Announcement

**Udog** · 03-17-2016, 08:33 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Six of the more interesting first round games the next two days.........

-- Gonzaga-Seton Hall-- Zags won their last seven first round games. Seton Hall is on heels of winning first Big East tournament since 1993.

-- Wichita State-Arizona-- Wildcats are only favored by 1.5 points.

-- Iona-Iowa State-- Fast-paced game with thin rosters in high altitude.

-- Providence-USC-- How far can Dunn/Bentil carry the Friars?

-- VCU-Oregon State-- Beavers' first appearance in NCAAs since 1990.

-- South Dakota State-Maryland-- Jackrabbits get a shot at one of the big boys.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Welcome to best four days of year.....

These are my favorite four days of the year; wall-to-wall basketball; I've been retired for over a year now, but the last time I worked this week was in 1986. Ha!!!! Here are some tidbits you might find interesting while you watch today's games.

13) I'll start by amusing you with my Final Four pick:
West Virginia-Kansas-St Joseph's-Michigan State

12) Teams that won Big East tournament are 6-2-1 vs spread in their first NCAA tournament game; thats Seton Hall this year- they play a Gonzaga squad thats won its last seven first round games.

11) Over last decade, teams that lost those Big East tournament finals are 6-4 vs spread in their first tournament game- that would be Villanova this year.

10) Arizona is 10-3 in its last 13 first round games; its losses came when they were seeded 8-8-10th- they're a 6 this year. Last time Arizona lost in first round as higher than an 8-seed was 1999, when they lost to West Virginia as a 4-seed.

9) Utah-Fresno State pits the Pac-12 against Mountain West. So far this season, teams from Pac-12 are 14-1 against Mountain West teams, 10-5 against the spread.

8) Since 2003, Ivy League champ is 1-3 vs spread in NCAAs if they're an underdog of less than 10 points; they're 5-4 if getting 10+ points (they're always underdogs). Yale is getting 5.5 points from Baylor- we're rooting for our old friend James Jones.

7) When Holy Cross plays Oregon Friday, and the TV guys start talking about Bob Cousy and Tom Heinsohn back in the 50's, one of your kids might ask you who Bob Cousy is. Show them this clip, from the movie Blue Chips-- I'm guessing your kids have heard of Shaquille O'Neal- he was in this movie, too.

6) There are two first-round matchups where both teams rank in bottom 50 in the country, in terms of tempo. Northern Iowa-Texas, Pitt-Wisconsin. Slow-paced games.

5) Iona-Iowa State is only first round game where both teams are in top 100 as far as tempo goes. Neither team is deep, game is in high altitude of Denver.

4) Stony Brook-Kentucky is only first round game where both teams won regular season in their league and then also won the conference tournament.

3) Since 2003, underdogs are 31-21 vs spread in games with 8-9 seeds playing.

2) Big Sky teams are 0-9 in NCAAs since Montana beat Nevada in a 2006 first round game. Wolf Pack beat Montana 79-75 last night, in a CBI game.

1) Last 22 years, the #12 seed in the midwest is 17-5 vs spread in its first round game. That #12 seed this year is Ark-Little Rock, getting nine points from Purdue.

**Udog** · 03-17-2016, 08:38 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 17

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WASHINGTON (32 - 35) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 58) - 3/17/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 9-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (45 - 21) at INDIANA (36 - 31) - 3/17/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (38 - 29) at MIAMI (39 - 28) - 3/17/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 10-5 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 12-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (28 - 40) at ATLANTA (39 - 29) - 3/17/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 90-72 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 67-53 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points since 1996.
ATLANTA is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 54-41 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
DENVER is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
DENVER is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
DENVER is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DENVER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (39 - 29) at MILWAUKEE (29 - 39) - 3/17/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (19 - 48) at CHICAGO (33 - 33) - 3/17/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (35 - 33) at SAN ANTONIO (57 - 10) - 3/17/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 417-354 ATS (+27.6 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 196-148 ATS (+33.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 282-227 ATS (+32.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 105-75 ATS (+22.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 266-218 ATS (+26.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 125-91 ATS (+24.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PORTLAND is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 9-6 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-6 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (18 - 49) at UTAH (32 - 35) - 3/17/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-17-2016, 08:39 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 17

Hot teams
-- Wizards won last two games, by 43-23 points (4-2AF).
-- Toronto won four of its last five games (2-4 last 6AF). Indiana also is 4-1 in its last five games (3-3HU).
-- Charlotte won eight of its last nine games (11-10AU). Miami is 7-2 in its last nine games (2-4 last 6HF).
-- Denver won four of its last six games (1-3 last 4AU). Atlanta is 8-2 in its last ten games (2-5 last 7HF).
-- Milwaukee won three of its last four games (6-1 last 7HF).
-- Spurs won 12 of their last 13 games (13-8-1 last 22HF).
-- Utah won/covered its last three games (2-4 last 6HF).

