Providence, R.I. Sheldon McClellan and Angel Rodriguez combined for 44 points in Miami’s first-round South Region win while Ron Baker and Fred VanVleet have led the Shockers to a pair of victories.

      Rodriguez scored 24 as the Hurricanes survived with a 79-72 victory over Buffalo on Thursday, and the 5-11 point guard’s block ignited a decisive run. “That’s the beauty of this team,” Rodriguez told reporters. “We just need one little thing to get us going, and we found it on the defensive end.” VanVleet and Baker were freshmen when Wichita State reached the Final Four in 2013, and they have been on the floor together for 118 games in four seasons -- emerging victorious in 105 of them. The seniors combined for 29 points in Thursday’s 65-55 first-round win over Arizona.

      TV: 12:10 p.m. ET, CBS

      LINE HISTORY: Despite being an 11-seed, books are giving lots of respect to the hot Shockers, opening them as 2.5-point faves over the 3-seed Hurricanes from Miami. The line has come back to Miami a bit, now sitting at Wichita State -2. The total hasn't moved from the opening number 131.5. Check out the complete line history here.

      ABOUT WICHITA STATE (26-8, 20-12 ATS, 13-18-1 O/U): The Shockers got a strong effort from their bench again Thursday as guard Conner Frankamp and forward Markis McDuffie each scored 10. “It’s going to take more than me and (Baker) to be able to get these wins,” VanVleet told reporters, “and the last two games we’ve been able to do that, so give these guys a ton of credit.” Baker averages 14.1 points overall while VanVleet is the only other player in double figures (12.2) and he dishes out 5.6 assists per contest.

      ABOUT MIAMI (26-7, 18-13-1 ATS, 16-16 O/U): Rodriguez scored at least 17 in four of the last six games and drained three 3-pointers in three of the past five while McClellan, a 50-percent shooter overall, is scoring 18 per game in the last five outings. Davon Reed (11.2) and Ja’Quan Newton (11.1) support McClellan (15.9) and Rodriguez (12.1) on the perimeter for the Hurricanes, who are 5-2 in their last seven. Senior center Tonye Jekiri (7.9 points, 8.8 rebounds) is the key to Miami’s defense with 126 career blocks – sixth all time at Miami.

      TRENDS:

      * Wichita State is 4-0 ATS in its last four non-conference games.
      * Miami is 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall.
      * Under is 4-0-1 in Wichita State's last five games overall.
      * Over is 6-0 in Miami's last six neutral site games.


      No. 9 Connecticut Huskies vs. No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks (-8, 140)

      Game to be played at Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, IO

      There are seven games on Kevin Ollie’s NCAA Tournament head-coaching résumé, and the Connecticut coach still has yet to taste defeat. That run, though, will face a serious test Saturday when the ninth-seeded Huskies take on the tournament’s No. 1 overall seed, Kansas, in a second-round South Region contest in Des Moines, Iowa.

      Much like 2014, when Ollie guided UConn to the national championship as a seventh seed, the current Huskies are on a late-season roll while winning five straight, including a 3-0 run to win the American Athletic Conference tournament title and a 74-67 comeback victory over eighth-seeded Colorado in Thursday’s NCAA tourney first round. “Coaching is overrated,” Ollie said Thursday in his post-game news conference. “I want to have a great relationship with my guys, so I can push them and demand everything I possibly can out of them. They've done a beautiful job.” Kansas enters Saturday’s contest on a 15-game roll after, as expected, routing 16th-seeded Austin Peay 105-79 on Thursday. “I don't think our guys have felt pressure from being the No. 1 seed,” Kansas coach Bill Self told the media afterward. “... But I don't think it's to the point that (we) need to validate anything anymore. I think what you gotta do, is you gotta play hungry and you gotta play aggressive and you gotta play loose – and you can't let other people play well.”

      TV: 7:45 p.m. ET, CBS

      LINE HISTORY: The overall No. 1 seed Jayhawks opened as 8-point faves over the streaking Huskies and the line hasn't moved since. The total has been bet up one point from 139 to 140. Check out the complete line history here.

      ABOUT CONNECTICUT (25-10, 17-13-1 ATS, 14-16-1 O/U): The Huskies got off to a sluggish start against Colorado, falling behind 33-22 late in the opening half, but they turned things around with tight defense and a 22-of-23 performance from the free-throw line to outscore Colorado 52-34 the rest of the way. Guards Rodney Purvis (19 points), Daniel Hamilton (17) and Sterling Gibbs (12) combined for 48 points in the win and are joined by forward Shonn Miller to give the team a quartet of leading scorers averaging between 12 and 12.7 points per game. In the meantime, defense (opponents are shooting only 38.3 percent from the floor) and free-throw shooting (UConn’s 79.3 percentage is tops in the nation) have been huge for the Huskies all season.

