Announcement

**Udog** · 01-19-2016, 09:43 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Home team won eight of last nine AFC title games; home team is 4-4 in last eight NFC title games.

-- Iowa State 82, Oklahoma 77-- Last time Cyclones beat a #1 team, the best player on the other team was Wilt Chamberlain (1957).

-- Syracuse 64, Duke 62-- Duke lost its last three games, all to unranked teams.

-- Greg Norman got dumped by FOX as its #1 golf analyst.

-- Indianapolis Colts named Brian Schottenheimer as their new QB coach.

-- There apparently is growing momentum to have the DH in both leagues.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but......

13) Detroit Tigers signed Justin Upton for $22M a year for six years, which tells me there is something about Yoenis Cespedes that the general public doesn't know. I'd rather have Cespedes than Upton, although Cespedes is two years older.

12) Warriors 132, Cavaliers 98-- Ugly no-show at home for Cleveland. You play the team that beat you in the Finals last year, you're supposed to compete.

11) Knicks 119, 76ers 113 2OT-- New York was 25-30 on the foul line; Philly was 13-25. Sixers had rallied back from down 18 late in third quarter.

10) Charlotte 124, Utah 119 2OT-- Solid set of afternoon games in the NBA. Kemba Walker had 52, the first Hornet ever to score 50+ points.

9) Purdue 107, Rutgers 57-- If you're in your third year as coach of a Big 14 team and you lose by 50 at home, it is time to start updating your resume. There are lot of good basketball players in New Jersey-- no excuse for Rutgers to be this bad.

8) Robert Morris won the NEC tournament LY, won a play-in game in the NCAAs, but last spring Clemson poached their best player, 6-3 G Marcquise Reed (he is sitting out this season at Clemson) and now Robert Morris is 4-15 and floundering. It is a free country, but poaching players from mid-majors is a growing trend and it stinks.

7) You'll see some Saturday afternoon NBA games starting later this month for this reason: the league now has a Saturday night TV deal in Europe- since they're 5-6 hours ahead of us, for games to be shown live there they have to be afternoon games here.

6) Odd stat: West Virginia won the Big East tournament in 2010, then made it to the Final Four in DeSean Butler's last year there; since then, the Mountaineers are 0-5 in conference tournament games- that surprised me.

5) Guy in the Australian Open Sunday night was wearing two different sneakers as he played, one black, one orange. Hopefully this is not a portent of the future. Some wiseguy said he probably has another pair just like that one back in his hotel. .

4) I enjoy the instant replay system in tennis; it is quick and it makes a difference.

3) This is the first time since 2004 that both conference championship games have the #1 seed playing #2 seed. Home sides were 4-0 this past weekend, after being 0-4 the week before. Sunday should be an interesting day.

2) It wound up not mattering Saturday night, but Patrick Peterson drew a taunting penalty as he ran back an INT for a TD, turning and waving to guys who were chasing him. How stupid can he be? If not for another Arizona penalty on the same play, he would've cost his team a TD in a game that wound up going to overtime. Wise up!!!

1) If you like politics or are interested by it, there is a good reality show on Showtime called The Circus, about this year's Presidential race. Lot of behind-the-scenes looks at rallies, interviews with candidates. Stuff we don't normally get to see.

**Udog** · 01-19-2016, 09:43 AM

Cashing in your NFL Conference Championship bets takes perfect timing

Oddsmakers are basically making the NFC Championship a push, giving the visiting Cardinals three points at Carolina.

Spread to bet now

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers (-3)

What to make of the Panthers? Carolina was driving a Ferrari in the first half against the Seahawks, but came out in the third period behind the wheel of a VW Beetle. It got just a little bit dicey in the late going as the Panthers went into a four-corner Dean Smith-type offense in the second half. Expected league MVP Cam Newton wound up throwing the ball only 22 times as the Panthers burned clock after going up big early.

