Announcement

**Udog** · 03-06-2016, 08:47 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- Austin Peay 83, UT-Martin 73-- 8th seed in OVC wins the tournament.

-- Western Carolina 88, Wofford 83 2OT-- WCU's point guard played all 50:00.

-- Marshall 109, Southern Mississippi 106 OT-- Losing side scored 90+ points in six of last nine Marshall games.

-- Northern Colorado 78, Montana 72-- Bears were a 15-point underdog.

-- Virginia 68, Louisville 46-- Dismal end to season for Cardinals.

-- Dayton 68, VCU 67 OT-- Atlantic 14 ends in a three-way tie for first.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday........

13) It is now Champ Week, not Championship Week; wonder what genius got paid to come up with that one? In any event, it is one of the best weeks all year and it is off to a tremendous start. In lot of ways, this week is better than the NCAAs, since for lot of these schools, just getting in the tournament is the biggest deal of all.

12) Yale 71, Columbia 55-- Yale is in NCAAs for first time since 1962; congrats to the Bulldogs and coach James Jones, a fellow Albany alum and a good guy. He's done a consistently solid job at Yale and now the national media will get to know him.

11) Austin Peay 83, UT-Martin 73 OT-- 69-year old Dave Loos is Austin Peay's coach; he is 491-443 in 30 years as a head coach, 26 of which have been at Peay. Last four years, they're 20-44 in OVC games, but over last four days, they put together a run for the ages, posting four straight upsets to win the OVC tournament.

Coach Loos has ten grandchildren, one of whom is a 5-year old girl who is fighting cancer; hopefully this tournament run gave the family some joy at a sad time.

10) In case you wonder about such things, the three states with the highest rate of sleep deprivation are: Kentucky-Hawai'i-Maryland.

9) The last first-team basketball All-American whose team didn't make the NCAA tournament was Mychal Thompson (Klay's father) at Minnesota in 1978. Its going to happen this year with Ben Simmons and LSU.

8) Saturday was Josh Whitman's first day as the new AD at Illinois; all he did was fire the football coach, who had just signed a 2-year contract in November, so the school has to eat $985,000, and four new assistant coaches who just moved to Champaign have to go and find new jobs. This was totally unexpected.

Lot of speculation on social media had Illinois going after Lovie Smith to be coach.

7) Illinois is 13-17 in basketball this year, 5-12 in conference; in John Groce's four years with the Illini, he is 75-59, 29-42 in Big 14. If I were him, I'd be nervous.

6) Boston College finishes 0-18 in basketball, meaning they go 0-26 in this school year in football/basketball, a level of consistent ineptitude that will go down in history as basically unbeatable. How does the athletic director not get fired there?

5) North Carolina 76, Duke 72-- Duke was 13-34 on arc, 12-33 inside arc; they let Carolina's big men catch the ball 12-15 feet from basket, and defied them to score and it almost worked but it didn't-- Carolina is top seed in ACC tournament, Duke tied for 5th with Notre Dame. They're likely to be lower than a 2-seed for only 4th time in their last 20 NCAA tournaments and are vulnerable to an early upset.

4) Northern Iowa 57, Wichita State 52 OT-- Joe Lunardi was fairly adamant last night that the Shockers are in the tournament, so I'll defer to him on that, but they will have a very, long, nervous week until they see their name in the brackets. Wichita is not that strong on offense-- MVC is only the #12 conference this season.

3) Siena plays Iona tonight in Albany, the #2 seed playing the #3 seed on #3 seed's home court. MAAC teams have bitched about this for years, but Albany is the only place they can hold the tournament and make a lot of money. At the end of the day, no one likes to lose money.

2) IP-Fort Worth has a kid named Max Landis who routinely jacks 28-footers; he is shooting 45.5% behind the arc this year for the 24-8 Mastodons, who play in the semis of the Summit League Monday night- they're a fun team to watch.

1) As a DirecTV subscriber, this was the first year that ESPN3.com was available to me on my laptop-- have enjoyed it a lot. Saw a ton more games, from the Southern Conference to Summit the Big West to the MAC. Some of these leagues are better than you think- if the top seeds can survive their conference tournaments, they could spring some surprises in the NCAA tournament in a couple of weeks.

