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Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, January 23
UConn won three of last four games with Georgetown, losing in double OT in last meeting three years ago. Hoyas won seven of last nine games; they're 4-2 in true road games, losing by 4 at Maryland, 13 at Creighton. UConn won last two games by 15-18 points; they beat Ohio State by 20, Memphis by 3 in only top 100 home games. Big East teams are 4-0 vs AAC teams this season (3-1 vs spread).
Oklahoma won five of last seven games with Baylor; Sooners won two of last three visits to Waco. Bears won last five games overall, are 3-0 in Big X home games, winning by 17-28-7ot points. Oklahoma lost two of three Big X road games with only win by hoop at Oklahoma State- they lost in triple OT at Kansas, by 5 at Iowa State. Big X home underdogs are 5-5 vs spread. Sooners are shooting 45.7% on arc, best in US.
Kansas won 13 of last 16 games with Texas, winning last four here, by 10-26-31-5 points. Jayhawks lost two of last three games, losing by 19 at Oklahoma State last game, when they were outscored 43-29 in second half. Last eight Texas games were decided by 8 or less points; Longhorns won last three, winning last game at West Va. Big X home underdogs of 8+ points are 4-5 vs spread. Texas is 2-2 on road, losses by 1-8 points.
Duke lost its last three games by total of nine points, could fall out of top 25 with loss in this game, vs NC State team they've beaten 14 of last 17 meetings, winning last eight played here, seven by 13+ points. Duek is 2-1 as ACC road favorite. Wolfpack upset Pitt for first ACC win in six tries; they're 0-2 in ACC home games, losing by 5-7 points. ACC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 6-2 vs spread.
Nebraska won its last four games after starting 0-3 in Big 14; Huskers are 0-5 vs Michigan in Big 14 play, losing by 1-16 in games played in Lincoln. Michigan split last four games after starting season 12-3; its one Big 14 road win in three tries was by 10 at Illinois. Michigan is shooting 40.2% on arc in league play. Big 14 home teams are 4-9 vs spread in games where spread was 5 or less points.
UCLA is 3-2 in its last five games with Oregon; Bruins lost two of last three visits here, losing by 18 LY. UCLA won three of last four games after getting swept on Washington trip; Bruins are 2-2 in true road tilts, winning at Gonzaga/Oregon State. Ducks are 3-0 in Pac-12 home games, winning by 3-13-8 points; Oregon is 15-4 against the #22 schedule, so they've been tested. Pac-12 home favorites of 5+ points are 7-4.
Louisville won its last two games by 18-19 points since getting upset at Clemson; Cardinals are 4-1, 2nd in ACC- they're 1-3 in true road games, with win by 5 at NC State. Georgia Tech lost four of five games after its 10-3 start; Jackets split pair of home games, with two games decided by total of 7 points. Louisville won 52-51 (-5.5) in Atlanta LY, in teams' first ACC meeting- Cardinals have #3 eFG% defense in country.
Kentucky is 11-2 in last 13 games with Vanderbilt, winning last seven in Rupp Arena, last four all by 9 or less points. Wildcats are 4-2 in SEC, with four of six on road; they swept Mississippi schools at home by 22-6 points. Vandy scored 78 ppg in winning last three games; they're 1-4 in true road games, with three losses by five or less points SEC home favorites are 13-9 against the spread.
Butler-Creighton split first four Big East meetings, going 1-1 in each gym with last three all decided by 5 or less points. Bulldogs' two wins over Creighton LY were by total of 5 points. Butler is 2-5 vs top 50 teams, losing all four Big East games s top 50 teams- they're 2-2 in road games, winning at Cincy, DePaul. Creighton lost two of its three Big East home games. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-3 vs spread.
Michigan State lost its last three games, but is favored over a Maryland squad that is 11-1 in last 12 games, with only loss by 3 at Michigan. Big 14 home teams are 4-9 vs spread in games where spread was 5 or less points. Spartans are putting foes on foul line most of anyone in league, not getting there much themselves; they miss injured G Nairn. Maryland is 2-2 in true road games, winning at Northwestern, Wisconsin.
Tex-Arlington won last three games with Ark-Little Rock by 4-7-9, with teams splitting two games played here. Teams are tied in loss column on top of Sun Belt. UTA won its three Sun Belt home games by 15-20-27 points. Trojans are 3-1 on Sun Belt, splitting pair of 3-point decisions in last two games. UALR force turnovers 23.3% of time (#10). Sun Belt home favorites of 8 or less points are 7-5 vs spread.
Nevada is 3-2 in last five games with UNLV after Rebels had won eight in row over Wolf Pack before that. UNLV won five of six visits to Reno; they're 3-0 overall since changing coaches, winning at Utah State in last game. Nevada is 3-3 in MW despite playing four of six games on foreign soil; Wolf Pack is 6-1 at home, with only loss by 7 to Boise. Mountain West home underdogs are 4-7 against the spread.
