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**Udog** · 02-15-2016, 08:25 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Over/under totals for six major league teams this season (Atlantis Casino).........

San Francisco Giants--90-- Highest number on the board

Chicago Cubs-- 89-- People are hopping on the Cub bandwagon.

New York Mets-- 88-- First four teams are all in National League.

Kansas City Royals-- 87-- Defending champs not getting lot of love here.

Milwaukee Brewers-- 71.5-- Total rebuild underway at Miller Park.

Cincinnati Reds-- 71-- Lowest number on the board.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend......

13) Nine years ago, Georgetown made the Final Four-- long time ago. Since then, the Hoyas are 3-7 in NCAAs, with four first-round losses, no Sweet 16's. At 14-12 this season, they're likely to miss the tourney for the second time in three years. You wonder if JohnThompson III's job is shaky-- probably not, but you never know.

12) UNLV would like to hire Dayton's Archie Miller as its next basketball coach, but is UNLV a better job than Dayton? Lot of unrealistic expectations in Vegas- they always recruit well, but so many of their players leave too early for the NBA. If I'm Miller's friend advising him, I'd advise him to wait for something bigger.

11) Miller's brother Sean is 184-57 at Arizona, 88-33 in Pac-12 play, but he hasn't been to a Final Four-- he is 11-5 in NCAA games at Arizona, but 0-3 in regional finals. At most places they would throw him a parade, but they have high expectations in the desert and this year's Wildcat team isn't as good as previous teams.

10) There are rumors that Rick Pitino could be headed to Las Vegas; bringing his son with him as an assistant coach/heir apparent. Richard Pitino's Minnesota team is 0-13 in the Big 14-- their only win since Dec 1 was over #345 Chicago State. Pitino would have to be the greatest salesman ever to sell his son as his heir apparent in Vegas

9) Albany coach Will Brown is Mr March; his Great Danes have won the America East tournament five times in the last decade- during that time, his record in regular season conference games is 105-68, pretty good but not dominant. Albany was the #1 seed in only two of those five tournament wins- they also won as a #2, 4 and a 5.

For the record, Albany is winless in the NCAAs, but 4-1 against the spread and yes, I went to college there. Despite that, they have a good academic reputation.

8) Wisconsin's interim coach Greg Gard has proven he can coach at the Big 14 level, leading his Badgers to seven straight wins, including wins over Michigan State, Indiana and Maryland, but if I'm the Wisconsin athletic director, I have one question left, and it can't be answered before they have to decide on Gard's job status-- can he recruit at the Big 14 level, the way Bo Ryan did? It always takes good players to win games.

7) Golfer Vaughn Taylor won at Pebble Beach Sunday, his first PGA win since '05; Taylor had 14 top 10's in 85 events from 2004-06, winning twice- he was on Ryder Cup team in 2006, but from 2011-15, he had three top 10's in 84 events, as his game went south. Past successes do not guarantee future success.

Golf is tough-- ton of competition-- if you lose your confidence, can be difficult to get your game back. Was fun to see how happy he was when he won yesterday. Now he is back on Tour for the next three years, when he had no place to play before this.

6) Gonzaga hasn't missed the NCAAs since 1998; since 2002, Bulldogs are 199-23 in conference play- they're 24-4 in last 13 WCC tourneys, but in NCAA games, they are 12-12, with only two Sweet 16's, and no Elite 8's.

Next year the Zags add Washington transfer Nigel Williams-Goss, and Gonzaga will become more dominant in the league, with a great PG. They could be a Final Four team in the next couple years; anything they do this year would be a little supririsng.

5) Harvard won the Ivy League the last four years, but this year, they're 2-6 and haven't covered a conference game yet. Their PG got hurt and isn't playing this year. In the Ivy League, there are no redshirts, so the kid had to leave school for the year.

Ivy League has some weird rules, but there are murmurs that a conference tournament is on the horizon, which would help bring them closer to the 21st century.

4) Georgia State won the Sun Belt LY, with Ron Hunter coaching his son, but Ron Jr is in the NBA and the Panthers are struggling, losing seven of their last nine games, losing last two games by one point each. Sun Belt tournament is going to be fun, with both Louisiana schools, Little Rock and Tex-Arlington the favorites.

