Announcement

**Udog** · 03-13-2016, 09:01 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- Would people really buy a car just because it has WiFi in it?

-- LSU trailed 35-13 at halftime yesterday; thats the kind of effort that gets your coach fired. Losing is one thing; losing 71-38 on national TV is quite another.

-- Oklahoma State fired basketball coach Travis Ford , who really lost his job when he didn't make hay when he had Marcus Smart on his team.

-- If you've never had an avocado smoothie, have one very soon- tremendous.

-- Seton Hall 69, Villanova 67-- Pirates last won the Big East tourney in 1993.

-- Can we move this Presidential election up a couple months before the whole country implodes? Little too much tension now; people need to relax.

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Thoughts on Selection Sunday.......

Did you turn you clock ahead an hour?

13) Bubble teams all over America will be rooting for UConn against Memphis in the AAC title game today. UConn is in the field of 68, Memphis is not, so the Tigers steal a bid they win. I'm rooting for Memphis; I've met Josh Pastner a couple times and he is a terrific guy. If you had a son, you'd want him to grow up to be like Josh.

12) Big West has nine teams in it, eight of whom are California state schools- why not add Bakersfield and make it a ten-team league?

11) I know TV pays for lot of this so they dictate game times, but day games after night games in these conference tournaments is a bad idea- kids need recovery time if you want the product to be good quality. Even 20-year olds get tired.

10) Dummy of the Day-- NFL Draft is in six weeks or so; lot of teams really need a QB and QBs make a lot of money, so if you're a QB that wants to be drafted, getting a DUI six weeks before the draft is just dumb. (Dak Prescott of Mississippi State).

9) Cal-Bakersfield 57, New Mexico State 54-- Dedrick Basile swished a 3-ponter at the buzzer to give Cal-Bakersfield its first-ever spot in March Madness. Bakersfield has won three national titles in D-II, if I remember right- this is a bigger deal. Why do I say that? The mayor of Bakersfield was on the team's bench right after the game.

8) Stony Brook 80, Vermont 74-- Seawolves get to March Madness for first time; three Vermont players fouled out- they led by 15 with 15:17 left.

7) Of 14 teams in Atlantic 14, only three of them (St Joe's, George Washington and Duquesne) were members of the league when it began 40 years ago, as Eastern 8.

6) Middle Tennessee 55, Old Dominion 53-- Enjoy watching coaches after they make the NCAA tournament for the first time. MTSU coach Kermit Davis wore a baseball cap with his gray suit after his Blue Raiders won the C-USA tournament. He was positively glowing. Coaching can be stressful; good to see them have fun.

5) Fresno State 68, San Diego State 63-- Mountain West was terrible this year; it is going to be a very long Sunday for members of the Aztec program, as they wait and see if they get an at-large bid. Fresno has veteran guards; last time they were in the NCAA tournament was in 2001, when Jerry Tarkanian was coaching his alma mater.

4) When UNLV won in triple OT in the Mountain West tournament earlier this week, the correct play was to go against them next day; sure enough, they lost to Fresno State by 11 the next day. So when UConn beat Cincinnati in 4 OTs Friday, popular wisdom said to go against the Huskies in their game with Temple yesterday.

But UConn seems to thrive on adversity; they won easily Saturday, thwarting lot of handicappers who tried to capitalize on their situation. I didn't have Temple or Fresno but I couldn't fault anyone who did. Capitalizing on that is solid handicapping.

3) Was great to hear Don Orsillo working a Padre spring training game Saturday; he got hosed last summer when the Red Sox fired him, but San Diego quickly scooped him up and he will replace Dick Enberg as the Padres' main TV guy in 2017.

2) Hawai'i 64, Long Beach State 60-- Weird situation; Hawai'i is going on probation after this season, but they can go to the tournament this year- they're not going to be an easy out. Hawai'i beat Northern Iowa by 16, lost to Oklahoma by 3. .

Big West title game ended three great days of basketball; tremendous fun. NCAAs are going to have a tough act to follow.

1) This is why there might be 20-25 teams who can win a national title this season; when UConn won in 2014, they won their first round game in OT-- they were down 3 in last minute of regulation. Huskies were then an underdog in four of their next five games and pick 'em in the other one- they just as easily could've lost that first game.

This year is just like that; survive and advance will be the key words.

**Udog** · 03-13-2016, 09:05 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 13

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Game of the Day: Cavaliers at Clippers
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The Cavaliers have won 15 of the past 18 meetings with the Clippers, including a 115-102 home win on Jan. 21.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Los Angeles Clippers (+1.5, 208)

Power forward Kevin Love will return after a one-game absence and the Cleveland Cavaliers look for their sixth victory in seven games when they visit the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday. Love sat out Thursday's victory over the Los Angeles Lakers due to pain in both knees and he's looking to rebound from an 11-for-42 shooting slump over his last four outings.

Love's shaky play has contributed to the Cavaliers being unable to perform at the level that forward LeBron James is seeking. Cleveland's recent surge has been fueled by point guard Kyrie Irving, who is averaging 24.9 points over the last seven games after scoring 26 during Thursday's 120-108 win over the Lakers. The Clippers have won five of their past seven games as they make a run at catching the third-place Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference playoff race. The contest with the Cavaliers is followed by a five-game road trip that begins in San Antonio and concludes by visiting the Golden State Warriors.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The spread opened on Saturday afternoon with the Cavaliers pegged as 1.5 point favorites and has held steady. The total hit the board at 207.5 and rose slightly to 208 by Saturday evening.