The Panthers are unlikely to have their way in the late game against a Cardinals team that is ranked in the Top 10 in the NFL against the run, against the pass and overall. Books figure that this game is a push, giving the field goal to Arizona as the road team. There appear to be no major injuries or other factors that could alter that line, though early money is on Carolina to cover.

Spread to wait on

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (+3)

The Patriots are now paying the price for that debacle at Miami in the final game of the season in which they played much of the game to protect the health of Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski. A win over the pathetic Dolphins would have likely meant that the AFC title game would be played in Gillette Stadium (though the divisional round matchup would have been different), and New England would have been a solid touchdown favorite.

As it is, the Patriots are giving the three, based on New England’s bounce-back effort against white-hot Kansas City last week. New England’s defense is a notch better than Pittsburgh and no one can occupy Peyton Manning’s skull more effectively than Bill Belichick can. Bettors like New England two to one in the early going, but bear in mind that the Patriots and Brady have not ever fared well in Denver since the teams started going at it back in the 1960s.

Totals to watch

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers (47)

Both the Cardinals (9-7) and the Panthers (10-5-1) have been Over teams this season, led by MVP-candidate quarterbacks. More importantly, both teams have coaches who are now afraid to let the ball fly - even with the stakes so high.

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (44.5)

Interesting number, considering that when the teams played in late November, they put 48 points on the board in regulation. The Patriots offense is healthier now than it was two months ago and the Broncos have turned back to Manning, even though they had 433 total yards behind Osweiler in November.

**Udog** · 01-19-2016, 09:54 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 19

Milwaukee @ Miami

Game 701-702
January 19, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
118.435
Miami
119.425
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 5 1/2
192 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+5 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ New Orleans

Game 703-704
January 19, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
112.298
New Orleans
115.818
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 3 1/2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 5 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+5 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Phoenix

Game 705-706
January 19, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
116.935
Phoenix
107.396
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 9 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 5 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-5 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ Denver

Game 707-708
January 19, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
124.659
Denver
114.063
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 10 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 8
212
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-8); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 19

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MILWAUKEE (18 - 25) at MIAMI (23 - 18) - 1/19/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (13 - 29) at NEW ORLEANS (13 - 27) - 1/19/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 51-70 ATS (-26.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (22 - 19) at PHOENIX (13 - 29) - 1/19/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (30 - 12) at DENVER (16 - 25) - 1/19/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
DENVER is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 19

Tuesday's hot teams
-- Bucks won four of their last six games (7-3 last 10AU).
-- Thunder won six of their last seven games (5-8AF). Denver won three of its last four games (4-1-1 last six HU).

Cold teams
-- Miami lost four of its last five games (4-6 last 10HF).
-- Minnesota lost nine of its last ten games (2-5 last seven AU). New Orleans lost five of last seven games (3-7HF).
-- Pacers lost four of their last five games (5-4AF). Phoenix is 1-13 in its last fourteen games (3-2HU).

Series records
-- Bucks won their last four games with Miami.
-- Pelicans won their last four games with Minnesota.
-- Suns won four of last five games with Indiana.
-- Thunder won six of last seven games with Denver.

Totals
-- Five of last six Milwaukee-Miami games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Indiana games went over the total.
-- Last four Oklahoma City games stayed under total.

Back/backs
-- Pelicans are 5-4 vs spread if they played night before.

NBA

Tuesday, January 19

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MIAMI
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 16 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

9:00 PM
INDIANA vs. PHOENIX
Indiana is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games at home

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DENVER
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Oklahoma City is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Denver is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 01-19-2016, 02:35 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, January 19

Milwaukee at Miami, 7:35 ET
Milwaukee: 17-8 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog
Miami: 2-11 ATS in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games

Minnesota at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Minnesota: 3-11 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4
New Orleans: 22-11 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days

Indiana at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Indiana: 16-5 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4
Phoenix: 5-14 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6

Oklahoma City at Denver, 9:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 45-26 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games
Denver: 1-9 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/19

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/19

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