3) I have no idea if Boston College's move to the ACC has been profitable, but on the field of play, its been a disaster. This is the 11th year for BC in ACC- they have a conference record of 68-110, and haven't made the NCAAs since 2009. In their last four years in the Big East, Boston College was 41-23 in conference games.

2) St Mary's has five freshmen, three sophs and no seniors on its team; they're #335 in the country (out of 351) in experience, but they're 20-4, 11-3 in the WCC, so they're having an excellent season, but are the new kids tiring? Gaels split their last four games, are 1-8 vs spread in their last nine-- curious to see how they finish up.

1) Avery Johnson is going to be a force in the SEC; his Alabama team is 15-9, 6-6 in the SEC, a surprisingly good season. Crimson Tide beat Wichita State, Notre Dame, Clemson by a total of six points in pre-conference play-- now they've won their last four SEC games. and if they finish strong, could find themselves on the bubble at this time next month, a totally unexpected result.

Johnson played, coached in the NBA; Alabama made a great hire with him.

**Udog** · 02-15-2016, 08:27 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, February 15

Wisconsin-Milwaukee @ Green Bay

Game 705-706
February 15, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin-Milwauk
55.336
Green Bay
53.933
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin-Milwauk
by 1 1/2
176
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 2
170 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin-Milwauk
(+2); Over

Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alcorn State

Game 727-728
February 15, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas-Pine Blu
36.301
Alcorn State
41.282
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alcorn State
by 6
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alcorn State
by 8
126
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas-Pine Blu
(+8); Over

Oklahoma State @ Kansas

Game 707-708
February 15, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
62.436
Kansas
75.279
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas
by 13
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas
by 15
137
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(+15); Over

Marist @ Fairfield

Game 709-710
February 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marist
44.829
Fairfield
55.395
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fairfield
by 10 1/2
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fairfield
by 9
159 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Fairfield
(-9); Over

Manhattan @ Monmouth

Game 711-712
February 15, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Manhattan
48.904
Monmouth
65.952
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Monmouth
by 17
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Monmouth
by 14 1/2
150 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Monmouth
(-14 1/2); Over

Quinnipiac @ Iona

Game 713-714
February 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Quinnipiac
47.610
Iona
59.004
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iona
by 11 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iona
by 14 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
Quinnipiac
(+14 1/2); Under

Wofford @ NC-Greensboro

Game 715-716
February 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wofford
48.439
NC-Greensboro
49.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC-Greensboro
by 1
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wofford
by 2
146
Dunkel Pick:
NC-Greensboro
(+2); Under

Western Carolina @ E. Tennessee State

Game 717-718
February 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Carolina
44.409
E. Tennessee Stat
54.601
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
E. Tennessee Stat
by 10
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
E. Tennessee Stat
by 7 1/2
147
Dunkel Pick:
E. Tennessee Stat
(-7 1/2); Over

New Mexico State @ Wichita State

Game 719-720
February 15, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico State
53.836
Wichita State
71.036
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wichita State
by 17
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wichita State
by 14 1/2
125 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wichita State
(-14 1/2); Over

LIU-Brooklyn @ St. Francis (N.Y.)

Game 721-722
February 15, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LIU-Brooklyn
47.421
St. Francis (N.Y.
46.014
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LIU-Brooklyn
by 1 1/2
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Francis (N.Y.
by 4
138
Dunkel Pick:
LIU-Brooklyn
(+4); Under

North Carolina State @ Virginia

Game 701-702
February 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina St
64.082
Virginia
78.416
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 14 1/2
129
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 12
133
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(-12); Under

Morgan State @ Hampton

Game 723-724
February 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morgan State
43.200
Hampton
50.175
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hampton
by 7
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hampton
by 10
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Morgan State
(+10); Under

Oakland @ Wright State

Game 703-704
February 15, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
60.750
Wright State
57.336
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 3 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 1
153
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-1); Under

