The Bum's National Basketball League January Picks/Trends/News !!

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, JANUARY 16

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MIL at CHA 07:00 PM

MIL +6.5 BEST BET


GS at DET 07:30 PM

DET +7.0 BEST BET

O 215.5 BEST BET



BK at ATL 07:30 PM

ATL -11.0

U 206.0


POR at PHI 07:30 PM

POR -6.0


BOS at WAS 07:30 PM

WAS +1.0

U 209.5


NY at MEM 08:00 PM

NY +5.0


LAL at UTA 09:00 PM

UTA -7.5

U 191.0 BEST BET


SAC at LAC 10:30 PM

SAC +6.0

O 215.5 BEST BET

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- Get well soon to ESPN's Chris Mortenen, who has taken a leave of absence so he can get treatment for throat cancer. We obviously wish him well.

-- Orioles signed Chris Davis for seven years, $161M. Good deal for both sides.

-- Royals signed Ian Kennedy for five years, $70M. Pitchers rake in the cash.

-- Scumweasel agent Scott Boras did roughly $300M in deals in a 48-hour span late this week. 4% of $300M is $12M or so-- pretty good week's work.

-- Tennessee Titans made interim coach Mike Mularkey their full-time coach.

-- Our thoughts and prayers to singer Celine Dion, who lost her husband to cancer this week, then lost her brother to the same disease 48 hours later.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday......

13) Cardinals 26, Packers 20 OT-- Tremendous drama at the end. Some thoughts:

-- No matter what, Aaron Rodgers is freakin' awesome.
-- Football coaches try to get cute with clock mamagement and wind up looking like stupid people. Sometimes being conservative is the right play.
-- Media has to be happy that the possibility of a trip to Green Bay next week is out.
-- How hard is it to flip a coin? How do you do it without the coin turning over?
-- For the last 24 years, Green Bay has had Favre/Rodgers at QB, two Hall of Famers. They've won two Super Bowls, which has to be described as underachieving.
-- Mike McCarthy has lost seven playoff games, five on the last play of the game.

12) Really a fun day, watching college basketball for 13 hours, except for Cardinal game mixed in there. I'm not sure what the right word is, but it is hard to tell what will happen from one day to the next. Parity-unpredictability-mediocrity?

11) Oklahoma 70, West Virginia 68-- If these teams played for the national title, it wouldn't be a big shock. Really high level game. Kenpom.com has Big X with three of the five best teams in the country-- these two plus Kansas.

10) VCU 94, Richmond 89 OT-- Game seems like it was two days ago, but it was a 2pm game. Neighborhood rivalries are awesome; these schools are five miles apart.

Richmond had a 2-point lead and the ball with 1:47 left in regulation; they come out of a timeout with six men on the floor-- one-shot technical foul. Game winds up going to OT and Richmond lost-- coach Mooney's brush-by handshake with Will Wade was not very friendly. The rematch at VCU will be interesting.

9) Clemson 76, Miami 65-- In last seven days, Tigers beat Louisville-Duke-Miami, all at home. At some point they have to go on the road, but what a week!!!!

8) Notre Dame 95, Duke 91-- Duke can't defend because if they get in foul trouble, they're screwed since they have zero depth- six good players. Irish have now won four of their last five games against the Blue Devils.

7) North Carolina 67, NC State 55-- This is hard to believe, but Tar Heels are 5-0 in the ACC for the first time in fifteen years.

6) Gambling is hard: 76ers won by 25 last night. Golden State lost by 18.

5) Gambling is hard, part 2: Florida Atlantic 63, Louisiana Tech 61-- Tech (-5.5) was up 20 at the half, but lost to the 4-14 Owls. Oy.

4) Virginia Tech 78, Georgia Tech 77-- Buzz Williams has Hokies 4-1 in the ACC, with all four wins by 1 or 2 points or in OT.

3) Auburn 75, Kentucky 70-- This will help Bruce Pearl's recruiting down the road, but his team is really banged-up right now.

2) LSU 76, Arkansas 74-- ESPN has to shut up about Ben Simmons; he is a kid who will be a great player when he grows into an adult, but that is not this year. To listen to ESPN's voices, you'd think he was Magic Johnson right now. He is not, but he will be very wealthy this summer, when he is the first pick in the NBA Draft.

