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  • Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, March 13

    Good Luck on day #73 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NCAAB Matchups

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    NCAAB Injuries


    NASCAR Schedule

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    -- Would people really buy a car just because it has WiFi in it?

    -- LSU trailed 35-13 at halftime yesterday; thats the kind of effort that gets your coach fired. Losing is one thing; losing 71-38 on national TV is quite another.

    -- Oklahoma State fired basketball coach Travis Ford , who really lost his job when he didn't make hay when he had Marcus Smart on his team.

    -- If you've never had an avocado smoothie, have one very soon- tremendous.

    -- Seton Hall 69, Villanova 67-- Pirates last won the Big East tourney in 1993.

    -- Can we move this Presidential election up a couple months before the whole country implodes? Little too much tension now; people need to relax.

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Thoughts on Selection Sunday.......

    Did you turn you clock ahead an hour?

    13) Bubble teams all over America will be rooting for UConn against Memphis in the AAC title game today. UConn is in the field of 68, Memphis is not, so the Tigers steal a bid they win. I'm rooting for Memphis; I've met Josh Pastner a couple times and he is a terrific guy. If you had a son, you'd want him to grow up to be like Josh.

    12) Big West has nine teams in it, eight of whom are California state schools- why not add Bakersfield and make it a ten-team league?

    11) I know TV pays for lot of this so they dictate game times, but day games after night games in these conference tournaments is a bad idea- kids need recovery time if you want the product to be good quality. Even 20-year olds get tired.

    10) Dummy of the Day-- NFL Draft is in six weeks or so; lot of teams really need a QB and QBs make a lot of money, so if you're a QB that wants to be drafted, getting a DUI six weeks before the draft is just dumb. (Dak Prescott of Mississippi State).

    9) Cal-Bakersfield 57, New Mexico State 54-- Dedrick Basile swished a 3-ponter at the buzzer to give Cal-Bakersfield its first-ever spot in March Madness. Bakersfield has won three national titles in D-II, if I remember right- this is a bigger deal. Why do I say that? The mayor of Bakersfield was on the team's bench right after the game.

    8) Stony Brook 80, Vermont 74-- Seawolves get to March Madness for first time; three Vermont players fouled out- they led by 15 with 15:17 left.

    7) Of 14 teams in Atlantic 14, only three of them (St Joe's, George Washington and Duquesne) were members of the league when it began 40 years ago, as Eastern 8.

    6) Middle Tennessee 55, Old Dominion 53-- Enjoy watching coaches after they make the NCAA tournament for the first time. MTSU coach Kermit Davis wore a baseball cap with his gray suit after his Blue Raiders won the C-USA tournament. He was positively glowing. Coaching can be stressful; good to see them have fun.

    5) Fresno State 68, San Diego State 63-- Mountain West was terrible this year; it is going to be a very long Sunday for members of the Aztec program, as they wait and see if they get an at-large bid. Fresno has veteran guards; last time they were in the NCAA tournament was in 2001, when Jerry Tarkanian was coaching his alma mater.

    4) When UNLV won in triple OT in the Mountain West tournament earlier this week, the correct play was to go against them next day; sure enough, they lost to Fresno State by 11 the next day. So when UConn beat Cincinnati in 4 OTs Friday, popular wisdom said to go against the Huskies in their game with Temple yesterday.

    But UConn seems to thrive on adversity; they won easily Saturday, thwarting lot of handicappers who tried to capitalize on their situation. I didn't have Temple or Fresno but I couldn't fault anyone who did. Capitalizing on that is solid handicapping.

    3) Was great to hear Don Orsillo working a Padre spring training game Saturday; he got hosed last summer when the Red Sox fired him, but San Diego quickly scooped him up and he will replace Dick Enberg as the Padres' main TV guy in 2017.

    2) Hawai'i 64, Long Beach State 60-- Weird situation; Hawai'i is going on probation after this season, but they can go to the tournament this year- they're not going to be an easy out. Hawai'i beat Northern Iowa by 16, lost to Oklahoma by 3. .

    Big West title game ended three great days of basketball; tremendous fun. NCAAs are going to have a tough act to follow.