      ABOUT KANSAS (31-4, 22-11 ATS, 13-19-1 O/U): The Jayhawks haven’t lost since an 85-72 defeat at Iowa State on Jan. 25, and are averaging 85.3 points over their last six outings, including their 3-0 run to the Big 12 tournament title. And with Kansas jumping ahead of Austin Peay early Thursday, the Jayhawks were able to get their bench heavily involved, and reserve swingman Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk wound up leading the team with a career-high 23 points. Senior forward Perry Ellis chipped in 21 points and leads the team with his 16.8 average while guards Wayne Selden Jr. (13.3), Frank Mason III (13.0) and Devonte’ Graham (11.4) also are averaging double digits for the Jayhawks, who rank in the top 10 nationally in field-goal (49.7) and 3-point (42.5) percentage.

      TRENDS:

      * Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall.
      * Kansas is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games overall.
      * Over is 10-2 in Connecticut's last 12 games versus Big 12 opponents.
      * Over is 4-1-1 in Kansas' last six games overall.



      Saturday's West Region Second Round betting preview

      Can Yale pull off their second upset of the tournament in their rematch with Duke.

      No. 12 Yale Bulldogs vs. No. 4 Duke Blue Devils (-6, 146)

      Game to be played at Dunkin' Donuts Center, Providence, RI

      Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski has won more NCAA Tournament games than any coach in history, while Yale is coming off its first ever NCAA Tournament victory. They’ll both try to add to those disparate totals when the fourth-seeded Blue Devils face the No. 12 seed Bulldogs in the second round of the West Region on Saturday in Providence, R.I.

      It’s a rare postseason rematch, as the Blue Devils pulled away for an 80-61 home win over the Bulldogs on Nov. 25, but Duke star Grayson Allen isn’t putting much stock into the first meeting. “It’s tough to really look at that game at all just because both teams are so different now,” Allen told reporters. “It’s really like two different seasons from then to us playing them now. … They’re a completely different team since then, and we’ve grown as well.” Yale has won 18 of its last 19, including a 79-75 upset of No. 5 seed Baylor on Thursday, and is in the midst of its winningest season since 1906-07. The Blue Devils stumbled down the stretch, losing three of their last five regular-season games before going 1-1 in the ACC tournament, but they withstood a challenge from No. 13 seed UNC Wilmington in a 93-85 victory Thursday.

      TV: 2:40 p.m. ET, CBS

      LINE HISTORY: Duke opened as 6-point favorites over the tournament's first Cinderella, Yale and the line hasn't moved off that number. The total also hasn't moved off the opening number of 146. Check out the complete line history here.

      ABOUT YALE (23-6, 12-6-2 ATS, 12-8 O/U): The Bulldogs boast the Ivy League Player of the Year in senior forward Justin Sears (15.9 points, 7.4 rebounds) and another pair of first-team all-conference performers in senior forward Brandon Sherrod (12.4 points, 7.0 rebounds) and sophomore guard Makai Mason (16.3 points). Yale has been excellent on the boards all season and continued that trend against Baylor – improving to 20-2 when winning the rebounding battle – but will have a tougher time on the glass against the Blue Devils’ size up front. The Bulldogs also have a knack for getting to the foul line, averaging nearly 12 free-throw attempts per game, and will likely need to do so often to pull off a second straight upset.

      ABOUT DUKE (24-10, 13-18-2 ATS, 15-18 O/U): The Blue Devils struggled with injuries for much of the year, including the loss of senior big man Amile Jefferson, but their young stars might be emerging at the right time to make a deep run. Allen (21.6 points), freshman Brandon Ingram (16.9 points, 6.9 rebounds) and 7-footer Marshall Plumlee (8.6 points, 8.6 rebounds) each topped 20 points against UNC Wilmington. Plumlee put up 23 points on 9-of-10 shooting and grabbed eight rebounds Thursday, and the Blue Devils need him to again take advantage inside against an undersized Yale team.

      TRENDS:

      * Yale is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 games (where a spread was posted).
      * Duke is 0-6 ATS in its last six games overall.
      * Under is 4-1 in Yale's last five games following an ATS win.
      * Over is 5-0 in Duke's last five non-conference games.



      Saturday's East Region Second round betting preview

      Jamal Murray and Kentucky are red hot, covering the spread in six straight games. They're 3-point faves vs. long-time rivals Indiana.

      No. 5 Indiana Hoosiers vs. No. 4 Kentucky Wildcats (-3, 155)

      Game to be played at Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, IO

      As far as second-round NCAA Tournament matchups go, it doesn't get much better than Kentucky versus Indiana. The storied programs square off Saturday at Des Moines, Iowa, where the fourth-seeded Wildcats and fifth-seeded Hoosiers aim to build off impressive opening-round victories.