Cold teams
-- 76ers lost 15 of their last 16 games (1-5 last 6HU).
-- Memphis lost four of its last five games (3-2 last 5AU).
-- Brooklyn lost four of its last five games (4-2 last 6AU). Chicago lost three of its last four games (5-6 last 11HF).
-- Portland lost five of its last seven games (0-3 last 3AU).
-- Phoenix lost three of its last four games (3-1 last 4AU).

Series records
-- 76ers lost last five games with Washington (1-4 vs spread).
-- Pacers lost five of their last six games with Toronto.
-- Hornets lost three of last four games with Miami.
-- Hawks won three of last four games with Denver.
-- Grizzlies won nine of last ten games with Milwaukee.
-- Bulls won seven of last ten games with Brooklyn.
-- Spurs won three of last four games with Portland.
-- Jazz won five of last seven games with Phoenix.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Philly games went over the total.
-- Nine of last 12 Toronto games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Miami games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Denver games.
-- Six of last seven Memphis games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Brooklyn road games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Portland games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Phoenix games.

Back/backs
-- Wizards are 2-7 vs spread last nine times they played nite before.
-- Charlotte covered three of last four if it played night before.
-- Hawks are 5-8 vs spread last 13 times they played night before.
-- Memphis is 10-4 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Bulls are 2-9 vs spread last 11 times they played night before.

**Udog** · 03-17-2016, 08:41 AM

NBA

Thursday, March 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Washington

7:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 10 games on the road
Charlotte is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 15 games when playing Atlanta
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games ,
Chicago is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MILWAUKEE
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 11 games at home
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

8:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Portland is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Antonio's last 11 games
San Antonio is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

9:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. UTAH
Phoenix is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games
Phoenix is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah
Utah is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 03-17-2016, 03:19 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, March 17

Washington at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Washington: 11-3 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
Philadelphia: 2-8 ATS after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games

Toronto at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Toronto: 1-5 ATS off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog
Indiana: 31-15 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days

Charlotte at Miami, 7:35 ET
Charlotte: 22-9 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points
Miami: 11-23 ATS in home games after a non-conference game

Denver at Atlanta, 8:05 ET
Denver: 12-2 ATS in road games after one or more consecutive overs
Atlanta: 5-18 ATS after 2 straight games where they had 10 or more steals

Memphis at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
Memphis: 15-4 ATS after allowing 105 points or more
Milwaukee: 1-5 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite

Brooklyn at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Brooklyn: 1-5 ATS after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more
Chicago: 9-5 ATS against Atlantic division opponents

Portland at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
Portland: 45-70 ATS off a road loss against a division rival
San Antonio: 21-12 ATS as a home favorite

Phoenix at Utah, 9:05 ET
Phoenix: 5-1 ATS after a game with 65 or more rebounds
Utah: 1-5 ATS after a game where they made 85% of free throws or better

**Udog** · 03-17-2016, 03:23 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 17

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 701-702
March 17, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
117.739
Philadelphia
105.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 12 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 9
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-9); Under

Toronto @ Indiana

Game 703-704
March 17, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
118.283
Indiana
122.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-2); Under

Charlotte @ Miami

Game 705-706
March 17, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
121.362
Miami
122.890
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 4 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+4 1/2); Over

Denver @ Atlanta

Game 707-708
March 17, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
117.641
Atlanta
122.435
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 5
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 8
210
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+8); Over

Memphis @ Milwaukee

Game 709-710
March 17, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
107.770
Milwaukee
120.391
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 12 1/2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 10 1/2
202
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-10 1/2); Under

Brooklyn @ Chicago

Game 711-712
March 17, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
108.323
Chicago
117.337
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 9
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 6
211
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-6); Under

Portland @ San Antonio

Game 713-714
March 17, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
116.994
San Antonio
125.501
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 8 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 12
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+12); Over

Phoenix @ Utah

Game 715-716
March 17, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
111.289
Utah
117.358
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 6
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 9 1/2
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+9 1/2); Under

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/17

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/17

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