Apparently, Simmons' "high school" team in Australia didn't play home/away games like teams do here; they played in all neutral court tournaments, so Simmons is not used to playing home games where fans root like hell for you, or road games, where fans work like hell to distract you or irritate you. He is learning a lot this year.

1) This college basketball season is summed up by this fact: the only unbeaten team in Division I can not go to their conference tourney or the NCAAs, because their coach is a serial cheater. If SMU finishes 30-0, will it put a cloud over March?

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 17

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PHOENIX (13 - 28) at MINNESOTA (12 - 29) - 1/17/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PHOENIX is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 50-70 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (23 - 18) at SAN ANTONIO (35 - 6) - 1/17/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 80-54 ATS (+20.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 334-267 ATS (+40.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 453-374 ATS (+41.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 230-187 ATS (+24.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 299-244 ATS (+30.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 176-138 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 169-132 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 10-6 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 11-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (23 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (29 - 12) - 1/17/2016, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (22 - 18) at DENVER (15 - 25) - 1/17/2016, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (21 - 20) at LA LAKERS (9 - 33) - 1/17/2016, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 17

Sunday's hot teams
-- Spurs won their last ten games (2-4 last six HF).
-- Thunder won five of their last six games (2-6 last 8HF).
-- Nuggets won three of their last five games.
-- Rockets won five of their last six games (3-5AF).

Cold teams
-- Minnesota lost its last nine games (1-7HF). Suns lost nine of their last ten games (1-8 last nine AU).
-- Dallas lost three of its last five games (9-7AU).
-- Miami lost three of its last four games (4-5AU).
-- Indiana lost three of its last four games.
-- Lakers lost five of their last six games (6-7HU).

Series records
-- Suns won five of last six games with Minnesota.
-- Home side won last eight Dallas-San Antonio games.
-- Thunder lost seven of last ten games with Miami.
-- Nuggets won seven of last eight games with Indiana.
-- Lakers lost seven of last eight games with Houston.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Phoenix games went over total.
-- Last five Dallas-San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Last three Thunder games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Indiana games went over total.
-- Four of last five Rocket-Laker games stayed under.

Back/backs
-- Lakers are 6-3 vs spread if they played night before.




NBA

Sunday, January 17

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Trend Report
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3:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. MINNESOTA
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Phoenix is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Antonio's last 13 games at home

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Miami is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Oklahoma City
Miami is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
Oklahoma City is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Miami

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games on the road
Indiana is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games at home
Denver is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Indiana

9:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA LAKERS
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
LA Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, January 17


Phoenix @ Minnesota

Game 851-852
January 17, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
107.896
Minnesota
113.798
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 6
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 3
206
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-3); Under

Dallas @ San Antonio

Game 853-854
January 17, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.003
San Antonio
136.503
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 19 1/2
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 11 1/2
194 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-11 1/2); Under

Miami @ Oklahoma City

Game 855-856
January 17, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
117.562
Oklahoma City
126.092
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 8 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
N/A

Indiana @ Denver

Game 857-858
January 17, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
117.639
Denver
119.359
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
N/A

Houston @ LA Lakers

Game 859-860
January 17, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
119.910
LA Lakers
114.378
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
N/A

[StarDust Bum]

NBA ATS

NBA > (851) PHOENIX@ (852) MINNESOTA | 2016-01-17 15:30:00 - 2016-01-17 15:30:00
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA against the spread in Home games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 2 Wins and 14 Losses for the this season (-13.4 units)

NBA > (851) PHOENIX@ (852) MINNESOTA | 2016-01-17 15:30:00 - 2016-01-17 15:30:00
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA against the spread in Home games after a loss by 10 points or more
The record is 5 Wins and 21 Losses for the last two seasons (-18.1 units)

NBA > (853) DALLAS@ (854) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-01-17 19:00:00 - 2016-01-17 19:00:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO against the spread in All games as a favorite
The record is 28 Wins and 12 Losses for the this season (+14.8 units)

NBA > (853) DALLAS@ (854) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-01-17 19:00:00 - 2016-01-17 19:00:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO against the spread in All games after a non-conference game
The record is 15 Wins and 4 Losses for the this season (+10.6 units)