      This is the first matchup between the teams since the 2011-12 season, when Indiana upset Kentucky at the buzzer in the regular season before the Wildcats got their revenge in the Sweet 16. “It’s a rivalry because of the history of it, because of the proximity of the two states,” Hoosiers coach Tom Crean told reporters, “but (also) because the two basketball teams have been good when it’s been at its best.” This encounter will pit the Hoosiers' senior backcourt against the young, talented guards of the Wildcats. Of course, things don't get any easier for the winner of this game, which likely will face East Region No. 1 seed North Carolina (or potentially ninth-seeded Providence).

      TV: 5:15 p.m. ET, CBS

      LINE HISTORY: Kentucky opened as 3-point favorites in this Second Round matchup and the line hasn't moved off that number. The total has been bet down one point from 156 to 155. Check out the complete line history here.

      ABOUT INDIANA (26-7, 18-15 ATS, 16-17 O/U): Senior point guard Yogi Ferrell is the undisputed leader for Indiana, which shot nearly 65 percent from the field and went 10-of-16 from the 3-point line in a resounding 99-74 victory over 12th-seeded Chattanooga in Thursday's opener. Ferrell led the way with 20 points and 10 assists, while the role players who stepped up included freshman OG Anunoby, who scored 14 points and is averaging 13.5 points on 12-of-13 shooting in his last two games. The bulk of Kentucky's frontcourt players are veterans, putting additional pressure on Indiana freshman Thomas Bryant (11.6 points, 5.7 rebounds) and junior Troy Williams (13.0, 6.0) to hold their own in the paint.

      ABOUT KENTUCKY (27-8, 19-16 ATS, 19-15-1 O/U): The Wildcats trounced No. 13 seed Stony Brook, 85-57, behind Jamal Murray's 19 points and a solid 13-point, 11-rebound effort from fellow freshman Isaiah Briscoe. The other primary member of Kentucky's backcourt is Tyler Ulis, the SEC Player of the Year who chipped in 10 points and seven assists against Stony Brook, although it was his lowest-scoring game in more than two months. The Wildcats set an NCAA Tournament record with 15 blocks on Thursday, including six by up-and-down freshman Skal Labissiere and two by senior mainstay Alex Poythress.

      TRENDS:

      * Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last six non-conference games.
      * Kentucky is 6-0 ATS in its last six games overall.
      * Over is 20-7 in Indiana's last 27 non-conference games.
      * Over is 6-0 in Kentucky's last six versus Big Ten opponents.


      No. 9 Providence Friars vs, No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels (-9.5, 151)

      Game to be played at PNC Arena, Raleigh, NC

      Top-seeded North Carolina will look for a sharper effort when it takes on No. 9 seed Providence in the second round of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday night in Raleigh, N.C. The Tar Heels only led 16th-seeded FGCU by one at halftime before pulling away for an 83-67 victory Thursday in the opening round of the East Regional to extend their winning streak to six.

      “We definitely built some momentum in the ACC Tournament, and then we kind of went backward here,” North Carolina forward Brice Johnson told reporters Thursday. “We can definitely get back to where we were. We just have to come back with a different mindset.” Johnson did his part in the victory with 18 points, seven rebounds and eight blocks and will face a difficult challenge inside against Providence’s Ben Bentil, who led the Big East in scoring. The Friars survived 40.3 percent shooting and edged USC 70-69 on Rodney Bullock’s layup with 1.5 seconds left in Thursday’s first round. Providence coach Ed Cooley told reporters it will be a “David-and-Goliath situation” against the Tar Heels, but he added that, “anything, as you can see, can happen in March.”

      TV: 9:40 p.m. ET, TBS

      LINE HISTORY: The No. 1 ranked Tar Heels opened as 9.5-point home favorites and have yet to move off that number. The total also hasn't moved since opening at 151. Check out the complete line history here.

      ABOUT PROVIDENCE (24-10, 18-15 ATS, 19-14 O/U): Guard Kris Dunn battled foul trouble that limited him to 27 minutes, but scored 16 against USC and will need a big effort against North Carolina’s talented backcourt. Dunn averages 16 points, 6.3 assists and 2.5 steals while the 6-9 Bentil scores 21.1 per game after pouring in 19 on 7-of-21 shooting Thursday. Bullock (11.7 points, 6.9 rebounds) has strung together two big games in a row, scoring 34 total on 13-of-22 shooting – 6-of-9 from 3-point range -- and grabbing 17 rebounds.

      ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (29-6, 16-18-1 ATS, 18/17 O/U): The Tar Heels have held 26 straight opponents to under 45 percent shooting from the field but must have a better defensive effort than Thursday if they are to win a championship. Offense is not a concern for North Carolina, which averages 82.3 points with six players registering at least nine per contest. Johnson averages 16.6 points and 10.5 rebounds while Joel Berry II scores 12.7 per game – 16.3 in the last four – and fellow guards Justin Jackson (12.1) and Marcus Paige (12.0) also contribute.