    1) This is why there might be 20-25 teams who can win a national title this season; when UConn won in 2014, they won their first round game in OT-- they were down 3 in last minute of regulation. Huskies were then an underdog in four of their next five games and pick 'em in the other one- they just as easily could've lost that first game.

    This year is just like that; survive and advance will be the key words.

    Comment


    • #3
      Conference Championship Betting Previews



      AAC Conference Championship Game Betting Preview

      The Huskies might have sealed at least an at-large invitation to the NCAA Tournament already, but the Tigers definitely need a victory to gain a bid.

      Memphis Tigers vs. Connecticut Huskies (-5.5, 139.5)

      Two teams that endured many ups and downs in the regular season will meet for the American Athletic Conference tournament title Sunday when fifth seeded Connecticut takes on No. 6 seed Memphis in Orlando, Fla. UConn lost four of seven before winning its last three and the Tigers have won four of five after a stretch in which they slumped to 3-8.

      The Huskies, who beat Memphis twice during the regular season, followed up their heart-stopping four-overtime triumph against Cincinnati on Friday with a solid effort in a 77-62 win over top seed Temple on Saturday. “(The players) were focused and determined to get to this championship game,” UConn coach Kevin Ollie, whose team has lost in the final two straight years, told reporters. “. … These young men came out and played with resilience. They were tough. They played with heart.” Memphis has raised its level of play on offense a few notches, averaging 82 points in the last three games after routing both Tulsa and Tulane in the tournament. The Huskies might have sealed at least an at-large invitation to the NCAA Tournament already, but the Tigers definitely need a victory to gain a bid.

      TV: 3:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

      BETTING STATS:

      Memphis - 19-14 SU, 13-17 ATS, 15-15 O/U
      Connecticut - 23-10 SU, 15-13-1 ATS, 13-15-1 O/U

      POWER RANKINGS: Memphis Tigers (-0.523) - Connecticut Huskies (-4.89) = Connecticut -4.367

      ABOUT MEMPHIS (19-14): The Tigers have gotten contributions from many different players on the offensive end in the first two games of the tournament and forced Tulane into 18 turnovers in the semifinals. Freshman Dedric Lawson is averaging 19.5 points, 10.5 rebounds and three assists in the tournament while senior Shaq Goodwin scored 16 on Saturday while making 8-of-14 from the field. Guard Avery Woodson, who is scoring 9.6 per game and has made 77 from 3-point range this season, is doubtful after suffering a shoulder injury Friday.

      ABOUT CONNECTICUT (23-10): Daniel Hamilton is playing some of his best basketball at the right time in the tournament while averaging 25.5 points, 11.5 rebounds, five assists and turning the ball over just three times in two games. Freshman Jalen Adams, who drained a 62-foot shot to send Friday’s game to a fourth overtime, has poured in 33 points in the tournament and forward Shonn Miller scored 19 on Saturday. The Huskies need a big game from 7-0 center Amida Brimah, who boasts 16 rebounds and eight blocked shots in the tournament.

      TRENDS:

      * Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
      * Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 neutral site games.
      * Over is 4-0-1 in Huskies last 5 neutral site games.
      * Over is 5-1 in Huskies last 6 vs. American Athletic Conference.




      Big Ten Conference Championship Game Betting Preview

      Michigan State (plus-11.7) and Purdue (plus-11.3) rank first and second, respectively, in the country in rebounding margin.

      Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan St Spartans (-4, 142.5)

      Denzel Valentine has flirted with a triple-double in both of Michigan State's wins in the Big Ten tournament, but it was A.J. Hammons' near-miss at the feat last month that made the biggest difference in a Purdue victory. Hammons and his 13th-ranked Boilermakers eye for a repeat of that overtime win Sunday when they square off in the championship game against Valentine and his third-ranked Spartans in Indianapolis.

      Valentine tallied 27 points, eight rebounds and 10 assists against Purdue on Feb. 9, but Hammons' 19 points, 13 boards and career-high tying eight blocks proved to be just enough in an 82-81 home triumph in which the Boilermakers won despite blowing an 18-point second-half advantage. Hammons was nearly as dominant in Saturday's 76-59 semifinal win over Michigan, finishing with 27 points, 11 rebounds and three blocks for the fourth-seeded Boilermakers, who have won their two tournament games by an average of 24 points. No. 2 seed Michigan State was pushed to the limit later Saturday as it made its way to the conference title game for the third straight season, edging Maryland 64-61. Valentine has done nothing to damage his candidacy for national player of the year honors over two games in Indianapolis, averaging 18.5 points, eight rebounds and nine assists.

