Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/16

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Saturday, January 16

Good Luck on day #16 of 2016!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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NBA Matchups

NBA Hot and Not

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Six teams that force the highest percentage of turnovers........

6) Texas State-- Despite that, still have #322 eFG% rate on offense.

5) Wichita State-- Shockers getting on a roll in Missouri Valley play.

4) Stephen F Austin-- Won first three Southland games by 20+ points.

3) VCU-- Not shooting 3's as well as they have in recent years.

2) Mount St Mary's-- 4-1 in NEC with only loss in double OT.

1) West Virginia-- Just beat Kansas; visit Oklahoma this afternoon.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but......

13) So it is January 16 and already my fantasy baseball team has a setback for the coming season. Jose Reyes got into an argument with his wife and was arrested back in October and the trail is starting April 4, which happens to be Opening Day. MLB will make an example of him ansd suspend him, so I guess I need a new shortstop.

12) Yoenis Cespedes is looking for a six-year, $132M deal; the Orioles are offering him $15-18M a year, not very close. No one else seems that interested, which makes me wonder why. Guy has been in the playoffs three times in his four MLB seasons.

11) Wal-Mart has roughly 11,600 stores worldwide; they're closing 269 of them. Is it possible some of these stores lose money, or just don't make enough?

10) They built a new arena in Las Vegas with no parking lot; in something that may or may not be related, MGM Grand and ten other Las Vegas hotels are going to start charging overnight parking fees (less than $10 a night).

MGM is also spending $54M on a new 3,000-space parking garage that will be near the new arena. The new arena is going to help local cabbies.

9) Antonio Brown/DeAngelo Williams are out for Sunday's game in Denver; could be that the biggest winner in Cincinnati last week was the Broncos.

8) Tampa Bay Bucs' coach Dirk Koetter was 26-10 at Boise State, 40-34 at Arizona State when he was a college coach- he was only 21-28 in Pac-12 games at ASU. His defensive coordinator in Tampa will be Mike Smith, the ex-coach of the Falcons.

7) Koetter's hiring gives Idaho State two alums as NFL head coaches, Marvin Lewis being the other one. Wouldn't have guessed that.

6) Detroit started season 1-7, went 6-2 after changing offensive coordinators, and that saved Jim Caldwell's job. Guess they didn't want to make Jim Bob Cooter their head coach, the way Tampa Bay did with Koetter.

5) Colts hired ex-Miami coach Joe Philbin as its offensive line coach. Vikings hired another ex-Dolphin coach, Tony Sparano as its OL coach.

4) Monmouth 110, Iona 102-- Hawks scored 66 points in second half of wild game that ended with near-brawl between teams in the handshake line. Winning is the good news for Monmouth; bad news is that there is no way King Rice will still be the coach there next season-- a school with deeper pockets will sign him up this spring.

3) Mavericks 83, Bulls 77-- Jimmy Butler had four points; he had 53 in Chicago's last game, an OT win in Philly. Bulls are not playing very well right now.

2) One of my least favorite rules in sports is the NBA rule where you can advance the ball into the frontcourt by calling a timeout. It is an artificial way to create drama at the end of games. I hear people on TV now pushing for college hoop to add the rule. Making college ball more like the NBA is not a positive change.

1) If the price of oil keeps going down, how come gas is still $2.29 a gallon at the greedy bastards' Mobil Mart up the road from my house?

