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  • Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/30

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, January 30

    Good Luck on day #30 of 2016!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    How different college hoop conferences rank in statistical categories..........

    -- Best 3-point shooting leagues: 1) Atlantic Sun 38.6% 2) Big Sky 3) Summit

    -- Foul shooting: 1) Summit 74.3% 2) Big East 3) WCC 4) Atlantic 14

    -- Tempo: 1) Southland (72.3) 2) Horizon 3) Atlantic Sun 4) SEC

    -- Home W-L: 1) SEC 40-14 2) Southern 3) Big X 4) Pac-12

    -- Close games: 1) SWAC 2) Big West 3) Southern 4) Big South

    -- Turnover %: 1) NEC (20.6%) 2) MEAC 3) Ivy 4) MVC 5) Southland

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here........

    13) Chargers will play the 2016 season in San Diego; it remains to be seen where their permanent home will be, but this keeps the Raiders in limbo and gives the Rams LA to themselves, at least for next season- they'll share the Coliseum with USC. San Diego is the 8th-largest city in America; they're going to have an NFL team, whether it is the Chargers or someone else which plays into the Spanos family's decision to keep that door open. Not sure if the NFL would approve the Raiders going to Las Vegas.

    12) Over last 15 years, penalties called in NFL playoff games are 18% less than in the regular season, confirming our suspicions that referee supervisors micromanage their employees so badly it makes the game less fun to watch-- too many penalties.

    11) Player on the NHL's Calgary Flames cross-checked a linesman during a game and is suspended- he's lucky if they don't suspend him for a year for such a blatant try to injure.an official. Doesn't this genius realize the games are televised and they show replays of things that happen? He should be suspended just for being stupid.

    10) Paul Allen owns the Seahawks and Trailblazers; he is worth around $18B, and is said to be a good guy. Recently his yacht tore up 14,000 square feet of protected coral reef in the Cayman Islands-- he will be fined $600K, which is like fining me $25.

    9) Player on Manhattan got a technical foul for flopping, after the refs looked at an instant replay of the incident, where the Manhattan player acted like he got whacked in the head by the Iona guy who had the ball. First time I've seen a defender given a technical foul for faking it since back when I was in high school in the mid-70's.

    8) Golden State is a 17.5-point road favorite at Philly today, most an NBA visitor has been favored by since Miami was a 17-point favorite in New Orleans on April 2, 2008. Warriors are 14-7-1 as a road favorite this year.

    7) College football signing day is Wednesday, so you'll see coaches getting contract extensions, to reassure recruits the coach will be there throughout their playing days. Brian Kelly (ND) and Kyle Whittingham (Utah) got extensions late this week.

    6) Laker GM Mitch Kupchak's son is a freshman at UCSB, where he's started the last ten games for the Gauchos. Quite a compliment for a program if the GM of an NBA team sends his kid to play for you. UCSB is struggling this year, but has been a perennial upper-division team in the Big West.

    5) Barry Trotz was the coach of the Nashville Predators for 15 years, a really long time for a guy to coach the same pro team. This weekend he is back in Nashville as a coach in the NHL All-Star Game. He wouldn't be human if he didn't feel at least a little more satisfaction because the game is in Tennessee.

    4) How much time and effort goes into choosing which color tie a candidate wears during one of these Presidential debates? There have to be consultants for that, right?

    3) One of the anchors on CNN or MSNBC this week signed off for the hour by saying, "Don't forget to friend us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter". Somehow, and this will make me sound old, I'm sure, but I can't picture Walter Cronkite or Tom Brokaw ever saying that. I could be wrong.......

    2) Susan Sarandon introduced Bernie Sanders at a rally in Iowa this week; if you told me to guess how far apart in age those two are, I would've missed badly. Sanders is 74; Ms Sarandon is the most attractive 69-year old woman on the planet.

    1) One of my pet peeves is when people say "I can't write". Everyone can write; if you can talk, you can write. People get intimidated by the keyboard and the computer screen. if you get writer's block, take a tape recorder and talk into it. Tell stories, make lists, just talk. then transcribe the tape and, voila-- you've written!!!!

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Saturday, January 30



      Golden State @ Philadelphia

      Game 501-502
      January 30, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Golden State
      132.902
      Philadelphia
      113.493
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Golden State
      by 19 1/2
      225
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Golden State
      by 16 1/2
      217 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Golden State
      (-16 1/2); Over

      Detroit @ Toronto


      Game 503-504
      January 30, 2016 @ 6:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Detroit
      118.609
      Toronto
      129.277
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Toronto
      by 10 1/2
      196
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Toronto
      by 6 1/2
      204
      Dunkel Pick:
      Toronto
      (-6 1/2); Under

      Denver @ Indiana


      Game 505-506
      January 30, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Denver
      118.609
      Indiana
      122.947
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Indiana
      by 6 1/2
      199
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Indiana
      by 8 1/2
      208 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Denver
      (+8 1/2); Under

      Brooklyn @ New Orleans


      Game 507-508
      January 30, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Brooklyn
      112.313
      New Orleans
      115.498
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      New Orleans
      by 3
      214
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      New Orleans
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      New Orleans
      N/A

      Washington @ Houston


      Game 509-510
      January 30, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Washington
      122.150
      Houston
      120.732
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Washington
      by 1 1/2
      210
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Houston
      by 4
      218 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Washington
      (+4); Under