      TRENDS:

      * Providence is 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall.
      * North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
      * Under is 4-1 in Providence's last five NCAA Tournament games.
      * Over is 6-0 in North Carolina's last six non-conference games.



      Saturday's Midwest Region Second Round betting preview

      Can Arkansas-Little Rock make it two upsets in a row when they take on Iowa State. The Trojans are 6.5-point pups.

      No. 12 Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans vs. No. 4 Iowa State Cyclones (-6.5, 145)

      Game to be played at Pepsi Center, Denver, CO

      No. 12 seed Arkansas-Little Rock pulled off one of the first upsets of the NCAA Tournament and Thursday and will try to rip off another when it faces No. 4 seed Iowa State in the second round on Saturday in Denver. Senior guard Josh Hagins played the hero for the Trojans in the opener and will try to keep up with a Cyclones squad that dropped 94 points in their first-round win.

      Hagins buried a tying 3-pointer from just in front of half court to force overtime against Purdue and banked in a layup to force a second overtime as Arkansas-Little Rock squeezed out an 85-83 win. “We're a fantastic team,” Hagins told reporters. “We're a bunch of guys that like to fight. That's the bottom line, man. We didn't come here to kind of show up and be happy to be here. We're here to win. We really believe in ourselves and we're here to win.” Iowa State lost in its opening round NCAA Tournament game last season to No. 14 seed UAB and was determined not to make that mistake again. The Cyclones put all five starters in double figures, led by Georges Niang’s 28 points, and jumped out to a big lead en route to a 13-point win over Iona.

      TV: 6:10 p.m. ET, TNT

      LINE HISTORY: Iowa State has opened as 6.5-point faves over upset minded Arkansas-Little Rock and the line hasn't moved since. The total has been bet down one point from 146 to 145. Check out the complete line history here.

      ABOUT ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK (30-4, 20-10 ATS, 11-19 O/U): The Trojans were down by 13 points with 3 1/2 minutes left in regulation on Thursday before Hagins took over and finished with a career-high 31 points, seven rebounds, six assists and five steals. Arkansas-Little Rock sailed through the Sun Belt during the regular season and is united in its belief that it can make a deep run in the NCAA Tournament. “We're not done yet,” Trojans coach Chris Beard told reporters. “I've always thought there's different kinds of teams that go to tournaments. Teams that are happy to be in the tournament and teams that go to try to win the tournament. That's kind of our objective right now. We think we have a team that can advance in this tournament.”

      ABOUT IOWA STATE (22-11, 16-13-1 ATS, 14-15-1 O/U): The Cyclones got over the mental hurdle of last year’s early exit and look like a stronger team than the one that came into the Tournament off back-to-back losses thanks to the health of guard Monte Morris. The junior strained the AC joint in his right shoulder during the regular-season finale and went 1-of-9 from the field in the opening loss of the Big 12 tournament against Oklahoma but was 7-of-12 in 37 minutes on Thursday. “Now you got the pressure to go to the Sweet 16,” Iowa State coach Steve Prohm told reporters. “There's a constant pressure in this business. But you want to be at jobs where there's pressures and expectations or really what are you coaching for and what are you playing for?”

      TRENDS:

      * Arkansas-Little Rock is 4-0 ATS in its last four neutral site games, but 0-5 ATS in its last five versus Big 12 opponents.
      * Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.
      * Under is 4-1 in Arkansas-Little Rock's last five neutral site games.
      * Over is 5-1 in Iowa State's last six NCAA Tournament games.


      No. 8 Butler Bulldogs vs. No. 1 Virginia Cavaliers (-7.5, 130)

      Game to be played at PNC Arena, Raleigh, NC

      Virginia was knocked out in the Round of 32 in last season's NCAA Tournament, a fate it hopes to avoid when it meets No. 9 seed Butler on Saturday in a Midwest Region affair in Raleigh, N.C. The top-seeded Cavaliers shook off a slow start - and a scare when coach Tony Bennett fainted just before halftime before returning to coach the second half - to rout Hampton 81-45 in Thursday's first round.

      They shot 55 percent, made 12 3-pointers and turned the ball over only five times in their most lopsided win since the season-opener against Morgan State. "It just started with ... getting into the paint, having our bigs be aggressive down low and just finishing down low," London Perrantes - who scored all 12 of his points on four 3-pointers - told reporters. "It opened up for us around the 3-point line." The Bulldogs also worked past some early issues to take control and knock off Texas Tech 71-61. They are seeking their first Sweet 16 berth since 2011, when they were national runners-up for the second straight time.

      TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, TBS

      LINE HISTORY: No. 1 seed Virginia opened as seven-point favorites and have been bet up to -7.5. It no surprise with defensive-minded Virginia involved, the total has been bet down two points from 132 to 130. Check out the complete line history here.

