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  • Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/15

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, March 15

    Good Luck on day #75 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Injuries


    NASCAR Schedule

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, March 15


    Alabama @ Creighton

    Game 553-554
    March 15, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Alabama
    59.385
    Creighton
    68.780
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Creighton
    by 9 1/2
    149
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Creighton
    by 7
    142
    Dunkel Pick:
    Creighton
    (-7); Over

    Long Beach State @ Washington

    Game 555-556
    March 15, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Long Beach State
    57.332
    Washington
    63.783
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 6 1/2
    159
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 9
    165 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Long Beach State
    (+9); Under

    Florida @ North Florida

    Game 557-558
    March 15, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida
    60.504
    North Florida
    55.425
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida
    by 5
    154
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida
    by 7 1/2
    161
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Florida
    (+7 1/2); Under

    Texas Southern @ Valparaiso

    Game 559-560
    March 15, 2016 @ 9:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas Southern
    47.253
    Valparaiso
    62.332
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Valparaiso
    by 15
    146
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Valparaiso
    by 16 1/2
    142
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas Southern
    (+16 1/2); Under

    IPFW @ San Diego State

    Game 561-562
    March 15, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    IPFW
    54.342
    San Diego State
    63.783
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Diego State
    by 9 1/2
    147
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Diego State
    by 11 1/2
    142
    Dunkel Pick:
    IPFW
    (+11 1/2); Over

    New Mexico State @ St. Mary's

    Game 563-564
    March 15, 2016 @ 11:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Mexico State
    54.310
    St. Mary's
    68.846
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St. Mary's
    by 14 1/2
    122
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Mary's
    by 12
    128
    Dunkel Pick:
    St. Mary's
    (-12); Under

    Fairleigh Dickinson @ Florida Gulf Coast

    Game 543-544
    March 15, 2016 @ 6:40 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Fairleigh Dickins
    47.652
    Florida Gulf Coas
    50.548
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida Gulf Coas
    by 3
    156
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida Gulf Coas
    by 6
    151
    Dunkel Pick:
    Fairleigh Dickins
    (+6); Over

    Morehead State @ Siena

    Game 567-568
    March 15, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Morehead State
    52.045
    Siena
    60.572
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Siena
    by 8 1/2
    140
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Siena
    by 6 1/2
    146
    Dunkel Pick:
    Siena
    (-6 1/2); Under

    Vanderbilt @ Wichita State

    Game 545-546
    March 15, 2016 @ 9:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vanderbilt
    68.937
    Wichita State
    70.122
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wichita State
    by 1
    140
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wichita State
    by 3 1/2
    135
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vanderbilt
    (+3 1/2); Over

    Mercer @ Coastal Carolina

    Game 579-580
    March 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Mercer
    45.933
    Coastal Carolina
    54.172
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Coastal Carolina
    by 8
    134
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Coastal Carolina
    by 6 1/2
    138 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Coastal Carolina
    (-6 1/2); Under

    Akron @ Ohio State

    Game 547-548
    March 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Akron
    58.537
    Ohio State
    68.060
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ohio State
    by 9 1/2
    139
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Ohio State
    by 5
    145
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ohio State
    (-5); Under

    Louisiana-Monroe @ Furman

    Game 581-582
    March 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Louisiana-Monroe
    55.889
    Furman
    58.392
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Furman
    by 2 1/2
    135
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Furman
    Pick
    140 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Furman
    Under

    Davidson @ Florida State

    Game 549-550
    March 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Davidson
    58.871
    Florida State
    70.556
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida State
    by 11 1/2
    161
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida State
    by 9
    167
    Dunkel Pick:
    Florida State
    (-9); Under

    Ball State @ Tennessee State

    Game 583-584
    March 15, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ball State
    55.083
    Tennessee State
    56.107
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tennessee State
    by 1
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tennessee State
    by 2 1/2
    138
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ball State
    (+2 1/2); Over

    High Point @ South Carolina

    Game 551-552
    March 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    High Point
    52.236
    South Carolina
    70.101
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    South Carolina
    by 18
    154
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Carolina
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    South Carolina
    N/A