Belmont/Tennessee State are last two unbeatens in OVC, Bruins won 11 of last 12 games with TSU, winning last six played here, with four of six won by 11+ points. Belmont won its last seven games after a 7-6 start, winning all three OVC home games by 26-8-18 points. State won its two OVC home games by 5-6 points; they lost by 5 at Tennessee in only top 100 game this season. OVC home favorites are 16-11 vs spread.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, January 23
UConn won three of last four games with Georgetown, losing in double OT in last meeting three years ago. Hoyas won seven of last nine games; they're 4-2 in true road games, losing by 4 at Maryland, 13 at Creighton. UConn won last two games by 15-18 points; they beat Ohio State by 20, Memphis by 3 in only top 100 home games. Big East teams are 4-0 vs AAC teams this season (3-1 vs spread).
Oklahoma won five of last seven games with Baylor; Sooners won two of last three visits to Waco. Bears won last five games overall, are 3-0 in Big X home games, winning by 17-28-7ot points. Oklahoma lost two of three Big X road games with only win by hoop at Oklahoma State- they lost in triple OT at Kansas, by 5 at Iowa State. Big X home underdogs are 5-5 vs spread. Sooners are shooting 45.7% on arc, best in US.
Kansas won 13 of last 16 games with Texas, winning last four here, by 10-26-31-5 points. Jayhawks lost two of last three games, losing by 19 at Oklahoma State last game, when they were outscored 43-29 in second half. Last eight Texas games were decided by 8 or less points; Longhorns won last three, winning last game at West Va. Big X home underdogs of 8+ points are 4-5 vs spread. Texas is 2-2 on road, losses by 1-8 points.
Duke lost its last three games by total of nine points, could fall out of top 25 with loss in this game, vs NC State team they've beaten 14 of last 17 meetings, winning last eight played here, seven by 13+ points. Duek is 2-1 as ACC road favorite. Wolfpack upset Pitt for first ACC win in six tries; they're 0-2 in ACC home games, losing by 5-7 points. ACC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 6-2 vs spread.
Nebraska won its last four games after starting 0-3 in Big 14; Huskers are 0-5 vs Michigan in Big 14 play, losing by 1-16 in games played in Lincoln. Michigan split last four games after starting season 12-3; its one Big 14 road win in three tries was by 10 at Illinois. Michigan is shooting 40.2% on arc in league play. Big 14 home teams are 4-9 vs spread in games where spread was 5 or less points.
UCLA is 3-2 in its last five games with Oregon; Bruins lost two of last three visits here, losing by 18 LY. UCLA won three of last four games after getting swept on Washington trip; Bruins are 2-2 in true road tilts, winning at Gonzaga/Oregon State. Ducks are 3-0 in Pac-12 home games, winning by 3-13-8 points; Oregon is 15-4 against the #22 schedule, so they've been tested. Pac-12 home favorites of 5+ points are 7-4.
Louisville won its last two games by 18-19 points since getting upset at Clemson; Cardinals are 4-1, 2nd in ACC- they're 1-3 in true road games, with win by 5 at NC State. Georgia Tech lost four of five games after its 10-3 start; Jackets split pair of home games, with two games decided by total of 7 points. Louisville won 52-51 (-5.5) in Atlanta LY, in teams' first ACC meeting- Cardinals have #3 eFG% defense in country.
Kentucky is 11-2 in last 13 games with Vanderbilt, winning last seven in Rupp Arena, last four all by 9 or less points. Wildcats are 4-2 in SEC, with four of six on road; they swept Mississippi schools at home by 22-6 points. Vandy scored 78 ppg in winning last three games; they're 1-4 in true road games, with three losses by five or less points SEC home favorites are 13-9 against the spread.
Butler-Creighton split first four Big East meetings, going 1-1 in each gym with last three all decided by 5 or less points. Bulldogs' two wins over Creighton LY were by total of 5 points. Butler is 2-5 vs top 50 teams, losing all four Big East games s top 50 teams- they're 2-2 in road games, winning at Cincy, DePaul. Creighton lost two of its three Big East home games. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-3 vs spread.
Michigan State lost its last three games, but is favored over a Maryland squad that is 11-1 in last 12 games, with only loss by 3 at Michigan. Big 14 home teams are 4-9 vs spread in games where spread was 5 or less points. Spartans are putting foes on foul line most of anyone in league, not getting there much themselves; they miss injured G Nairn. Maryland is 2-2 in true road games, winning at Northwestern, Wisconsin.
Tex-Arlington won last three games with Ark-Little Rock by 4-7-9, with teams splitting two games played here. Teams are tied in loss column on top of Sun Belt. UTA won its three Sun Belt home games by 15-20-27 points. Trojans are 3-1 on Sun Belt, splitting pair of 3-point decisions in last two games. UALR force turnovers 23.3% of time (#10). Sun Belt home favorites of 8 or less points are 7-5 vs spread.
Nevada is 3-2 in last five games with UNLV after Rebels had won eight in row over Wolf Pack before that. UNLV won five of six visits to Reno; they're 3-0 overall since changing coaches, winning at Utah State in last game. Nevada is 3-3 in MW despite playing four of six games on foreign soil; Wolf Pack is 6-1 at home, with only loss by 7 to Boise. Mountain West home underdogs are 4-7 against the spread.
Belmont/Tennessee State are last two unbeatens in OVC, Bruins won 11 of last 12 games with TSU, winning last six played here, with four of six won by 11+ points. Belmont won its last seven games after a 7-6 start, winning all three OVC home games by 26-8-18 points. State won its two OVC home games by 5-6 points; they lost by 5 at Tennessee in only top 100 game this season. OVC home favorites are 16-11 vs spread.
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