Announcement

**Udog** · 01-04-2016, 07:33 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)

Most popular picks in Week 17 season record: 52-50-2

6) Buccaneers, +10.5 (254)-- Will Carolina rest its starters? L

5) Steelers -10.5 (317)-- Steelers need win and Jets to lose in Buffalo. W

T3) Jets, -3 ((327)-- Lot of opinions both ways in this critical game. L

T3) Giants, -3 (327)-- One coach is already fired; other one will be Monday L

2) Packers -3 (392)-- Winner gets home field in playoff game next week. L

1) Bills +3 (403)-- Rex Ryan can knock his old team out of the playoffs. W
**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday.....

13) Vikings 20, Packers 13-- Second abominable week in row for Green Bay, which now goes to Washington next week, while Seahawks visit Minnesota. If my team had Aaron Rodgers, I'd sure as hell find him some receivers who can get open.

12) Bills 22, Jets 17-- Jets had ball in red zone down 19-17 with just over 4:00 left; you figure they at worst get go-ahead FG, but Fitzpatrick threw INT in end zone and their season comes to an unfortunate end. Jets were +18 in turnovers in their ten wins, -15 in their six losses. Sometimes its that simple.

11) Steelers 28, Browns 12-- Cleveland fired its GM before the game, the coach after the game. Next year they'll have their sixth HC in nine years. Pittsburgh has had three head coaches since 1969. Hire a coach, then give some freakin' time. Oy.

10) Eagles 35, Giants 30-- Tom Coughlin will be in the Hall of Fame; he obviously doesn't want to retire, but Giants have had three straight losing seasons and only one playoff spot in last seven- that gets you fired.

But when you've won two Super Bowls you get to "resign" or "mutually agree to part ways". Has to be very awkward for the Giants' front office-- "....nothing ends well or else it wouldn't end". That line from the bartender in the Tom Cruise movie, Cocktail, whose name, coincidentally, was Doug Coughlin.

9) Colts 30, Titans 24-- Tennessee clinches first pick in draft; you know they're not taking a QB-- maybe they'll deal the pick for multiple selections. Cleveland will pick #2 and Dallas #3- those two teams will have very interesting offseasons.

8) Seahawks 36, Cardinals 6-- Seattle goes on road in playoffs next week but they are a team no one wants to play. Arizona gets the #2 seed and has next week off- they will want the #3 seed to win next week so they don't have to play Seahawks again.

7) Broncos 27, Chargers 20-- Peyton Manning came out of the bullpen with Broncos down 13-7 in third quarter, promptly led go-ahead TD drive, and has his starting job back. This winter, what will Denver do with Osweiler? Manning will be retired and the Broncos are going to need a franchise QB.

6) Texans 30, Jaguars 6-- Houston recovers from its 2-5 start to win the AFC South; when I watched Hard Knocks last summer, wasn't impressed with Bill O'Brien at all- thought he butchered the QB situation, and Texans did wind up starting five different QBs this season, but now they're in the playoffs, thanks to Andrew Luck being hurt and the division being a bad division.

5) Dolphins 20, Patriots 10-- New England is 2-4 in its last six games after their 10-0 start; Patriots had only 12 first downs, 196 TY. Hard to tell if they're playing possum or if they have real issues, but they'll have next week off to work on them.

4) Redskins 34, Cowboys 23-- Dallas went 1-7 at home this year; they'll have the #3 pick in April's draft. Tony Romo will turn 36 right around the time the draft happens; might be a good time to pick a franchise quarterback.

3) Lions 24, Bears 20-- Detroit won six of its last eight games and one of the losses was the Green Bay Hail Mary in that Thursday night game- the question is now, will they fire Jim Caldwell after almost everyone else got fired during the season?

2) Chiefs 23, Raiders 17-- KC started season 1-5, so just making playoffs is big deal; they head to Houston to face a team they're better than. Chiefs won 27-20 in season opener at Houston, then didn't win again for six weeks.

1) Panthers 38, Buccaneers 10-- Carolina is highly underrated; they're heading into playoffs at 15-1 and the #1 seed in the NFC. Last two Super Bowls were #1-seed vs #1-seed; in 20 years before that, it only happened once.

