Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/5

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, January 5

Good Luck on day #5 of 2016!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Matchup Links

NBA Matchups

NBA Hot and Not

NBA Injuries

NBA Referees


NCAAB Matchups

NCAAB Hot and Not

NCAAB Injuries




-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win this year's Super Bowl

9-2-- Arizona, New England-- Carson Palmer has zero playoff wins.

5-1-- Carolina-- Underrated team.

6-1-- Denver-- Only team to win a game this year without scoring a TD on offense and they did it twice, in Weeks 1-5

13-2-- Seattle-- Whacked Vikings 38-7 here five weeks ago.
11-1-- Pittsburgh-- Favorites are 10-6 vs spread in this round since 2011.

25-1-- Kansas City, Cincinnati-- Lewis/Dalton combo is 0-4 in playoffs.

35-1-- Green Bay, Minnesota-- At this point, wouldn't bet Packers with your money; they looked awful the last two weeks.

50-1-- Washington-- Won NFC East for second time in four years.

90-1-- Houston-- Won lousy division after starting season 2-5.

Late Night Update: Kansas 109, Oklahoma 106 (3OT)

-- One of best college basketball games I've ever seen.

-- Oklahoma was 16-33 from arc, Kansas 11-22, in a 55:00 game where eight kids played 43:00+. Buddy Hield played 54:00, scored 46 points, had 7 assists.

-- Sooners went 21:02 in this game without subbing once.

-- It is possible these teams could play three more times: Feb 13 in Norman, again in Big X tournament, then in Final Four????

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but........

13) Jets' owner Woody Johnson is finance manager for Jeb Bush's Presidential campaign, so of course Donald Trump had to bust his chops when the Jets didn't make the playoffs. 30 years ago, Trump tried to become an NFL owner; now world history may be different because he didn't get a team.

12) LSU hired a new defensive coordinator, Dave Aranda, who comes to the bayou from Wisconsin. What makes it interesting is that LSU-Wisconsin open next football season against each other at Lambeau Field in Green Bay.

11) Since start of the 1997 season, Dallas Cowboys are 152-152.

10) North Carolina 106, Florida State 90-- Brice Johnson had 39 points, 23 boards for Tar Heels, who ran all over the spineless Seminoles in Tallahassee.

9) West Virginia 95, TCU 87--- West Virginia's athletic department sold the hoop team down the river when they joined the Big X. Find a map and locate West Virginia. The other nine teams in the league are in Iowa, Kansas (2), Oklahoma (2), Texas (4). Not a lot of short road trips in that group-- Ames, Iowa is their shortest one.

For second game in row, a West Virginia player got a technical for doing a chin-up on the rim after a dunk- this kid got an loud earful from Bob Huggins.

8) Tom Coughlin's firing (you really think he quit?) ends an NFL-record streak of 183 straight games with same starting QB/head coach. Eli Manning has never played for another head coach in the NFL. 183 games is 11.5 years; thats a record that may go a long time before it is broken, same starting QB and head coach.

7) If I owned the Cleveland Browns, I hire Coughlin to run the whole operation; he had the expansion Jaguars in the playoffs in his second year there-- the guy still has a lot to offer and the Browns need structure and continuity.

6) Bobby Hurley has four technical fouls in his first 14 games as basketball coach at Arizona State; he went all-WWE Sunday night, getting thrown out of the game with 0:59 left in a home loss to Arizona. By way of contrast, someone posted on Twitter Monday that Northeastern coach Bill Coen has been there nine years and has never gotten even one technical foul.

5) Washington Huskies have a basketball player named Malik Dime who, fittingly, wears number 10. Mr Dime is an excellent shot blocker for the improved Huskies, who beat USC Sunday after being down 22 at one point.

4) Upset of the Day: Colts gave Chuck Pagano a contract extension, a total upset after they let the guy coach this year as a lame duck. It was just assumed Pagano was a goner, especially after the Colts struggled with Andrew Luck hurt, but Jim Irsay is the Colts' owner and he is an unusual guy. I think this was a good decision; you wonder if the GM will go, since Pagano and he have been at odds over personnel issues.

3) There is this guy on latenight TV commercials who looks like Rollie Fingers and sells pillows- they never say how much the pillows cost, but if you buy one, you get a second one for free. I had to look it up; the two pillows will set you back around $100- I am told that is too expensive, so I passed- they're supposedly good pillows.

2) It is my experience that the first foul shot of a game is the most difficult for most players; even really good shooters. If you're looking for a guy to foul at the end of the game, pick out someone who hasn't taken a free throw yet in that game.

1) If you're chilly this week (it is 7 degrees outside as I type this), keep in mind the PGA Tour starts Thursday in Kapalua. At least it is warm somewhere.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 5

Hot teams
-- Hawks won seven of last nine games, but lost to Knicks by 14 on Sunday (6-2 last 8HF).
-- Bulls won their last four games (6-13HF).
-- Sacramento won last two games, by 23-12 points (7-7AU).

Cold teams
-- Knicks lost five of their last seven games (3-6 last 9AU).
-- Bucks lost four of their last six games (5-1 last six AU).
-- Dallas lost last two games, by 7-24 points (8-4HF).

Series records
-- Knicks lost five of last seven games with Atlanta.
-- Bulls won seven of last ten games with Milwaukee.
-- Mavericks won six of last seven games with Sacramento.
-- Golden State is 6-1 in last seven games with Lakers (5-2 against the spread).

Totals
-- Seven of last eight New York-Atlanta games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Milwaukee-Chicago games stayed under.
-- Last seven Sacramento-Dallas games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Golden State-Laker games went over total.

Back/backs
-- Milwaukee is 7-1 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Sacramento is 4-4 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Golden State is 6-2 vs spread it it played night before




NBA

Tuesday, January 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New York's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHICAGO
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

8:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. DALLAS
Sacramento is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Sacramento is 3-21 SU in its last 24 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Dallas's last 18 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games

10:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. LA LAKERS
Golden State is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Golden State is 3-21 SU in their last 24 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (16 - 19) at ATLANTA (21 - 14) - 1/5/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 72-57 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 128-96 ATS (+22.4 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (14 - 22) at CHICAGO (20 - 12) - 1/5/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 9-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (14 - 20) at DALLAS (19 - 15) - 1/5/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 47-64 ATS (-23.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 22-36 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (32 - 2) at LA LAKERS (8 - 27) - 1/5/2016, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 5


New York @ Atlanta

Game 701-702
January 5, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
113.380
Atlanta
123.740
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 10 1/2
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 8
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-8); Under

Milwaukee @ Chicago

Game 703-704
January 5, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
114.975
Chicago
126.370
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 11 1/2
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 8
201
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-8); Under

Sacramento @ Dallas

Game 705-706
January 5, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
118.841
Dallas
120.683
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 5
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+5); Over

Golden State @ LA Lakers

Game 707-708
January 5, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
120.850
LA Lakers
118.677
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
N/A

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, January 5

New York at Atlanta, 8:05 ET
New York: 19-34 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
Atlanta: 17-7 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite

Milwaukee at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Milwaukee: 15-3 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5
Chicago: 7-24 ATS off a road win

Sacramento at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Sacramento: 7-18 ATS off a road win
Dallas: 12-4 UNDER in home games

Golden State at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
Golden St: 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
Los Angeles: 1-8 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog