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**Udog** · 02-02-2016, 07:51 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six of the best minor league prospects for the Atlanta Braves........

1Az) Dansby Swanson, SS--Acquired in Shelby Miller trade.

2Az) Aaron Blair, P-- Went 7-2, 3.16 in 12 AAA starts.

1) Kyle Newcomb, P-- Acquired from Angels in Andrelton Simmons deal.

2) Hector Olivera 3B/OF-- Cuban defector will be 31 on April 5.

8) Mallex Smith, OF-- Hit .340 in AA, .281 in AAA last season.

12) Manny Banuelos, P-- Was 1-4, 5.13 in six starts in majors LY.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Louisville 71, North Carolina 65-- First half of this game was a brickfest; UNC was 3-17 on arc for the game-- they're shooting 30.2% for the year. No bueno.

12) Two of Louisville's best players this year are Damion Lee and Trey Lewis, a pair of graduate transfers, Lee from Drexel, Lewis from Cleveland State. As an Oakland A's fan, I'm sensitive to big-money teams poaching players from schools with less cash, so this "free agency" that has popped up in college basketball bothers me.

ESPN's announcers didn't seem too anxious to talk about the graduate transfer rule, but I'm wondering what the coaches of Drexel (3-18) and Cleveland State (7-16) think?

11) One of the great lines I've ever heard was back when I was an assistant high hoop coach-- this is November of 1993, I'm pretty sure, after we lost our second game of what would be a very long season. The head coach looked at the players and said, "......when things start going bad, the rats start jumping off the ship."

I'm not doing it justice; but he delivered the line with great timing and disdain, but it underlines one of the unfortunate facts of our culture-- people are frontrunners, and as I start to learn more about politics from watching too much TV, it appears that this may be more true in politics than it is in sports. Someone loses and people are fast to hop off the bandwagon. It is too bad.

10) Donald Trump got beat last night, the headline the front page of the NY Daily News today is: "Dead Clown Walking". When you're cocky and arrogant and then you lose, people take pleasure in piling on. We'll see how this plays out.

Mike Tyson once said: "Everyone's got a plan until they get punched in the mouth." Now we'll see how Trump reacts to figuratively getting punched in the mouth.

9) Weekly update on Showtime's Billions: You watch a show like this and you hear about politics, the less you like or trust people. Just a bunch of weasels.

This week, the main character buys stock in a snack food company that made his favorite snack as a kid, because they changed the recipe to increase profits and now the snack doesn't taste as good. So he buys stock in the ompany, gets two board members fired, one of whom is sleeping with his main rival's father (its a soap opera, dammit).

8) No one told the Phoenix Suns players the team fired coach Jeff Hornacek; how do you run a business that way? There are only 15 players; how difficult would it be for a group text to go out?

7) NHL teams playing on second night of a back/back are 83-114 this year against teams that didn't play the night before. Under is 12-9 (with several pushes) in games involving two teams who were both on back end of a back/back.

6) Brandt Snedeker won the Farmers Open golf tournament Monday; he was the only guy in the field to break par (he played his 4th round Sunday) in the last round, which had an average stroke count of 77.9, the highest 4th-round scoring average on Tour in the last 33 years. Brutal winds made the course really difficult.

5) Golfer Jim Furyk is out for three more months after wrist surgery

4) Duke is out of the top 25 for the first time since April, 2007.

3) Terrible news for UNLV's Ben Carter, who blew out his ACL Saturday night in the loss to San Diego State. Tough guy, a glue guy, hard to replace.

2) Texas 67, Baylor 59-- I think Shaka Smart is little bit overrated; he got the Texas job because of his pressing style at VCU, but because of the roster he inherited, this Texas team is playing at pace #319 in country, very slow. Anyway, Texas is 6-3 in Big X- this was a good win for them. I'm just curious as to how Smart will recruit the next couple years, if he'll try to re-create Havoc and press like West Virginia does.

1) This is 2016, technology is running amok and yet in Iowa, they have an outdated way to choose who wins their state's delegates. It makes no sense, but it is how things are done. maybe at some point, they can join the 21st century. One thing for sure, it'll be four years before any of these politicians step foot in Iowa again.

**Udog** · 02-02-2016, 07:55 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 2

Hot teams
-- Celtics won five of their last six games (5-2 last 7AF).
-- Miami won its last four games (1-4 last 5AU).
-- Raptors had their 11-game win streak snapped last nite (4-2 last 6AF).
-- Portland won eight of its last ten games (6-1 last 7HF).

Cold teams
-- Knicks lost five of their last six games (5-7HU).
-- Houston lost its last three games (4-5 last 9HF).
-- Suns lost their last four games (5-3HU).
-- Bucks lost five of their last six games (0-4 last 4AU).
-- Minnesota lost six of its last seven games (1-2AF). Lakers lost their last ten games (3-2 last 5HU).

Series records
-- Knicks lost four of last five games with Boston.
-- Rockets lost eight of last ten games with Miami.
-- Suns won four of last five games with Toronto.
-- Bucks won six of last nine games with Portland.
-- Minnesota is 5-3 in its last eight games with the Lakers.

Totals
-- Five of last six New York games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Miami games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Phoenix games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Portland games stayed under.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Laker-Minnesota games.

Back/backs
-- Toronto is 5-2 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Milwaukee is 5-3 vs spread on road if it played night before.

NBA

Tuesday, February 2

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. NEW YORK
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Miami's last 23 games on the road
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games at home
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Toronto is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Phoenix is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto

10:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PORTLAND
Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Portland
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Portland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games
LA Lakers are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota

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**Udog** · 02-02-2016, 08:33 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 2

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BOSTON (27 - 22) at NEW YORK (23 - 27) - 2/2/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 75-58 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-5 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (27 - 21) at HOUSTON (25 - 25) - 2/2/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-77 ATS (-31.7 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 145-109 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.
HOUSTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
HOUSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (32 - 16) at PHOENIX (14 - 35) - 2/2/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHOENIX is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (20 - 30) at PORTLAND (23 - 26) - 2/2/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 329-398 ATS (-108.8 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 232-291 ATS (-88.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 142-102 ATS (+29.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (14 - 35) at LA LAKERS (9 - 41) - 2/2/2016, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 55-73 ATS (-25.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 326-387 ATS (-99.7 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 158-201 ATS (-63.1 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 142-184 ATS (-60.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 55-80 ATS (-33.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 32-45 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 55-86 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 70-99 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-02-2016, 08:40 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 2

Miami @ Houston

Game 703-704
February 2, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
117.312
Houston
119.447
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5
204
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+5); Under

Toronto @ Phoenix

Game 705-706
February 2, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
121.626
Phoenix
109.600
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 12
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 9
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-9); Over

Milwaukee @ Portland

Game 707-708
February 2, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
113.561
Portland
124.999
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 11 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 6
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-6); Over

Minnesota @ LA Lakers

Game 709-710
February 2, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
109.974
LA Lakers
113.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 3
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+4); Under

Boston @ New York

Game 701-702
February 2, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
118.906
New York
121.451
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 2 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+2 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 02-02-2016, 01:47 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, February 2

Boston at New York, 7:35 ET
Boston: 14-2 ATS in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent
New York: 43-26 OVER when playing 8 or more games in 14 days

Miami at Houston, 8:05 ET
Miami: 20-39 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins
Houston: 12-3 ATS when playing with 2 days rest

Toronto at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Toronto: 13-3 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more
Phoenix: 5-13 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog

Milwaukee at Portland, 10:05 ET
Milwaukee: 15-6 ATS off a road loss
Portland: 3-13 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers

Minnesota at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
Minnesota: 17-44 ATS off a close road loss of 3 points or less
Los Angeles: 9-1 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/2

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/2

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