**Udog** · 01-04-2016, 07:35 AM

NFL Wildcard Weekend opens with three of four road teams favored

Kansas City is one of three of four road teams that are favored on Wildcard Weekend.

Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans

Wildcard weekend opens in Houston with the Texans hosting the red-hot Kansas City Chiefs, who have won 10 straight games and opened as three-point road favorites. The total opened at 41.

The Chiefs were 7-3 ATS during their 10 game win streak, but were just 1-3 ATS in their last four games. Meanwhile the Texans were 5-3 ATS at home and closed the season going 3-0 SU/ATS.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

In the second AFC Wildcard matchup, Cincinnati hosts rival Pittsburgh and with Bengals' starting quarterback Andy Dalton's status uncertain, the Steelers have opened as 2.5-point favorites. The total opened at 46.5.

The AFC North foes split the two games this season with Cincy winning in Week 8 16-10 in a game that closed as a Pick and Pittsburgh taking the Week 14 33-20 as 1-point dogs. The games went 1-1 O/U.

Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings

Sunday's Wildcard action kicks off in Minnesota, with two of the leagues hottest teams clash when the Seahawks visit the Vikings.

While it was Minnesota who went into Lambeau Field to take the NFC North crown from the Packers, it is the Seahawks who open as 3.5-point road favorites.

Seattle heads into the game covering six of the last seven games, including a 36-6 thumping of division rival Arizona in Week 17, while Minny was one of the NFL's best bets this season at 13-3 ATS. Seattle did go into Minnesota and thrash the Vikings 38-7 as 2.5-point faves in Week 12.

Green Bay Packers at Washington

Washington, perhaps surprisingly, opens as the lone home favorite in the final game of Wildcard weekend, hitting the board at -1 against visiting Green Bay. The total opened at 46.

Washington enters the game winner of four straight games SU and ATS, going over in each game. Meanwhile the Packers head into the playoffs losers of two in a row SU/ATS, getting outscored 58-21 in the process.

**Udog** · 01-04-2016, 07:49 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 4

Hot teams
-- Cleveland won eight of its last ten games (8-7HF). Raptors won four of their last six games (7-3AU).
-- Spurs won nine of their last ten games (9-5AF). Milwaukee won last two games, after losing six of previous eight (6-2 last 8HU).
-- Thunder won seven of last eight games (0-5 last five HF).
-- Utah won three of its last four games (3-2HU).
-- Portland won three of its last four games (4-2HU).
-- Golden State won seven of last eight games (6-3 last nine HF).

Cold teams
-- Minnesota lost six of its last seven games (1-1AF). 76ers lost three of last four games (2-10HU).
-- Miami lost two of its last three games (5-9 last 14HF). Pacers lost five of their last eight games (6-3AU).
-- Orlando lost three of its last five games (5-1 last six AU). Detroit lost four of its last five (8-1 last nine HF).
-- Brooklyn lost seven of last ten games (1-4 last five HU). Celtics are 4-5 in last nine games (3-3AF).
-- Sacramento lost three of last four games (7-7AU).
-- Houston lost its last four games (3-4AF).
-- Memphis lost its last three road games (4-3AF).
-- Hornets lost six of their last eight games (5-4AU).

Series records
-- 76ers lost six of last eight games with Philly.
-- Cavaliers won three of last four games with Toronto.
-- Pacers won five of last six games with Miami.
-- Pistons won their last three games with Orlando.
-- Road team won last four Boston-Brooklyn games.
-- Spurs won their last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder won nine of last ten games with Sacramento.
-- Rockets won eight of last ten games with Utah.
-- Grizzlies won eight of last ten games with Portland.
-- Warriors won last three games with Charlotte by 25-5-17.

Totals
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Minnesota-Philly games.
-- Six of last eight Toronto games went over the total. Cleveland's last seven games all went over.
-- Eight of last ten Indiana games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Orlando-Detroit games went over.
-- Four of last five Boston games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Nine of last ten Thunder-King games stayed under.
-- Last four Houston games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Memphis-Portland games went over.
-- Over is 3-1 in last four games for both Hornets/Warriors.