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NBA MONEYLINE

NBA > (851) PHOENIX@ (852) MINNESOTA | 2016-01-17 15:30:00 - 2016-01-17 15:30:00
Play AGAINST PHOENIX using money line in All games in all games
The record is 13 Wins and 26 Losses for the this season (-29.3 units)

NBA > (851) PHOENIX@ (852) MINNESOTA | 2016-01-17 15:30:00 - 2016-01-17 15:30:00
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA using money line in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 22 Wins and 41 Losses for the last three seasons (-44.95 units)

NBA > (855) MIAMI@ (856) OKLAHOMA CITY | 2016-01-17 19:00:00 - 2016-01-17 19:00:00
Play ON MIAMI using money line in All games on Sunday games
The record is 15 Wins and 5 Losses for the last two seasons (+15.8 units)

NBA > (857) INDIANA@ (858) DENVER | 2016-01-17 20:00:00 - 2016-01-17 20:00:00
Play AGAINST INDIANA using money line in All games in non-conference games
The record is 16 Wins and 29 Losses for the last two seasons (-23.45 units)

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NBA FIRST HALF

NBA > (851) PHOENIX@ (852) MINNESOTA | 2016-01-17 15:30:00 - 2016-01-17 15:30:00
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA ?>in the first halfin All games after a loss by 10 points or more
The record is 12 Wins and 33 Losses for the last two seasons (-24.3 units)

NBA > (851) PHOENIX@ (852) MINNESOTA | 2016-01-17 15:30:00 - 2016-01-17 15:30:00
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA ?>in the first halfin All games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 18 Wins and 42 Losses for the last two seasons (-28.2 units)

NBA > (853) DALLAS@ (854) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-01-17 19:00:00 - 2016-01-17 19:00:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO ?>in the first halfin All games after a non-conference game
The record is 34 Wins and 14 Losses for the last two seasons (+18.6 units)

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NBA TOTALS

NBA > (855) MIAMI@ (856) OKLAHOMA CITY | 2016-01-17 19:00:00 - 2016-01-17 19:00:00
Play UNDER MIAMI on the totalin All games after a non-conference game
The record is 11 Overs and 35 Unders for the last two seasons (+22.9 units)

NBA > (851) PHOENIX@ (852) MINNESOTA | 2016-01-17 15:30:00 - 2016-01-17 15:30:00
Play UNDER MINNESOTA on the totalin All games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 18 Overs and 48 Unders for the last two seasons (+28.2 units)

NBA > (853) DALLAS@ (854) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-01-17 19:00:00 - 2016-01-17 19:00:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 26 Overs and 59 Unders for the last two seasons (+30.4 units)

NBA > (851) PHOENIX@ (852) MINNESOTA | 2016-01-17 15:30:00 - 2016-01-17 15:30:00
Play UNDER MINNESOTA on the totalin Home games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 7 Overs and 24 Unders for the last two seasons (+16.3 units)

NBA > (855) MIAMI@ (856) OKLAHOMA CITY | 2016-01-17 19:00:00 - 2016-01-17 19:00:00
Play UNDER MIAMI on the totalin Road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 7 Overs and 24 Unders for the last two seasons (+16.3 units)

NBA > (853) DALLAS@ (854) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-01-17 19:00:00 - 2016-01-17 19:00:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin All games after 3 or more consecutive wins
The record is 25 Overs and 59 Unders for the last three seasons (+31.5 units)

NBA > (859) HOUSTON@ (860) LA LAKERS | 2016-01-17 21:30:00 - 2016-01-17 21:30:00
Play UNDER LA LAKERS on the totalin Home games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 13 Overs and 36 Unders for the last three seasons (+21.7 units)

NBA > (857) INDIANA@ (858) DENVER | 2016-01-17 20:00:00 - 2016-01-17 20:00:00
Play UNDER INDIANA on the totalin All games after a loss by 10 points or more
The record is 12 Overs and 34 Unders for the last three seasons (+20.8 units)

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, JANUARY 17

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHO at MIN 03:30 PM

PHO +3.5

U 205.5


MIA at OKC 07:00 PM

MIA +9.5

O 201.0 BEST BET


DAL at SA 07:00 PM

SA -12.0

U 194.5


IND at DEN 08:00 PM

IND -3.0 BEST BET

O 203.0


HOU at LAL 09:30 PM

HOU -9.0

O 206.5 BEST BET

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Nike/Ohio State signed a 15-year, $252M extension with Ohio State, clinching the fact that Brutus Buckeye will be wearing the swoosh for the next two decades.