INJURY REPORT:

Cavaliers - C T. Mozgov (Questionable Sunday, illness)

Clippers - PF L. Mbah a Moute (Questionable Sunday, eye)
SF P. Pierce (Questionable Sunday, toe)

POWER RANKINGS: Cavaliers (-8.9) - Clippers (-8.8) + home court (-3) = Clippers -2.9

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Cleveland will be playing an early daytime game on the West Coast after daylight savings time. The Cavaliers have been in California since Wednesday, and they’ve had two days off prior to this game, but this is still a tricky scheduling spot. Los Angeles has alternated wins and losses over their last four games; they won at home in their last game. The Clippers’ defense has allowed 98 points or less in four of their last five home games."

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (46-18): Cleveland is vying to hold off Toronto for the top seed in the Eastern Conference and is 2-0 on a four-game road trip that concludes Monday against Utah. Center Tristan Thompson has posted back-to-back double-doubles during the excursion and is averaging 14 points and 14.5 rebounds in the two contests. Thompson has scored in double digits in a season-best six straight games and is averaging 12.5 points on 28-of-41 shooting during the stretch.

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (42-22): Small forward Jeff Green has produced back-to-back strong efforts by averaging 20 points on 16-of-24 shooting against Oklahoma City and the New York Knicks. Consistency has been an issue for Green since he was acquired from the Memphis Grizzlies as he scored in double digits in only one of the previous four games, twice going scoreless. "It's great that I'm on the floor," Green said after playing 45 minutes against the Knicks on Friday. "I don’t mind it. It's all about competing. It's 5-on-5. I’m going to push through and compete."

TRENDS:

* Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.
* Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
* Over is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Under is 7-1 in Clippers last 8 home games.

CONSENSUS: The public seems to agree with our Power Rankings and is favoring the Clippers early on. The over is getting punched at a very agressive 71 percent and we can expect the total to move up, at least, another half point by gametime Sunday afternoon.

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**Udog** · 03-13-2016, 09:13 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 13

Utah @ Sacramento

Game 875-876
March 13, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
116.871
Sacramento
118.838
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 2 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+2 1/2); Over

Milwaukee @ Brooklyn

Game 877-878
March 13, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
115.097
Brooklyn
117.646
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 2 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+2); Over

New York @ LA Lakers

Game 879-880
March 13, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
116.171
LA Lakers
117.103
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 1
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+2); Under

Cleveland @ LA Clippers

Game 871-872
March 13, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
126.024
LA Clippers
122.641
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-1 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Atlanta

Game 873-874
March 13, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
120.265
Atlanta
127.352
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 7
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 4 1/2
197 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-4 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 13

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CLEVELAND (46 - 18) at LA CLIPPERS (42 - 22) - 3/13/2016, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 185-245 ATS (-84.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (35 - 30) at ATLANTA (37 - 29) - 3/13/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 88-72 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
INDIANA is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 8-8 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 9-8 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (30 - 35) at SACRAMENTO (25 - 39) - 3/13/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 26-7 ATS (+18.3 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 54-26 ATS (+25.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 32-45 ATS (-17.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (28 - 38) at BROOKLYN (18 - 47) - 3/13/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 338-404 ATS (-106.4 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 122-87 ATS (+26.3 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (27 - 40) at LA LAKERS (14 - 52) - 3/13/2016, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 163-204 ATS (-61.4 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 145-184 ATS (-57.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 59-88 ATS (-37.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 13

Hot teams
-- Cleveland won five of its last six games (6-3 last 9AF). Clippers won five of their last seven games (3-2HU).
-- Pacers won four of last five games (5-1 last 6AU). Atlanta won five of its last seven games (1-5 last 6HF).
-- Lakers split their last six games (7-5 last 12HU).

Cold teams
-- Utah lost seven of its last nine games (5-4AF). Sacramento lost eight of its last nine games (3-8HU).
-- Bucks lost five of their last eight games (0-1AF). Brooklyn lost five of its last six games (7-13 last 20HU).
-- New York lost five of its last seven games (2-4AF).

Series records
-- Clippers lost four of last five games with Cleveland.
-- Hawks won four of last six games with Indiana.
-- Jazz won five of last eight games with Sacramento.
-- Nets lost five of last six games with Milwaukee.
-- Lakers lost six of last eight games with New York.

Totals
-- Last four Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Indiana games stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Utah-Sacramento games.
-- Five of last seven Brooklyn games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight New York games stayed under.

Back/backs
-- Indiana is 5-8 vs spread if it played night before, but covered three of last four in that spot. Atlanta is 4-8 in last 12 such spots.
-- Milwaukee is 1-4 in last five games if it played night before.

NBA

Sunday, March 13

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Trend Report
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3:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. LA CLIPPERS
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the LA Clippers last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 8 games at home

6:00 PM
INDIANA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana
Atlanta is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Indiana

6:00 PM
UTAH vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Utah is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. BROOKLYN
Milwaukee is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games at home
Brooklyn is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games at home

9:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. LA LAKERS
New York is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games
LA Lakers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing New York
LA Lakers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against New York

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**Udog** · 03-13-2016, 11:19 AM

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, March 13

Cleveland at LA Clippers, 3:35 ET
Cleveland: 7-20 ATS in road games after scoring 100 or more 4 straight games
Los Angeles: 11-3 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent

Indiana at Atlanta, 6:05 ET
Indiana: 10-1 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog
Atlanta: 11-2 OVER after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers

Utah at Sacramento, 6:05 ET
Utah: 26-7 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent
Sacramento: 13-26 ATS off a home loss

Milwaukee at Brooklyn, 8:05 ET
Milwaukee: 21-8 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3
Brooklyn: 31-17 UNDER off a road loss

New York at LA Lakers, 9:35 ET
New York: 84-59 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5
Los Angeles: 56-82 ATS at home after game where both teams scored 105 or more

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/13

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/13

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