Back/backs
-- Toronto is 4-1 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Portland is 1-7 vs spread if it played the night before.

**Udog** · 01-04-2016, 07:55 AM

NBA

Monday, January 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
Toronto is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 15 games when playing Toronto

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana
Miami is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. BROOKLYN
Boston is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Brooklyn is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

7:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
Detroit is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Orlando

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games when playing Sacramento

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games

9:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. UTAH
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing at home against Houston

10:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Portland is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Memphis
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. GOLDEN STATE
Charlotte is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 01-04-2016, 08:07 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, January 4

Houston @ Utah

Game 515-516
January 4, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
119.519
Utah
120.986
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 1 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+2); N/A

Memphis @ Portland

Game 517-518
January 4, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
116.883
Portland
119.357
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 2 1/2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
N/A

Charlotte @ Golden State

Game 519-520
January 4, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
115,335
Golden State
128.796
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
N/A

Minnesota @ Philadelphia

Game 501-502
January 4, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
112.286
Philadelphia
110.645
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+5 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Cleveland

Game 503-504
January 4, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
121.120
Cleveland
126.279
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 5
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 8
192
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+8); Under

Orlando @ Detroit

Game 507-508
January 4, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
116.584
Detroit
124.598
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 8
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
N/A

Indiana @ Miami

Game 505-506
January 4, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
120.580
Miami
127.113
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 6 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2
191 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-2); Over

Boston @ Brooklyn

Game 509-510
January 4, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
122.807
Brooklyn
113.712
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 9
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 6 1/2
203
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-6 1/2); Under

San Antonio @ Milwaukee

Game 511-512
January 4, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
131,328
Milwaukee
120.128
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 11
186
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 9
192
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-9); Under

Sacramento @ Oklahoma City

Game 513-514
January 4, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
115.328
Oklahoma City
124.219
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 9
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 11
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+11); Over

**Udog** · 01-04-2016, 08:30 AM

NBA

Monday, January 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Raptors at Cavaliers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Raptors visit the Cavaliers Monday in a matchup where the underdog is 15-3 ATS in the last 18 meetings.

Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers (-8, 192)

Before beginning their longest road trip of the season, the surging Cleveland Cavaliers look to stay hot at home when they welcome Toronto to town on Monday night. The Cavaliers picked up a 104-79 win over Orlando on Saturday to extend their current winning streak to three and their home winning streak to five.

LeBron James scored 29 points on 11-of-18 shooting for Cleveland, which is 14-1 at home but will play six straight away from Quicken Loans Arena beginning Wednesday in Washington. Kyrie Irving added 13 points and five assists in his fifth game since returning from surgery and Kevin Love chipped in 10 points and 13 rebounds. "They know what they can be when they're all healthy and playing together," Cavaliers coach David Blatt told reporters of his star trio. "I think it gives them the kind of confidence and the kind of energy to be out there playing that way together. It’s a good sign." The Raptors are coming off a 115-113 loss to Chicago on Sunday and are beginning a five-game road trip of their own.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, Sportsnet ONE (Toronto), FSN Ohio (Cleveland)

LINE HISTORY: The Cavaliers opened this matchup as 8-point home favorites. The total hits the board at 192.

INJURY REPORT:

Raptors - None to report.

Cavaliers - SF L. James (probable Monday, illness), SG J. Harris (questionable Monday, foot).

POWER RANKINGS: Raptors (-7.1) - Cavaliers (-8) + home court (-3) = Cavaliers -3.9

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (21-14, 19-15 ATS, 16-18 O/U): Toronto entered Sunday as one of the better second-half teams in the league (+3.9 scoring margin) and at the top of the list when it came to the fourth quarter (+2.8), but it had no answer down the stretch for Bulls guard Jimmy Butler, who scored a team-record 40 points after intermission. DeMar DeRozan led the way in the loss with 24 points while Kyle Lowry had 22 and 10 assists. Those two combined for 47 points to lead the Raptors to a 103-99 win over the Cavaliers in the previous meeting Nov. 25.