-- Wisconsin 77, Michigan State 76-- Second loss in a row for the Spartans.

-- Bulls F Joakim Noah is out 4-6 months after shoulder surgery.

-- Florida State hooper Malik Beasley's mom Deena is an actress who was in one of the Hunger Games movies.

-- Former Michigan coach Brady Hoke is the new defensive coordinator at Oregon.

-- Conference title odds for next Sunday:
New England (-3, 44.5) @ Denver........ Arizona @ Carolina (-3, 47)

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.......

13) Utah 59, Oregon State 53-- I'm leading with this because with 2:56 left in a tie game, Oregon State's Jarmal Reid tripped an official on purpose as play moved to the other end of the floor-- the official (former NBA ref Tommy Nunez) called a technical and Utah went on to win 59-53.

Beavers had taken a 52-50 lead with 5:28 left, but scored only one point the rest of the game and fell to 2-3 in Pac-12 play. Mr Reid is going to be suspended for multiple games, I am pretty sure. Utah outscored OSU 18-5 on the foul line, but thats life on the road a lot of the time. No excuse for losing your poise like that.

12) Panthers 31, Seahawks 24-- Game was 31-0 at the half.; Seahawks fought back, but the hill was too steep to climb. Carolina remains vastly underrated at 16-1.

11) Broncos 23, Steelers 16-- Peyton Manning has been in playoffs 15 times; he is now 6-9 in the first playoff game of a season. Tom Brady is 11-2 in such games. That said, Manning is 4-1 in the second playoff game of a season.

10) Of the eight QBs who started in playoff games this weekend, six were drafted in the first round; only Brady and Russell Wilson were not.

9) Steelers kicker Chris Boswell went to college at Rice, where his roommate and holder for kicks during Owls games was one of Gary Kubiak's sons. Small world.

8) Been reading a lot about offensive gurus who become NFL head coaches; seems like the "fun" part of the job is calling plays, the technical football stuff, but when you become a head coach, lot of that gets delegated to assistants, while the head coach does a ton of media stuff and CEO/administration-type stuff, the less fun part.

Will be interesting to see if Hue Jackson/Dirk Koetter/Ben McAdoo continue to call plays or if the weight of all that becomes too much and play calling gets passed off. When Mike Martz became coach of the Rams, it was a problem because he was poor with interpersonal relationships-- he was a genius play caller, but not much else.

7) Tennessee Titans are hiring Bobby April as special teams coach; Titans will be 9th of 32 NFL teams that April has been special teams coach for.

6) Interesting discussion on Golf Channel during the Hawaiian Open this weekend as to whether you can practice golf too much. 52-year old Vijay Singh was playing well and he practices so much, that is why it all came up. The consensus seemed to be that for most golfers, there are diminishing returns to excessive practice, but it works for Singh, who continues to compete with the younger guys.

5) Odd golf stat: Only once in the last six years has Adam Scott finished in the top 100 on Tour in putting. How can someone who is so good struggle so much to putt?

4) Unsuual that the 18th hole at Wailea CC is a par-5, don't see that a lot on Tour. Makes for more interesting ends to tournaments; guys can get eagles to finish up.

3) Single digit underdogs were 50-29 vs spread in college hoop Saturday/Sunday, as a season of unexpected outcomes continues.

2) Florida State 69, Virginia 62-- Highly touted Cavaliers are 0-3 on ACC road, with losses to Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Florida State- they still have to go to Louisville, Duke and Pitt. Seminoles remain a difficult team to figure out.

1) Serious question that came up this weekend: If a little kid is left alone to play by him/herself, is he/she more likely to develop a good imagination, or does that not matter? Some people think that kids have so many structured activities that it inhibits their ability to think freely as they become adults. I hadn't thought a lot about it until yesterday.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Monday
January 18, 2016


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Rockets are 0-11-1 ATS (-9.38 ppg) since Jan 09, 2013 with no rest off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bulls are 13-0 OU (14.65 ppg) since Jan 14, 2001 as a dog with rest off a loss in a home game in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bulls are 11-0 ATS (14.18 ppg) since Dec 30, 2013 on the road after Jimmy Butler shot worse than 33% from the field at home.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Raptors are 0-12 OU (-16.46 ppg) as a favorite with rest after they has at least twice as many assists as turnovers - since Feb 02, 2015.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Wizards are 9-0 ATS (6.61 ppg) since Apr 01, 2015 after John Wall was the Wizards’ high scorer in a loss