      ABOUT BUTLER (22-10, 17-14-1 ATS, 16-14-1 O/U): Kellen Dunham scored 23 points and Kelan Martin had 11 in the final eight-plus minutes in the win over the Red Raiders. Tyler Wideman also hit double digits with 14 points on 6-of-6 shooting while Andrew Chrabascz chipped in 13 for the Bulldogs, who have won at least one game in nine of their last 10 tournament appearances. To keep pace with the Cavaliers, Butler may need more from senior forward Roosevelt Jones, who has a total of nine points on 2-of-17 shooting over his last two games.

      ABOUT VIRGINIA (27-7, 18-14 ATS, 12-20 O/U): Senior forward Anthony Gill was seen praying with one hand on his coach's shoulders after the brief collapse on the sidelines, and later joked that he had been the one to heal Bennett. The Cavaliers are getting used to Gill stepping up in postseason play, as he has now scored in double figures in five of six career NCAA Tournament games while some of the other big names around him have struggled. Marial Shayok provided a boost Thursday with 10 points off the bench and he has reached that mark in two of his last three games after 11 straight single-digit efforts.

      TRENDS:

      * Butler is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games overall.
      * Virginia is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games overall.
      * Under is 4-0 in Butler's last four non-conference games.
      * Under is 6-1 in Virginia's last seven non-conference games.


      No. 11 Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. No. 3 Utah Utes (Pick, 140)

      Game to be played at Pepsi Center, Denver, CO

      Third-seeded Utah meets No. 11 seed Gonzaga on Saturday in the second round of the NCAA Tournament in Denver in a Midwest Region contest featuring a pair of sophomore big men at the top of their games. Seven-footer Jakob Poeltl, the Pac-12 Player of the Year, recorded 16 points and 18 rebounds in the Utes' 80-69 victory over Fresno State on Thursday while 6-11 Domantas Sabonis registered 21 and 16 in a 68-52 triumph over Seton Hall.

      Utah also boasts a backcourt featuring senior Brandon Taylor and junior Lorenzo Bonam, who combined for 33 points Thursday with Taylor also providing six assists and four steals. The teams are loaded with experience as the Utes reached the Sweet 16 last season while the Bulldogs made it to the Elite Eight before losing to eventual national champion Duke. Gonzaga is appearing in its 18th consecutive NCAA Tournament - fourth-longest behind Kansas (26), Duke (21) and Michigan State (19) - and is coming off its eighth straight first-round victory, matching the Jayhawks for the longest current run. ''This group of guys, as well as the guys before them, have just done an unbelievable job of making streaks that just seemed impossible when you look back at them,'' Bulldogs coach Mark Few told reporters.

      TV: 8:40 p.m. ET, TNT

      LINE HISTORY: Despite this being a matchup between a 3-seed and an 11-seed the line has opened at a Pick'em. The total has been bet up one points from 139 to 140. Check out the complete line history here.

      ABOUT GONZAGA (27-7, 16-15-1 ATS, 16-16 O/U): Senior forward Kyle Wiltjer (20.5 points per game) is the highest scorer on either team and leads four Bulldogs in double figures. Sabonis (17.5 points) is seventh nationally at 11.7 rebounds while senior Eric McClellan (10.5 points) - the West Coast Conference Defensive Player of the Year - and freshman Josh Perkins (10.2) add scoring punch out of the backcourt. Senior guard Kyle Dranginis (6.6 points, 4.4 rebounds) adds veteran leadership while sophomore guard Silas Melson (6.8 points) also contributes.

      ABOUT UTAH (27-8, 17-15-1 ATS, 19-13-1 O/U): Poeltl (team highs of 17.6 points and 9.2 rebounds) receives support down low from sophomore forward Kyle Kuzma (10.6 points, 5.8 rebounds), who could be the top candidate to help slow down Wiltjer. Senior forward Jordan Loveridge (11.9 points) scored 16 versus Fresno State while Bonam (10.1 points, 3.1 assists) and Taylor (9.8, 3.9) are the Utes' other top scorers. Coach Larry Krystkowiak uses an eight-man rotation that averages at least 13 minutes and includes senior forward Dakarai Tucker (5.3 points).

      TRENDS:

      * Gonzaga is 6-0 ATS in its last six games overall.
      * Utah is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall.
      * Under is 6-1 in Gonzaga's last seven non-conference games.
      * Over is 4-0 in Utah's last four games overall.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Saturday, March 19



        Yale @ Duke

        Game 519-520
        March 19, 2016 @ 2:40 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Yale
        66.504
        Duke
        67.497
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Duke
        by 1
        151
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Duke
        by 6 1/2
        146
        Dunkel Pick:
        Yale
        (+6 1/2); Over

        Wichita State @ Miami (Fla.)