Holy Cross @ Lehigh

Game 725-726
February 15, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Holy Cross
41.180
Lehigh
51.044
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Lehigh
by 10
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Lehigh
by 12 1/2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Holy Cross
(+12 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 02-15-2016, 08:31 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC STATE (13 - 12) at VIRGINIA (20 - 5) - 2/15/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 3-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (18 - 9) at WRIGHT ST (16 - 11) - 2/15/2016, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
OAKLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
OAKLAND is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
OAKLAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WRIGHT ST is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 3-3 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 3-3 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WI-MILWAUKEE (16 - 10) at WI-GREEN BAY (15 - 11) - 2/15/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 182-141 ATS (+26.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in February games since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 177-138 ATS (+25.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-GREEN BAY is 3-3 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 3-3 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (12 - 13) at KANSAS (21 - 4) - 2/15/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 74-101 ATS (-37.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 4-2 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 3-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARIST (5 - 19) at FAIRFIELD (14 - 11) - 2/15/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MARIST is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 3-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 3-2 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MANHATTAN (11 - 12) at MONMOUTH (21 - 5) - 2/15/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MANHATTAN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games this season.
MANHATTAN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
MANHATTAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MONMOUTH is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
MONMOUTH is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 4-1 against the spread versus MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 5-0 straight up against MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

QUINNIPIAC (8 - 16) at IONA (14 - 10) - 2/15/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 22-33 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IONA is 22-33 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IONA is 58-82 ATS (-32.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
IONA is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) in February games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 3-2 against the spread versus QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 4-1 straight up against QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WOFFORD (14 - 13) at UNC-GREENSBORO (9 - 17) - 2/15/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WOFFORD is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WOFFORD is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
WOFFORD is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
WOFFORD is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WOFFORD is 4-1 against the spread versus UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
WOFFORD is 4-1 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W CAROLINA (11 - 15) at E TENN ST (16 - 10) - 2/15/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W CAROLINA is 5-24 ATS (-21.4 Units) in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997.
W CAROLINA is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
W CAROLINA is 42-65 ATS (-29.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
E TENN ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E TENN ST is 2-2 against the spread versus W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 3-1 straight up against W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (18 - 8) at WICHITA ST (18 - 7) - 2/15/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 56-31 ATS (+21.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 56-31 ATS (+21.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 53-30 ATS (+20.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
WICHITA ST is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WICHITA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
WICHITA ST is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LONG ISLAND (12 - 12) at ST FRANCIS-NY (11 - 15) - 2/15/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LONG ISLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus ST FRANCIS-NY over the last 3 seasons
ST FRANCIS-NY is 5-1 straight up against LONG ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MORGAN ST (5 - 18) at HAMPTON (14 - 9) - 2/15/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMPTON is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMPTON is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMPTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HAMPTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMPTON is 3-0 against the spread versus MORGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
HAMPTON is 4-2 straight up against MORGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOLY CROSS (10 - 14) at LEHIGH (10 - 14) - 2/15/2016, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LEHIGH is 1-0 against the spread versus HOLY CROSS over the last 3 seasons
HOLY CROSS is 4-2 straight up against LEHIGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARK-PINE BLUFF (6 - 20) at ALCORN ST (11 - 12) - 2/15/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-PINE BLUFF is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
ARK-PINE BLUFF is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALCORN ST is 3-2 straight up against ARK-PINE BLUFF over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-15-2016, 08:34 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 15

Oakland won seven of its last eight games; they're 6-0 on Horizon road-- all four Horizon losses were at home. Grizzlies crushed Wright St. 89-63 at home Jan 29, shooting 65% inside arc, scoring 1.31 ppp; Wright beat Valparaiso Saturday after losing to UIC; they're 7-0 at home in Horizon, with five wins by 11+ points. Horizon home teams are 3-11 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points.

NC State is 1-5 on ACC road, winning at Pitt; four of its five road losses are by 8 or less points. Wolfpack lost its last three games with Virginia, losing last six visits here, with four of last five by double digits. Virginia had 7-game winning streak snapped at buzzer at Duke Saturday- they're 6-0 at home in ACC, winning last two home games by 14-18 points. ACC home favorites of 9+ points are 14-12 vs spread.

Green Bay allowed 95+ points in four of last seven games (3-4); they're 3-1 at home in Horizon- their last five regular season games are all home games. GB lost 95-94 at Milwaukee Jan 29- Panthers outscored 'em 7-2 over last 1:48. Panthers are 3-6 in last nine games vs Green Bay, losing six of last seven visits here. Horizon home teams are 5-12 vs spread in games where spread was 5 or less points.

Oklahoma State made 11-21 on arc, crushed Kansas 86-67 at home Jan 19, hi/lo point for both teams this year. OSU is 2-6 since then; they are 0-6 on Big X road, with three of last four road losses by 7 or less points. Jayhawks won at Oklahoma Saturday; they're 7-0 at home in the Big X- five of seven wins were by 10 or less points. Big X double digit home favorites are 8-5 vs spread. OSU has major injury issues at guard.