      Sacramento @ Memphis


      Game 511-512
      January 30, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Sacramento
      117.405
      Memphis
      116.583
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Sacramento
      by 1
      208
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Memphis
      by 3 1/2
      203 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Sacramento
      (+3 1/2); Over

      San Antonio @ Cleveland


      Game 513-514
      January 30, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      San Antonio
      131.500
      Cleveland
      125.681
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Antonio
      by 6
      211
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Antonio
      by 2
      205
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Antonio
      (-2); Over

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Saturday, January 30


        Hot teams
        -- Warriors won/covered last five games (14-7-1AF). 76ers split last six games, are 5-3 vs spread in last eight.
        -- Toronto won its last ten games (6-1 last 7HF).
        -- Nuggets split last four games, covered five of last six (9-4 last 13HF).
        -- Pelicans won three of last four games (4-1 last five HF).
        -- Memphis won six of its last seven games (7-2-1 last 10HF).
        -- Spurs won 14 of last 15 games (8-3 last 11AF). Cleveland won 13 of last 16 games (0-0HU).

        Cold teams
        -- Detroit is 4-6 in its last ten games (3-1 last 4AU).
        -- Indiana lost six of its last eight games (10-7HF).
        -- Brooklyn lost 11 of its last 13 games (0-3 last 3AU).
        -- Washington won five of its last six games (8-3 last 11AU). Rockets are 3-4 in last seven games (8-4 last 12HF).
        -- Sacramento lost its last three games (7-3 last 10AU).

        Series records
        -- 76ers lost last four games with Golden State (1-3 vs spread).
        -- Raptors won five of last seven games with Detroit.
        -- Nuggets won eight of last nine games with Indiana.
        -- Nets lost their last three games with New Orleans.
        -- Rockets won four of last five games with Washington.
        -- Grizzlies won nine of last ten games with Sacramento.
        -- Spurs won nine of last ten games with Cleveland; they lost here in OT last year.

        Totals
        -- Nine of last eleven Golden State games went over.
        -- Five of last seven Detroit games went over total.
        -- Eight of last nine Denver games went over total.
        -- Last six New Orleans games went over the total.
        -- Four of last five Washington games stayed under.
        -- Eight of last nine Memphis games went over total.
        -- Last four San Antonio games went over the total.

        Back/backs
        -- Detroit is 2-6 in last eight games if they played night before.
        -- Brooklyn is 4-3 vs spread on road if it played night before.
        -- Houston is 3-7 vs spread in last 10 games if it played night before.
        -- Cleveland is 3-4-1 vs spread if it played night before

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Saturday, January 30


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          5:00 PM
          GOLDEN STATE vs. PHILADELPHIA
          Golden State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Golden State
          Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State

          6:30 PM
          DETROIT vs. TORONTO
          Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
          Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Detroit
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

          7:00 PM
          DENVER vs. INDIANA
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games
          Denver is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 12 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing Denver

          7:00 PM
          BROOKLYN vs. NEW ORLEANS
          Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Brooklyn is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
          New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

          8:00 PM
          SACRAMENTO vs. MEMPHIS
          Sacramento is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Memphis
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing Memphis
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games at home
          Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

          8:00 PM
          WASHINGTON vs. HOUSTON
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games on the road
          Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          Houston is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games

          8:30 PM
          SAN ANTONIO vs. CLEVELAND
          San Antonio is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Antonio's last 12 games when playing Cleveland
          Cleveland is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing San Antonio
          Cleveland is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Antonio


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Long Sheet

            Saturday, January 30


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            GOLDEN STATE (42 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (7 - 40) - 1/30/2016, 5:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a home underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1996.
            PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
            GOLDEN STATE is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
            GOLDEN STATE is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games this season.
            GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
            GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
            GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
            PHILADELPHIA is 31-56 ATS (-30.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
            PHILADELPHIA is 10-31 ATS (-24.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
            PHILADELPHIA is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 38-55 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 98-141 ATS (-57.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DETROIT (25 - 22) at TORONTO (31 - 15) - 1/30/2016, 6:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DETROIT is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
            TORONTO is 160-202 ATS (-62.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TORONTO is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
            TORONTO is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
            6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DENVER (18 - 29) at INDIANA (24 - 22) - 1/30/2016, 7:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DENVER is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more this season.
            DENVER is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
            INDIANA is 114-148 ATS (-48.8 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
            INDIANA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
            DENVER is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BROOKLYN (12 - 35) at NEW ORLEANS (17 - 28) - 1/30/2016, 7:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
            NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WASHINGTON (20 - 24) at HOUSTON (25 - 24) - 1/30/2016, 8:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            HOUSTON is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
            HOUSTON is 297-238 ATS (+35.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
            HOUSTON is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            HOUSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            HOUSTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
            HOUSTON is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SACRAMENTO (20 - 26) at MEMPHIS (27 - 20) - 1/30/2016, 8:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            SACRAMENTO is 53-70 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            SACRAMENTO is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
            MEMPHIS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
            MEMPHIS is 147-112 ATS (+23.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
            MEMPHIS is 7-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
            7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SAN ANTONIO (39 - 7) at CLEVELAND (33 - 12) - 1/30/2016, 8:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            SAN ANTONIO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in all games this season.
            SAN ANTONIO is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
            SAN ANTONIO is 149-113 ATS (+24.7 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
            SAN ANTONIO is 277-221 ATS (+33.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 328-273 ATS (+27.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
            SAN ANTONIO is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
            SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment

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