[StarDust Bum]

Monday's Tip Sheet
January 17, 2016

Bulls at Pistons – 3:35 PM EST

These two Central division rivals are meeting for the third time this season as Detroit (22-18 SU, 22-17-1 ATS) has won the first two matchups in overtime. In the last contest between these teams at the United Center on December 18, the Pistons pulled out a 147-144 triumph in four overtimes to cash outright as five-point underdogs. Detroit center Andre Drummond scored 33 points and pulled down 21 rebounds, as the Pistons look to improve on a 4-1 SU/ATS record at home against division opponents. The Pistons are fresh off a solid performance on Saturday night against the defending champion Warriors, knocking off Golden State, 113-95 as seven-point home underdogs.

Chicago (23-16 SU, 15-24 ATS) has struggled of late, losing four of its past five games with the lone victory coming against the lowly 76ers in overtime. One game after Jimmy Butler dropped a career-high 53 points at Philadelphia, the Bulls’ shooting guard was limited to four points in Friday’s 83-77 home setback to the Mavericks. Chicago shot 36% from the field, as Fred Hoiberg’s team has failed to cover in five straight games. The Bulls have struggled in the road underdog role by owning a 2-6 SU/ATS record in this situation since late November.

Magic at Hawks – 5:05 PM EST

The Hawks (24-17 SU, 20-20-1 ATS) remain atop the Southeast division in spite of losing two of their last three games. Atlanta ended a mini two-game skid with Saturday’s 114-86 blowout of Brooklyn as 10 ½-point home favorites to improve to 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven contests at Philips Arena. Mike Budenholtzer’s club has eclipsed the 100-point mark in seven straight home games, while the Hawks have claimed five of the past six matchups with the Magic. These two met last month in Orlando as Atlanta rallied for a 103-100 victory to cash as 1 ½-point favorites.

The magic has disappeared for Orlando (20-19 SU, 23-15-1 ATS) following a promising start as Scott Skiles’ squad has lost six of its past seven games. The Magic returns to the states after an overtime loss in London to the Raptors on Thursday, 106-103, but Orlando cashed as 4 ½-point underdogs. Orlando has been limited to 99 points or less in seven straight contests, even though it has cashed the ‘over’ in the last two games. The Magic have split their last six road games, although two of those three victories came at Brooklyn.

Warriors at Cavaliers – 8:05 PM EST

The last time Golden State (37-4 SU, 24-16-1 ATS) visited Quicken Loans Arena, the Warriors captured their first NBA championship since 1975. Golden State faces Cleveland for the second time in less than a month as the Warriors held off the Cavaliers on Christmas Day, 89-83. Luke Walton’s team failed to cover as seven-point favorites, but the Warriors limited the Cavs to 31% shooting from the floor. Golden State began the season with a 14-0 road record, but have split their last eight games away from Oracle Arena, including back-to-back losses at Detroit and Denver.

The Cavaliers (28-10 SU, 17-20-1 ATS) have lost just once in 16 tries at Quicken Loans Arena, while returning home from a 5-1 road swing. Cleveland’s lone blemish came in a 99-95 setback at San Antonio last Thursday, but the Cavs bounced back with a convincing 91-77 victory at Houston on Friday. David Blatt’s club lost two of three home meetings with the Warriors in last June’s NBA Finals (all as an underdog), but beat Golden State in the regular season as a three-point favorite, 110-99.

Celtics at Mavericks – 8:35 PM EST

Boston (22-19 SU, 22-18-1 ATS) continues a three-game road trip after holding off Washington on Saturday, 119-117 to win its third consecutive contest following a four-game skid. The Celtics have cashed the 'over’ in four of the last five games, while allowing at least 100 points in four straight road contests. Brad Stevens’ team is playing with revenge after blowing a 15-point lead to the Mavericks in a 106-102 home setback in November as five-point favorites. The Celtics have lost six straight meetings with Dallas since 2013, while last winning at the American Airlines Center in 2010.