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (22-9, 13-17-1 ATS, 13-18 O/U): Irving has been on a minutes restriction but has played just twice since Christmas and is nearing the point where Blatt can give him more time, especially after seeing Irving survive a head-first dive for a loose ball against Orlando that caused a tiny scare on the Cleveland sidelines. "There was a gasp of air but not only my teammates and staff but also everyone in the building and for me, too," Irving told the media. "That was one of those moments we all talk about as athletes when you come back from surgery and you're like, 'That was the moment for me.' That was the one. I was OK, I'm good." The Cavaliers are giving up 88 points on 40.4 percent shooting over their last 10 games (8-2).

TRENDS:

* Raptors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 road games.
* Under is 9-0 in Cavaliers last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-seven percent of wagers are backing the Raptors in this matchup of Eastern Conference contenders. As for the total, 64 percent of wagers are on the over.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 01-04-2016, 10:14 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, January 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (12 - 22) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 33) - 1/4/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 48-65 ATS (-23.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-47 ATS (-29.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 93-138 ATS (-58.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (21 - 14) at CLEVELAND (22 - 9) - 1/4/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (19 - 14) at MIAMI (20 - 13) - 1/4/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 10-6 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-7 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (19 - 15) at DETROIT (18 - 16) - 1/4/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (18 - 15) at BROOKLYN (10 - 23) - 1/4/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 67-50 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 27-7 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-5 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (29 - 6) at MILWAUKEE (14 - 21) - 1/4/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 273-217 ATS (+34.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 104-75 ATS (+21.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 231-286 ATS (-83.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 49-83 ATS (-42.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (13 - 20) at OKLAHOMA CITY (24 - 10) - 1/4/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 46-64 ATS (-24.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (16 - 19) at UTAH (15 - 17) - 1/4/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
UTAH is 62-48 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 52-27 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (18 - 17) at PORTLAND (15 - 21) - 1/4/2016, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 9-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 11-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (17 - 16) at GOLDEN STATE (31 - 2) - 1/4/2016, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 01-04-2016, 12:02 PM

Football bettors must react quickly to these NFL Wild Card odds

Are oddsmakers making a mistake by settling such a low total for the Seahawks and Vikings' Wild Card showdown?

Spread to bet now

Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans (+3)

The Texans are a home dog, as well they should be. Kansas City is - on paper anyway - the most dangerous Wild Card team in the field. The Chiefs come in with 10 wins in a row (cautionary note: they were just 1-3 ATS in the final four games of the regular season) and still somewhat under the radar.

Most importantly, over the second half of the season, the Chiefs dominated teams when they go on the road: 20-point win at Baltimore, 14-point win at Oakland, 30-point win at San Diego, 16-point win at Denver.

Early betting is heavily on the Chiefs in this one, so if you can grab Kansas City and have to lay only the field goal, it could be a smart move. Books are cautious about adding that extra half point, but may have no choice in this one.

Spread to wait on

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (+2.5)

Reputation could be one factor as bettors have jumped hard on the Steelers in this one in early wagering. The Bengals always seem to find a way to lose playoff games and the foundation of the team came crumbling down in mid-December when franchise QB Andy Dalton suffering a thumb fracture trying to make a tackle. A.J. McCarron is 1-1 as the replacement, and McCarron brings oodles of confidence and zero experience into the biggest game of his pro life.

Home field might not be of much help in this one, because the road team won both games this season: the Steelers winning that Dalton/thumb game only a few weeks ago, 33-20. The Steelers scored a lot of points over the final half of the regular season, averaging almost 32 points per game in their final eight games. That production is appealing to public bettors.

Total to watch

Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings (42)

What? 42? Yes, Pete Carroll gets all weird when the Seahawks get near the goal line, but Seahawks have been crushing it lately. Books must be looking at the game these teams played in Minnesota in early December (Seattle, 38-7) and figuring that coaches get a little more conservative in the playoffs.

But the Vikings aren’t the same team they were a month ago, and they are averaging almost 33 points a game over the last three. Point-loving football bettors have to be banging the Over pretty hard on this one.

**Udog** · 01-04-2016, 01:38 PM

Wild NBA scheduling betting trend is producing 80 percent winners

The Golden State Warriors fall into a profitable NBA betting trend this week but basketball bettors should keep an eye on the health of Stephen Curry.