      TV: 3 p.m. ET, CBS

      BETTING STATS:

      Purdue - 26-7 SU, 17-11-1 ATS, 15-14 O/U
      Michigan St - 28-5 SU, 22-10 ATS, 16-16 O/U

      POWER RANKINGS: Purdue Boilermakers (-13.99) - Michigan St Spartans (-17) = Michigan St -3.01

      ABOUT PURDUE (26-7): Hammons (15.1 points, 7.9 rebounds, 2.5 blocks) has scored in double figures in 14 straight outings and became the only the third player in school history to amass 900 career rebounds Saturday while also moving within 14 blocks of breaking Joe Barry Carroll's school mark (349). Fellow senior and defensive stopper Rapheal Davis tied a career high with 24 points in the Boilermakers' lone head-to-head meeting with Michigan State and is three points shy of becoming the eighth player in school history with 1,000 career points, 500 rebounds and 200 assists. Purdue has shot at least 50 percent from the field in six straight games, converting 56.4 of their field goals and 45.9 percent of its 3-point attempts over that span.

      ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (28-5): Valentine (19.6 points, 7.5 rebounds, 7.6 assists) is averaging 21.1 points, 7.5 rebounds and 8.8 assists during the Spartans' last 13 games (12-1) and is almost certain to become the first player to average 19 points, seven assists and seven boards since the NCAA began tracking assists in 1983-84. Bryn Forbes (14.6 points) drilled a Big Ten-record 11 3-pointers en route to a career-high 33 points in Michigan State's penultimate regular-season game, but the nation's top long-distance shooter is only 4-of-17 from long-range and has totaled 27 points over his last three outings. Michigan State is 25-of-29 from the foul line in Indianapolis, although Valentine (8-of-9) and Matt Costello (6-of-6) were the only Spartans to attempt a foul shot Saturday.

      TRENDS:

      * Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
      * Spartans are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. Big Ten.
      * Over is 7-0 in Boilermakers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
      * Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.




      SEC Conference Championship Game Betting Preview

      No. 1 seed Texas A&M edged past Florida in the quarterfinals on Friday before ending LSU’s tournament run with a 71-38 demolition on Saturday.

      Kentucky Wildcats vs. Texas A&M Aggies (+3.5, 141.5)

      Texas A&M reached its first conference tournament final since 1990 with a dominating performance on Saturday. The Aggies will try to turn that into their first tournament title since winning the Southwest Conference in 198 when they face Kentucky in the SEC tournament final on Sunday in Nashville, Tenn.

      No. 1 seed Texas A&M edged past Florida in the quarterfinals on Friday before ending LSU’s tournament run with a 71-38 demolition on Saturday. The Aggies held the Tigers to 20.6 percent shooting and bottled up freshman star Ben Simmons in the easy win, marking their eighth straight victory overall. One of those eight straight wins came over the Wildcats 79-77 in overtime on Feb. 20, and No. 2 seed Kentucky earned its chance to avenge that defeat by easing past Alabama in the quarterfinals and rallying from a second-half deficit against Georgia in a 93-80 win on Saturday. “We’re built for this,” Wildcats forward Alex Poythress told reporters. “We needed a tough game like this that we had to go back and forth, down a little bit, a little adversity. I felt like we responded real well.”

      TV: 1 p.m. ET, ESPN

      BETTING STATS:

      Kentucky - 25-8 SU, 17-16 ATS, 18-14-1 O/U
      Texas A&M - 26-7 SU, 15-11-2 ATS, 11-17 O/U

      POWER RANKINGS: Kentucky Wildcats (-12.4) - Texas A&M Aggies (-12.65) = Texas A&M -0.25

      ABOUT KENTUCKY (25-8, 13-5 SEC): The Wildcats are playing in the SEC tournament final for the sixth time in coach John Calipari’s seven years as head coach and going for their fourth title in that span – second in a row. Kentucky leaned on its backcourt combination of Tyler Ulis and Jamal Murray to keep them in the game early, and the two ended up with a combined 51 points while playing 39 minutes apiece, before spreading out the scoring during the second half comeback. “We kind of try to figure out the different ways to score and just got it done,” forward Marcus Lee told reporters. “We’re not set in stone of who’s supposed to score and who’s supposed to get things done. We just try to help each other as much as we can.”