Marist lost 13 of last 14 games, losing 88-76 at home to Fairfield Jan 22, when Stags shot 73.5% inside arc in game Marist led by a point at half. Red Foxes lost three of last four games with Fairfield- they've lost seven games in row here, with four of last five losses by 7 or less points. Stags are 6-3 at home in MAAC; they've won five of last seven games overall. MAAC double digit home favorites are 4-5 vs spread.

Iona won 78-66 at Quinnipiac Jan 2; they were +15 on boards as they held Bobcats to 31% from floor. Gaels won last four series games, with wins by 22-8 points here. MAAC double digit home favorites are 4-5 vs spread. Iona is 5-2 on MAAC road, winning last three away games by 8-18-14 points. Quinnipiac lost its last three games by 16-7-4 points; they lost in double OT at home to Fairfield Saturday.

East Tennessee State won its last three games, all in OT; they won at Western Carolina 82-66 Jan 2, holding the Catamounts to 3-28 on arc; Bucs split last six games; they lost at home to Chattanooga Saturday, its first league home loss in six games. WCU won its last three games by 9-6-5 points; they're 1-5 on SoCon road, with only win by 9 at VMI. SoCon single digit home favorites are 17-11 against the spread.

Wofford made 11-23 on arc, beat NC-Greensboro 87-76 at home Jan 2, in game that was tied at half. Terriers won their last four games overall; they're 3-3 on SoCon road, winning by 4-3-3 points. SoCon home teams are 16-5 vs spread in games where spread was 4 or less points. UNCG lost last three games, by 3-7-14 points; Spartans won four of six league home games, losing by 13 to Chattanooga, 3 to East Tennessee State.

Monmouth is 12-1 in its last 13 games; loss was 78-71 at Manhattan Jan 21- Jaspers made 10-25 on arc after falling behind 14-2- it was their fifth win in row over Hawks, who they lost by 14-11 in two home games vs Manhattan. Monmouth is 6-0 at home in MAAC, with all six wins by 11+ points- they rallied back from down 12 with 3:10 left to beat Rider Friday night. MAAC double digit home favorites are 4-5 vs spread.

**Udog** · 02-15-2016, 08:37 AM

NCAAB

Monday, February 15

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Trend Report
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5:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. WRIGHT STATE
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wright State
Oakland is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wright State's last 5 games at home
Wright State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. VIRGINIA
North Carolina State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
North Carolina State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Virginia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina State
Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina State

7:00 PM
QUINNIPIAC vs. IONA
Quinnipiac is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iona's last 5 games when playing Quinnipiac
Iona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Quinnipiac

7:00 PM
WOFFORD vs. UNC GREENSBORO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wofford's last 5 games on the road
Wofford is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
UNC Greensboro is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Wofford
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of UNC Greensboro's last 8 games when playing at home against Wofford

7:00 PM
MARIST vs. FAIRFIELD
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marist's last 6 games when playing on the road against Fairfield
Marist is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Fairfield
Fairfield is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Marist
Fairfield is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Marist

7:00 PM
WESTERN CAROLINA vs. EAST TENNESSEE STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Western Carolina's last 12 games on the road
Western Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
No trends available

8:00 PM
WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. WISC-GREEN BAY
Wisc-Milwaukee is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Wisc-Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisc-Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Wisc-Green Bay
Wisc-Green Bay is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisc-Green Bay's last 7 games

8:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. WICHITA STATE
New Mexico State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wichita State's last 10 games at home
Wichita State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
MANHATTAN vs. MONMOUTH
Manhattan is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Manhattan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Monmouth is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Manhattan
Monmouth is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Manhattan

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. KANSAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma State

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**Udog** · 02-15-2016, 01:39 PM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Monday, February 15

NC State at Virginia, 1:00 ET
NC State: 11-3 ATS in road games
Virginia: 15-5 UNDER in February games

Oklahoma State at Kansas, 9:00 ET
Oklahoma St: 4-13 ATS as a road dog of 10 or more
Kansas: 10-3 ATS off 1 or more back to back wins

New Mexico State at Wichita State, 8:00 ET
New Mexico St: 11-3 UNDER coming off a road game
Wichita St: 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 15.5-18 points

