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  • Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/15

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, March 15

    Good Luck on day #75 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    -- Way back in 1950, CCNY won the NCAA tournament and the NIT in the same year. Back then, the NIT was the bigger of the two tournaments.

    -- Last year was 4th time in last 29 years there were no upsets in 5-12 games in the NCAA tournament. That has never happened two years in a row.

    -- Only 11 of 31 #1 seeds won their conference tournament.

    -- Bad job: Secret Service agent for Donald Trump. High-risk proposition.

    -- Bernie Sanders got $5M in campaign contributions in the first 24 hours after he won the Michigan primary. $5M in only 24 hours.

    -- LSU passed on any postseason tournament; now the question becomes will Ben Simmons be the #1 pick in the NBA Draft?

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

    13) Winning is fun and losing sucks, but some fans at New Mexico crossed the line, sending death threats to Lobos' PG Cullen Neal, who is also the coach's son- things are apparently so bad the young man will transfer to another school to finish his playing career and he's a good player. Doesn't help his dad's chances of keeping his job.

    12) Duke has made 16 Final Fours but has never made a Final Four out of the West Region; in last 30 years, they've been in West Region four other times.....
    -- 2003: 3-seed. Lost to Kansas in regional semi.
    -- 2007: 6-seed: Lost to VCU in first round.
    -- 2008: 2-seed: Lost to West Virginia in second round.
    -- 2011: 1-seed: Lost to Arizona in regional semi.
    -- 2015: 4-seed: ?????

    11) Coaching carousel: Cornell-Tulane-TCU-James Madison-Stanford fired their coaches in last couple of days. Lets look at all five situations:
    -- Cornell: Bill Courtney went 27-57 in Ivy League games, after inhertiing a program that went 38-4 the three years before he got there. .
    -- James Madison: Dukes were 23-13 in CAA last two years, but made NCAAs only once in Matt Brady's eight years. Not many guys get fired after a 21-11 season.
    -- Stanford: Johnny Dawkins also made one NCAA in eight years, won NIT LY, was 46-44 in Pac-12 last five years. Guess the NIT means absolutely nothing.
    -- TCU-- Horned Frogs got a new arena built, but went 8-64 in the Big X under Trent Johnson. Boosters are rich people who expect results; 8-64 gets you fired, even if the Horned Frogs are in the very best league in the country.
    -- Tulane: Ed Conroy got hosed when Green Wave failed to get in the Big East, it set his program back- they had good players coming in who then went elsewhere. Tulane was 9-27 in their first two years in the AAC. .

    10) Pitt coach Jamie Dixon is a TCU alum; back in 2012, lot of people wanted the Frogs to hire him. Now, TCU may have to fight off UNLV to hire Dixon, who is in the NCAAs with Pittsburgh, but rumored to be way on his way out of there. .

    9) Big X is a terrific league, but no Big X team has made a regional final since Kansas, Baylor in 2012. Since then, Big X teams are 0-5 in regional semifinal round.

    8) Four AAC teams made the NCAAs, but none is higher than a 9-seed; SMU would've been a 4 or a 5-seed, so their absence hurts the league.

    7) Last two years; double digit favorites in first round: 9-16 against spread.

    6) You know how on NASCAR telecasts the drivers are miked? Why do they bleep out the drivers cursing? Thats the best part!!!! They're driving in close quarters at 150 mph-- I know people who curse driving in traffic at 40 mph- lets hear it!!!!

    5) One thing I noticed about Selection Sunday; lot of these college teams have really nice mini-theaters for their players to watch film in. Comfortable chairs, lot of leg room, probably outlets to plug video games into, also.

    4) Since 2003, underdogs are 31-21 vs spread in 8-9 first round games.

    3) Charlotte Hornets gave away Jeremy Lin bobbleheads to first 7,500 fans Saturday night; there are already several of them on EBay, for anywhere from $32-$60. Michael Jordan's team is doing well at 37-29- they're looking at a 4 or 5 seed in playoffs.

    2) This is third year in row Virginia/Michigan State are in same region; Spartans beat UVa the last two years, despite being the lower seed both years.

