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  • Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, February 27

    Good Luck on day #58 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    NASCAR Schedule

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Six of the top college basketball conferences in the country.........

    -- SEC-- Kentucky (11-4) is in first place; Texas A&M, South Carolina are next.

    -- Big 14-- Indiana (13-3) leads Iowa and Maryland by a game.

    -- Big East-- Villanova (13-2) leads; half the league is either 7-8 or 8-7.

    -- Pac-12-- Oregon (11-4) is in first place; Utah-Arizona-Cal are game behind.

    -- ACC-- North Carolina (12-3) leads; Louisville and Miami are game behind.

    -- Big X-- Kansas (12-3) has two-game lead; they'll win 12th league title in row.

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind.........

    13) Watching the Gonzaga reality show on HBO earlier this week, you realize how much the success of a basketball team can help the entire profile of a school, increasing applications to a college- normal students see the great atmosphere at the games, and they want to be a part of it. People are generally frontrunners.

    12) As I type this, I'm sitting here watching HBO's special on UNLV basketball, one of my favorite hours of television ever. Lot of great memories, but the success of those teams has also made it so much harder for the current Rebels. It can be hard to compete against ghosts, to live up to unrealistic expectations.

    11) Three college basketball teams who make the most 3-point baskets per game:
    North Florida 12.5, Akron 11.5, The Citadel 11.4.

    10) Most fun college team to watch this season: the Oakland Grizzlies, who run like hell, have a great point guard and a kid named Max Hooper who has taken 229 shots this season, all 3-pointers. Hooper's dad has cancer; he came to his son's Senior Night Friday night in his hospital bed- a touching moment when his son ran up the stairs to hug his dad after the game.

    9) Monmouth signed hoop coach King Rice to a 5-year college extension, which is high comedy, since there is no way Rice will still be at Monmouth five years from now-- some big money school will come and scoop him up. Monmouth was 48-105 in five years before Rice got there- now they're 42-21 the last two years.

    8) I watch the NFL Combine and these workouts are great and I'm sure the teams find them very useful, but at the end of the day, I only want to know one thing about each player that tries out-- CAN HE PLAY??????

    Lifting weights is impressive, running fast is good, but Tom Brady ran like me at his Combine workout and he's turned out OK. Brady can lead a team, and there is nothing that measures that in February workouts-- it only gets measured in actual games.

    7) Memphis QB Paxton Lynch is working with the former CFL head coach Charlie Taaffe as he tries to get up to speed with NFL terminology. Taaffe was at UCF when Blake Bortles played there; he is very good at developing QBs, so that has to be a big help for a young man like Lynch, who hopes to be drafted in the first round.

    Sidebar; Charlie Taaffe is from Albany; I've met his brother Bob a few times. Charlie was head coach of the Hamilton Tiger-Cats for a couple years; he knows his stuff.

    6) Kyle Lowry had 43 points, nine assists as Toronto beat the Cavaliers at buzzer in a fun game to watch. Raptors are 39-18, currently the #2 team in the East.

    5) Get well soon, golfer Jason Bohn, the 71st-ranked golfer in the world, who suffered a mild heart attack after his round on Friday. Bohn is 42 years old.

    4) San Jose Sharks lost 3-1 to Buffalo last night, the first game in Sharks' history with no penalties for either side.

    3) I thought the Astros were getting rid of that hill they had in centerfield at Minute Maid Park, but I heard yesterday they're keeping it for one more year. Originally, it was put there because there used to be a hill like that at old Crosley Field in Cincinnati, but it was a bad idea then and it still is.

    2) College baseball saw home runs go up about 30% last year after they switched to baseball with lower seams. College baseball teams bunt too much, by the way. Kid on Texas Tech last night hit a homer, then squared to bunt on first pitch of his next AB.