The Mavericks (23-18 SU, 24-16-1 ATS) return home with no rest after getting blown out by the Spurs on Sunday, 112-83 as 12 ½-point underdogs. Dallas owns a 6-4 SU/ATS record on the second of a back-to-back, while posting a 1-1 SU/ATS mark at home in this situation. Rick Carlisle’s club is on a strong ‘under’ run recently by cashing the ‘under’ in 10 of the last 12 games, although those two ‘overs’ in this stretch came at home.

Rockets at Clippers – 10:35 PM EST

It’s a quick turnaround for Houston (21-20 SU, 16-25 ATS), who is playing at Staples Center for the second straight night after facing the Lakers on Sunday. The Rockets have cashed the ‘over’ in seven of 10 games with no rest, while posting a 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS record in this situation. Houston has owned Los Angeles since rallying from a 3-1 deficit in the second round of the playoffs last season, winning five straight over the Clippers, including a pair of victories this season. The Rockets held off the Clippers in their first matchup at Staples Center, 109-105 as five-point underdogs.

Los Angeles (26-14 SU, 18-19-3 ATS) saw its 10-game winning streak snapped by Sacramento on Saturday, 110-103. The Clippers played for the second straight game without center DeAndre Jordan, who sat with the flu, but Cole Aldrich stepped up by scoring 19 points each against the Heat and Kings. Los Angeles heads out of town for five games following Monday’s contest, as Doc Rivers’ team has won six of the past eight home games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 18

Monday's hot teams
-- Knicks won/covered their last four home games (7-3HF).
-- Portland won three of last four games (7-2 last 9AU). Wizards won four of last five games (2-7 last 9HF).
-- Memphis won four of its last five games (6-1 last 7HF). Pelicans won their last two games after losing seven of eight games before that (3-0 last 3AU).
-- Hawks won six of their last seven games (8-3 last 11HF).
-- Toronto won its last four games (2-8 last 10HF).
-- Cavaliers won nine of their last ten games (4-1 last 5HF).
-- Celtics won their last three games (1-4 last 5AU).
-- Rockets won five of their last six games (3-6AU). Clippers won nine of their last ten games (4-2 last 6HF).

Cold teams
-- 76ers lost lost four of last five games but covered last three.
-- Charlotte lost nine of last ten games (1-4 last five HF). Jazz lost seven of last eight road games (1-5 last six AU).
-- Bulls lost four of their last five games (2-7 last 9AU). Detroit is 4-2 in its last six games (10-1 last 11HF).
-- Orlando lost six of its last seven games (0-3 last 3AU).
-- Nets lost seven of their last eight games (11-4 last 15AU).
-- Golden State lost two of last three games (1-0AU).
-- Dallas is 4-5 in its last nine games (8-5HF).

Series records
-- Knicks won seven of last eight games with Philly.
-- Jazz won nine of last ten games with Charlotte.
-- Portland lost last three games in Washington by 8-10-2 points.
-- Grizzlies won four of last six games with New Orleans.
-- Pistons won four of last five games with Chicago, winning last two in OT, the last one in four OTs.
-- Hawks won five of last six games with Orlando.
-- Nets-Raptors split their last ten games.
-- Warriors won their last four games with Cleveland.
-- Mavericks won their last six games with Boston.
-- Clippers lost their last five games with Houston.

Totals
-- Eight of last nine New York home games went over.
-- Five of last seven Charlotte home games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Washington home games stayed under.
-- Last five Memphis home games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Chicago road games went over.
-- Five of last six Atlanta home games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Brooklyn games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 14 Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Houston games went over total.

Back/backs
-- Dallas is 6-3 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Houston is 4-6 vs spread if it played night before.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, January 18

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games
New York is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

2:00 PM
UTAH vs. CHARLOTTE
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Utah is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
Charlotte is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Utah

2:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. WASHINGTON
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

2:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New Orleans's last 14 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 12 games when playing New Orleans
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

3:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Chicago is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Detroit's last 23 games when playing at home against Chicago

5:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. ATLANTA
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Orlando's last 25 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando

7:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 10 games
Brooklyn is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. CLEVELAND
Golden State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing Golden State
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State

8:30 PM
BOSTON vs. DALLAS
Boston is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the LA Clippers last 16 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, January 18

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Game of the Day: Warriors at Cavaliers
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The Warriors will be pups for the first tiem this season with Stephen Curry in the lineup.

Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Warriors (-3, 206.5)

The Golden State Warriors head into their toughest game yet playing anything but their best basketball as they prepare to visit the East-leading Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday. The Warriors opened the three-game road trip with a loss at Detroit on Saturday and have dropped two of three.

“Struggle” is a relative term for a team with four losses in its first 41 games, but Golden State is in the midst of its worst stretch so far this season. “I think it’s a wake-up call that we got punched, but there have been some signs the past several weeks,” Warriors center Andrew Bogut told reporters after Saturday’s loss. “It just hasn’t been addressed that much because we’ve been winning. We need to pick it up, pick up our intensity and get our defense better.” Golden State should not have any trouble finding intensity in the NBA Finals rematch on Monday, and the Cavaliers are at the top of their game at the moment. Cleveland has won nine of its last 10 games and is coming home after breezing through a 5-1 road trip that closed with a 91-77 domination of the Houston Rockets on Friday.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Cavaliers opened as 3-point home favorites for their second Finals rematch of the season with the Warriors. The total opened at 208 and has been bet down a point-and-a-half to 206.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Warriors - SF J. McAdoo (doubtful Monday, toe).

Cavaliers - PG M. Williams (questionable Monday, personal).

POWER RANKINGS: Warriors (-17) - Cavaliers (-9.5) + home field (-3) = Cavaliers +4.5

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (37-4, 24-16-1 ATS, 24-17 O/U): Harrison Barnes made his return to the starting lineup in Detroit after easing his way back into the rotation off the bench, and the starting frontcourt seemed to struggle to find a rhythm. “Guys were playing hard and cutting and moving, but we weren’t on the same page and didn’t have the same timing,” interim coach Luke Walton told reporters. “The flow we like to play with was missing. It looked a little chaotic.” Barnes and Draymond Green each finished with five points and combined to shoot 3-of-18 from the field.

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (28-10, 17-20-1 ATS, 17-21 O/U): Cleveland is having no trouble finding its timing with guard Kyrie Irving back in the lineup on a regular basis. “I think just being on the road, just together for 12 days just brought us together more,” center Tristan Thompson told ESPN.com. “And you can see it on the court. There’s more flow. Guys are understanding where guys are going to be at.” Irving was playing only his third game back from a fractured kneecap when the Cavaliers went into Golden State on Christmas Day and suffered an 89-83 loss.

TRENDS:

* Warriors are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
* Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is split down the middle for the second edition of the Finals rematch, with 52 percent of wagers on the Warriors. As for the total, 63 percent of wagers are on the over.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA ATS

NBA > (517) BOSTON@ (518) DALLAS | 2016-01-18 20:30:00 - 2016-01-18 20:30:00
Play ON BOSTON against the spread in Road games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 42 Wins and 15 Losses for the last three seasons (+25.5 units)

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NBA MONEYLINE

NBA > (509) CHICAGO@ (510) DETROIT | 2016-01-18 15:30:00 - 2016-01-18 15:30:00
Play ON CHICAGO using money line in All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 68 Wins and 26 Losses for the last three seasons (+47.75 units)

NBA > (507) NEW ORLEANS@ (508) MEMPHIS | 2016-01-18 14:30:00 - 2016-01-18 14:30:00
Play ON MEMPHIS using money line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 15 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+13.35 units)

NBA > (509) CHICAGO@ (510) DETROIT | 2016-01-18 15:30:00 - 2016-01-18 15:30:00
Play ON CHICAGO using money line in Road games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 16 Wins and 5 Losses for the last two seasons (+17.85 units)

NBA > (515) GOLDEN STATE@ (516) CLEVELAND | 2016-01-18 20:00:00 - 2016-01-18 20:00:00
Play ON CLEVELAND using money line in All games after playing 3 consecutive road games
The record is 15 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+13.8 units)

NBA > (515) GOLDEN STATE@ (516) CLEVELAND | 2016-01-18 20:00:00 - 2016-01-18 20:00:00
Play ON CLEVELAND using money line in Home games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 21 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+16.8 units)

NBA > (507) NEW ORLEANS@ (508) MEMPHIS | 2016-01-18 14:30:00 - 2016-01-18 14:30:00
Play ON MEMPHIS using money line in All games after playing 3 consecutive home games
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+12.05 units)