**Udog** · 02-15-2016, 01:43 PM

NBA

Monday, February 15

Best ATS bets post NBA All-Star break:
1. Spurs 34-19
2. Warriors 31-20-1
3. Nuggets 30-22-2
4. Celtics 31-23-3
5. Magic 29-22-1

Worst ATS bets post NBA All-Star break:
1. Bulls 19-33
2. Suns 21-33
3. Thunder 22-32
4. Pelicans 22-31
5. Rockets 23-32

Best Over bets post NBA All-Star break:
1. Rockets 32-23
2. Warriors 30-22
3. T-Wolves 30-23-1
4. Grizzlies 29-23-1
5. Nuggets 29-24-1

Best Under bets post NBA All-Star break:
1. Heat 34-18-1
2. Thunder 30-24
3. Jazz 29-22-1
4. Clippers 29-24
5. Mavericks 29-25-1

**Udog** · 02-15-2016, 06:10 PM

NCAAB

Monday, February 15

Oklahoma State at Kansas (-14, 137.5) (9 pm ET, ESPN) - Monday, Feb. 15

Oklahoma State (12-13 SU, 13-9-1 ATS) is a very young and inexperienced team that has been without their best player for the majority of the season as guard Phil Forte III was injured in the third game in November after scoring 34 points in the first two games. Now the Cowboys are also without their second best scorer as guard Jawun Evans was injured four games ago on February 3rd and has not played since. Evans averages 12.9 points per game and leads the team with 108 assists while shooting 47.5% from three-point range this season.

The Cowboys have been poor on the road, going 1-6 SU in true road games, and now they are walking into one of the toughest venues in college basketball for this Big Monday tilt where the Jayhawks stand 13-0 SU this season. #2 ranked Kansas (21-4 SU, 15-8 ATS) was embarrassed 86-67 at Oklahoma State last month, so the Jayhawks will be geared-up to avenge that inexplicable loss as a 9-point road favorite. OSU's Jawun Evans led the Cowboys with 22 points and 8 assists in that upset win last month, so his absence will be a factor tonight.

Kansas enters on a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS run, including a huge 76-72 win at Oklahoma this past Saturday as a 3.5-point road underdog. Normally, this would be a potential flat spot for the Jayhawks as a big favorite tonight, playing their second game in just three days after a huge underdog win. However, Kansas is less likely to letdown this evening since this is a national TV home game and the Jayhawks have a legitimate revenge motive.

**Udog** · 02-15-2016, 06:43 PM

See Spot. See Spot Bet: This Week's Spot Bets

Letdown spot

Wisconsin is rolling these days. In fact, the Badgers enter Thursday's game at Michigan State off seven straight wins, covering the spread in all seven of those games. One of those victories came at Illinois, a 63-55 Badger win on 1/31. Off the big game vs. the Spartans, and off a big upset win at Maryland in their previous game, it may be easy for the Badgers to suffer a letdown against the lowly Illini. Keep in mind that Maryland and Michigan State are the top two teams in the conference while Illinois (11-14) is third from the bottom. Consider grabbing the points with revenge-minded Illinois on Sunday afternoon.

Lookahead spot

The Louisville Cardinals responded to the news that they weren't eligible for the postseason by blowing out a bad Boston College team. Since then, the Cardinals have suffered losses at Duke and at Notre Dame. They'll get another crack at Duke on Saturday afternoon and the recent revenge factor should help provide the Cardinals with some added motivation for that game. First, however, Louisville will take on Syracuse on 2/17. Sure, the Cards will want to snap their losing streak. They'll be laying a fairly big number though and with the Blue Devils looming on deck, it could be easy to get caught looking ahead. Take a look at Syracuse on Wednesday.

Schedule spot

Returning home from an extended road trip can be tough. Girlfriends, wives, friends, bills (regular life) all need to be attended to and can often prove distracting. On Thursday the 18th the Maple Leafs will be playing their first game in Toronto in two full weeks. Much has happened over that span, as the team has traded away its captain, while traveling across the continent. The last time that the Leafs returned from a West Coast trip, they were defeated by lowly Columbus, in their first game back. The Hurricanes are 10-4 their last 14 visits here, including wins in each of the last two. They won here 1-0 in January and 4-1 here last season. Consider Carolina on Thursday.