      ABOUT TEXAS A&M (26-7, 13-5): The Aggies earned the top spot in the SEC tournament thanks to that Feb. 20 win, in which Tyler Davis put back Danuel House’s missed at the buzzer to give them the victory. Jalen Jones led Texas A&M with 24 points in that game and was the only starter to reach double figures with 12 points on Saturday as the team had the luxury of resting its top unit for most of the second half. “I'm thrilled with the effort that we played with, especially on the defensive end,” Aggies coach Billy Kennedy told reporters. “I thought we did a really good job of being physical and walling up and forcing them to take some tough shots. Our bench came in and offensively did a really good job of moving the ball and played really unselfish.”

      TRENDS:

      * Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
      * Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Southeastern.
      * Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 neutral site games.
      * Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Sunday, March 13



        Saint Joseph's @ Virginia Commonwealth

        Game 881-882
        March 13, 2016 @ 12:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Saint Joseph's
        62.061
        Virginia Commonwe
        64.572
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Virginia Commonwe
        by 2 1/2
        139
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Virginia Commonwe
        by 5
        146
        Dunkel Pick:
        Saint Joseph's
        (+5); Under

        Kentucky @ Texas A&M


        Game 883-884
        March 13, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Kentucky
        74.509
        Texas A&M
        73.149
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Kentucky
        by 1 1/2
        138
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Kentucky
        by 4
        143
        Dunkel Pick:
        Texas A&M
        (+4); Under

        Louisiana-Monroe @ Arkansas-Little Rock


        Game 885-886
        March 13, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Louisiana-Monroe
        53.868
        Arkansas-Little R
        60.429
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Arkansas-Little R
        by 6 1/2
        137
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Arkansas-Little R
        by 4 1/2
        128 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Arkansas-Little R
        (-4 1/2); Over

        Memphis @ Connecticut


        Game 887-888
        March 13, 2016 @ 3:15 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Memphis
        59.574
        Connecticut
        67.571
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Connecticut
        by 8
        146
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Connecticut
        by 5
        139
        Dunkel Pick:
        Connecticut
        (-5); Over

        Purdue @ Michigan State


        Game 889-890
        March 13, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Purdue
        71.957
        Michigan State
        78.586
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Michigan State
        by 6 1/2
        136
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Michigan State
        by 4
        143
        Dunkel Pick:
        Michigan State
        (-4); Under





        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Sunday, March 13


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ST JOSEPHS (26 - 7) vs. VA COMMONWEALTH (24 - 9) - 3/13/2016, 12:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games this season.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        ST JOSEPHS is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
        ST JOSEPHS is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
        ST JOSEPHS is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
        ST JOSEPHS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
        ST JOSEPHS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
        ST JOSEPHS is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ST JOSEPHS is 3-1 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-2 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        KENTUCKY (25 - 8) vs. TEXAS A&M (26 - 7) - 3/13/2016, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TEXAS A&M is 182-145 ATS (+22.5 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
        TEXAS A&M is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
        KENTUCKY is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
        KENTUCKY is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
        KENTUCKY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        KENTUCKY is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TEXAS A&M is 2-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
        KENTUCKY is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LA-MONROE (20 - 12) vs. ARK-LITTLE ROCK (28 - 4) - 3/13/2016, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
        ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
        ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
        LA-MONROE is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        LA-MONROE is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        LA-MONROE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents this season.
        LA-MONROE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        LA-MONROE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
        LA-MONROE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LA-MONROE is 6-0 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons
        LA-MONROE is 5-1 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MEMPHIS (19 - 14) vs. CONNECTICUT (23 - 10) - 3/13/2016, 3:15 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MEMPHIS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        MEMPHIS is 189-151 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
        MEMPHIS is 149-103 ATS (+35.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
        CONNECTICUT is 5-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PURDUE (26 - 7) vs. MICHIGAN ST (28 - 5) - 3/13/2016, 3:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MICHIGAN ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games this season.
        MICHIGAN ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
        MICHIGAN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
        MICHIGAN ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
        MICHIGAN ST is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) against conference opponents this season.
        MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
        MICHIGAN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
        MICHIGAN ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
        MICHIGAN ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        MICHIGAN ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
        PURDUE is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        PURDUE is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        PURDUE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        PURDUE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
        PURDUE is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        PURDUE is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        PURDUE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        PURDUE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
        MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NCAAB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Sunday, March 13