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Tuesday, March 15


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      FARLEIGH DICKINSON (18 - 14) vs. FLA GULF COAST (20 - 13) - 3/15/2016, 6:40 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      FLA GULF COAST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games since 1997.
      FLA GULF COAST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
      FLA GULF COAST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
      FLA GULF COAST is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
      FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
      FLA GULF COAST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
      FLA GULF COAST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
      FLA GULF COAST is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
      FLA GULF COAST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
      FLA GULF COAST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      VANDERBILT (19 - 13) vs. WICHITA ST (24 - 8) - 3/15/2016, 9:10 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WICHITA ST is 60-34 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      WICHITA ST is 60-34 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      WICHITA ST is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
      WICHITA ST is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
      WICHITA ST is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
      VANDERBILT is 118-87 ATS (+22.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
      WICHITA ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      AKRON (26 - 8) at OHIO ST (20 - 13) - 3/15/2016, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      DAVIDSON (20 - 12) at FLORIDA ST (19 - 13) - 3/15/2016, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      HIGH POINT (21 - 10) at S CAROLINA (24 - 8) - 3/15/2016, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      ALABAMA (18 - 14) at CREIGHTON (18 - 14) - 3/15/2016, 9:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      LONG BEACH ST (20 - 14) at WASHINGTON (18 - 14) - 3/15/2016, 9:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      WASHINGTON is 1-1 against the spread versus LONG BEACH ST over the last 3 seasons
      WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against LONG BEACH ST over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      FLORIDA (19 - 14) at N FLORIDA (22 - 11) - 3/15/2016, 9:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against N FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      TEXAS SOUTHERN (18 - 14) at VALPARAISO (26 - 6) - 3/15/2016, 9:15 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      IUPU-FT WAYNE (24 - 9) at SAN DIEGO ST (25 - 9) - 3/15/2016, 10:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      NEW MEXICO ST (23 - 10) at ST MARYS-CA (27 - 5) - 3/15/2016, 11:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      ST MARYS-CA is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
      ST MARYS-CA is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
      1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      MOREHEAD ST (19 - 12) at SIENA (21 - 12) - 3/15/2016, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      MERCER (19 - 14) at COASTAL CAROLINA (18 - 11) - 3/15/2016, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      LA-MONROE (20 - 13) at FURMAN (18 - 15) - 3/15/2016, 7:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      BALL ST (19 - 13) at TENNESSEE ST (20 - 10) - 3/15/2016, 8:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Tuesday, March 15


        Play-in games

        Tuesday

        North Florida beat Robert Morris 81-77 in play-in LY, also a matchup of Atlantic Sun-NEC teams. Florida Gulf Coast is more of a defensive team now than in '13, when they ran to Sweet 16 under Enfield, who is now at USC. Eagles are 20-13 (4 non-D-I wins); they finished in 3-way tie for 2nd in A-Sun. FGCU is 12-7 vs teams outside top 200. FDU also finished in 3-way tie for 2nd; they're 18-14, with win over #139 Towson their only half-way decent non-NEC win. Knights are 5th-youngest club in America, playing almost solely freshmen/sophs.

        In five years of "varsity" (#11-seed) play-in games, underdogs are 7-3 vs spread. Wichita State is 24-8; half the losses came when VanVleet was injured in November; Shockers lost 64-60 to SEC's Alabama- they won five of last six games overall, are forcing turnovers 23.3% of time, #5 in country. Wichita is 7-3 in NCAA tourney games last three years. Since '08; Vanderbilt is 1-4 in NCAA games; Commodores have one senior in their rotation- they've got #3 eFG% defense in country. SEC teams are 4-0 vs MVC teams this season, with three wins by 13+ points.

        We'll do what we can with these minor tournaments; impossible to determine how interested players on these teams will be........

        NIT
        Ohio State lost three of last five games; they lost Friday in Big 14 tournament. Buckeyes are 7th-youngest team in country. Akron lost MAC title game 64-61 Saturday; they've won five of last six games, are 1-1 vs top 75 teams, losing by 17 to Villanova, beating Iona on neutral floor.

        Dsvidson lost in A-14 semis Saturday; they lost to North Carolina by 33, Pitt by 25 in two ACC games- they're 4-10 vs top 100 teams. Florida State got KO'd from ACC tourney Wednesday; Seminoles are 9-11 in last 20 games, after a 10-2 start. FSU is 10-0 vs teams that aren't in the top 100.

        High Point lost by 3 at both Georgia/NC State; their best player is out here. Panthers won seven of last eight games, losing by 11 to Asheville in Big South semis March 5. South Carolina started season 15-0 but finished 9-8; their #274 pre-conference schedule knocked 'em out of NCAA's- they lost in SEC tourney Friday.