**Udog** · 03-06-2016, 08:50 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 6

Hot teams
-- Warriors won last seven games (8-6 last 14AF).
-- Memphis won five of last six games (4-2 last 6HF).
-- Dallas won three of its last four games (4-5AF).
-- Detroit won its last two home games, by 13-20 points (12-3 last 15HF).
-- Miami won its last four games (5-7 last 12HF).
-- Raptors won six of their last seven games (7-2 last 9HF).

Cold teams
-- Lakers lost nine of their last ten games (11-13HU).
-- Thunder lost four of last five games (2-9 last 11F). Milwaukee lost three of last five games (5-3 last 8HU).
-- Suns lost eight of their last ten games (1-11 last 12AU).
-- Nuggets lost six of their last eight games (8-4-1 last 13HU).
-- Portland lost its last two games, after winning seven of previous eight (6-3 last 9AU).
-- 76ers lost their last ten games (6-13 last 19AU).
-- Rockets lost seven of their last ten games (4-7 last 11AU).

Series records
-- Lakers lost last four games with Golden State (2-7 vs spread last 9).
-- Thunder won six of last eight games with Milwaukee.
-- Grizzlies lost eight of last nine games with Phoenix.
-- Mavericks won five of last six games with Denver.
-- Trailblazers won five of last six games with Detroit.
-- 76ers lost their last four games with Miami
-- Home side won last ten Houston-Toronto games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Golden State games went over the total.
-- Four of last six Oklahoma City-Milwaukee games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Memphis games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Dallas-Denver games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Philly games went over the total.
-- Last six Houston games went over total if it played night before.

Back/backs
-- Detroit covered its last four games if it played night before.
-- Houston is 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games if it played night before.

**Udog** · 03-06-2016, 08:54 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 6

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Trend Report
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3:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. MILWAUKEE
Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Milwaukee is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

3:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. LA LAKERS
Golden State is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Lakers are 21-4 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games

4:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Memphis's last 23 games

5:00 PM
DALLAS vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 10 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

6:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
Philadelphia is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Miami
Philadelphia is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

6:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 9 games on the road
Portland is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
Detroit is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games

6:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games

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**Udog** · 03-06-2016, 08:57 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 6

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Game of the Day: Rockets at Raptors
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The Raptors host the Rockets at the Air Canada Centre Sunday, where they have won 11 consecutive games.

Houston Rockets at Toronto Raptors (-7, 215)

The Toronto Raptors will try to extend the longest home winning streak in franchise history when they take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. The Raptors are 2-0 thus far on a seven-game homestand and have taken 12 straight at Air Canada Centre after a 117-115 victory over Portland on Friday.

DeMar DeRozan hit a team-record 24 free throws on 25 attempts in the contest as part of a season-high 38-point effort for Toronto, which enters 2 1/2 games behind first-place Cleveland in the Eastern Conference. "I was just taking what they were giving me, honestly," DeRozan told the media. "I wasn't trying to force anything. Every time I saw an angle I was trying to take advantage of it." This is the first meeting of the season between the Rockets and Raptors, who have split the season series nine straight times. Houston fell 108-100 at Chicago on Saturday and has lost 10 of 15 overall to leave it clinging by a game to the eighth and final playoff spot in the West.

TV: 6:30 p.m. ET, ROOT (Houston), Sportsnet ONE (Toronto)

LINE HISTORY: The Raptors opened as 7-point home favorites, while the total opened at 215.

INJURY REPORT:

Rockets - PF T. Jones (questionable Sunday, illness).

Raptors - SF D. Carroll (out indefinitely, knee).

POWER RANKINGS: Rockets (-0.9) - Raptors (-7.2) + home court (-3) = Raptors -9.3

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The fact is the Rockets are closer to the non-contenders in terms of rating than they are the playoff contenders. That's as disgraceful as James Harden's defense and now they're facing a team that has won 11 straight at home."

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (30-32, 26-35 ATS, 36-25 O/U): James Harden had a team-high 36 points in Friday's loss but needed 26 shots to get there and turned the ball over nine times, which gives him 17 giveaways against 15 assists over the last two games. The star guard is averaging 35.4 points in a span of seven road contests. He was 4-of-12 from 3-point range on Saturday for a team that has gone a woeful 12-of-70 in the last two games.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (41-19, 33-27 ATS, 32-27-1 O/U): DeRozan's effort grabbed plenty of headlines, but so too did the 50-point night by Trail Blazers guard Damian Lillard, whose performance highlighted Toronto's recent defensive downturn. "It's not like (our) guys are slacking or anything or just not giving an effort, it's just attention to detail and doing a few little things that will help us defensively and make it harder for (opponents) to make shots," coach Dwane Casey told the Toronto Sun on Saturday. The Raptors have allowed an average of 104.2 points - more than six over their season average - in the last nine games.

TRENDS:

* Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in the second half of a back-to-back.
* Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Southwest Division opponents.
* Over is 6-0 in Rockets last six games in the second half of a back-to-back.
* Over is 5-1 in Raptors last six overall.

CONSENSUS: Bettors are giving the edge to the Raptors on home court, with 59 percent of wagers on Toronto. As for the total, 68 percent of wagers are on the over.

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**Udog** · 03-06-2016, 09:28 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 6

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GOLDEN STATE (55 - 5) at LA LAKERS (12 - 51) - 3/6/2016, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (42 - 20) at MILWAUKEE (26 - 36) - 3/6/2016, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-32 ATS (-13.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 336-403 ATS (-107.3 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 235-293 ATS (-87.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 49-84 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (16 - 46) at MEMPHIS (37 - 24) - 3/6/2016, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 24-38 ATS (-17.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games this season.
PHOENIX is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PHOENIX is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 116-85 ATS (+22.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (33 - 29) at DENVER (24 - 38) - 3/6/2016, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
DENVER is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
DENVER is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 454-380 ATS (+36.0 Units) in road games since 1996.
DENVER is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (33 - 30) at DETROIT (31 - 31) - 3/6/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
PORTLAND is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 64-92 ATS (-37.2 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (8 - 54) at MIAMI (36 - 26) - 3/6/2016, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (30 - 32) at TORONTO (41 - 19) - 3/6/2016, 6:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
HOUSTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-06-2016, 12:13 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 6

Golden State @ LA Lakers

Game 821-822
March 6, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
127.144
LA Lakers
109.150
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 18
127
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 16
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-16); Under

Oklahoma City @ Milwaukee

Game 823-824
March 6, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
122.040
Milwaukee
111.984
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 10
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 7
219
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-7); Under

Phoenix @ Memphis

Game 825-826
March 6, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.190
Memphis
122.959
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 13
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 10 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-10 1/2); Over

Dallas @ Denver

Game 827-828
March 6, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
119.982
Denver
114.513
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 5 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-2 1/2); Over

Portland @ Detroit

Game 829-830
March 6, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
122.107
Detroit
119.228
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 3
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 1
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+1); Under

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 831-832
March 6, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
107.190
Miami
119.105
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 12
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 15
213
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+15); Under

Houston @ Toronto

Game 833-834
March 6, 2016 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
116.885
Toronto
121.926
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 5
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 7 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+7 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 03-06-2016, 12:14 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, March 6

Golden State at LA Lakers, 3:35 ET
Golden St: 17-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
LA Lakers: 11-21 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more

Oklahoma City at Milwaukee, 3:35 ET
Oklahoma City: 8-20 ATS in road games
Milwaukee: 64-39 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games

Phoenix at Memphis, 4:05 ET
Phoenix: 6-18 ATS after a non-conference game
Memphis: 116-85 ATS off an upset win as an underdog

Dallas at Denver, 5:05 ET
Dallas: 18-9 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread
Denver: 3-12 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more

Portland at Detroit, 6:05 ET
Portland: 13-5 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent
Detroit: 25-37 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5

Philadelphia at Miami, 6:05 ET
Philadelphia: 3-11 ATS against Southeast division opponents
Miami: 8-1 ATS at home where the total is greater than or equal to 200

Houston at Toronto, 6:35 ET
Houston: 31-18 ATS after a non-conference game
Toronto: 9-20 ATS after a game with 15 or less assists

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/6

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/6

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