Announcement

**Udog** · 03-18-2016, 08:37 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Six of the more interesting first round games on Friday..........

-- Syracuse-Dayton-- Both teams struggled down the stretch.

-- Hawai'i-Cal-- Golden Bears are without PG Wallace (hand) again.

-- Temple-Iowa-- Owls have bad recent history in NCAA; Iowa struggled lately.

-- Michigan-Notre Dame-- Why don't these teams play? They do in football.

-- VCU-Oregon State-- Beavers' first appearance in NCAAs since 1990.

-- South Dakota State-Maryland-- Jackrabbits get a shot at one of the big boys.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a full day of basketball.......

Wichita State 65, Arizona 55-- Shocking no-show by Arizona, which trailed 31-19 at half. Is Sean Miller OK? He has lost 40 pounds, he sweated thru his shirt well before halftime, he just doesn't look right. Not just talking about today, either. Wichita paid Gregg Marshall $3M a year to turn down Alabama; today was why.

Providence 70, USC 69-- Friars scored on an out-of-bounds-under play with less than 0:03 left, after Trojans missed two front ends of 1-and-1's in last 0:30. Bentil/Dunn hit a combined 13-34 shots, Providence still won. Wow. Last minute of this game made James Naismith turn over in his grave, but the Friars advance to play North Carolina.

Yale 79, Baylor 75-- Georgia State last year, Yale this year; Baylor goes down again as a first round favorite. Scott Drew is this generation's version of Eddie Fogler, who lost as a 2-seed and 3-seed while at South Carolina. No bueno. Very good day for Yale coach James Jones-- last time Yale played in an NCAA game was 1962, when they played Wake Forest- one of the Deacons' guards that day was Billy Packer.

Ark-Little Rock 85, Purdue 83 2OT-- Epic gag job by Boilers, who led by 13 with 3:33 left. Second year in row a Sun Belt team pulls a big upset in first round. Maybe if ESPN showed some of their games, they wouldn't be underrated in March. Back when ESPN first started up, the Sun Belt was first league to have ESPN show its games.

Duke 93, NC-Wilmington 85-- Seahawks were 14-19 on foul line, Grayson Allen was 15-17 by himself. Chris Webber is good on TV; he speaks his mind and doesn't hold back. "They should call them at both ends." after the play-by-play guy described how refs were calling touch fouls on UNCW. Duke plays Yale on Saturday.

Butler 71, Texas Tech 61-- Big East has teams in Indiana, Nebraska, Wisconsin, as geography students grow dumber by the second. Want to make America great again? Make Big East only have teams in the east. Tubby Smith has now taken five schools to NCAAs- if you can win in Lubbock in Big X, you're a damn good coach.

Iowa State 84, Iona 71-- MAAC is now 0-8 in first round (0-8 vs spread) since Siena beat Ohio State in an 8-9 game in '09; Iona lost by 25-16-13 points its last three times in this round. Total was in doubt until AJ English got a technical for cursing at Iowa State's coach during a timeout- they were only down 7 when that happened.

UConn 74, Colorado 67-- Buffaloes were up nine at halftime, but got squashed in the second half. Rough day for Conference of Champions, with Utah only one of four Pac-12 teams to win. Kevin Ollie is now 7-0 in NCAA tournament as head coach- Huskies play Kansas Saturday- UConn wins that game, he might go straight to Springfield.

Utah 80, Fresno State 69-- Fresno went ahead 48-47, then Utah hit another gear and put the Bulldogs away, ending a bad year for the Mountain West. Utes face Gonzaga Saturday; battle inside between Poeltl-Sabonis will be spotlighted. Fresno had a great year with veteran guards, now they have to rebuild.

Virginia 81, Hampton 45-- I've got nothing on this mismatch; really enjoyed having three games on channel 702 on DirecTV, a mix channel, with the game on CBS' local station on my laptop, so I could see all four games at once, in the comfort of my own home. Good deal. I did see Hampton in Las Vegas in December; they lost to an 11-23 team, so their coach did a solid job having them win their league to get this far.

Kansas 105, Austin Peay 79-- It wouldn't have mattered much, but Austin Peay is a way worse team that Florida Gulf Coast and should've been in the play-in game. You watch FGCU compete against North Carolina- it was 41-40 at the half. Kansas game was over as soon as they sang the National Anthem. Say a prayer for coach Loos' little granddaughter, who is battling cancer; she is six years old.

Miami 79, Buffalo 72-- Game was in Providence, where coach Larranaga played 40 or so years ago. Miami starts two juniors, three seniors-- you need seniors who played in the program for 3-4 years, it means more to those kids. Lot of the bigger-name teams have transient players who have one eye on the NBA- they don't do as well.