        Creighton lost five of last six games, with only win vs St John's; they allowed 80.3 ppg in last three games. Alabama lost five of last seven games after a 5-game win streak, when they won games at Florida/LSU back/back; Crimson Tide last played on Friday. Big East teams are 7-2 vs SEC this year, 3-2 vs spread as faves.

        Washington went 9-9 in Pac-12 despite being 6th-youngest team in country; Huskies are 3-7 in last 10 games, losing on Thursday in Vegas. Long Beach State lost Big West final late Saturday nite; 49ers are 0-3 vs Pac-12 teams, losing by 7-21-15 points. Pac-12 teams are 13-1 vs Big West teams this year, 9-5 vs spread.

        North Florida won Atlantic Sun by two games, then lost tourney game at home by 33 March 3; Ospreys lost by 11-25 in two SEC games, vs Arkansas, LSU. Florida beat FGCU by 20, Jacksonville by 24; they've lost five of last seven games, losing to Texas A&M by 6 in Nashville on Friday. UNF is #12 team in country in experience.

        Valparaiso lost in OT in Horizon tourney; they're 26-6, with #9 eFG% defense in country- they're deep, experienced team that would've been a problem in NCAAs- are they interested here? Texas Southern is 18-14 after starting season 1-11; Tigers are 0-7 vs top 100 opponents, with six losses by 10+. Former Hoosier coach Mike Davis returns to Indiana.

        How interested is disappointed San Diego State squad that is out of the NCAAs for first time in seven years after losing MW final on Saturday? Fort Wayne will spread floor and shoot 3's; all four of Mastodons' non-Summit losses were by 14+ points. Mountain West teams are 6-0 vs Summit League this year, 5-1 vs spread.

        Young St Mary's squad won eight of its last nine games; they won by 35 over Bakersfield squad that beat New Mexico State in WAC final in Las Vegas Saturday. Gaels haven't played in a week. Aggies are 8-8 outside of WAC; young squad (#332 in experience) turns ball over 20.5% of the time (#310). New Mexico State is 2-4 against top 100 teams.

        CBI
        Siena lost three of last five games; they haven't played in nine days since home loss to Iona in MAAC tourney. Saints turn ball over 22.1% of the time (#345), bad news vs Morehead State team that forces TOs 21.5% of time (#18). Eagles won seven of last eight games; they've been off for 11 days since losing to Tennessee-Martin in OVC tournament.

        CIT
        Coastal Carolina split its last six games; they've won five of last six at home, losing by 1 to High Point. Chanticleers are #30 experienced team in country. Mercer had awful season, losing eight of last nine games after one of its players was murdered- they started season 18-6. Mercer lost its last four road games- they're #267 team in experience.

        UL-Monroe won 14 of its last 16 games, losing Sun Belt final Sunday in New Orleans; Warhawks were up at half, lost by 20- they beat SoCon champ Chattanooga by 10 in November. Furman lost four of its last five games; this is Paladins' first home game since Feb 13- their last home loss was back in December.

        Ball State lost last three games, scoring 57.7 ppg, since 115-79 win over Green Bay Feb 27; Cardinals split pair of OVC games- home team won both games. Tennessee State is 20-10 after going 10-51 the previous two years; Tigers are #23 team in experience- they lost three of their last five games. MAC teams are 4-2 vs OVC squads this year.

        Play-in games

        Wednesday

        Southern won at Miss State/Wyoming, lost by 5 at Memphis; Jaguars finshed 4th in SWAC, losing 4 of last 5 games before winning conference tourney. Since 2003, SWAC teams are 1-6 in play-in games, with win in 2010 by Ark-Pine Bluff. Holy Cross was 3-12 in last 15 games before it won four straight road games to win Patriot tourney; Crusaders run the Princeton offense, but they shoot only 32.7% on arc, not good enough if you run that offense. Southern is 15-6 vs teams outside the top 200.

        Michigan finished 8th in Big 14, its best player is out for year; they are 5-7 in last 12 games- they lost to UConn by 14, SMU by 24 in couple games vs AAC. Tulsa is most experienced team in country; they're 4-2 in last six games, but losses were both to mediocre Memphis. Hurricane is 5-7 vs top 60 teams- they lost to Oral Roberts at home. AAC teams are 6-2 vs Big 14 teams this year; favorites were 5-2 vs spread in those games, with one pick 'em. Again, in five years of "varsity" (#11-seed) play-in games, underdogs are 7-3 vs spread.
        Last edited by Udog; 03-15-2016, 08:36 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB

          Tuesday, March 15


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          7:00 PM
          DAVIDSON vs. FLORIDA STATE
          Davidson is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Florida State's last 12 games
          Florida State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 7:00 PM
          HIGH POINT vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
          No trends available
          South Carolina is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Carolina's last 7 games

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 7:00 PM
          AKRON vs. OHIO STATE
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Akron's last 5 games on the road
          Ohio State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games at home

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 7:00 PM
          MOREHEAD STATE vs. SIENA
          Morehead State is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Morehead State's last 13 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Siena's last 5 games at home
          Siena is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 8:00 PM
          BALL STATE vs. TENNESSEE STATE
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ball State's last 7 games on the road
          Ball State is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
          Tennessee State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
          Tennessee State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 8:00 PM
          LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. FURMAN
          Louisiana-Monroe is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 11 games on the road
          Furman is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Furman's last 5 games at home

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 9:00 PM
          ALABAMA vs. CREIGHTON
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Alabama's last 11 games on the road
          Creighton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
          Creighton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 9:00 PM
          FLORIDA vs. NORTH FLORIDA
          Florida is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Florida's last 17 games on the road
          No trends available

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 9:00 PM
          LONG BEACH STATE vs. WASHINGTON
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Long Beach State's last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 14 of Long Beach State's last 19 games on the road
          Washington is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington's last 21 games

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 9:15 PM
          TEXAS SOUTHERN vs. VALPARAISO
          No trends available
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Valparaiso's last 5 games
          Valparaiso is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 10:00 PM
          IUPU FORT WAYNE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
          No trends available
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games
          San Diego State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 10:10 PM
          VANDERBILT vs. WICHITA STATE
          No trends available
          Wichita State is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
          Wichita State is 16-5-1 ATS in its last 22 games

          See more trends!
          MARCH 15, 11:00 PM
          NEW MEXICO STATE vs. ST. MARY'S
          New Mexico State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          St. Mary's is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
          St. Mary's is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games at home


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by Udog; 03-15-2016, 06:14 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            Tuesday's First-Four Tips
            March 14, 2016

            The First Four Round of the 2016 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament gets underway this Tuesday night with a play-in game between the No. 11 seeds in the South Region when the SEC’s Vanderbilt Commodores take-on the MVC’s Wichita State Shockers in a 9:10 p.m. (ET) tip at University of Dayton Arena.

            On the undercard this Tuesday night at this same venue is a play-in matchup between the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles and the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights as a pair of No. 16 seeds in the East Region of the bracket starting at 6:40 p.m. ET.

            Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wichita State Shockers (truTV, 9:10 p.m. ET)

            Opening Odds: Wichita State -3, Total 136

            Betting Matchup


            Vanderbilt was a bubble team that did not do itself any favors in a stunning 67-65 loss to Tennessee in the SEC Tournament as a heavy 12-point favorite. The Commodores still come into this matchup with a 4-2 record both straight-up and against the spread in their last six games and even though the total stayed UNDER the 146-point closing line against the Volunteers, it has gone OVER in eight of their previous nine games.

            The duo of sophomore guard Wade Baldwin IV and junior center Damian Jones have led the way all season long for Vanderbilt. Baldwin is the team’s leading scorer with 14.3 points per game and he also leads in assist with 5.2 a game. Jones is a close second with 14.2 PPG and he is also pulling down 6.9 rebounds a game. The Commodores are averaging 77 points and shooting 46.1 percent from the field.

            The Shockers also tested the NCAA Tournament’s Selection Committee’s patience with their 57-52 Missouri Valley tournament loss in overtime to Northern Iowa as nine-point favorites. Their body of work in the regular season including a SU 16-2 record in conference play still proved to be good enough. That loss snapped a SU six-game winning streak and Wichita State in now 4-2-1 ATS in its last seven games. The total stayed UNDER 123 points its last time out and it has stayed UNDER in eight of its last 11 contests.

            The backcourt pairing of senior guards Ron Baker and Fred VanVleet should have quite a bit to say about the Shockers’ chances to advance to Thursday’s opening round against Arizona. Baker has a team-high 14.2 points and 4.8 rebounds a game while VanVleet is averaging 12 points and 5.7 assists. Wichita State is well down the list in the NCAA in scoring with 73.2 PPG, but it is the No. 1 team in the country at the other end of the court with a points-allowed average of 59.3 points.