        Game 521-522
        March 19, 2016 @ 12:10 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Wichita State
        69.585
        Miami (Fla.)
        71.601
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Miami (Fla.)
        by 2
        137
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Wichita State
        by 2 1/2
        131 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Miami (Fla.)
        (+2 1/2); Over

        Butler @ Virginia

        Game 523-524
        March 19, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Butler
        67.007
        Virginia
        77.518
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Virginia
        by 10 1/2
        126
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Virginia
        by 7
        131
        Dunkel Pick:
        Virginia
        (-7); Under

        Providence @ North Carolina

        Game 525-526
        March 19, 2016 @ 9:40 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Providence
        64.491
        North Carolina
        76.886
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        North Carolina
        by 12 1/2
        156
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        North Carolina
        by 9 1/2
        151
        Dunkel Pick:
        North Carolina
        (-9 1/2); Over

        Connecticut @ Kansas

        Game 527-528
        March 19, 2016 @ 7:45 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Connecticut
        67.410
        Kansas
        78.930
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Kansas
        by 11 1/2
        145
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Kansas
        by 8
        140
        Dunkel Pick:
        Kansas
        (-8); Over

        Indiana @ Kentucky

        Game 529-530
        March 19, 2016 @ 5:15 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Indiana
        71.370
        Kentucky
        76.762
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Kentucky
        by 5 1/2
        150
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Kentucky
        by 3
        156
        Dunkel Pick:
        Kentucky
        (-3); Under

        Arkansas-Little Rock @ Iowa State

        Game 531-532
        March 19, 2016 @ 6:10 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Arkansas-Little R
        63.508
        Iowa State
        68.020
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Iowa State
        by 4 1/2
        152
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Iowa State
        by 6 1/2
        145
        Dunkel Pick:
        Arkansas-Little R
        (+6 1/2); Over

        Gonzaga @ Utah

        Game 533-534
        March 19, 2016 @ 8:40 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Gonzaga
        69.560
        Utah
        72.596
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Utah
        by 3
        144
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Utah
        Pick
        139 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Utah
        Over

        Wagner @ Creighton

        Game 535-536
        March 19, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Wagner
        56.850
        Creighton
        69.251
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Creighton
        by 12 1/2
        149
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Creighton
        by 15
        144
        Dunkel Pick:
        Wagner
        (+15); Over

        UL Lafayette @ Furman

        Game 543-544
        March 19, 2016 @ 2:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        UL Lafayette
        55.813
        Furman
        57.350
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Furman
        by 1 1/2
        142
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        UL Lafayette
        by 2
        150
        Dunkel Pick:
        Furman
        (+2); Under

        New Hampshire @ Coastal Carolina

        Game 545-546
        March 19, 2016 @ 2:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        New Hampshire
        46.384
        Coastal Carolina
        54.848
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Coastal Carolina
        by 8 1/2
        131
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Coastal Carolina
        by 6
        136 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Coastal Carolina
        (-6); Under