    1) Tuesday at 1:00 on MLB Network: Blue Jays-Phillies. Then at 4:00 from out in Arizona, Indians-Reds. Real live major league baseball. Can't wait.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Saturday, February 27


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MIAMI (32 - 25) at BOSTON (34 - 25) - 2/27/2016, 3:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      BOSTON is 81-62 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      BOSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
      BOSTON is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      BOSTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      MIAMI is 148-110 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.
      BOSTON is 92-129 ATS (-49.9 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
      BOSTON is 93-125 ATS (-44.5 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BOSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
      BOSTON is 4-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MINNESOTA (18 - 40) at NEW ORLEANS (23 - 34) - 2/27/2016, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MINNESOTA is 60-77 ATS (-24.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      MINNESOTA is 331-391 ATS (-99.1 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
      MINNESOTA is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
      MINNESOTA is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
      MINNESOTA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
      MINNESOTA is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
      MINNESOTA is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
      MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
      NEW ORLEANS is 24-33 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
      NEW ORLEANS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
      NEW ORLEANS is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SAN ANTONIO (49 - 9) at HOUSTON (29 - 29) - 2/27/2016, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      HOUSTON is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
      HOUSTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      HOUSTON is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
      HOUSTON is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
      HOUSTON is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN ANTONIO is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
      SAN ANTONIO is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
      SAN ANTONIO is 413-349 ATS (+29.1 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 149-115 ATS (+22.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
      SAN ANTONIO is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
      SAN ANTONIO is 56-42 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      HOUSTON is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      HOUSTON is 7-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
      HOUSTON is 6-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PORTLAND (30 - 28) at CHICAGO (30 - 27) - 2/27/2016, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PORTLAND is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
      CHICAGO is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
      CHICAGO is 117-157 ATS (-55.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
      PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      DETROIT (29 - 29) at MILWAUKEE (24 - 34) - 2/27/2016, 8:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DETROIT is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
      MILWAUKEE is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
      MILWAUKEE is 52-80 ATS (-36.0 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
      MILWAUKEE is 334-401 ATS (-107.1 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
      MILWAUKEE is 136-178 ATS (-59.8 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
      MILWAUKEE is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
      MILWAUKEE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MILWAUKEE is 7-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
      MILWAUKEE is 5-5 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      GOLDEN STATE (52 - 5) at OKLAHOMA CITY (41 - 17) - 2/27/2016, 8:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      GOLDEN STATE is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
      GOLDEN STATE is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
      GOLDEN STATE is 82-59 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
      GOLDEN STATE is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      GOLDEN STATE is 52-38 ATS (+10.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
      GOLDEN STATE is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      GOLDEN STATE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
      GOLDEN STATE is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
      GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BROOKLYN (16 - 42) at UTAH (28 - 29) - 2/27/2016, 9:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Saturday games this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
      UTAH is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MEMPHIS (34 - 23) at PHOENIX (14 - 44) - 2/27/2016, 9:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MEMPHIS is 149-112 ATS (+25.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
      MEMPHIS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
      PHOENIX is 22-36 ATS (-17.6 Units) in all games this season.
      PHOENIX is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
      PHOENIX is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
      PHOENIX is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
      PHOENIX is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MEMPHIS is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      MEMPHIS is 8-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Saturday, February 27


        Hot teams
        -- Miami won three of last four games (4-1 last 5AU). Celtics won seven of last ten games (6-2 last 8HF).
        -- New Orleans won five of its last seven games (1-5 last 6HF).
        -- Spurs won 10 of their last 11 games (2-5 last 7AF).
        -- Trailblazers won six of last seven games. Chicago won three of its last four games.
        -- Detroit won its last two games, after losing seven of previous eight games (4-7 last 11 AU). Milwaukee won four of its last six games (4-0 last 4HF).
        -- Golden State won 15 of its last 16 games (4-6 lst 10AF).
        -- Brooklyn split its last eight games (2-5 last 7AU).
        -- Memphis won four of its last five games (7-5AF).

        Cold teams
        -- Minnesota lost three of its last four games (3-5 last 8AU).
        -- Houston lost four of its last six games (4-2HU).
        -- Thunder lost three of its last four games (0-0HU).
        -- Utah lost four of its last six games (8-5 last 13HF).
        -- Phoenix lost its last thirteen games (3-3HU with Watson).