**Udog** · 02-15-2016, 06:50 PM

NBA

Monday, February 15

NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 17

With the 65th edition of the NBA All-Star Game in the books, the focus now turns toward the trade deadline this Thursday. Certainly, there have been several surprises thus far. Both Portland and Dallas were expected to miss the Playoffs, yet each has a .500 (or better) record at this juncture. Likewise, not many preseason predictions had the Boston Celtics in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference. But Brad Stevens has guided his team to a 32-23 record. Thus, GM Danny Ainge is now rumored to be aggressively looking to bolster his club's roster, in an attempt to be able to compete with the Cavaliers come playoff time. The NBA will resume its regular season on Thursday, so let's find some winners.

Spread Watch

The New Orleans Pelicans, under first-year head coach Alvin Gentry, have been a major disappointment. Injuries, of course, have played a part. But they've also had trouble adjusting to Gentry's new offensive system. For the season, they're 20-33 straight-up and 22-31 ATS, including 2-6 ATS over their last eight games. That, in and of itself, isn't earth-shattering. But what's extremely interesting about New Orleans' season is what also happens when it covers (or doesn't cover) the pointspread. In games that it cashes "in Vegas," New Orleans averages 110.59 ppg, and those games have gone "Over" the total 15-6-1. But in games it loses ATS, New Orleans has averaged a paltry 96.09 ppg, and has gone "Under" 21-9-1. The relationship between ATS wins/losses and overs/unders is the strongest of any team this season. Of course, there are several ways to take advantage of this. If one liked the Pelicans in a game, one could parlay it with the "Over" (or if one wanted to bet against the Pelicans, one could parlay it with the "Under"). Or, one could do both in the same game (e.g., bet a Pelicans/Over parlay and also a parlay of their opponent and the "Under"). If one engaged in this strategy of making two parlays in each game, one would need to cash at least five of nine games (or five of 18 parlays) to break even. Given the strong correlation between New Orleans' offensive production, ATS wins/losses and Overs/Unders, I think it's a sensible strategy.

Totals Watch

The Memphis Grizzles have gone "Over" the total in three straight, and 13 of their last 15 games. Going forward, the one thing to watch will be Memphis' pace of play (currently ranked #27) now that center Marc Gasol has been lost to injury. Coach Dave Joerger has expressed that he does want to increase his team's pace, and get more points in transition. That makes sense, as Gasol's absence will hurt Memphis' half-court offensive sets (as well as its defense). This week, Memphis will play the Timberwolves at home, and the Raptors on the road. The game against Minnesota, in particular, looks like a great game to take "Over" the total as Minny has sailed above the number in 9-1-2 its last 12 games. And the last three meetings between these two teams have also gone "Over" the total.

Injury Watch

The Chicago Bulls' Jimmy Butler injured his knee 10 days ago against Denver, and will miss upwards of a month. Without their star on the court, the Bulls have lost their last four games SU and ATS (including the game vs. the Nuggets, in which Butler was injured). It likely will get worse before it gets better, as Chicago's first two opponents this week (Cleveland, Toronto) will be out not only to avenge home losses to Chicago last month, but two losses, overall, to the Bulls this season. The Cavaliers, especially, should be fired up, as the Bulls spoiled coach Tyronn Lue's debut -- on National TV, no less -- in a 96-83 defeat. I look for Cleveland to roast Chicago.

Schedule Watch

This week, due to a re-scheduling of the Wizards/Pistons game, Washington will play three games in three nights. One may think that such an event is quite rare, but it actually has happened much more often than one would think. Indeed, from the 1960s through the 1980s, it was fairly commonplace. And, then, in the two strike seasons (1999, 2012), it occurred an awful lot. The knee-jerk reaction might be to bet against teams in such a scheduling spot. But they've gone 52-44-1 ATS since 1990 (against teams not playing their third game in three nights), and have done their best work away from home (29-16 ATS). However, I believe the real way to tackle this situation is to play on such teams in the first game of this three-game set. They know that they're embarking on a grueling schedule, and the reaction, it seems, has been to try hard to get the first game. Since 1990, our teams are 62-43-2 ATS in the first game (against opponents not embarking on a similar schedule), including 41-17-1 ATS at home. With these numbers in mind, consider playing on the Wizards in their home game against Utah on Thursday, as well as on the road, at Miami, on Saturday.

Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/15

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/15

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