    1) U of Denver hired alum Rodney Billups as its new coach; he is an assistant at Colorado right now and the brother of former NBA star Chauncey Billups.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Tuesday, March 15



      Boston @ Indiana

      Game 531-532
      March 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Boston
      117.639
      Indiana
      121.673
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Indiana
      by 4
      211
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Indiana
      by 1 1/2
      207
      Dunkel Pick:
      Indiana
      (-1 1/2); Over

      Denver @ Orlando


      Game 533-534
      March 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Denver
      113.259
      Orlando
      120.700
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Orlando
      by 6 1/2
      216
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Orlando
      by 3 1/2
      211
      Dunkel Pick:
      Orlando
      (-3 1/2); Over

      Philadelphia @ Brooklyn


      Game 535-536
      March 15, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Philadelphia
      108.845
      Brooklyn
      111.820
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Brooklyn
      by 3
      204
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Brooklyn
      by 7
      208 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Philadelphia
      (+7); Under

      Toronto @ Milwaukee


      Game 537-538
      March 15, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Toronto
      120.451
      Milwaukee
      122.023
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Milwaukee
      by 1 1/2
      200
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Toronto
      by 3 1/2
      206 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Milwaukee
      (+3 1/2); Under

      LA Clippers @ San Antonio


      Game 539-540
      March 15, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      LA Clippers
      118.391
      San Antonio
      130.180
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Antonio
      by 12
      207
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Antonio
      by 8 1/2
      200
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Antonio
      (-8 1/2); Over

      Sacramento @ LA Lakers


      Game 541-542
      March 15, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Sacramento
      117.210
      LA Lakers
      112.514
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Sacramento
      by 4 1/2
      222
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Sacramento
      by 2 1/2
      217 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Sacramento
      (-2 1/2); Over

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Tuesday, March 15


        Hot teams
        -- Celtics won six of their last eight games (2-6 last 8AU). Pacers won three of their last four (2-5 last 7HF).
        -- Denver won four of its last five games (8-3 last 11AU).
        -- Toronto won three of its last four games (1-4 last 5AF). Bucks won their last three games (6-4 last 10HU).
        -- Spurs won nine of their last ten games (2-5 last 7HF).

        Cold teams
        -- Orlando lost four of its last five games (2-4 last 6HF).
        -- 76ers lost nine of their last ten games (8-4 last 12AU). Brooklyn lost six of its last seven games (1-2HF).
        -- Clippers lost three of last five games (1-4 vs spread).
        -- Sacramento lost its last five games (1-4AF). Lakers lost seven of their last ten games (7-6 last 13HU).

        Series records
        -- Celtics lost three of last four visits to Indiana.
        -- Nuggets won five of last six games with Orlando.
        -- 76ers won their last two games with Brooklyn.
        -- Raptors won nine of their last ten games with Milwaukee.
        -- Clippers won four of last six games with San Antonio.
        -- Lakers lost their last six games with Sacramento.

        Totals
        -- Last five Boston-Indiana games stayed under the total.
        -- Five of last six Orlando games stayed under total.
        -- Last eight Philly-Brooklyn games stayed under total.
        -- Four of last five Raptor-Buck games stayed under.
        -- Five of last seven Clipper games stayed under total.
        -- Five of last seven Sacramento games stayed under.

        Back/backs
        -- Denver covered six of its last eight if it played night before.
        -- Toronto is 6-3 vs spread on road if it played night before.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Tuesday, March 15


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          7:00 PM
          DENVER vs. ORLANDO
          Denver is 6-12-2 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Orlando
          Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
          Orlando is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games at home
          Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver

          7:00 PM
          BOSTON vs. INDIANA
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Indiana
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
          Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing at home against Boston

          7:30 PM
          PHILADELPHIA vs. BROOKLYN
          Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
          The total has gone OVER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 11 games at home
          Brooklyn is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games at home

          8:00 PM
          TORONTO vs. MILWAUKEE
          Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
          Toronto is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
          Milwaukee is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
          Milwaukee is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto

          8:30 PM
          LA CLIPPERS vs. SAN ANTONIO
          LA Clippers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing San Antonio
          LA Clippers are 5-20 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
          San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
          San Antonio is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

          10:30 PM
          SACRAMENTO vs. LA LAKERS
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
          LA Lakers are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the LA Lakers last 7 games at home


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Long Sheet

            Tuesday, March 15


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BOSTON (39 - 27) at INDIANA (35 - 31) - 3/15/2016, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            INDIANA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            INDIANA is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
            BOSTON is 84-65 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            BOSTON is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
            BOSTON is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
            BOSTON is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            BOSTON is 238-192 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
            BOSTON is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            BOSTON is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
            BOSTON is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
            INDIANA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BOSTON is 6-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
            INDIANA is 7-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
            8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DENVER (28 - 39) at ORLANDO (28 - 37) - 3/15/2016, 7:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
            DENVER is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHILADELPHIA (9 - 57) at BROOKLYN (18 - 48) - 3/15/2016, 7:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PHILADELPHIA is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
            PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 51-70 ATS (-26.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 93-64 ATS (+22.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            PHILADELPHIA is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
            BROOKLYN is 7-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TORONTO (44 - 21) at MILWAUKEE (29 - 38) - 3/15/2016, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            TORONTO is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            TORONTO is 128-164 ATS (-52.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
            MILWAUKEE is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
            MILWAUKEE is 339-404 ATS (-105.4 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
            MILWAUKEE is 48-86 ATS (-46.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TORONTO is 6-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
            TORONTO is 9-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA CLIPPERS (42 - 23) at SAN ANTONIO (56 - 10) - 3/15/2016, 8:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LA CLIPPERS are 240-290 ATS (-79.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
            LA CLIPPERS are 210-259 ATS (-74.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
            LA CLIPPERS are 185-246 ATS (-85.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games this season.
            SAN ANTONIO is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
            SAN ANTONIO is 141-106 ATS (+24.4 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 481-396 ATS (+45.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 416-354 ATS (+26.6 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
            SAN ANTONIO is 142-97 ATS (+35.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
            SAN ANTONIO is 265-218 ATS (+25.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 331-278 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 30-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
            SAN ANTONIO is 124-91 ATS (+23.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SAN ANTONIO is 9-7 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
            SAN ANTONIO is 8-8 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
            10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SACRAMENTO (25 - 40) at LA LAKERS (14 - 53) - 3/15/2016, 10:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            SACRAMENTO is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
            SACRAMENTO is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
            SACRAMENTO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
            SACRAMENTO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
            SACRAMENTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
            SACRAMENTO is 32-46 ATS (-18.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
            SACRAMENTO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
            SACRAMENTO is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
            LA LAKERS are 163-205 ATS (-62.5 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
            LA LAKERS are 145-185 ATS (-58.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
            LA LAKERS are 125-161 ATS (-52.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.
            LA LAKERS are 59-89 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
            LA LAKERS are 74-102 ATS (-38.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            LA LAKERS is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
            SACRAMENTO is 7-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
            6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Short Sheet

              Tuesday, March 15


              Boston at Indiana, 7:05 ET
              Boston: 41-28 ATS as an underdog
              Indiana: 13-26 ATS in March games

              Denver at Orlando, 7:05 ET
              Denver: 8-1 ATS in road games off a road loss
              Orlando: 56-88 ATS in home games when playing with 2 days rest

              Philadelphia at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
              Philadelphia: 14-24 ATS after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games
              Brooklyn: 17-5 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days

              Toronto at Milwaukee, 8:05 ET
              Toronto: 9-21 ATS after a game with 15 or less assists
              Milwaukee: 22-12 ATS after playing a road game

              LA Clippers at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
              Los Angeles: 29-47 ATS after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers
              San Antonio: 21-10 ATS off a home win

              Sacramento at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
              Sacramento: 5-13 ATS off a home loss
              Los Angeles: 7-0 ATS at home after 2 games committing 11 or less turnovers

              Comment

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