            Betting Trends

            -- The Commodores are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 nonconference games, but they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games in the NCAA Tournament. The total has stayed UNDER in 16 of their last 23 games played at a neutral site.

            --The Shockers have covered in seven of their last 10 NCAA Tournament games, but they are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the SEC. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five neutral-site games.

            --These two last met in the 2005 postseason with Vanderbilt coming away with a tight 65-63 victory as a six-point favorite. The total stayed UNDER the 128-point closing line.

            Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (truTV, 6:40 p.m. ET)

            Opening Odds: Florida Gulf Coast -6, Total 149.5


            Betting Matchup

            The Knights made their way into this play-in game with a run all the way to the Northeast Tournament title including a huge 87-79 upset against Wagner in the championship as nine-point underdogs. They covered ATS in two of their three tournament games and the total went OVER in their last two contests.

            Fairleigh Dickinson was the second seed in the NEC behind Wagner with a SU 11-7 record in conference play. Sophomore guard Darian Anderson exploded for 28 points in the title game and he has now eclipsed his team-high 15.4 PPG scoring average in three of his last four starts. The Knights are averaging 77.9 PPG and shooting 46.3 percent from the field. Another sophomore at the guard position that has been a key contributor is Earl Potts Jr. with 14.7 PPG. He added 27 points in the winning effort against Wagner.

            Florida Gulf Coast hails out of the Atlantic Sun Conference and despite posting a SU 8-6 record in conference play, it was able to turn a three-game run in its conference tournament into a spot in this Tuesday night’s play-in game. The big win during that run was an 89-56 romp over North Florida as 6 ½-point underdogs. The Eagles went 2-1 ATS in their three tournament games with the total staying UNDER in the first two contests.

            In a tight 80-78 overtime win against Stetson in the A-Sun Championship, sophomore Antravious Simmons had a big day off the bench with 21 points and the 10-point favored Eagles shot 52.6 percent from the field. Junior forward Marc Eddy Norelia added 16 points to the winning cause as the team’s leading scorer this season with 17.2 PPG. He had scored 20 points or more in four of his previous five starts including 23 in the win against North Florida.

            Betting Trends

            -- The Knights are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games at a neutral site, but they have covered in five of their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in five of those seven neutral-site games.

            -- The Eagles have covered in 12 of their last 13 neutral-site games and they have gone 7-0 ATS in their last seven games played on Tuesday. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 12 games following a SU win.

            -- This will be the first meeting between these two teams in recent memory.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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            • #7
              Trend report has updated.

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              • #8
                Armadillo's write-up has updated.

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                • #9
                  NCAAB

                  Tuesday, March 15


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                  First Four betting preview
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                  Playing in the First Four isn't how they hoped they would start the NCAA Tournament, but Wichita State will make its fifth straight appearance in the "Big Dance."

                  Games to be played at University of Dayton Arena, Dayton, OH


                  Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-5.5, 152)

                  FGCU returns to the NCAA Tournament for the first time since pulling off two huge upsets to reach the Sweet 16 three years ago as it faces Fairleigh Dickinson on Tuesday in the First Four at Dayton, Ohio. Florida Gulf Coast is back after winning the Atlantic Sun tournament while the Knights rebounded from a 2-6 start to win the Northeast Conference.

                  The Eagles, who shocked Georgetown and San Diego State in 2013 when the team was nicknamed “Dunk City,” has won at least 20 games in four consecutive seasons. Junior forward Marc Eddy Norelia leads FGCU in scoring (17.2) and rebounding (9.2) while shooting 53.9 percent from the field. Fairleigh Dickinson makes its fifth appearance in the NCAA Tournament and first since 2005 with the youngest team in the nation, made up of mostly freshmen and sophomores, which beat Wagner 87-79 in the NEC final. The winner of the matchup between No. 16 seeds will advance to play top-seeded North Carolina on Thursday in East Regional at Raleigh, N.C.

                  TV:
                  6:40 p.m. ET, truTV

                  LINE HISTORY:
                  Florida Gulf Coast opened as 6-point favorites in the first game of the NCAA Tournament and have been bet down to -5.5. The total has been bet down a half point from 152.5 to 152.

                  INJURY REPORT:
                  No injuries to report.