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 16

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BOSTON (21 - 19) at WASHINGTON (19 - 19) - 1/16/2016, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (17 - 25) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 21) - 1/16/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 134-177 ATS (-60.7 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 7-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (11 - 29) at ATLANTA (23 - 17) - 1/16/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 74-60 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 8-7 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 10-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (18 - 24) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 37) - 1/16/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 96-140 ATS (-58.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (37 - 3) at DETROIT (21 - 18) - 1/16/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 80-57 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 79-60 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (20 - 21) at MEMPHIS (22 - 19) - 1/16/2016, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (9 - 32) at UTAH (17 - 22) - 1/16/2016, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (16 - 23) at LA CLIPPERS (26 - 13) - 1/16/2016, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 16

Saturday's hot teams
-- Washington won its last four games (2-7 last nine HF).
-- Hawks won four of last five at home (7-3 last ten HF).
-- Portland won its last three games (3-2AF).
-- Warriors won eight of last nine games (13-7-1AF).
-- Memphis won three of last four games (5-1 last six HF). Knicks won five of last seven games (6-3 last nine AU).
-- Clippers won their last ten games (4-1 last five HF). Sacramento is 4-3 in its last seven games (6-2 last eight AU).

Cold teams
-- Celtics lost four of last five games (1-4 last five AU).
-- Hornets lost eight of last nine games (2-4 last six HF). Bucks lost last three road games (6-4 last 10 AU).
-- Nets lost six of their last seven games (7-2 last nine AU).
-- 76ers lost six of their last seven games (3-8 last 11HU).
-- Detroit is 4-6 in its last ten games (2-3HU).
-- Lakers lost five of their last six games (5-11 last 16AU). Jazz lost five of last seven games (6-7HF).

Series records
-- Home side won last five Boston-Washington games.
-- Hornets won eight of last nine games with Milwaukee.
-- Hawks won three of last four games with Brooklyn.
-- Trailblazers won six of last eight games with Philly.
-- Warriors won last nine games (6-3 vs spread) with Detroit.
-- Knicks lost six of last seven games with Memphis.
-- Lakers lost three of last four games with Utah.
-- Clippers won last five games with Sacramento.

Totals
-- Seven of last ten Boston games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Charlotte games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Brooklyn-Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Portland games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Golden State games went over.
-- Four of last five Memphis games went over.
-- Six of last eight Laker games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Sacramento-Clipper games went over.

Back/backs
-- Boston is 5-4 vs spread if it played night before; Washington is 4-4.
-- Milwaukee is 8-2 vs spread if it played night before; Charlotte is 1-5.
-- Brooklyn 5-2 vs spread if it played night before; Atlanta is 4-5.
-- Portland 3-7 vs spread if it played the night before.

[Udog]

NBA

Saturday, January 16

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Milwaukee is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. PHILADELPHIA
Portland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-15-1 ATS in its last 22 games
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Portland

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. WASHINGTON
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

7:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. DETROIT
Golden State is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Golden State's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State

7:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. ATLANTA
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Brooklyn is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. MEMPHIS
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
New York is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games

9:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. UTAH
LA Lakers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Utah
LA Lakers are 3-19 SU in their last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

10:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. LA CLIPPERS
Sacramento is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Sacramento
LA Clippers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, January 16


Boston @ Washington

Game 501-502
January 16, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
118.866
Washington
125.032
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 6
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+1 1/2); Under

Milwaukee @ Charlotte

Game 503-504
January 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
117.261
Charlotte
119.736
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 2 1/2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 6
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+6); Under

Brooklyn @ Atlanta

Game 505-506
January 16, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
108.538
Atlanta
121.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 13
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 11
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-11); Over

Portland @ Philadelphia

Game 507-508
January 16, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
118.200
Philadelphia
110.795
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 7 1/2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 5 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-5 1/2); Over

Golden State @ Detroit

Game 509-510
January 16, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
125.691
Detroit
124.256
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 1 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+7 1/2); Under

New York @ Memphis

Game 511-512
January 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
120.939
Memphis
119.340
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 1 1/2
187
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 4
191
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+4); Under

LA Lakers @ Utah

Game 513-514
January 16, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
110.528
Utah
120.028
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 9 1/2
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7 1/2
190 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-7 1/2); Over

Sacramento @ LA Clippers

Game 515-516
January 16, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
115.834
LA Clippers
128.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 13
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 5 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-5 1/2); Over