        Big 14 tournament (Indianapolis)
        Michigan State won its last eight games since losing 82-81 at Purdue in OT; Spartans rallied from down 18 to take 4-point lead with 1:59 left, but lost. Seven of State's last eight wins are by 12+ points. Purdue won its last five games, last four by 11+; their last tourney title was '09. Last titles for MSUU were in '12/'14. State is 13-3 in its last 16 conference tourney games; they played three guys 30:00+ in win over Maryland, while Boilers had fairly easy time with Michigan.

        Atlantic 14 tournament (Brooklyn)
        VCU won 85-82 at St Joe's Jan 5, after trailing by 13 with 7:11 left; they won four of last five games, winning by 15-22 in games this weekend. Rams made 10-25 on arc yesterday, after going 1-16 Friday- they held Davidson star Gibbs to 4 points. St Joe's is 9-4 in its last 13 conference tournament games; they've scored 84 ppg in winning two games this week, but their two stars played 37-40 minutes yesterday. VCU is 24-5 in its last 29 conference tournament games. .

        AAC tournament (Orlando)
        UConn won epic 4-OT game Friday, making 60-footer at buzzer of third OT; Huskies then avenged their two losses to Temple with 77-62 win in semis- only two guys played more than 29:00 Saturday. UConn swept Memphis this year, winning 81-78 at home Jan 9 (Tigers led 75-74 in last minute), then 77-57 in Memphis Feb 4, when Tigers turned ball over 20 times (-10) in game they led 37-36 at half. Memphis won three games in row after suffering thru a 4-9 skid. . .

        SEC tournament (Nashville)
        Kentucky was down much of game to Georgia in semis, pulled away late for 93-80 win; now they actually have revenge motive, after losing 79-77 in OT at Texas A&M Feb 20, when an odd technical on Kentucky (bad call) gave Aggies couple foul shots in last minute. Murray/Ulis both got 39:00 yesterday; Wildcats are serious about winning this. Aggies had an easy time with LSU team that was in tank. A&M won last eight games.

        Sun Belt tournament (New Orleans)
        UL-Monroe is 14-1 in its last 15 games after starting season 6-11; they split with Little Rock this year, losing 58-57 on road Jan 9 (they led by 14 early on), winning rematch 86-82, outscoring Trojans 24-16 on line. ULM plays seven guys; four played 33:00+ Saturday- they're #14 team in country in experience. Little Rock won seven of last eight games; they used three guys 31:00+ yesterday- they won this tournament five years ago. ULM has yet to win a Sun Belt tournament.




        NCAAB

        Sunday, March 13


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        1:00 PM
        KENTUCKY vs. TEXAS A&M
        No trends available
        Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Texas A&M's last 18 games

        3:00 PM
        PURDUE vs. MICHIGAN STATE
        No trends available
        Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Michigan State's last 11 games


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Short Sheet

          Sunday, March 13


          St Joseph's at VA Commonwealth, 12:30 ET
          St Joseph's: 12-3 UNDER when playing only their 3rd game in a week
          VA: 8-1 ATS when playing with one or less days rest

          Kentucky at Texas AM, 1:00 ET
          Kentucky: 1-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins
          Texas AM: 7-1 ATS after a win by 15 points or more

          UL Monroe at Arkansas Little Rock, 1:00 ET
          Monroe: 13-5 ATS after 2 consecutive conference games
          Arkansas: 56-89 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days

          Memphis at Connecticut, 3:15 ET
          Memphis: 52-33 ATS after 2 games where opponent was called for 22 or more fouls
          Connecticut: 2-10 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins

          Purdue at Michigan State, 3:00 ET
          Purdue: 0-7 ATS on road after 5 games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more
          Michigan St: 20-9 ATS as a favorite

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