Announcement

**Udog** · 12-31-2015, 08:26 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some NFL trends to ponder with Week 17 upon us..........

-- Tennessee is 7-21-2 vs spread in last 30 games as an underdog.

-- Chicago covered twice in its last ten home games.

-- Miami covered once in its last nine games.

-- 49ers covered once in their last eleven divisional games.

-- Chiefs covered seven of their last nine games.

-- Minnesota covered its last six road games.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Our last article for 2015.......

13) Scott Kazmir gets $48M for three years from the Dodgers, who will probably start the season with an all-lefty starting rotation- very unusual. Kazmir started LY with the A's, so I've seen him pitch a lot. He was not 100% healthy last season- he came out early a couple times, fought thru it other times- buyer beware.

12) December 30 is a very strong day for celebrity birthdays: Lebron James, Sandy Koufax, Eldrick Woods. There will be guys in this world who read that and mark the calendar to have sex with their wife on March 29-31 every year.

11) Peyton Manning will begin Sunday as the backup QB for Denver, which could become interesting if the Broncos struggle early against San Diego.

10) So I go into Denny's for breakfast at 10am Wednesday and the place is packed!!! Doesn't anyone work anymore? Almost had to wait for a table. By the way, if you get the Grand Slam breakfast, its a better deal to get eggs/pancakes rather than a double order of eggs. Its a good food value

9) This older lady in Denny's has a new Patriots' jacket on; it says "Four-time Super Bowl champs" on it, with the years they won. I don't do it, but I'm dying to go up to her and ask her who the Patriots' coach was before Belichick. A non-bandwagon fan would know the answer (Pete Carroll) pretty quickly. I was curious if she knew.

8) Seton Hall 83, Marquette 63-- Pirates start five sophomores; if Kevin Willard can keep this group together, the next three years will be fun for Seton Hall fans.

7) Clemson sent its #2 WR home from the Orange Bowl, along with two other subs; rumor had them failing drug tests. Usually when kids get sent home from a big game like tonight's, the team has capable reserves ready to step in. Go figure.

6) NCAA reports that 44% of men's basketball transfers go to another D-I school, which means that 56% of them wash out and play at a lower level. There is nothing simple about recruiting and mistakes are often made.

5) Boston Celtics gave Kobe Bryant a piece of their parquet floor as part of their gift to him on his last appearance in Boston. They gave Julius Erving a similar gift when he retired from the 76ers; according to ESPN, years later, Dr J sold the gift for $15,766.

4) FS1 analyst in the first minute of DePaul-Georgetown game: "JTIII has done a great job with this Georgetown program....." OK, you've lost your credibility in less than a minute. He hasn't done a great job- if his last name isn't Thomposon, he would have been fired by now. Just ask Craig Esherick, the Hoyas' last coach.

3) I don't get ESPN's fascination with Stephen A Smith/Skip Bayless, professional nitwits who would fit in better on WWE telecasts. You try and watch talkshows and learn something, then all of a sudden one of these nitwits appears and chaos ensues. It makes no sense why they would be highly paid centerpieces of a TV network.

2) Odd fact of the day: Baylor didn't have any field goals longer than 40 yards this year. Memphis had seven field goals longer than 50 yards. .

1) Our condolences to Michigan State hoop coach Tom Izzo, who lost his dad this week at age 90. Losing a loved one is always difficult, but it is a little tougher when it happens around the holidays

**Udog** · 12-31-2015, 08:32 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 31

Hot teams
-- Warriors won five of last six games, but Curry didn't play last nite and probably won't tonite (10-5-1AF).
-- .Thunder won 11 of last 13 games (0-4 last four HF).
-- Clippers won their last four games (6-6-1AF).
-- Portland won its last three games (9-8AU).

Cold teams
-- Bucks lost six of their last eight games (7-9AU). Indiana lost four of its last six games (7-2 last nine HF).
-- Minnesota lost four of last five games (10-3AU). Detroit lost its last three games (7-1 last eight HF).
-- Rockets lost three of last four games (4-1HU).
-- Suns lost their last six games (1-5 vs spread).
-- Pelicans lost 12 of their last 16 games (3-3HU).
-- Utah lost three of its last four games (5-6HF).

Series records
-- Pacers won six of last eight games with Milwaukee.
-- Pistons lost nine of last ten games with Minnesota.
-- Warriors won nine of last ten games with Houston.
-- Thunder won four of last five games with Phoenix.
-- Clippers won eight of last ten games with New Orleans.
-- Trailblazers won seven of last nine games with Utah.

Totals
-- Last six Indiana home games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit home games went over.
-- 10 of last 12 Golden State road games went over.
-- Under is 7-3 in Oklahoma City's last ten home games.
-- Over is 9-4-1 in Clipper road games.
-- Five of last seven Portland road games stayed under.

Back/backs
-- Indiana is 2-4 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 2-2 vs spread when it played night before.
-- Warriors are 5-2 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Phoenix is 2-4 vs spread if it layed night before.
-- Clippers are 1-4 vs spread on road if they played night before.

**Udog** · 12-31-2015, 08:36 AM

NBA

Thursday, December 31

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Trend Report
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6:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 17-5-1 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Detroit is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota

6:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
Indiana is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Milwaukee

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. HOUSTON
Golden State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Golden State's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
Oklahoma City is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of the LA Clippers last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. UTAH
Portland is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Utah
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 11 games
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

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**Udog** · 12-31-2015, 10:02 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 31

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MILWAUKEE (12 - 21) at INDIANA (18 - 13) - 12/31/2015, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 128-95 ATS (+23.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
INDIANA is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 141-102 ATS (+28.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (12 - 20) at DETROIT (17 - 15) - 12/31/2015, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 48-63 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DETROIT is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (29 - 2) at HOUSTON (16 - 17) - 12/31/2015, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 8-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 10-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (12 - 22) at OKLAHOMA CITY (22 - 10) - 12/31/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
PHOENIX is 57-38 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (20 - 13) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 21) - 12/31/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 98-130 ATS (-45.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 231-287 ATS (-84.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (14 - 20) at UTAH (13 - 17) - 12/31/2015, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-31-2015, 10:08 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 31

LA Clippers @ New Orleans

Game 509-510
December 31, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
117.550
New Orleans
122.475
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 5
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 2
208
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-2); Under

Portland @ Utah

Game 511-512
December 31, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
110.169
Utah
118.064
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 8
184
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
N/A

Milwaukee @ Indiana

Game 501-502
December 31, 2015 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
113.241
Indiana
124.881
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 11 1/2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 6
198
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-6); Under

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 503-504
December 31, 2015 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
110.608
Detroit
120.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 10
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 7
201
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-7); Under

Golden State @ Houston

Game 505-506
December 31, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
126.094
Houston
124.242
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
N/A

Phoenix @ Oklahoma City

Game 507-508
December 31, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
108.421
Oklahoma City
120.873
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 12 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 15
210
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+15); Over

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/31

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/31

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