        Series records
        -- Visiting team won last four Miami-Boston games.
        -- Pelicans won last seven games with Minnesota.
        -- Rockets lost five of last six games with San Antonio.
        -- Bulls won last two games with Portland, after losing previous aeven.
        -- Bucks won four of last five games with Detroit.
        -- Golden State won four of last five games with Oklahoma City.
        -- Jazz won seven of last nine games with Brooklyn.
        -- Memphis won its last eight games against Phoenix (6-2 vs spread).

        Totals
        -- Last seven Boston games went over the total.
        -- Eight of last nine Monnesota games went over.
        -- Five of last six San Antonio-Houston games went over.
        -- Last six Portland games went over the total.
        -- Five of last six Detroit games stayed under the total.
        -- Over is 7-3 in last ten Warrior-Thunder games.
        -- Eight of last ten Brooklyn games went over total.
        --

        Back/backs
        -- Chicago is 2-6 vs spread last eight times it played night before.
        -- Memphis is 8-3 vs spread if it played the night before.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Saturday, February 27


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          3:00 PM
          MIAMI vs. BOSTON
          Miami is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Boston
          The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 18 games when playing Boston
          Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
          Boston is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Miami

          7:00 PM
          MINNESOTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
          The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 15 games on the road
          Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
          New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
          New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

          8:00 PM
          PORTLAND vs. CHICAGO
          Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Chicago
          The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chicago's last 23 games
          Chicago is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

          8:00 PM
          SAN ANTONIO vs. HOUSTON
          San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
          San Antonio is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
          Houston is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home
          Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio

          8:30 PM
          GOLDEN STATE vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          Golden State is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          Oklahoma City is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
          Oklahoma City is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games

          8:30 PM
          DETROIT vs. MILWAUKEE
          Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
          Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
          Milwaukee is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

          9:30 PM
          MEMPHIS vs. PHOENIX
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
          Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
          Phoenix is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
          Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis

          9:30 PM
          BROOKLYN vs. UTAH
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Utah
          Brooklyn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
          Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
          Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Saturday, February 27



            Miami @ Boston

            Game 501-502
            February 27, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Miami
            120.484
            Boston
            123.942
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Boston
            by 3 1/2
            205
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Boston
            by 6
            212
            Dunkel Pick:
            Miami
            (+6); Under

            Minnesota @ New Orleans


            Game 503-504
            February 27, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Minnesota
            114.754
            New Orleans
            117.344
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            New Orleans
            by 2 1/2
            212
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            New Orleans
            by 5
            219
            Dunkel Pick:
            Minnesota
            (+5); Under

            San Antonio @ Houston


            Game 505-506
            February 27, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            San Antonio
            130.664
            Houston
            121.711
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            San Antonio
            by 9
            218
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            San Antonio
            by 5
            212 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            San Antonio
            (-5); Over

            Portland @ Chicago


            Game 507-508
            February 27, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Portland
            121.833
            Chicago
            115.824
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Portland
            by 6
            214
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Portland
            by 3 1/2
            208 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Portland
            (-3 1/2); Over

            Detroit @ Milwaukee


            Game 509-510
            February 27, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Detroit
            118.594
            Milwaukee
            121.792
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 3
            210
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 1 1/2
            203
            Dunkel Pick:
            Milwaukee
            (-1 1/2); Over

            Golden State @ Oklahoma City


            Game 511-512
            February 27, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Golden State
            130.974
            Oklahoma City
            123.348
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Golden State
            by 7 1/2
            239
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Golden State
            by 2 1/2
            234
            Dunkel Pick:
            Golden State
            (-2 1/2); Over

            Brooklyn @ Utah


            Game 513-514
            February 27, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Brooklyn
            114.316
            Utah
            122.438
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 8
            193
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 11 1/2
            196 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Brooklyn
            (+11 1/2); Under

            Memphis @ Phoenix


            Game 515-516
            February 27, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Memphis
            114.310
            Phoenix
            109.985
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Memphis
            by 4 1/2
            201
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Memphis
            by 7
            208
            Dunkel Pick:
            Phoenix
            (+7); Under

            Comment

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