NBA > (505) PORTLAND@ (506) WASHINGTON | 2016-01-18 14:00:00 - 2016-01-18 14:00:00
Play AGAINST PORTLAND using money line in Road games against Southeast division opponents
The record is 2 Wins and 12 Losses for the last three seasons (-15.05 units)

NBA > (517) BOSTON@ (518) DALLAS | 2016-01-18 20:30:00 - 2016-01-18 20:30:00
Play ON BOSTON using money line in Road games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 20 Wins and 14 Losses for the last two seasons (+21.15 units)

NBA > (505) PORTLAND@ (506) WASHINGTON | 2016-01-18 14:00:00 - 2016-01-18 14:00:00
Play ON WASHINGTON using money line in Home games against Northwest division opponents
The record is 36 Wins and 19 Losses for the since 1992 (+24.8 units)

NBA > (501) PHILADELPHIA@ (502) NEW YORK | 2016-01-18 13:00:00 - 2016-01-18 13:00:00
Play AGAINST NEW YORK using money line in Home games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 20 Wins and 30 Losses for the last three seasons (-27.6 units)

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NBA TOTALS

NBA > (503) UTAH@ (504) CHARLOTTE | 2016-01-18 14:00:00 - 2016-01-18 14:00:00
Play UNDER UTAH on the totalin Road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 12 Overs and 48 Unders for the last three seasons (+34.8 units)

NBA > (507) NEW ORLEANS@ (508) MEMPHIS | 2016-01-18 14:30:00 - 2016-01-18 14:30:00
Play UNDER NEW ORLEANS on the totalin All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 27 Overs and 75 Unders for the last three seasons (+45.3 units)

NBA > (507) NEW ORLEANS@ (508) MEMPHIS | 2016-01-18 14:30:00 - 2016-01-18 14:30:00
Play UNDER NEW ORLEANS on the totalin All games in road games
The record is 4 Overs and 18 Unders for the this season (+13.6 units)

NBA > (517) BOSTON@ (518) DALLAS | 2016-01-18 20:30:00 - 2016-01-18 20:30:00
Play UNDER BOSTON on the totalin Road games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 8 Overs and 26 Unders for the last two seasons (+17.2 units)

NBA > (503) UTAH@ (504) CHARLOTTE | 2016-01-18 14:00:00 - 2016-01-18 14:00:00
Play UNDER UTAH on the totalin All games after allowing 85 points or less
The record is 5 Overs and 20 Unders for the last two seasons (+14.5 units)

NBA > (513) BROOKLYN@ (514) TORONTO | 2016-01-18 19:30:00 - 2016-01-18 19:30:00
Play UNDER TORONTO on the totalin All games in a home game where where the first half total is 100.5 to 103
The record is 1 Overs and 12 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.9 units)

NBA > (511) ORLANDO@ (512) ATLANTA | 2016-01-18 17:00:00 - 2016-01-18 17:00:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the totalin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 36 Overs and 73 Unders for the last three seasons (+33.4 units)

NBA > (511) ORLANDO@ (512) ATLANTA | 2016-01-18 17:00:00 - 2016-01-18 17:00:00
Play UNDER ORLANDO on the totalin Road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 15 Overs and 38 Unders for the last three seasons (+21.5 units)

NBA > (515) GOLDEN STATE@ (516) CLEVELAND | 2016-01-18 20:00:00 - 2016-01-18 20:00:00
Play UNDER CLEVELAND on the totalin All games after a non-conference game
The record is 13 Overs and 32 Unders for the last two seasons (+17.7 units)

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EARLY NBA GAMES:

MONDAY, JANUARY 18

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


PHI at NY 01:00 PM

PHI +9.5


UTA at CHA 02:00 PM

CHA -2.5


POR at WAS 02:00 PM

WAS -4.5


NO at MEM 02:30 PM

NO +4.0


CHI at DET 03:30 PM

CHI +3.0


ORL at ATL 05:00 PM

ORL +7.5 BEST BET

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, JANUARY 18

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


BK at TOR 07:30 PM

TOR -11.5


GS at CLE 08:00 PM

CLE -3.0 BEST BET


BOS at DAL 08:30 PM

DAL +1.5


HOU at LAC 10:30 PM

HOU +5.5