Indiana 99, Chattanooga 74-- Remember when you were a kid and if game wasn't a real competitive one, you played "free outs"? Moccasins played free outs here for 40 full minutes- they looked like the Raptors the night Kobe Bryant scored 81 on them. Not lot of resistance- they shot 59.5% inside the arc and still lost by 25.

Kentucky 85, Stony Brook 57-- Not sure who is happier with the Indiana-Kentucky matchup Saturday, CBS or the scalpers? I was in the gym the night Stony Brook had its 18-game winning streak snapped by Albany. then I watched them today and it is like, how did this team ever win 18 games in a row?

Gonzaga 68, Seton Hall 52-- Pirates start five sophomores, young team- they made a great run to win Big East tournament Saturday night, but had very little here, against a Gonzaga squad that is hitting its stride at the right time. If Sabonis came out for the NBA Draft, I'd take him over Ben Simmons or the Ingram kid on Duke.

North Carolina 83, Florida Gulf Coast 67-- Game was 41-40 at the half, so credit to the Eagles for competing- they're just not good enough, obviously. Tar Heels will get a much better test on Saturday, when they play Providence. Tar Heels are much deeper than Providence, but if they have to hit outside shots to win, can they do it?

**Udog** · 03-18-2016, 08:41 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 18

Hot teams
-- Thunder won four of last six games (4-1 last 5AF).
-- Cavaliers won seven of their last nine games (3-1 last 4AF)
-- Toronto won five of its last six games (3-6 last 9HF).
-- Rockets won four of their last six games (2-5 last 7HF).
-- Warriors won their last six games (2-4 last 6AF).

Cold teams
-- 76ers lost nine of their last ten games (2-5 last 7HU).
-- Orlando lost five of its last seven games (9-5HU).
-- Sacramento lost six of its last seven games (6-4 last 10AU). Pistons lost three of their last four (13-3 last 16HF).
-- Celtics lost four of their last five games (2-7 last 9AU).
-- Portland lost six of its last eight games (1-3 last 4AU). Pelicans lost eight of their last ten games (2-7 last 9HF).
-- Minnesota lost six of its last nine games (4-4 last 8AU).
-- Mavericks lost six of their last seven games (5-4HU).
-- Suns lost four of their last five games (3-2 last 5AU). Lakers lost five of their last seven games (3-2HF).

Series records
-- 76ers lost last 10 games (3-7 vs spread) with Oklahoma City.
-- Cavaliers won last ten games (10-0 vs spread) with Orlando.
-- Pistons won five of last six games with Sacramento.
-- Raptors won six of their last eight games with Boston.
-- Trailblazers won seven of last eight games with New Orleans.
-- Rockets won their last five games with Minnesota.
-- Warriors won eight of last nine games with Dallas.
-- :Lakers lost five of their last six games with Phoenix.

Totals
-- Seven of last ten Philly games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Sacramento games stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-2 last nine times toronto played night before.
-- Six of last seven Blazer-Pelican games stayed under total.
-- Last seven Houston-Minnesota games went over total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Golden State games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Phoenix-Laker games.

Back/backs
-- 76ers are 3-7 vs spread last 10 times they played night before.
-- Raptors are 7-5 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Portland is 6-9 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Suns are 4-9 vs spread if they played the night before.

**Udog** · 03-18-2016, 08:43 AM

NBA

Friday, March 18

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oklahoma City's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games

7:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games

7:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Boston
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. NEW ORLEANS
Portland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Orleans's last 16 games at home
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. HOUSTON
Minnesota is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

8:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. DALLAS
Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dallas's last 16 games

10:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. LA LAKERS
Phoenix is 4-14 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing Phoenix

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**Udog** · 03-18-2016, 09:31 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 18

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OKLAHOMA CITY (46 - 22) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 59) - 3/18/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-38 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in road games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a home underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-62 ATS (-32.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 102-147 ATS (-59.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (48 - 19) at ORLANDO (29 - 38) - 3/18/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 10-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 10-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (26 - 41) at DETROIT (34 - 34) - 3/18/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (39 - 29) at TORONTO (46 - 21) - 3/18/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-5 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (35 - 34) at NEW ORLEANS (25 - 42) - 3/18/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PORTLAND is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PORTLAND is 55-41 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-39 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Friday nights this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 8-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (22 - 46) at HOUSTON (34 - 34) - 3/18/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 65-82 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 336-396 ATS (-99.6 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (61 - 6) at DALLAS (34 - 34) - 3/18/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 339-275 ATS (+36.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 304-250 ATS (+29.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-27 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 87-63 ATS (+17.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-52 ATS (+8.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 55-41 ATS (+9.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-47 ATS (-19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 43-57 ATS (-19.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 8-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (18 - 50) at LA LAKERS (14 - 54) - 3/18/2016, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/18

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/18

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