                  ABOUT FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON (18-14, 2-1 ATS, 2-1 O/U):
                  The Knights, who were 8-21 in 2014-15, are averaging 80.5 points over the last four games and have won five in a row overall. Darian Anderson is averaging 15.4 points and fellow sophomore Earl Potts Jr. is next at 14.7 after the duo provided 28 and 27, respectively, in the NEC Championship game. Marques Townes (11.4) and Stephan Jiggetts (11.2) also average in double figures scoring for the Knights, who boast five players with at least 30 3-pointers and force 15.4 turnovers per game.

                  ABOUT FGCU (20-13, 3-3-1 ATS, 3-4 O/U):
                  Norelia was one rebound shy of his fourth straight double-double last time out in the 80-78 overtime win over Stetson while sophomore Antravious Simmons stepped up with career highs of 21 points and 12 boards. Simmons is fifth on the team at 7.7 points per game and two others join Norelia in double figures – Christian Terrell (12.6) and Zach Johnson (11.2). The Eagles are also a young team with 84 percent of their points and 88 percent of their rebounds coming from underclassmen.

                  Trends:

                  * Fairleigh Dickinson is 1-6 ATS in its last seven neutral site games.
                  * Florida Gulf Coast is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 neutral site games.
                  * Under is 5-2 in Fairleigh Dickinson's last seven neutral site games.
                  * Under is 12-5-1 in Florida Gulf Coast's last 18 overall.



                  Wichita State Shockers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (+3.5, 135)

                  Wichita State will make its fifth consecutive appearance in the NCAA Tournament when it takes on Vanderbilt in the First Four at Dayton, Ohio on Tuesday night. Wichita State struggled to a 5-5 start, due in part to injuries, and won 19 of 21 before losing to Northern Iowa in the Missouri Valley Conference semifinals while the Commodores earned their first bid since 2012.

                  The Shockers need to advance one step to reach 25 victories for the seventh straight season and will lean on senior guards Ron Baker and Fred VanVleet, a two-time MVC Player of the Year. Wichita State will be at a size disadvantage and must get strong play inside against Vanderbilt’s 7-0 center Damian Jones, who was named to the SEC’s first team while averaging 14.2 points and shooting almost 60 percent from the field. The Commodores impressed the committee with wins over Kentucky and Texas A&M along with a pair against fellow bubble team Florida. The winner of the game between the two 11 seeds will meet No. 6 seed Arizona on Thursday in Providence, R.I.

                  TV:
                  9:10 p.m. ET, truTV

                  LINE HISTORY:
                  Wichita State opened as 3-point favorites and have been bet up to -3.5. The total has been bet up a half point from 134.5 to 135.

                  INJURY REPORT:


                  Wichita State - L. Shamet (out Tuesday, foot).
                  Vanderbilt - No injuries to report.

                  ABOUT WICHITA STATE (24-8, 18-12 ATS, 13-16-1 O/U):
                  Baker is second all time in team history with 237 makes from 3-point range, but was held to 0-of-5 from behind the arc against Northern Iowa. Baker averages 14.2 points, while VanVleet is the only other player in double figures (12.0) after struggling to 3-of-15 from the field the last two games. Forward Anton Grady, a transfer from Cleveland State, picked up his production in the last four games while averaging 13.3 points and 5.5 rebounds, draining 20-of-30 from the field.

                  ABOUT VANDERBILT (19-13, 15-15 ATS, 15-14-1 O/U):
                  The Commodores dropped their last two games, including a heartbreaker to Tennessee in the SEC tournament, after winning four in a row. Jones has been in double figures nine straight games and grabs 6.9 rebounds per contest – second on the team behind Luke Kornet (7.2). Wade Baldwin IV tops the team in scoring (14.3) despite struggling from the field (15-of-46) the last four games and backcourt partner Matthew Fisher-Davis (9.9) has drained 45.7 percent of his 3-point attempts.

                  Trends:

                  * Wichita State is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 neutral site games.
                  * Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in its last five NCAA Tournament games.
                  * Over is 4-0 in Wichita State's last four NCAA Tournament games.
                  * Over is 8-2 in Vanderbilt's last 10 overall.


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                  • #10
                    NCAAB
                    Short Sheet

                    Tuesday, March 15


                    Florida Gulf Coast at Fairleigh Dickinson, 6:40 ET
                    Florida GC: 9-1 ATS when playing on a neutral court
                    Fairleigh: 10-2 UNDER after playing a road game

                    Vanderbilt at Wichita State, 9:10 ET
                    Vanderbilt: 14-5 UNDER after a loss by 6 points or less
                    Wichita St: 9-2 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 5 straight games

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