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Long Sheet

          Saturday, March 19


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          YALE (23 - 6) vs. DUKE (24 - 10) - 3/19/2016, 2:40 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DUKE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
          DUKE is 59-34 ATS (+21.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
          DUKE is 195-140 ATS (+41.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
          DUKE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          YALE is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          YALE is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          YALE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
          YALE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
          YALE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
          YALE is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
          YALE is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
          YALE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
          YALE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
          YALE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          DUKE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
          DUKE is 54-82 ATS (-36.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
          DUKE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
          DUKE is 1-0 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          WICHITA ST (26 - 8) vs. MIAMI (26 - 7) - 3/19/2016, 12:10 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MIAMI is 97-66 ATS (+24.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
          MIAMI is 128-89 ATS (+30.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
          MIAMI is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1997.
          MIAMI is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
          MIAMI is 130-95 ATS (+25.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
          WICHITA ST is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
          WICHITA ST is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
          WICHITA ST is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
          WICHITA ST is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
          WICHITA ST is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
          WICHITA ST is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          BUTLER (22 - 10) vs. VIRGINIA (27 - 7) - 3/19/2016, 7:10 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          VIRGINIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) on Saturday games this season.
          VIRGINIA is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
          VIRGINIA is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
          BUTLER is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          BUTLER is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          BUTLER is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
          BUTLER is 66-33 ATS (+29.7 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
          BUTLER is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
          BUTLER is 135-99 ATS (+26.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
          BUTLER is 66-33 ATS (+29.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
          BUTLER is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
          BUTLER is 71-41 ATS (+25.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
          BUTLER is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
          BUTLER is 196-156 ATS (+24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          PROVIDENCE (24 - 10) vs. N CAROLINA (29 - 6) - 3/19/2016, 9:40 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PROVIDENCE is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
          PROVIDENCE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          PROVIDENCE is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
          N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          CONNECTICUT (25 - 10) vs. KANSAS (31 - 4) - 3/19/2016, 7:45 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          KANSAS is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
          KANSAS is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
          KANSAS is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
          KANSAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
          KANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games on Saturday games this season.
          KANSAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
          KANSAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
          KANSAS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more this season.
          KANSAS is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          CONNECTICUT is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          INDIANA (26 - 7) vs. KENTUCKY (27 - 8) - 3/19/2016, 5:15 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          INDIANA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games against SEC opponents since 1997.
          INDIANA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
          INDIANA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more this season.
          KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games this season.
          KENTUCKY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          KENTUCKY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          ARK-LITTLE ROCK (30 - 4) vs. IOWA ST (22 - 11) - 3/19/2016, 6:10 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          IOWA ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
          IOWA ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
          IOWA ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
          IOWA ST is 226-175 ATS (+33.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
          IOWA ST is 143-111 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
          IOWA ST is 63-42 ATS (+16.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
          ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
          ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
          ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) on Saturday games this season.
          ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
          ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
          ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
          ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
          ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          GONZAGA (27 - 7) vs. UTAH (27 - 8) - 3/19/2016, 8:40 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UTAH is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          UTAH is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          UTAH is 118-87 ATS (+22.3 Units) on Saturday games since 1997.
          UTAH is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          UTAH is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
          GONZAGA is 135-97 ATS (+28.3 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
          GONZAGA is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          WAGNER (23 - 10) at CREIGHTON (19 - 14) - 3/19/2016, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CREIGHTON is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite this season.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          LA-LAFAYETTE (18 - 14) at FURMAN (19 - 15) - 3/19/2016, 2:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          FURMAN is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          FURMAN is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          FURMAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all home games this season.
          FURMAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
          FURMAN is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          FURMAN is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
          LA-LAFAYETTE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
          FURMAN is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          NEW HAMPSHIRE (20 - 12) at COASTAL CAROLINA (19 - 11) - 3/19/2016, 2:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by Udog; 03-19-2016, 10:23 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Saturday, March 19


            NCAA tournament
            Saturday games

            Since 2004, 11-seeds are 5-11 SU when facing a 3-seed this round; underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight 3-11 games. Wichita St. spanked Arizona Thursday; they've allowed 52.5 ppg in two wins this week. Shockers used nine guys 12+ minutes vs Arizona, only VanVleet/Baker went 32+. Miami is #33 experience team in nation; they played four guys 33:00+ vs Buffalo, going 26-34 on line in a game that was 35-33 at half. It has been five years since 11-seed was favored to beat a 3-seed; 11-seed Gonzaga (-2) lost to BYU; in '10, Washington (-1.5) beat 3-seed New Mexico.

            Since 1998, Duke is 15-1 in second round games; only loss was to West Virginia in '08. Yale lost 80-61 at Duke Nov 25; was 38-36 at half. Each team lost a key player from that day. Yale plays great defense; their two guys inside are seniors- thier opponents shoot only 32% on arc (#44) in country. Bulldogs outscored Baylor 22-9 on foul line in Thursday's win. Yale used three kids 35:00+. Duke was 31-43 on line vs UNCW; that was full-court game, this will be half-court game. Allen/Ingram played 40/39:00- Devils use only seven kids, with 7th kid barely used.

            Kentucky-Indiana used to play on CBS every December; Calipari didn't want to go to Bloomington anymore, so series ended in '12. Over last four years, favorites are 8-3 vs spread in #4-5 seed tilts in this round. Both teams had easy wins Thursday. Indiana is 6-1 in its last seven games, but lost its first Big 14 tourney game. UK is 11-2 in its last 13 games; they've won last five games in second round (4-1 vs spread). Indiana is 3-2 as an underdog this year, 2-1 in league play. Big 14 teams are 7-0 vs SEC this year (Kentucky lost to Ohio St.), going 2-0 as an underdog.

            Ark-Little Rock was down 14 with 4:29 left Thursday, rallied for a double OT win; three Trojans played 40:00+ in altitude. Trojans lost by 12 at Texas Tech, its only Big X game this year. Sun Belt teams are 0-4 vs Big X this year, losing by 22-7-42-12. Iowa State ran past defenseless Iona; Cyclones used three guys 37:00 in thin Denver air. Since 2010, #12-seeds are 5-2 vs spread as underdogs in this round. UALR is #12 in experience; they're 30-4, play #344 pace, 9th-slowest in country. Trojans' G Hagins had 31 Thursday; he single-handedly brought UALR back in final minutes.

            In first two years of reconfigured Big East, league teams are 1-5 in second round NCAA games; Xavier had only win LY. Last seven years, #1 seeds are 17-10-1 in second round games; Virginia won easily Thursday- no one played more than 30:00. Cavaliers beat Villanova 86-75 in December; ACC teams are 4-5 vs Big East this year, faves were 6-3 vs spread those games. Butler used four kids 31:00+ vs Texas Tech, in game they trailed by 8 early, led 30-28 at half- they were 9-17 on arc. Bulldogs lost to ACC's Miami by 10; they're 8-3 in last 11 overall. Virginia won 14 of last 17 games, with losses by 1-3-4 to top 25 teams.

            Kansas lost in this round last two years, both times as a 2-seed; they're 4-5 vs spread in second round last nine years. Ollie is 7-0 in tournament as a head coach; Huskies won by five at Texas in December, its only Big X game. AAC teams are 3-2 vs Big X this season. UConn stormed back vs Colorado in first round after they trailed by nine early in second half- two UConn kids played more than 25:00. Huskies have #6 eFG% defense, are #92 experienced team. Kansas starts, three juniors, one senior- they shoot 42.1% on arc, #3 in country. Last seven years, #1 seeds are 17-10-1 in second round games.

            Since 2003, Gonzaga is 3-8 in this round, 2-3-1 vs spread when an underdog. Utah won 10 of last 11 games, losing to Oregon in Pac-12 tourney final; Utes beat BYU by 8, its only WCC game. Pac-12 teams are 11-3 vs WCC this year, 2-2 vs Gonzaga. Bulldogs beat Seton Hall by 16, using three guys 35:00+; altitude bothered the Pirates- Utah is used to it. Since 2004, 11-seeds are 5-11 SU when facing a 3-seed this round; underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight 3-11 games. Utah played four guys 33;00+ Thursday; they fell behind with 10:32 left, outscored Fresno 33-19 rest of way.

            North Carolina won its last six games after a 4-4 lull in February; since 2001, Tar Heels are 7-5 in this round- they're 6-4 vs spread in last ten 2nd round games. ACC teams are 4-5 vs Big East this year, faves were 6-3 vs spread those games. Providence won five of last six games, scoring with 0:01.3 left to beat USC Thursday. Dunn/Bentil shot combined 12-34, Friars still won- they don't use any seniors- they're young, thin. UNC is deep, more experienced. Last seven years, #1 seeds are 17-10-1 in second round games. Providence forces turnovers 20.6% of time; they'll need to here.

            Other tournaments
            We'll do what we can with these minor tournaments; impossible to determine how interested players on these teams will be........

            NIT
            Creighton had lost five of last six games before hammering Alabama by 18 Tuesday, Bluejays are 13-1 vs teams outside top 150, with only loss to Loyola in December. Wagner won eight of last nine games, with loss at home in NEC title game; they won at St Bonaventure in NIT opener, running out to 17-point first half lead, then holding on.

            CBI
            none

            CIT
            UL-Lafayette won three of last four games, losing to UALR in semis of Sun Belt tourney; Cajuns lost three of last four road games, with win by 10 at lowly Troy. Furman had lost four of five before beating Cajuns' rival UL-Monroe in last game; Paladins scored last 12 points of game in a 58-57 win. SoCon teams are 3-2 vs Sun Belt teams this season.

            New Hampshire is 12-4 in its last 16 games after starting year 8-8; they lost to Vermont in America East semis- they've won six of last nine on foreign soil. Coastal Carolina is 4-3 in its last seven games; Chanticleers won last three home games since losing to High Point 58-57. UNH has one senior in its rotation; these are important games for future growth.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB

              Saturday, March 19


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              12:00 PM
              WAGNER vs. CREIGHTON
              No trends available
              Creighton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Creighton's last 9 games at home

              See more trends!
              MARCH 19, 12:10 PM
              WICHITA STATE vs. MIAMI
              No trends available
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
              Miami is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

              See more trends!
              MARCH 19, 2:00 PM
              LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. FURMAN
              Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              Furman is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Furman's last 9 games

              See more trends!
              MARCH 19, 2:40 PM
              YALE vs. DUKE
              No trends available
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Duke's last 11 games
              Duke is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games

              See more trends!
              MARCH 19, 5:15 PM
              INDIANA vs. KENTUCKY
              No trends available
              Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kentucky's last 12 games when playing Indiana

              See more trends!
              MARCH 19, 6:10 PM
              ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK vs. IOWA STATE
              No trends available
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Iowa State's last 10 games

              See more trends!
              MARCH 19, 7:10 PM
              BUTLER vs. VIRGINIA
              No trends available
              Virginia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Virginia's last 14 games

              See more trends!
              MARCH 19, 7:45 PM
              CONNECTICUT vs. KANSAS
              No trends available
              Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games

              See more trends!
              MARCH 19, 8:40 PM
              GONZAGA vs. UTAH
              No trends available
              Utah is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games

              See more trends!
              MARCH 19, 9:40 PM
              PROVIDENCE vs. NORTH CAROLINA
              No trends available
              North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 13 of North Carolina's last 18 games


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              • #8
                Long sheet has updated.

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