The NBA season is a little over two months old and there have been little in the way of surprises this year. The top two teams were expected to be the Warriors and Spurs (and they are). And the best team out East was expected to be Cleveland (and it is).

Perhaps the only surprise has been the play of the three other Western Conference semifinalists from last season (Rockets, Clippers and Grizzlies), as each of those teams has struggled. But with three fifths of the season to go, there's more than enough time for teams to get their groove back. Let's take a look at the upcoming week.

Spread watch

Go figure. The Clippers had underwhelmed through the game versus the Lakers on Christmas, in which Blake Griffin tore his left quadriceps tendon. At December 25, the Clippers were 17-13 SU and 10-16-4 ATS and they failed to cover the spread by an average of 2.6 points per game. But, in their five games without their best player, they're a perfect 5-0 both SU and ATS and they've covered by an average of 9.9 points in those games.

I'm not ready to proclaim that the Clippers are back to being contenders. After all, the five teams they defeated (Utah, Washington, Charlotte, New Orleans and Philadelphia) have losing records. This week, the Clippers' schedule remains soft, with zero games against winning teams. As they say, timing is everything.

If the Clippers had lost Griffin immediately before a difficult stretch in their schedule, they would have felt his absence much more. As it stands, they've been able to win without him. But this, I believe, sets them up for a loss at Portland Wednesday, given that the Clippers have only covered 22 of their last 63 on the road if they were on a four-game (or better) pointspread win streak.

Total watch

Kyrie Irving returned to the Cleveland Cavaliers' lineup against Philadelphia on December 20. Since then, Cleveland has gone Under the total in seven straight games. The primary reason has been on the defensive end. Cleveland has held its last seven opponents to 89.57 points per game, compared to a defensive average of 96.0 ppg at the time Irving returned.

This week, Cleveland has a home game versus Toronto, prior to going on the road to play the Wizards, T-Wolves and Sixers. Washington has also played its last four (and six of its last seven) games Under the total. The first meeting between the teams this season went Under by 23 points, so that will be a situation to watch.

Injury watch

Stephen Curry missed two full games (at Dallas, at Houston) and most of a third (vs. Denver) last week, due to a bruised lower left leg. His status is day-to-day, so it's unclear if he will be on the hardwood Monday versus Charlotte or Tuesday versus the Lakers.

Should Curry be sidelined, I feel it would be worthwhile to bet against Golden State. He's actually worth more than Las Vegas gave him credit for in the Warriors' two games in Texas last week. In particular, I really like the Charlotte situation Monday, as the Hornets lost their previous game by 19 points to the Thunder and Charlotte has covered five straight off a loss by more than 10 points.

Schedule watch

There's always a lot made of the NBA schedule with regard to back-to-back games, four games in five nights, etc. So much so, that the league made a conscious decision this summer to reduce the number of those situations. But this season, the least rested teams have been an ATM machine at the sportsbook.

Unrested teams playing their fifth game in seven nights are a spectacular 28-7-1 ATS this season, including a perfect 9-0 ATS if these tired team's boast a win percentage at least .133 better than its opponent's win percentage.

This week, we will have four teams fall into our general angle: Golden State (at Lakers, Jan. 5), Toronto (at Philly, Jan. 9), Miami (at Utah, Jan. 9), and Utah (at Lakers, Jan. 10). And the chances are good that all four will also fall into our .133 win percentage differential tightener (check Miami/Utah's win percentages on Jan. 9).

The Golden State situation (at the Lakers) would be my fave of the bunch, given that the Warriors are 20-7-2 ATS their last 29 when playing without rest, while the Lakers are 6-14 ATS their last 20 when playing foes in a five game/seven nights situation.

**Udog** · 01-04-2016, 07:05 PM

NBA

Monday, January 4

Cavs allowing 86.2 ppg in last 9 vs East teams. Under 9-0 in those games. Last over against East team... vs Raps

Since starting 9-0 ATS on the road, the T-Wolves are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Currently -6 @ PHI

Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/4

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/4

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment