Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/3

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, January 3

Good Luck on day #3 of 2016!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Matchup Links

NBA Matchups

NBA Hot and Not

NBA Injuries

NBA Referees


NCAAB Matchups

NCAAB Hot and Not

NCAAB Injuries




-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)

Most popular picks in Week 17 season record: 50-47-2

6) Buccaneers, +10.5 (254)-- Will Carolina rest its starters?

5) Steelers -10.5 (317)-- Steelers need win and Jets to lose in Buffalo.

T3) Jets, -3 ((327)-- Lot of opinions both ways in this critical game.

T3) Giants, -3 (327)-- One coach is already fired; other one will be Monday

2) Packers -3 (392)-- Winner gets home field in playoff game next week. .

1) Bills +3 (403)-- Rex Ryan can knock his old team out of the playoffs.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.....

13) TCU 47, Oregon 41 OT-- Hasn't been a great bowl season, but this game was an epic comeback by TCU, which trailed 31-0 at halftime-- their star QB was arrested, suspended after a bar fight during the week. This ties the record for biggest comeback in a bowl game, tying Texas Tech's comeback from a 38-7 deficit to beat Minnesota in 2006 Insight Bowl-- the Gophers' coach was fired shortly after that

12) SEC football-- SEC teams kicked butt in the bowls, winning/covering eight of ten bowls, with only losers Florida/Texas A&M, both of whom had severe deficiencies at quarterback. Hell, LSU has a lousy QB and they hung half a hundred on Texas Tech.

11) Oklahoma 87, Iowa State 83-- Monday night's Kansas-Oklahoma game will be a showdown between #1-#2 teams in country. Jayhawks pounded on Baylor, making 11-19 from arc. Sooners won a tough game over a veteran Cyclone squad.

10) Xavier 88, Butler 69-- Bulldogs went 11-1 pre-conference but are now 0-2 in Big East and the 11-1 stuff is all forgotten. Their Big East opponents shot 22-47 from arc and that won't last, so this is just a bump in the road for Butler.

9) Iowa 70, Purdue 63-- Boilermakers honored the great shooter Rick Mount at half of this game, when they led by 17, but then Hawkeyes made an unlikely comeback and are now 2-0 in Big 14 play. Purdue has terrific big guys; how good are their guards?

8) LSU 90, Vanderbilt 82-- ESPN now has a "beat-it-to-death" approach to how they promote their network; you'd think Ben Simmons was a combination of Dr J, Lebron and Kareem the way they hype his every move. LSU-Kentucky is on Tuesday, if you missed it. Simmons is really good- he had 37 points, 14 rebounds in this game.

7) West Virginia 43, Arizona State 42-- Are football coaches stupid? Arizona State scored a TD with 4:58 left to go up 41-36; at that point, there is no difference between being up by 5 or 6 points- you lose if West Virginia scores a TD, so ASU has to go for two points, but they don't. And they lose. Their coach makes $2.7M a year- this isn't the first time this year that happened. Tennessee lost to Florida in a similar fashion.

6) West Virginia 87, Kansas State 83 2OT-- Good day to be a Mountaineer; about 12 hours before the football team won, the hoop team pulled out a game in Manhattan in a brickfest where teams combined to go 6-39 from arc. Wouldn't want to have been a ref for this game-- ton of loose balls, lot of close calls, two screaming coaches.

5) Southern Illinois 75, Northern Iowa 73-- Two years ago, Barry Hinson publicly berated his Salukis, some of the kids fired back and a mutiny had to be averted. Now SIU is 13-2 and no one is getting berated. This is a huge win for Hinson, whose only losses this year are by total of seven points to UTEP, SI-Edwardsville.

4) Gonzaga 102, San Francisco 94 OT-- Dons had double digit lead in second half, but couldn't close the deal. Zags are 12-3 but not as strong as usual.

3) Montana State 74 Northern Arizona 72 OT-- Lumberjacks are 0-11 vs teams in D-I, but lost first two Big Sky games in overtime- they were up 8 with 2:55 left in this game. Not the best way to start a new year.

2) North Carolina 86, Georgia Tech 78-- Tech is improved, Carolina still struggles shooting from arc- they were 2-12 here.

1) Auburn 83, Tennessee 77-- Bruce Pearl's new team beats Bruce Pearl's old team, ending a 7-game series losing streak. Auburn has some injury issues, so they've been struggling, but this win had to make him feel good. Auburn's Kareem Canty is fun to watch if you like shameless gunners, but he's really good, shooting 41.2% from arc.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, January 3


Atlanta @ New York

Game 801-802
January 3, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
120.124
New York
118.596
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 4 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+4 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Toronto

Game 803-804
January 3, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
124.101
Toronto
122.289
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+3 1/2); N/A

Miami @ Washington

Game 805-806
January 3, 2016 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
119.512
Washington
123.716
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
Pick
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
Under

Portland @ Denver

Game 807-808
January 3, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
114.328
Denver
118.499
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 4
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
N/A

Phoenix @ LA Lakers

Game 809-810
January 3, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.989
LA Lakers
107.873
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 1 1/2
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+1 1/2); Under




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 3

Hot teams
-- Hawks won seven of their last eight games (1-3 last four AF).
-- Toronto won four of its last five games (2-8 last 10 HF). Bulls won four of their last five games (1-6 last seven AU).
-- Miami won three of its last four road games (2-4AU). Wizards won five of their last seven games (4-6HF).
-- Portland won three of its last four games.
-- Lakers won last two games, after losing six of their previous seven games (1-2HF).

Cold teams
-- New York lost five of its last six games (3-5HU).
-- Nuggets lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Phoenix lost its last eight games (2-6 vs spread).

Series records
-- Knicks lost five of last six games with Atlanta.
-- Bulls won their last six games with Toronto.
-- Wizards won their last four games with Miami.
-- Portland won nine of last ten games with Denver.
-- Lakers lost their last five games with Phoenix.

Totals
-- Six of last seven New York-Atlanta games went over.
-- Five of last six Chicago-Toronto games went over.
-- Last six Miami-Washington games went over total.
-- Five of last six Portland-Denver games went over.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Phoenix-Laker games.

Back/backs
-- Denver is 4-4 vs spread if it played night before




NBA

Sunday, January 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. TORONTO
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago

3:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. NEW YORK
Atlanta is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New York's last 10 games
New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta

6:00 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. DENVER
Portland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Portland

9:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. LA LAKERS
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix
LA Lakers are 5-19 SU in their last 24 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (21 - 13) at NEW YORK (15 - 19) - 1/3/2016, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 72-56 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (19 - 12) at TORONTO (21 - 13) - 1/3/2016, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 77-44 ATS (+28.6 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (19 - 13) at WASHINGTON (15 - 16) - 1/3/2016, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 351-420 ATS (-111.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 162-206 ATS (-64.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (14 - 21) at DENVER (12 - 21) - 1/3/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 9-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (12 - 23) at LA LAKERS (7 - 27) - 1/3/2016, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 58-39 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 140-181 ATS (-59.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, January 3

Atlanta at New York, 3:35 ET
Atlanta: 16-5 ATS after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread
New York: 2-11 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents

Chicago at Toronto, 3:35 ET
Chicago: 18-8 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite
Toronto: 6-18 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days

Miami at Washington, 6:05 ET
Miami: 1-13 ATS after allowing 85 points or less
Washington: 11-3 ATS after playing a home game

Portland at Denver, 9:05 ET
Portland: 51-32 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Denver: 1-11 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games

Phoenix at LA Lakers, 9:35 ET
Phoenix: 17-6 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less
Los Angeles: 3-13 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more